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Boralex Inc Cl A (TSE:BLX)
TSX:BLX
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Boralex Inc Cl A (BLX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:BLX

Boralex Inc Cl A

(TSX:BLX)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
C$31.00
▲(4.98% Upside)
Boralex Inc Cl A's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and high leverage. The technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and valuation concerns arise from a negative P/E ratio. Despite these challenges, the company's strategic initiatives and growth plans, as highlighted in the earnings call, provide some positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Asset Divestitures
Potential upcoming asset divestitures, such as the Cdn hydro assets, could unlock value and highlight that BLX shares (and the broader renewable sector) are undervalued.
Growth Guidance
BLX highlighted robust growth guidance of 8-10% combined EBITDA CAGR leading to 8-10% discretionary cash per share, with a target of 7GW of generating capacity by 2030.
Valuation
Capital recycling will be a positive valuation marker for BLX which currently trades at 10.5x EBITDA while North American contracted wind and solar operating assets are going for 11-12x EBITDA or more and Cdn. contracted hydro 15x+.
Negative Factors
Market Skepticism
Despite management's proven track record and the favorable renewable industry backlog, the share price reaction was muted, driven by skepticism around the new financial guidance.

Boralex Inc Cl A (BLX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Boralex Inc Cl A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoralex Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and operation of renewable energy power facilities primarily in Canada, France, and the United States. As of December 31, 2021, the company had interests in 90 wind power stations with an installed capacity of 2,032 megawatts (MW); 16 hydroelectric power stations with a capacity of 181 MW; 12 solar power stations with an installed capacity of 244 MW; and one thermal power station with an installed capacity of 35 MW. It also operates two hydroelectric power stations on behalf of R.S.P. Énergie Inc. Boralex Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Kingsey Falls, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoralex Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced from its renewable energy facilities. The company enters into long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities and other large energy consumers, providing a stable and predictable revenue stream. These agreements ensure that Boralex can sell the energy it produces at predetermined prices over extended periods, often ranging from 15 to 20 years. Additionally, Boralex benefits from government incentives and subsidies aimed at promoting renewable energy production. The company's strategic partnerships and joint ventures, along with its continuous expansion of energy capacity through new projects and acquisitions, further contribute to its earnings.

Boralex Inc Cl A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted significant achievements, such as increased production and strategic contract signings, alongside notable challenges, including a decline in EBITDA and lower than anticipated production due to weather conditions and lower contract prices in France. While there are strong growth initiatives and recognition for corporate responsibility, financial performance has been negatively impacted by market conditions.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
10% Increase in Total Combined Production
Total combined production increased by 10% compared to the same period of 2024, driven by strong performance in North America and newly commissioned sites in Europe.
Recognition as Best Corporate Citizen in Canada
Boralex was named Best Corporate Citizen in Canada by Corporate Knights, highlighting its commitment to corporate social responsibility.
Signing of Strategic Contracts in New York
Boralex signed two contracts with NYSERDA for solar projects totaling 450 megawatts, reinforcing New York State as a strategic growth market.
Commissioning of Wind Farms in France
Commissioning of Fontaine-Lès-Boulans and Febvin-Palfart wind farms in France ahead of schedule and under budget, totaling 29 megawatts.
Successful Financing Initiatives
Closed several financings totaling over $1.2 billion to support growth initiatives, including a $960 million financing for the Des Neiges wind project and a $250 million corporate financing.
Negative Updates
Combined EBITDA and Cash Flow Decline
Combined EBITDA was $145 million, down $7 million, and discretionary cash flows were $12 million, down $5 million compared to Q2 2024.
Lower Prices for Short-term Contracts in France
Financial results were negatively impacted by lower prices of short-term contracts in France, contributing to reduced EBITDA.
9% Lower than Anticipated Production
Production was 9% lower than anticipated due to poor wind conditions in Europe and the United States.
Delayed Commissioning and Lower Production in North America
Production from wind assets in North America was 10% lower than anticipated due to lower contribution from U.S. wind assets and delayed commissioning of the Apuiat project.
Company Guidance
During the Boralex Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, several key metrics and updates were provided. Total combined production increased by 10% compared to the same period in 2024, driven by strong performance in North America and new sites in Europe. However, combined EBITDA decreased by $7 million to $145 million, affected by lower prices in France's short-term contracts. Discretionary cash flows were at $12 million, a $5 million decline from the previous year. Boralex announced the signing of two contracts with NYSERDA for solar projects totaling 450 megawatts. Total available liquidity and authorized financings stood at $689 million, while total debt reached $4.3 billion, predominantly project debt. The company also highlighted its recognition as Best Corporate Citizen in Canada and detailed progress on several projects, including wind farms in France and battery storage in Ontario. Boralex's strategy continues to focus on organic growth, as outlined in its 2030 plan, with a development portfolio now totaling 7.3 gigawatts in wind, solar, and storage projects.

Boralex Inc Cl A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boralex Inc Cl A demonstrates strong gross profitability but struggles with net profitability and cash flow generation. The high leverage is a concern, especially with declining revenue and profitability metrics. Stability in operational efficiency and reduction in capital expenditures could improve financial health.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
The company has shown inconsistent revenue growth with a decline in the recent TTM period. Gross profit margin is strong at 74.97% for TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin is low at 1.36% for TTM, reflecting challenges in converting revenue into net income. EBITDA margin remains healthy, but the decreasing EBIT margin suggests rising operational costs.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.74, indicating significant leverage which could pose risks if earnings do not improve. The equity ratio is moderate at 21.12%, showing a reasonable level of equity financing. Return on equity is weak at 0.69% for TTM, pointing to inefficiencies in generating profit from shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow has decreased significantly, impacting the operating cash flow to net income ratio, which is now 14.27. Free cash flow has turned negative in the TTM period, reflecting high capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating difficulty in generating free cash flow from net income.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue853.00M1.02B836.00M691.00M633.00M
Gross Profit358.00M642.00M578.00M538.00M482.00M
EBITDA534.00M517.00M406.00M472.00M410.00M
Net Income36.00M78.00M30.00M17.00M55.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.60B6.57B6.54B5.75B5.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments592.00M478.00M361.00M259.00M275.00M
Total Debt4.30B3.62B3.61B3.91B3.77B
Total Liabilities5.58B4.55B4.51B4.54B4.32B
Stockholders Equity1.60B1.63B1.68B1.00B989.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-237.00M216.00M257.00M166.00M206.00M
Operating Cash Flow215.00M496.00M513.00M345.00M362.00M
Investing Cash Flow-578.00M-268.00M-684.00M-433.00M-247.00M
Financing Cash Flow479.00M-109.00M261.00M75.00M-413.00M

Boralex Inc Cl A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price29.53
Price Trends
50DMA
31.33
Negative
100DMA
30.76
Negative
200DMA
29.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.49
Positive
RSI
38.78
Neutral
STOCH
27.99
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BLX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 29.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.23, below the 50-day MA of 31.33, and above the 200-day MA of 29.50, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.99 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:BLX.

Boralex Inc Cl A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
0.97%
67
Neutral
$17.66B18.145.33%3.65%7.33%12.21%
61
Neutral
C$266.79M59.81-4.34%6.61%4.98%-244.98%
54
Neutral
C$3.03B271.12-0.61%2.24%-13.45%-112.19%
$16.81B-5.97%5.72%
$4.43B1.50%4.50%
$4.20B22.35-1.19%5.36%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BLX
Boralex Inc Cl A
29.26
-3.21
-9.89%
BEP
Brookfield Renewable Partners
25.46
1.87
7.93%
TSE:INE
Innergex Renewable Energy
13.74
4.85
54.56%
TSE:PIF
Polaris Infrastructure
12.67
1.62
14.66%
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
5.77
0.74
14.71%
NPIFF
Northland Power
16.03
1.15
7.73%

Boralex Inc Cl A Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boralex Appoints André Courville as New Chair of the Board
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

Boralex Inc. announced the appointment of André Courville as the new Chair of the Board of Directors, succeeding Alain Rhéaume, who is retiring after 15 years of service. Courville, who has been on the board since 2019, will lead Boralex as it embarks on a new strategic cycle following the unveiling of its 2030 Strategy. His extensive international experience is expected to provide essential leadership to achieve the company’s strategic and financial objectives. This leadership transition is anticipated to support Boralex’s continued growth and commitment to its mission.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boralex Announces CFO Transition Amid Strategic Growth
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

Boralex Inc. announced the departure of its Chief Financial Officer, Bruno Guilmette, who has been instrumental in the company’s financial growth and strategic planning over the past seven years. His successor, Stéphane Milot, will ensure continuity in leadership and maintain the company’s strong financial position as it enters a new strategic cycle.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boralex Inc. Reports Q2 2025 Results and Advances Renewable Projects
Negative
Aug 8, 2025

Boralex Inc. reported a decrease in EBITDA, operating income, and net earnings for the second quarter of 2025, despite a 14% increase in production from the previous year. The company is actively pursuing development and construction activities, including new wind farms in France and solar projects in New York State, which are expected to enhance its market position and financial capacity to meet growing demand in target markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boralex Secures $250 Million to Boost Renewable Energy Projects
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

Boralex Inc. has secured $250 million in corporate financing through an unsecured subordinated loan, with $200 million from La Caisse and $50 million from Fondaction. This financing aligns with Boralex’s 2030 Strategy, enhancing its capacity to fund growth activities and diversify financing sources. The investment underscores confidence in Boralex’s growth potential and supports its clean energy infrastructure development, aligning with broader climate and socioeconomic objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Boralex Named Top Corporate Citizen in Canada by Corporate Knights
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

Boralex Inc. has been recognized as the top company in Corporate Knights’ annual ‘Best 50 Corporate Citizens’ ranking in Canada, highlighting its commitment to sustainable development and corporate responsibility. This accolade underscores Boralex’s dedication to a renewable energy future and its strategic focus on social responsibility, reflecting its collaborative efforts with stakeholders and its ongoing initiatives to combat climate change.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boralex Announces Leadership Transition with Chair’s Retirement
Neutral
Jun 19, 2025

Boralex Inc. announced the retirement of Alain Rhéaume as Chair of the Board of Directors, effective once a successor is appointed by December 2025. Under Rhéaume’s leadership, the company has renewed its executive team, welcomed new directors, and pursued strategic plans, positioning itself well in the renewable energy sector amidst global economic challenges and opportunities in energy demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boralex Unveils Ambitious 2030 Strategic Plan and Financial Goals
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

Boralex Inc. has announced its strategic plan and financial objectives for 2030, aiming to double its installed capacity every five years and increase the weighted average remaining contract duration from 11 to 14 years. The company plans to achieve a compound annual growth rate of 12% to 14% in operating income and 8% to 10% in cash flows per share, supported by a $6.8 billion investment plan. This strategy focuses on sustainable growth through a high-quality project pipeline and disciplined financial management, positioning Boralex to capitalize on the growing demand for renewable energy in its key markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boralex Appoints New Executive VP for North America
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

Boralex Inc. has announced the appointment of Robin Deveaux as Executive Vice President and General Manager for North America, succeeding Hugues Girardin, who will retire at the end of 2025. Deveaux, with over 20 years of experience in renewable energy, is expected to lead the company as it prepares to unveil its 2030 Strategy, continuing the legacy of growth and community engagement established by Girardin.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Boralex Expands U.S. Renewable Energy Portfolio with New York Solar Projects
Positive
May 22, 2025

Boralex Inc. has announced the signing of contracts for two solar projects in New York, totaling 450 MW, as part of its U.S. growth strategy. These projects, located in Franklin and St. Lawrence Counties, are expected to significantly contribute to New York’s renewable energy targets and provide substantial economic benefits to local communities, including job creation and increased tax revenues.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boralex Inc. Reports Q1 2025 Earnings and Launches First UK Wind Farm
Neutral
May 14, 2025

Boralex Inc. reported net earnings of $41 million for the first quarter of 2025, marking a decrease from the previous year due to lower production and less favorable power purchase agreement prices in France. Despite these challenges, the company commenced production at the Limekiln wind farm in Scotland, its first operational project in the UK, highlighting its strategic growth in a promising market. The company continues to advance its projects in Canada and is preparing for upcoming tenders, aiming to strengthen its market position and operational performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025