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Boralex Inc Cl A (TSE:BLX)
TSX:BLX

Boralex Inc Cl A (BLX) AI Stock Analysis

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Boralex Inc Cl A

(TSX:BLX)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$35.00
▲(6.84%Upside)
Boralex's overall stock score reflects a combination of solid financial growth and strong technical momentum, offset by valuation concerns and challenges in profitability and cash flow management. The strategic initiatives and growth potential in renewable energy markets provide a positive outlook, but the high P/E ratio and financial constraints temper the optimism.
Positive Factors
Asset Quality
Asset quality is strong, with the majority of production contracted with creditworthy counter-parties.
Growth Targets
Attractive growth targets through 2030 unveiled, with expectations of significant increases in operating income and generating capacity.
Negative Factors
Share Price Reaction
Despite management's proven track record and the favorable renewable industry backlog, the share price reaction was muted, driven by skepticism around the new financial guidance.

Boralex Inc Cl A (BLX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Boralex Inc Cl A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBoralex Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, construction, and operation of renewable energy power facilities primarily in Canada, France, and the United States. As of December 31, 2021, the company had interests in 90 wind power stations with an installed capacity of 2,032 megawatts (MW); 16 hydroelectric power stations with a capacity of 181 MW; 12 solar power stations with an installed capacity of 244 MW; and one thermal power station with an installed capacity of 35 MW. It also operates two hydroelectric power stations on behalf of R.S.P. Énergie Inc. Boralex Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Kingsey Falls, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBoralex Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced by its renewable energy facilities. The company enters into long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities and other large-scale energy consumers to secure stable and predictable cash flows. These agreements typically involve fixed pricing for the electricity generated, providing a reliable revenue stream. Additionally, Boralex benefits from government incentives and subsidies aimed at promoting renewable energy adoption. The company also engages in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its portfolio and enhance its market presence, contributing to its overall earnings.

Boralex Inc Cl A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.33%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a balanced sentiment with notable achievements in commissioning new projects and extending financial flexibility, but facing challenges with decreased production and financial metrics due to unfavorable conditions in Europe, and cost overruns in key projects.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Commissioning of Limekiln Wind Farm
Successfully commissioned the Limekiln wind farm in Scotland, marking Boralex's first operating asset in the United Kingdom, contributing to over 3.2 gigawatts of assets in operation.
Growth in North America Wind Production
North America wind assets production increased by 15% compared to the same quarter last year, exceeding anticipated production by 6%.
Strong Pipeline and Strategic Positioning
Boralex has nearly 7.1 gigawatts of wind, solar, and storage projects in the pipeline, with 660 megawatts in construction and ready to build phase, indicating robust future growth potential.
Extended Financial Flexibility
Extended the revolving credit facility until February 2030 and increased the letter of credit facility to $470 million until April 2027, enhancing financial flexibility.
Positive Market Conditions in Canada
Favorable market conditions in Canada, with government incentives and strong growth potential in Quebec and Ontario.
Negative Updates
Decreased EBITDA and AFFO
EBITDA decreased by $19 million to $199 million, and consolidated AFFO decreased by $4 million compared to Q1 2024, primarily due to unfavorable wind conditions in France.
Production Shortfalls in Europe
Total production in Europe was down 16% compared to the same quarter last year and 28% lower than anticipated, mainly due to unfavorable weather conditions in France.
Cost Overruns at Apuiat Project
Experienced higher costs at the Apuiat wind project due to contractor issues and severe winter weather in Quebec, leading to project delays.
Uncertainty in U.S. Market
Facing ongoing uncertainty in the U.S. due to potential policy changes and tariff implementations, contributing to economic volatility.
Discontinued Advanced Stage Projects
Discontinued 220 megawatts of advanced stage projects due to delays in authorization and mismatches in turbine specifications.
Company Guidance
During the Boralex First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, robust guidance was provided, featuring several key metrics. Total combined production was down 1% compared to the same quarter in 2024, resulting from unfavorable wind conditions in France, although Canadian wind assets performed strongly. The company reported a combined EBITDA of $199 million, which marked a $19 million decline from Q1 2024. Consolidated AFFO was $74 million, experiencing a slight decrease of $4 million year-on-year. Boralex highlighted progress in its growth strategy, noting the commissioning of the Limekiln wind farm in Scotland and maintaining a pipeline of nearly 7.1 gigawatts of wind, solar, and storage projects. The company emphasized the continued high demand for renewable energy across key markets, driven by supportive government incentives and economic growth. Upcoming strategic initiatives include presenting the 2025-2030 strategic plan at the Investor Day in May.

Boralex Inc Cl A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Boralex Inc shows solid revenue growth and strong operating performance. However, concerns arise from declining profitability and high leverage, which could impact financial flexibility. Cash flow management requires attention due to negative free cash flow, posing risks to growth and investment capabilities.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Boralex has demonstrated steady revenue growth over the years, with a 13.6% increase in 2023. The gross profit margin has been consistently high, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has seen a decline, indicative of rising expenses or lower cost efficiency in recent years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, signaling robust operating performance.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks during downturns. However, the equity ratio has improved over the years, suggesting better balance sheet stability. Return on equity is moderate, reflecting adequate profitability relative to shareholder investment.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow is strong, but there has been negative free cash flow in the latest year, primarily due to high capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates challenges in translating profits into free cash flow. The company's cash flow management needs improvement to ensure long-term sustainability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
853.00M1.02B836.00M691.00M633.00M
Gross Profit
358.00M642.00M578.00M538.00M482.00M
EBIT
226.00M226.00M112.00M182.00M172.00M
EBITDA
534.00M517.00M406.00M472.00M391.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
36.00M78.00M8.00M26.00M55.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
592.00M478.00M361.00M259.00M275.00M
Total Assets
7.60B6.57B6.54B5.75B5.31B
Total Debt
4.30B3.62B3.61B3.91B3.77B
Net Debt
3.71B3.14B3.25B3.65B3.50B
Total Liabilities
5.58B4.55B4.51B4.54B4.32B
Stockholders Equity
1.60B1.63B1.68B1.00B989.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-237.00M216.00M257.00M166.00M206.00M
Operating Cash Flow
215.00M496.00M513.00M345.00M362.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-578.00M-268.00M-684.00M-433.00M-247.00M
Financing Cash Flow
479.00M-109.00M261.00M75.00M-413.00M

Boralex Inc Cl A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.76
Price Trends
50DMA
30.88
Positive
100DMA
29.19
Positive
200DMA
30.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.53
Positive
RSI
59.21
Neutral
STOCH
57.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:BLX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.02, above the 50-day MA of 30.88, and above the 200-day MA of 30.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:BLX.

Boralex Inc Cl A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSINE
67
Neutral
C$2.80B70.264.20%2.61%0.97%
64
Neutral
$8.52B10.344.25%5.88%4.06%-12.76%
TSPIF
64
Neutral
C$249.11M59.81-4.70%7.10%-1.45%-210.16%
TSBLX
62
Neutral
C$3.36B305.230.67%2.01%-16.63%-87.78%
BEBEP
$16.85B-5.97%5.86%
AQAQN
$4.41B5.54%4.51%
$4.17B22.286.08%5.47%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:BLX
Boralex Inc Cl A
32.35
-0.82
-2.47%
BEP
Brookfield Renewable Partners
25.00
0.87
3.61%
TSE:INE
Innergex Renewable Energy
13.82
3.76
37.38%
TSE:PIF
Polaris Infrastructure
12.03
-0.30
-2.43%
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
5.72
0.08
1.42%
NPIFF
Northland Power
15.86
-0.55
-3.35%

Boralex Inc Cl A Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boralex Announces Leadership Transition with Chair’s Retirement
Neutral
Jun 19, 2025

Boralex Inc. announced the retirement of Alain Rhéaume as Chair of the Board of Directors, effective once a successor is appointed by December 2025. Under Rhéaume’s leadership, the company has renewed its executive team, welcomed new directors, and pursued strategic plans, positioning itself well in the renewable energy sector amidst global economic challenges and opportunities in energy demand.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boralex Unveils Ambitious 2030 Strategic Plan and Financial Goals
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

Boralex Inc. has announced its strategic plan and financial objectives for 2030, aiming to double its installed capacity every five years and increase the weighted average remaining contract duration from 11 to 14 years. The company plans to achieve a compound annual growth rate of 12% to 14% in operating income and 8% to 10% in cash flows per share, supported by a $6.8 billion investment plan. This strategy focuses on sustainable growth through a high-quality project pipeline and disciplined financial management, positioning Boralex to capitalize on the growing demand for renewable energy in its key markets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Boralex Appoints New Executive VP for North America
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

Boralex Inc. has announced the appointment of Robin Deveaux as Executive Vice President and General Manager for North America, succeeding Hugues Girardin, who will retire at the end of 2025. Deveaux, with over 20 years of experience in renewable energy, is expected to lead the company as it prepares to unveil its 2030 Strategy, continuing the legacy of growth and community engagement established by Girardin.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Boralex Expands U.S. Renewable Energy Portfolio with New York Solar Projects
Positive
May 22, 2025

Boralex Inc. has announced the signing of contracts for two solar projects in New York, totaling 450 MW, as part of its U.S. growth strategy. These projects, located in Franklin and St. Lawrence Counties, are expected to significantly contribute to New York’s renewable energy targets and provide substantial economic benefits to local communities, including job creation and increased tax revenues.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Boralex Inc. Reports Q1 2025 Earnings and Launches First UK Wind Farm
Neutral
May 14, 2025

Boralex Inc. reported net earnings of $41 million for the first quarter of 2025, marking a decrease from the previous year due to lower production and less favorable power purchase agreement prices in France. Despite these challenges, the company commenced production at the Limekiln wind farm in Scotland, its first operational project in the UK, highlighting its strategic growth in a promising market. The company continues to advance its projects in Canada and is preparing for upcoming tenders, aiming to strengthen its market position and operational performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:BLX) stock is a Hold with a C$36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Boralex Inc Cl A stock, see the TSE:BLX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.