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Superior Plus Corp. (TSE:SPB)
TSX:SPB
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Superior Plus (SPB) AI Stock Analysis

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Superior Plus

(TSX:SPB)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$8.00
▲(10.80%Upside)
Superior Plus's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its financial performance and corporate strategies. The most significant factor is the solid operational efficiency and cash flow generation, despite a high leverage level and low net profit margin. Technical indicators suggest potential short-term challenges, while the recent earnings call and corporate events highlight strategic progress and shareholder value initiatives. The valuation remains a concern due to a relatively high P/E ratio, balanced partially by a stable dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Market Position
Certarus is positioned to benefit from steady industrial demand and is a market leader in over-the-road CNG with significant market share.
Operational Efficiency
The company's focus on increasing operational efficiency and potential market share gains in Propane is seen as a key growth area.
Share Buybacks
The focus on share buybacks and deleveraging is expected to improve per-share metrics and position the company for future growth.
Negative Factors
Asset Utilization
Improved asset utilization may not deliver expected results if market conditions remain unfavorable.
Market Competition
The company's potential market share gains in propane may face challenges due to intense competition in the industry.

Superior Plus (SPB) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Superior Plus Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSuperior Plus (SPB) is a diversified industrial company primarily operating in the energy distribution sector. The company focuses on the distribution and retailing of propane and related products. Its core services include delivering energy solutions to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across North America, with a strong emphasis on customer service and safety.
How the Company Makes MoneySuperior Plus makes money primarily through its energy distribution segment, which involves the sale and distribution of propane and related products. The company generates revenue by delivering propane to a diverse customer base, including residential, commercial, and industrial clients. Key revenue streams include residential heating solutions, commercial energy needs, and wholesale distribution to other businesses. Superior Plus also benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that expand its market presence and enhance its service offerings. Additionally, the company may engage in complementary services, such as equipment rental and maintenance, which contribute to its overall earnings.

Superior Plus Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive, with significant improvements in adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow, and progress in strategic initiatives like Superior Delivers and share repurchases. However, there were some challenges in the CNG segment due to pricing pressures and higher corporate operating costs. Overall, the highlights outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record First Quarter Adjusted EBITDA
First quarter adjusted EBITDA of $260.5 million increased 10.5% compared to the first quarter last year, driven by strong results in both propane and compressed natural gas.
Significant Growth in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow per share increased by 54%, driven by strong operating results and a share count that is roughly 5% lower quarter-over-quarter due to share repurchases.
Superior Delivers Initiative on Track
The Superior Delivers program contributed approximately $2.3 million of EBITDA in the quarter and remains on track to contribute $20 million to adjusted EBITDA this year.
Share Repurchase Program Progress
The company repurchased approximately 16.5 million shares, or 7% of outstanding shares, since starting the buyback program, expecting to reach the 10% threshold by early Q3.
Negative Updates
Pricing Pressure in Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) Segment
Continued pricing pressure as customers become increasingly cautious about the broader economic landscape, with expectations to finish the year towards the lower end of the 5% to 10% growth range.
Higher Corporate Operating Costs
Corporate operating costs were $7.3 million in the quarter, up from $5.5 million a year ago, due to higher incentive plan expenses and one-time costs associated with the Investor Day.
Company Guidance
In the Superior Plus 2025 First Quarter Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on several key metrics. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was $260.5 million, marking a 10.5% increase from the previous year. EBITDA per share rose by 19% to $0.89, while adjusted net earnings per share saw a significant increase of 32% to $0.66. Free cash flow per share also increased by 54% to $0.94, driven by strong operational results and a 5% reduction in share count due to repurchases. The U.S. propane segment generated an adjusted EBITDA of $163.6 million, up 14% year-over-year, boosted by higher volumes and contributions from the Superior Delivers initiative. Canadian propane recorded an adjusted EBITDA of $49.1 million, a 7% increase, while the compressed natural gas business, Certarus, posted a 7% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $55.1 million. The company is advancing its Superior Delivers program, with an expected $20 million contribution to adjusted EBITDA for 2025 and $70 million by 2027. Despite pricing pressures in the CNG segment, the company maintains its full-year guidance but anticipates finishing towards the lower end of its 5% to 10% growth range. Corporate operating costs were noted at $7.3 million, up from $5.5 million due to higher incentive plan expenses and one-time costs from the Investor Day. The company expects to end the year with a leverage ratio of approximately 3.6x.

Superior Plus Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Superior Plus showcases mixed financial performance with revenue growth and solid operational efficiency. However, the low net profit margin and high leverage pose financial risks despite strong cash flow generation.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement reveals a mixed performance with a noticeable increase in total revenue TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) compared to the previous annual period. Gross profit margin TTM is strong at 47.2%, indicative of effective cost management. However, the net profit margin TTM is relatively low at 1.5%, reflecting challenges in translating revenue growth into net income. Revenue growth from 2024 to TTM is a positive indication of business expansion. Overall, the EBIT and EBITDA margins TTM are solid at 9.1% and 18.4% respectively, showing good operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio TTM of 1.78, suggesting significant leverage, which could pose risks if not managed properly. Return on equity TTM is modest at 3.8%, indicating limited profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio TTM stands at 27.6%, reflecting a stable capital structure but also highlighting potential reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio TTM of 7.39, suggesting robust cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow TTM shows a healthy 17.1% increase from the previous annual period, indicating improved cash availability for reinvestment or debt reduction. The free cash flow to net income ratio TTM is favorable at 3.52, further supporting efficient cash utilization.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.38B3.35B3.38B2.39B2.39B
Gross Profit1.28B1.53B1.19B912.70M1.11B
EBITDA387.00M569.20M203.30M318.20M328.51M
Net Income-36.80M51.60M-87.90M17.20M58.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.69B5.17B4.48B3.56B3.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.10M48.30M58.40M81.00M67.80M
Total Debt1.87B2.48B2.15B1.63B1.83B
Total Liabilities2.54B3.40B3.02B2.25B2.55B
Stockholders Equity885.80M1.43B1.11B983.60M949.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow113.70M349.80M131.40M126.90M243.90M
Operating Cash Flow274.10M550.00M248.70M232.00M360.20M
Investing Cash Flow-142.10M-467.10M-632.10M172.00M-384.20M
Financing Cash Flow-144.70M-99.70M410.90M-399.60M22.50M

Superior Plus Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.22
Price Trends
50DMA
7.85
Negative
100DMA
7.24
Negative
200DMA
6.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
28.13
Positive
STOCH
2.72
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SPB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.96, below the 50-day MA of 7.85, and above the 200-day MA of 6.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.13 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 2.72 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:SPB.

Superior Plus Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSCPX
75
Outperform
C$9.38B13.0815.24%4.33%-27.55%-12.05%
TSNPI
73
Outperform
$6.03B23.136.08%5.27%-5.33%
TSCU
72
Outperform
C$7.87B26.246.76%4.72%-0.53%-31.77%
TSALA
67
Neutral
$12.22B21.686.56%3.03%2.27%-9.19%
TSSPB
64
Neutral
C$1.67B33.812.90%0.55%5.71%320.62%
63
Neutral
£6.13B6.446.40%219.77%-1.30%-60.09%
TSAQN
56
Neutral
$6.23B5.54%0.56%-4.74%-213.24%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SPB
Superior Plus
7.22
-0.51
-6.60%
TSE:NPI
Northland Power
23.48
1.53
6.99%
TSE:AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
8.28
0.29
3.59%
TSE:ALA
AltaGas
40.37
9.16
29.35%
TSE:CU
Canadian Utilities A
38.56
8.87
29.88%
TSE:CPX
Capital Power
60.25
21.00
53.50%

Superior Plus Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Superior Plus Schedules Q2 2025 Financial Results Release and Conference Call
Neutral
Jul 10, 2025

Superior Plus Corp. has announced the release of its 2025 second quarter financial results, scheduled for August 12, 2025, with a subsequent conference call and webcast on August 13, 2025. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning in the energy sector, particularly as it continues to lead in the transition to low carbon energy solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SPB) stock is a Buy with a C$11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Superior Plus stock, see the TSE:SPB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Superior Plus Announces Successful Shareholder Meeting Outcomes
Positive
May 13, 2025

Superior Plus Corp. announced the successful approval of all resolutions at its annual and special shareholders meeting, including the election of 10 directors and the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as auditors. The meeting also saw the approval of a new stock option plan, a reduction in the stated capital account, and a non-binding advisory vote on executive compensation, reflecting strong shareholder support and potentially enhancing the company’s governance and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SPB) stock is a Hold with a C$9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Superior Plus stock, see the TSE:SPB Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Superior Plus Reports Record Q1 Results with Strong Growth in Propane and CNG Segments
Positive
May 13, 2025

Superior Plus Corp. announced its first quarter results for 2025, reporting a record Adjusted EBITDA of $260.5 million, an 11% increase from the previous year. The company’s propane and CNG businesses both showed significant growth, with the CNG segment achieving a record quarter. Superior Plus also returned over $35 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, demonstrating its commitment to delivering shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SPB) stock is a Hold with a C$9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Superior Plus stock, see the TSE:SPB Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Superior Plus Announces 2025 Q2 Dividend
Positive
May 13, 2025

Superior Plus Corp. has announced a quarterly dividend of CAD $0.045 per common share, payable on July 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 30, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and highlights its stable financial position. The dividend is part of Superior’s annualized cash dividend rate of CAD $0.18 per share, classified as an eligible dividend for Canadian income tax purposes. This announcement underscores Superior Plus’s strategic focus on maintaining shareholder value while continuing its operations in the energy sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SPB) stock is a Hold with a C$9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Superior Plus stock, see the TSE:SPB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 18, 2025