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Transcontinental Inc. Class B (TSE:TCL.B)
TSX:TCL.B
Canadian Market

Transcontinental Inc. Class B (TCL.B) AI Stock Analysis

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Transcontinental Inc. Class B

(TSX:TCL.B)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
C$24.00
▲(14.18%Upside)
The overall stock score for TC Transcontinental is 77, driven primarily by solid technical indicators and an attractive valuation. The positive momentum and undervaluation relative to peers enhance the investment appeal. Financial performance is stable but highlights areas for potential improvement in profitability and revenue growth. The earnings call indicates mixed sector performance, but the company's robust financial position and cost management efforts provide confidence moving forward.

Transcontinental Inc. Class B (TCL.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Transcontinental Inc. Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTranscontinental Inc. Class B (TCL.B) is a leading Canadian company primarily engaged in flexible packaging, printing, and media. With operations spanning across North America, the company offers a wide range of products and services including packaging solutions for various industries such as food and beverage, agriculture, and industrial products, as well as printing services for newspapers, magazines, and marketing materials. Transcontinental also operates in the media sector, providing content creation and distribution services.
How the Company Makes MoneyTranscontinental Inc. generates revenue through multiple streams. The flexible packaging segment, which is the largest component of its business, involves the production and sale of packaging products to clients in the food and beverage, agriculture, and industrial sectors. This segment capitalizes on long-term contracts and partnerships with key clients, ensuring a stable revenue flow. In the printing sector, the company offers services for newspapers, magazines, and other printed materials, leveraging its extensive infrastructure and expertise to serve a wide array of customers. Although the media segment is smaller, it contributes to earnings through advertising, subscription fees, and content licensing. The company's diversified revenue model, backed by significant client relationships and a broad geographic presence, underpins its financial performance.

Transcontinental Inc. Class B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.73%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed performance for TC Transcontinental. The Retail Services & Printing sector showed strong growth and profitability improvements, contributing positively to the overall financial health of the company. However, the Packaging sector faced revenue declines and challenges in Latin America. The company remains confident in its outlook, supported by a strong financial position and effective cost management.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Positive Growth in Retail Services & Printing
Retail Services & Printing sector experienced a strong quarter with a 5.1% increase in revenues to $279.9 million and a 15.5% growth in adjusted EBITDA to $54.4 million, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of profitability improvement.
Improvement in Safety Metrics
The company reported a significant year-over-year improvement in safety incidents, reducing from 46 incidents to 28, a decrease of 40%.
Strong Financial Position
Despite a special dividend, the net debt ratio remained healthy at 1.70x. Financial expenses decreased by $5.4 million due to lower debt levels and lower interest rates.
Adjusted Earnings Per Share Increase
Adjusted net earnings per share grew by 11.5% from $0.52 to $0.58.
Negative Updates
Decline in Packaging Revenue
Packaging sector generated revenues of $404 million, a 2% decrease compared to the previous year, primarily due to the sale of industrial activities and lower volumes across most markets.
Challenges in Latin America
The Latin American market faced challenges due to lower crop yields, impacting sales negatively.
Potential Impact of Tariffs and Labor Issues
While the impact of tariffs and labor issues at Canada Post is currently minimal, there is some uncertainty regarding future effects.
Media Segment Decline
The Media segment saw a decrease in revenues and profitability due to the end of a significant contract.
Company Guidance
During the TC Transcontinental Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Results Conference Call, the company reported a 0.1% increase in revenues compared to the same quarter last year, primarily driven by growth in the Retail Services & Printing sector and a favorable foreign exchange impact. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter stood at $108.5 million, with adjusted net earnings per share increasing by 11.5% to $0.58. The Packaging sector experienced a 2% decrease in revenues, attributed to the sale of industrial activities and lower volumes, although it maintained a solid EBITDA margin of 16.2%. In contrast, the Retail Services & Printing sector saw a 5.1% increase in revenues, fueled by growth in Book Printing, Specialty Solutions, and In-store Marketing. The company also highlighted significant cost reductions contributing to these results. Safety improvements were noted, with a 40% year-over-year decrease in incidents. Looking ahead, the company remains optimistic about achieving organic volume and profit growth in the second half of fiscal 2025, supported by a strong sales pipeline and continued cost management efforts.

Transcontinental Inc. Class B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Transcontinental Inc. shows a stable financial footing with adequate profitability and healthy leverage. The company manages operational costs effectively, but there is room for profit margin and revenue growth improvements. A robust balance sheet with manageable debt levels and strong cash generation, although recent declines in free cash flow are noted.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Transcontinental Inc. has shown moderate financial performance over recent periods. The gross profit margin for TTM stands at 41.53%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is lower at 5.87%, reflecting limited bottom-line profitability. Revenue has seen fluctuations, with a recent decline in TTM compared to previous annual figures, suggesting potential challenges in maintaining sales growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are 9.74% and 17.28% respectively, indicating operational efficiency but also highlighting room for improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) for TTM is 8.30%, which is reasonable but suggests potential for enhanced returns on equity investments. An equity ratio of 54.29% in the TTM reflects a strong capital structure with a solid equity base. Overall, the company maintains a balanced approach to leveraging debt and equity, though there is scope for increasing returns.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a slight decrease in free cash flow, with a growth rate of -6.58%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.33, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Additionally, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.67, demonstrating effective cash conversion from profits. The company efficiently manages its cash flow operations, although recent free cash flow contraction warrants attention.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
2.78B2.81B2.94B2.96B2.64B2.57B
Gross Profit
1.15B1.38B457.30M1.32B1.24B1.25B
EBIT
270.40M209.50M164.70M217.30M233.80M241.40M
EBITDA
479.70M416.30M391.70M446.00M450.00M479.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
163.00M121.30M85.80M141.20M130.60M131.70M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
273.10M185.20M137.00M45.70M231.10M241.00M
Total Assets
3.62B3.64B3.70B3.80B3.61B3.60B
Total Debt
994.20M989.00M1.06B1.15B1.13B1.17B
Net Debt
721.10M803.80M921.00M1.10B894.80M933.90M
Total Liabilities
1.65B1.73B1.79B1.92B1.85B1.86B
Stockholders Equity
1.96B1.91B1.90B1.88B1.76B1.73B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
272.90M292.20M294.80M78.40M177.00M329.50M
Operating Cash Flow
379.90M413.70M472.30M220.80M315.30M427.00M
Investing Cash Flow
32.60M-112.60M-165.20M-257.40M-181.00M126.40M
Financing Cash Flow
-198.90M-258.00M-216.30M-150.90M-150.10M-526.40M

Transcontinental Inc. Class B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.02
Price Trends
50DMA
18.99
Positive
100DMA
17.77
Positive
200DMA
16.73
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Positive
RSI
59.71
Neutral
STOCH
85.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TCL.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.58, above the 50-day MA of 18.99, and above the 200-day MA of 16.73, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TCL.B.

Transcontinental Inc. Class B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$1.76B9.849.65%4.28%-2.58%100.21%
TSDCM
69
Neutral
C$95.13M13.2021.19%1.45%-5.30%
62
Neutral
$6.88B11.322.95%3.87%2.70%-24.57%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TCL.B
Transcontinental Inc. Class B
21.02
7.63
56.98%
TSE:DCM
Data Commun Management
1.72
-0.91
-34.60%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.