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Boralex Inc Cl A (TSE:BLX)
TSX:BLX

Boralex Inc Cl A (BLX) AI Stock Analysis

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Boralex Inc Cl A

(TSX:BLX)

61Neutral
Boralex demonstrates strong revenue growth and positive technical momentum, but faces challenges in terms of profitability and high leverage. While strategic plans and project financing are promising, the stock's high valuation and operational setbacks dilute its attractiveness. Investors should weigh the growth prospects against the valuation and leverage risks.
Positive Factors
Analyst Recommendation
Analyst's recommendation is Outperform as there is upside to growth expectations on new organic growth initiatives and asset quality is strong, with the majority of production contracted with creditworthy counter-parties.
Investment Tax Credits
The retroactive nature of the Canadian investment tax credits has boosted returns on select Canadian renewable projects and is providing BLX additional financial flexibility to fund future growth or reduce future equity need.
Negative Factors
Valuation Concerns
Despite an attractive valuation at approximately 9.5 times 2026 estimated EBITDA, there might be concerns when compared to renewable power peers valued between approximately 10 to 17 times.

Boralex Inc Cl A (BLX) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Boralex Inc Cl A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoralex Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and operation of renewable energy power facilities primarily in Canada, France, and the United States. As of December 31, 2021, the company had interests in 90 wind power stations with an installed capacity of 2,032 megawatts (MW); 16 hydroelectric power stations with a capacity of 181 MW; 12 solar power stations with an installed capacity of 244 MW; and one thermal power station with an installed capacity of 35 MW. It also operates two hydroelectric power stations on behalf of R.S.P. Énergie Inc. Boralex Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Kingsey Falls, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoralex Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced by its renewable energy facilities. The company enters into long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities and other large-scale energy consumers to secure stable and predictable cash flows. These agreements typically involve fixed pricing for the electricity generated, providing a reliable revenue stream. Additionally, Boralex benefits from government incentives and subsidies aimed at promoting renewable energy adoption. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its portfolio and enhance its market presence, contributing to its overall earnings.

Boralex Inc Cl A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boralex Inc shows solid revenue growth and strong operating performance, but there are concerns regarding profitability and high leverage. The balance sheet reflects a significant reliance on debt financing, which could impact financial flexibility. Cash flow management requires attention due to negative free cash flow, which could hinder growth and investment capabilities.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Boralex has demonstrated steady revenue growth over the years, with a 13.6% increase in 2023. The gross profit margin has been consistently high, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has seen a decline, indicative of rising expenses or lower cost efficiency in recent years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, signaling robust operating performance.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks during downturns. However, the equity ratio has improved over the years, suggesting better balance sheet stability. Return on equity is moderate, reflecting adequate profitability relative to shareholder investment.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow is strong, but there has been negative free cash flow in the latest year, primarily due to high capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates challenges in translating profits into free cash flow. The company's cash flow management needs improvement to ensure long-term sustainability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
853.00M1.02B836.00M691.00M633.00M
Gross Profit
853.00M642.00M578.00M538.00M482.00M
EBIT
226.00M226.00M112.00M182.00M172.00M
EBITDA
534.00M517.00M406.00M472.00M391.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
36.00M78.00M8.00M26.00M55.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
592.00M478.00M361.00M259.00M275.00M
Total Assets
7.60B6.57B6.54B5.75B5.31B
Total Debt
4.30B3.62B3.61B3.91B3.77B
Net Debt
3.71B3.14B3.25B3.65B3.50B
Total Liabilities
5.58B4.55B4.51B4.54B4.32B
Stockholders Equity
1.60B1.63B1.68B1.00B989.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-237.00M216.00M257.00M166.00M206.00M
Operating Cash Flow
215.00M496.00M513.00M345.00M362.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-578.00M-268.00M-684.00M-433.00M-247.00M
Financing Cash Flow
479.00M-109.00M261.00M75.00M-413.00M

Boralex Inc Cl A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.46
Price Trends
50DMA
29.17
Positive
100DMA
28.07
Positive
200DMA
30.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Negative
RSI
61.68
Neutral
STOCH
40.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BLX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.46, above the 50-day MA of 29.17, and below the 200-day MA of 30.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BLX.

Boralex Inc Cl A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSINE
67
Neutral
C$2.75B267.061.44%2.66%2.60%
63
Neutral
$8.46B11.055.34%4.35%3.09%-12.05%
TSBLX
61
Neutral
C$3.13B86.952.23%2.17%-16.54%-53.85%
TSPIF
58
Neutral
C$243.94M59.81-4.70%7.18%-1.45%-210.16%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BLX
Boralex Inc Cl A
30.70
1.40
4.78%
BEP
Brookfield Renewable Partners
22.31
-2.85
-11.33%
TSE:INE
Innergex Renewable Energy
13.56
5.14
61.05%
TSE:PIF
Polaris Infrastructure
11.46
-0.47
-3.94%
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
5.38
-0.95
-15.01%
NPIFF
Northland Power
13.24
-1.79
-11.91%

Boralex Inc Cl A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 28, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 2.84%|
Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights a significant increase in project financing and strategic positioning in growth markets, but these are tempered by lower-than-expected financial performance and production due to weather challenges and construction delays. The sentiment is mixed, with strong financial moves and strategic growth plans offset by operational challenges.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Long-Term Financing
Boralex closed a record CAD1.2 billion in long-term financing, including bridged loans for federal investment tax credit in Canada for projects under construction.
Project Expansion and Diversification
The company made progress on the construction of the Limekiln project in Scotland and the Apuiat project in Quebec, with Limekiln connected to the grid. Their project portfolio now totals over 8 gigawatts, a 1.2 gigawatt increase over 2023.
New Strategic Plan and Share Buyback Program
Boralex will present a new strategic plan for 2025 to 2030 and has initiated a share buyback program, believing their stock is undervalued.
Strong Market Positioning
Boralex is well-positioned in Canada, with strong local expertise and good relationships with First Nations and communities, as well as significant growth opportunities in Europe and the US.
Negative Updates
Reduced Financial Performance
Combined production was 2% lower than in 2023 and 8% below anticipated production. Financial performance in 2024 was below expectations with a combined operating income of CAD267 million and combined EBITDA of CAD670 million, down 1% from 2023.
Weather-Related Challenges
Total combined production was down 11% compared to the same quarter last year and 12% lower-than-anticipated due to unfavorable weather conditions in France and Canada.
Construction Delays
There were construction delays and challenges, particularly with the Apuiat project in Quebec, due to contractor issues and harsh winter conditions.
Company Guidance
During the Boralex Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2024 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. Boralex reported a record CAD1.2 billion in long-term financing and highlighted a combined operating income of CAD267 million and a combined EBITDA of CAD670 million, both slightly down from 2023. The company's total combined production was 2% lower than in 2023, with wind conditions in France and Canada being weaker than expected, though diversification in the US helped offset this. Boralex's project pipeline grew by over 1.1 gigawatts, totaling 7 gigawatts, with significant progress in projects like Limekiln in Scotland and Apuiat in Quebec. The company plans to submit bids in the AR7 RFP and is exploring asset recycling and a share buyback program to enhance shareholder value. Looking forward, Boralex is focused on strategic growth, preparing to present a new strategic plan for 2025 to 2030, while maintaining a solid financial position with project debt at 89% of total debt.

Boralex Inc Cl A Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boralex Reports $74 Million Earnings Amidst Project Expansion and Financing Milestones
Positive
Feb 28, 2025

Boralex Inc. reported net earnings of $74 million for fiscal 2024, despite facing challenges from adverse wind and hydropower conditions that impacted production and financial results. The company continues to advance its large-scale projects in Québec, Ontario, and the United Kingdom, with a significant portfolio of projects under development totaling 8,005 MW. Boralex secured nearly $1.2 billion in financing in 2024, marking a record achievement, and is progressing on several key projects, including the Limekiln wind farm in the UK and the Apuiat wind farm in Quebec.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boralex Declares Quarterly Dividend Amidst Renewable Growth
Positive
Feb 12, 2025

Boralex Inc. announced a quarterly dividend of $0.165 per common share, to be paid on March 17, 2025, to shareholders of record as of February 28, 2025. This declaration reflects Boralex’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its investors while supporting its strategic focus on renewable energy growth, enhancing its position as a leader in the renewable energy sector.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.