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Algonquin Power (TSE:AQN)
:AQN
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Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AQN

Algonquin Power & Utilities

(NYSE:AQN)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
C$8.50
▼(-2.52% Downside)
Algonquin Power & Utilities faces significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage, which weigh heavily on its overall score. The earnings call provided some optimism with strong financial performance and regulatory progress, but ongoing restructuring costs and customer service issues remain concerns. Technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, while the valuation is impacted by negative earnings but supported by a decent dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Progress
Regulatory progress ensures stable revenue streams and enhances long-term operational predictability, supporting sustainable growth.
Leadership Change
New CFO with extensive experience may bring fresh strategic insights, potentially improving financial management and operational efficiency.
Operational Improvements
Operational improvements reduce costs, enhancing profitability and cash flow, which supports long-term financial health and competitiveness.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risk, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to interest rate changes, impacting long-term stability.
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue indicates potential market challenges and could pressure profitability, affecting the company's ability to invest in growth.
Restructuring Costs
Ongoing restructuring costs strain financial resources, potentially delaying profitability improvements and impacting long-term financial health.

Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Algonquin Power & Utilities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlgonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) is a North American diversified renewable energy and utility company headquartered in Oakville, Ontario. The company operates through two primary sectors: renewable energy and regulated utilities. In the renewable energy sector, AQN focuses on the generation of electricity from wind, solar, and hydroelectric sources. In the regulated utilities sector, the company provides water, electricity, and natural gas distribution services across several regions in the United States and Canada. AQN is committed to sustainability and aims to create long-term value by transitioning to cleaner energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlgonquin Power & Utilities generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity and utility services. The company has a diversified revenue model with key revenue streams including long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) for its renewable energy projects, which provide stable and predictable cash flows. Additionally, regulated utility operations contribute significantly to earnings, as these services typically involve fixed rates set by regulatory bodies, ensuring a steady income stream. AQN also benefits from strategic partnerships and investments in renewable projects, which enhance its market presence and operational capacity. Factors contributing to its earnings include favorable regulatory environments, increasing demand for renewable energy, and a growing focus on sustainability among consumers and businesses.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. reported a strong financial performance with significant earnings growth and regulatory progress. Leadership changes and operational improvements were notable highlights. However, challenges remain with regulatory settlements, restructuring costs, and customer billing systems.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Third quarter adjusted net earnings from continuing operations were $71.7 million, up approximately 10% from $64.9 million in 2024. Adjusted net earnings per share increased by 13% from $0.08 in Q3 2024 to $0.09 in Q3 2025.
Leadership Announcement
Robert Stefani will join as Chief Financial Officer on January 5, 2026, bringing extensive experience from Southwest Gas Holdings and PECO Energy.
Regulatory Progress
Approval of EnergyNorth rate case settlement and pending CalPeco rate case settlement, with ongoing hearings for New England Natural Gas and Litchfield Park cases.
Operational Improvements
Lower operating and interest expenses contributed positively to the quarter, with a reduction in interest expenses by $8.9 million.
Negative Updates
Regulatory Challenges
Empire Electric settlement requires further work to align on specific metrics and milestones, with feedback indicating more effort needed to improve customer service.
Restructuring Costs
Incurred $9.6 million in restructuring costs for the quarter and $22 million year-to-date, with more expected as part of ongoing restructuring efforts.
Customer Billing System Challenges
Ongoing issues with customer billing systems, requiring improvements to ensure better customer outcomes and satisfaction.
Company Guidance
During Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.'s third quarter 2025 earnings call, key guidance included strong financial performance with a 10% increase in adjusted net earnings from continuing operations, reaching $71.7 million compared to $64.9 million in 2024. Adjusted net earnings per share also rose by 13% to $0.09 from $0.08 in the previous year. The company maintained its 2025 financial outlook, emphasizing growth from the implementation of approved rates and favorable weather conditions. They reported on regulatory proceedings, with $73.6 million in rate requests pending from New England and Litchfield Park cases. Operationally, cost-cutting measures contributed to lower operating expenses, with a noted $9 million timing effect expected to reverse in Q4. Additionally, restructuring costs were significant at $9.6 million for the quarter. The company's portfolio strategy aims to enhance value while reducing risk, with a focus on maintaining a stable balance sheet and pursuing opportunities aligned with their pure-play regulated strategy.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Algonquin Power & Utilities is facing financial challenges with declining revenues, significant net losses, and high leverage. While gross profit margins are strong, the company struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The high debt levels pose a risk to financial stability, and the negative return on equity indicates poor shareholder returns.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -2.89% in the TTM. The company is experiencing significant net losses, with a net profit margin of -57.66% in the TTM. Gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 74.06%, but the negative net income is a concern. EBIT and EBITDA margins are moderate, indicating some operational efficiency, but overall profitability is weak.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's inability to generate positive returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the high leverage suggests potential financial risk. Overall, the balance sheet shows financial instability due to high debt levels.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates negative free cash flow growth of -7.04% in the TTM, with free cash flow to net income ratio also negative. Operating cash flow is positive but insufficient to cover net losses, as reflected in the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.47. The cash flow situation highlights liquidity challenges and the need for improved cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.38B2.32B2.40B2.77B2.27B1.68B
Gross Profit885.96M845.26M836.51M1.05B858.10M759.16M
EBITDA808.96M831.16M816.62M955.99M758.75M655.26M
Net Income-1.37B-1.38B28.67M-211.99M264.86M782.46M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.69B16.96B18.37B17.63B16.80B13.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments54.30M34.84M25.05M57.62M125.16M101.61M
Total Debt6.34B6.73B7.51B7.53B6.25B4.60B
Total Liabilities8.57B10.78B11.43B10.47B9.10B7.23B
Stockholders Equity4.68B4.71B5.04B5.22B5.86B5.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-409.51M-371.94M-404.59M-455.94M-1.17B-295.05M
Operating Cash Flow449.20M458.59M638.22M600.67M154.82M530.84M
Investing Cash Flow2.06B176.05M-1.00B-1.47B-656.52M-1.28B
Financing Cash Flow-2.57B-579.38M340.20M808.32M534.21M798.30M

Algonquin Power & Utilities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.72
Price Trends
50DMA
7.87
Positive
100DMA
7.88
Positive
200DMA
7.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
72.70
Negative
STOCH
68.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AQN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.13, above the 50-day MA of 7.87, and above the 200-day MA of 7.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.70 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AQN.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
0.97%
67
Neutral
$6.68B-1.19%4.84%-8.39%-180.67%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
58
Neutral
$28.84B-5.58%4.79%14.78%-9.37%
57
Neutral
C$2.89B-288.59-1.47%2.31%-11.91%-132.41%
54
Neutral
C$6.70B2.04%4.20%-4.72%96.98%
54
Neutral
C$265.76M-16.40-4.69%6.63%8.26%-267.17%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
8.72
2.22
34.15%
TSE:BEP.UN
Brookfield Renewable Partners
43.57
9.64
28.40%
TSE:BLX
Boralex Inc Cl A
28.63
-3.63
-11.25%
TSE:INE
Innergex Renewable Energy
13.74
5.17
60.33%
TSE:PIF
Polaris Infrastructure
12.67
1.02
8.76%
TSE:NPI
Northland Power
25.55
6.50
34.10%

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corporate Events

Algonquin Power Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Nov 8, 2025

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp., a diversified international utility company, focuses on providing sustainable energy and water solutions across North America and beyond. The company operates through its Regulated Services and Hydro Groups, offering electric, water, and natural gas utilities, as well as hydroelectric generation facilities.

Executive/Board Changes
Algonquin Power & Utilities Appoints Robert Stefani as CFO
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. has appointed Robert J. Stefani as its new Chief Financial Officer, effective January 5, 2026. Stefani brings a wealth of experience from his previous role at Southwest Gas Holdings, where he played a key role in significant financial transformations. His expertise in financial strategy and capital markets is expected to support Algonquin’s strategic priorities and enhance its foundation for sustainable growth. The transition is set to be seamless, with Brian Chin continuing as Interim CFO until Stefani’s appointment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AQN) stock is a Hold with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Algonquin Power & Utilities stock, see the TSE:AQN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Algonquin Power & Utilities Declares Q4 2025 Dividends
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. has declared its fourth quarter 2025 dividends for both common and preferred shares. The common share dividend is set at US$0.0650, payable in January 2026, with an option for Canadian dollar conversion. Preferred shares, Series A and D, will receive dividends of C$0.41100 and C$0.42831, respectively, payable in December 2025. These dividends are eligible under the Income Tax Act (Canada), highlighting AQN’s commitment to shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AQN) stock is a Hold with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Algonquin Power & Utilities stock, see the TSE:AQN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Algonquin Power & Utilities Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and CFO Appointment
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. reported a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with significant year-over-year improvements in key financial metrics. The Regulated Services Group saw a 61% increase in net earnings due to approved rate implementations, favorable weather, and lower operating expenses. The company also announced the appointment of Robert Stefani as the new Chief Financial Officer, effective January 2026, signaling a continued focus on becoming a premium, pure-play regulated utility. The company’s regulatory progress included settlements at EnergyNorth Gas and CalPeco Electric, while the Corporate Group’s earnings were impacted by the sale of its stake in Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AQN) stock is a Hold with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Algonquin Power & Utilities stock, see the TSE:AQN Stock Forecast page.

Algonquin Power & Utilities Sets Date for Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 8, 2025

On October 8, 2025, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. announced that it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 7, 2025, before the market opens. An earnings conference call will follow at 10:00 a.m. ET, hosted by CEO Rod West and Interim CFO Brian Chin. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with an opportunity to gain insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AQN) stock is a Hold with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Algonquin Power & Utilities stock, see the TSE:AQN Stock Forecast page.

Algonquin Power’s Earnings Call: A Mixed Bag of Results
Aug 13, 2025

The recent earnings call for Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. was a mixed bag of solid financial results and strategic advancements, tempered by some financial challenges. The company showcased its regulatory progress and leadership appointments, but also acknowledged a decrease in net earnings and EPS, alongside the elimination of Atlantica dividends. Despite these hurdles, Algonquin Power remains optimistic about its regulatory filings and internal strengthening efforts.

Algonquin Power Reports Mixed Q2 2025 Results
Aug 9, 2025

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp., a diversified international generation, transmission, and distribution utility, is committed to providing sustainable energy and water solutions across North America.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Algonquin Power & Utilities Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Updates
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. reported its second quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting a slight decrease in net earnings for its Regulated Services Group due to weather normalization and other factors, despite positive contributions from approved rate implementations. The company’s strategic focus on operational excellence and customer service aims to position it for long-term growth. The sale of its stake in Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure impacted corporate earnings, but debt repayment from the sale proceeds helped reduce interest expenses. Additionally, the company filed for rate increases in Massachusetts and Arizona, and announced leadership changes to support its ongoing transformation.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AQN) stock is a Hold with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Algonquin Power & Utilities stock, see the TSE:AQN Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Algonquin Power & Utilities Declares Q3 2025 Dividends
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. has declared dividends for its common and preferred shares for the third quarter of 2025. The common share dividend is set at US$0.0650, with an option for Canadian shareholders to receive C$0.0893. Preferred shares, Series A and D, will receive dividends of C$0.41100 and C$0.42831, respectively. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns and may influence investor confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AQN) stock is a Hold with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Algonquin Power & Utilities stock, see the TSE:AQN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025