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Boralex Inc Cl A (TSE:BLX)
TSX:BLX

Boralex Inc Cl A (BLX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BLX

Boralex Inc Cl A

(TSX:BLX)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
C$24.50
▼(-4.03% Downside)
Boralex Inc Cl A's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including declining revenue and high leverage. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and valuation metrics are weak due to negative earnings. While the earnings call provided some positive developments, financial pressures remain significant.
Positive Factors
Project Development and Expansion
The expansion of project capacity indicates Boralex's commitment to growth and strengthens its position in the renewable energy sector, ensuring future revenue streams.
Strong Market Position in France
Securing new projects in France highlights Boralex's competitive edge and reinforces its market presence, which is crucial for long-term growth in a key region.
Increased Liquidity
Improved liquidity provides Boralex with greater financial flexibility to invest in new projects and manage debt, supporting sustainable business operations.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
Rising debt levels can strain financial resources and limit strategic options, posing risks to long-term financial health and operational stability.
Declining Revenue and Profitability
Decreasing revenue and profitability indicate challenges in market conditions and operational efficiency, impacting the company's ability to generate sustainable profits.
Negative Cash Flow Metrics
Negative cash flow growth suggests difficulties in generating cash from operations, which could hinder investment in growth initiatives and debt servicing.

Boralex Inc Cl A (BLX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Boralex Inc Cl A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoralex Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and operation of renewable energy power facilities primarily in Canada, France, and the United States. As of December 31, 2021, the company had interests in 90 wind power stations with an installed capacity of 2,032 megawatts (MW); 16 hydroelectric power stations with a capacity of 181 MW; 12 solar power stations with an installed capacity of 244 MW; and one thermal power station with an installed capacity of 35 MW. It also operates two hydroelectric power stations on behalf of R.S.P. Énergie Inc. Boralex Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Kingsey Falls, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoralex generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced from its renewable energy facilities. The company operates on a long-term power purchase agreement (PPA) model, which guarantees fixed or predictable prices for the electricity generated, providing stable cash flows. Key revenue streams include contracts with utility companies and other large customers, as well as government incentives and subsidies for renewable energy production. Additionally, Boralex may engage in the sale of renewable energy credits (RECs) and carbon credits, further enhancing its income. Strategic partnerships with local and international stakeholders in the energy sector also bolster its operational capacity and market reach, contributing to its financial performance.

Boralex Inc Cl A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture; while there were significant achievements like increased production and project development, financial metrics such as EBITDA and discretionary cash flows were down. Challenges included lower-than-expected production due to unfavorable weather and market conditions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Production
Total combined production for the third quarter increased by 9% compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to newly commissioned sites in Europe.
Project Development and Expansion
Added 395 megawatts of new projects and progressed significantly in construction and commissioning of major projects in Canada, including the Apuiat wind farm.
Strong Market Position in France
Awarded two projects totaling 125 megawatts in the French onshore wind market, highlighting Boralex's strong market position.
Innovative Projects Recognized
Hagersville project received the Innovative Canadian Clean Power Project of the Year award.
Increased Liquidity
Available liquidity increased to $811 million as of September 30, 2025, an increase of $288 million compared to the end of 2024.
Negative Updates
Decrease in EBITDA
Combined EBITDA was $108 million, down $1 million from Q3 2024 due to lower prices of short-term power purchase agreements in France.
Lower than Expected Production
Despite a year-over-year increase, production was 13% lower than anticipated for Q3 2025 due to unfavorable weather conditions.
Decreased Discretionary Cash Flows
Discretionary cash flows amounted to $9 million, down $7 million compared to Q3 2024.
Challenges in North American Wind and Hydro
Production in North America was below expectations, including delayed commissioning of the Apuiat project.
Company Guidance
During the Boralex Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics and developments were discussed. The total combined production increased by 9% compared to the same period in 2024, driven primarily by newly commissioned sites in Europe. However, combined EBITDA decreased by $1 million to $108 million due to lower prices in short-term power purchase agreements in France, despite higher production levels. Boralex added 395 megawatts of new development projects and advanced a 250-megawatt solar project in the U.S. to the secured stage. The company now operates 3.4 gigawatts of assets with 558 megawatts under construction or ready-to-build. Additionally, the commissioning of the Apuiat wind farm in Canada was highlighted as a strategic milestone. On the financial side, discretionary cash flows were down $7 million to $9 million, and total debt increased to $4.4 billion. The company also emphasized its commitment to sustainable growth and its strategic objectives through various market updates across its key geographies.

Boralex Inc Cl A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boralex Inc Cl A faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability in the TTM, alongside high leverage and negative free cash flow. While operational margins remain strong, the company needs to address its cash flow and leverage issues to improve financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Boralex Inc Cl A has shown fluctuating revenue growth with a recent decline in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross profit margins have been strong historically but have decreased in the latest period. The net profit margin has turned negative in the TTM, indicating profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, suggesting operational efficiency despite the net loss.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk. Return on equity has been low, reflecting limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio suggests a moderate level of equity financing compared to total assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Operating cash flow has decreased significantly in the TTM, impacting the company's ability to cover net income. Free cash flow is negative, indicating cash outflows exceeding inflows, which is a concern for financial stability. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue817.00M853.00M1.02B836.00M691.00M633.00M
Gross Profit289.00M358.00M642.00M578.00M538.00M482.00M
EBITDA512.00M534.00M517.00M406.00M476.00M410.00M
Net Income-23.00M36.00M78.00M30.00M17.00M55.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.64B7.60B6.57B6.54B5.75B5.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments353.00M592.00M478.00M361.00M259.00M275.00M
Total Debt4.63B4.30B3.62B3.61B3.91B3.77B
Total Liabilities5.68B5.58B4.55B4.51B4.54B4.32B
Stockholders Equity1.53B1.60B1.63B1.68B1.00B989.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-368.00M-237.00M216.00M257.00M166.00M206.00M
Operating Cash Flow347.00M215.00M496.00M513.00M345.00M362.00M
Investing Cash Flow-969.00M-578.00M-268.00M-684.00M-433.00M-247.00M
Financing Cash Flow619.00M479.00M-109.00M261.00M75.00M-413.00M

Boralex Inc Cl A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price25.53
Price Trends
50DMA
26.16
Negative
100DMA
27.17
Negative
200DMA
28.72
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
53.71
Neutral
STOCH
71.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BLX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 25.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.75, below the 50-day MA of 26.16, and below the 200-day MA of 28.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:BLX.

Boralex Inc Cl A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
58
Neutral
C$249.25M-15.39-4.69%7.11%8.26%-267.17%
56
Neutral
C$25.68B-30.76-5.58%5.56%14.78%-9.37%
54
Neutral
$6.53B2.04%4.32%-4.72%96.98%
53
Neutral
$4.68B-16.45-7.06%6.80%-4.86%-86.64%
50
Neutral
C$147.84M10.628.55%-30.92%
47
Neutral
C$2.62B-114.02-1.47%2.62%-11.91%-132.41%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BLX
Boralex Inc Cl A
25.53
-2.43
-8.69%
TSE:BEP.UN
Brookfield Renewable Partners
37.55
6.50
20.95%
TSE:PIF
Polaris Infrastructure
11.88
-0.32
-2.62%
TSE:AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
8.50
2.41
39.55%
TSE:NPI
Northland Power
17.91
1.05
6.25%
TSE:LCFS
Tidewater Renewables Ltd.
4.06
3.37
488.41%

Boralex Inc Cl A Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boralex Appoints New Executive VP for Europe to Drive Strategic Growth
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

Boralex Inc. has appointed Jean-Christophe Dall’Ava as Executive Vice President and General Manager for Europe, succeeding Nicolas Wolff. Dall’Ava, who has been with Boralex since 2014, is credited with pioneering the company’s strategy in the French power purchase agreements market. His appointment is expected to bolster Boralex’s integrated and diversified industrial model in Europe, reinforcing its leadership in France and expanding its growth platform in the UK. This strategic move aligns with Boralex’s commitment to delivering competitive renewable energy and achieving a net-zero trajectory by 2050.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boralex Reports Q3 2025 Results and Advances Major Renewable Projects
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

Boralex Inc. announced its third-quarter results for 2025, highlighting a decrease in EBITDA, operating income, and net earnings due to unfavorable weather conditions in North America and lower prices in the French market. Despite these challenges, the company reported higher production compared to the previous year, driven by newly commissioned sites in Europe. Boralex also made significant progress in its development projects, including the commissioning of the Apuiat wind farm in Québec and advancements in battery energy storage projects in Ontario. The company continues to expand its project portfolio with new solar and wind projects in the United States and France, positioning itself for future growth in the renewable energy sector.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Apuiat Wind Farm Launches, Ushering in a New Era for Quebec’s Renewable Energy
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

The Apuiat Wind Farm, a 200 MW facility developed through a partnership between the Innu communities and Boralex Inc., has commenced commercial operations in Quebec’s Côte-Nord region. This project, the first large-scale wind farm in the area since 2018, marks a significant milestone in Quebec’s renewable energy landscape. It highlights the Innu’s first national energy initiative and is set to provide substantial economic benefits, including royalties and local employment, while supporting Quebec’s energy needs. The project also emphasizes shared governance and the development of Indigenous expertise, setting a precedent for future energy projects in the region.

Executive/Board Changes
Boralex Strengthens Board with New Appointment
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Boralex Inc. announced the appointment of Ted Di Giorgio to its Board of Directors, highlighting his extensive financial expertise and leadership experience in various industries. This strategic addition is expected to enhance the board’s capabilities, supporting Boralex’s ongoing growth and reinforcing its position as a leader in the renewable energy sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025