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Polaris Infras J (TSE:PIF)
TSX:PIF

Polaris Infrastructure (PIF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PIF

Polaris Infrastructure

(TSX:PIF)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
C$12.00
▲(2.83% Upside)
Polaris Infrastructure's overall stock score is driven by strong revenue growth and cash flow generation, as well as positive sentiment from the earnings call. However, profitability challenges and bearish technical indicators weigh on the score. The high dividend yield is a positive aspect, but the negative P/E ratio reflects underlying profitability issues.

Polaris Infrastructure (PIF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Polaris Infrastructure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPolaris Infrastructure Inc. (PIF) is a Canadian-based renewable energy company that focuses on the development, operation, and acquisition of renewable energy projects, primarily in the geothermal sector. The company operates several geothermal power plants in countries such as Nicaragua and the United States, providing sustainable energy solutions. With a commitment to reducing carbon emissions and promoting environmental sustainability, PIF plays a vital role in the global transition towards renewable energy.
How the Company Makes MoneyPolaris Infrastructure generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced by its geothermal power plants. The company enters into long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utilities and other energy buyers, ensuring stable cash flows from its operations. Additionally, PIF may generate income through the sale of renewable energy credits (RECs), which can provide an additional revenue stream. The company's strategic focus on developing and acquiring geothermal projects allows for potential expansion and increased earnings. Key partnerships with local governments and energy companies can also enhance its market position and lead to further opportunities for growth.

Polaris Infrastructure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive sentiment with robust energy production increases, revenue growth, and successful integration of new assets. However, there were challenges in Nicaragua and the Dominican Republic, as well as some delays in Puerto Rican projects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Energy Production
Third quarter consolidated energy production totaled 181,235 megawatt hours, an increase from 168,639 megawatt hours in the same period last year. Year-to-date production increased by 8%.
Revenue Growth
Revenue for the third quarter was $19 million, representing an 8% increase from Q3 2024. Year-to-date revenue was $60.9 million, up from $56.9 million in the 2024 comparative period.
Strong Hydroelectric Performance
Hydroelectric projects in Peru and Ecuador performed exceptionally well, with hydro output increasing by 44% and 24% respectively.
Successful Integration of Puerto Rican Wind Operations
The Punta Lima wind farm in Puerto Rico, acquired in March, contributed additional production, enhancing the company's portfolio.
Solid Financial Metrics
Adjusted EBITDA increased to $12.8 million for the quarter from $12.4 million last year. Year-to-date adjusted EBITDA was $43.2 million, a 4% increase from last year.
Negative Updates
Decline in Nicaraguan Production
Nicaragua experienced a 5% decline in energy production for the nine months ended September 30, due to short-term well instability and natural steam field decline.
Dominican Republic Solar Facility Curtailment
Canoa 1 Solar Facility in the Dominican Republic saw a 1% decrease in production for the quarter, although year-to-date production increased by 5%.
Delay in Puerto Rico's ASAP Storage Program
The contract for the ASAP storage program in Puerto Rico experienced delays, though recent governmental directives aim to expedite the approval process.
Company Guidance
During Polaris Renewable Energy's third quarter 2025 earnings call, CFO Alba Ballesteros reported robust financial and operational performance, despite seasonal challenges. The company achieved a consolidated energy production of 181,235 megawatt hours, marking a 7.5% increase from the previous year. Year-to-date energy production rose by 8% to 613,524 megawatt hours. Revenue grew by 8% to $19 million for the quarter and reached $60.9 million year-to-date, bolstered by contributions from the newly integrated Punta Lima wind farm in Puerto Rico. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 3.2% to $12.8 million for the quarter and 4% year-to-date to $43.2 million. Strong operational execution, particularly in Peru and Ecuador, offset challenges such as a 1% decrease in solar output from the Dominican Republic and a 5% decline in Nicaraguan production due to well instability. The company remains committed to shareholder returns, announcing a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share. Looking ahead, Polaris anticipates stronger hydro output in Q4 and continues to focus on development projects, including the ASAP storage project in Puerto Rico, with expected completion in Q4 2026.

Polaris Infrastructure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Polaris Infrastructure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.67
Price Trends
50DMA
12.36
Negative
100DMA
12.61
Negative
200DMA
12.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Negative
RSI
48.10
Neutral
STOCH
88.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PIF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.79, below the 50-day MA of 12.36, and below the 200-day MA of 12.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.10 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:PIF.

Polaris Infrastructure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
C$249.25M-15.39-4.69%7.11%8.26%-267.17%
56
Neutral
C$25.68B-30.76-5.58%5.56%14.78%-9.37%
54
Neutral
C$6.53B-155.392.04%4.32%-4.72%96.98%
53
Neutral
C$4.68B-16.45-7.06%6.80%-4.86%-86.64%
50
Neutral
C$147.84M10.628.55%-30.92%
47
Neutral
C$2.62B-114.02-1.47%2.62%-11.91%-132.41%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PIF
Polaris Infrastructure
11.88
-0.32
-2.62%
TSE:BEP.UN
Brookfield Renewable Partners
37.55
6.50
20.95%
TSE:BLX
Boralex Inc Cl A
25.53
-2.43
-8.69%
TSE:AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
8.50
2.41
39.55%
TSE:NPI
Northland Power
17.91
1.05
6.25%
TSE:LCFS
Tidewater Renewables Ltd.
4.06
3.37
488.41%

Polaris Infrastructure Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Polaris Renewable Energy Reports Q3 2025 Growth and Advances in Puerto Rico Project
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. reported a 7% increase in energy production for Q3 2025, primarily due to the acquisition of a wind farm in Puerto Rico and favorable hydrological conditions in Peru. Despite a slight decline in net earnings, the company maintained strong revenue growth and cash flow, while advancing its Battery Energy Storage System project in Puerto Rico, expected to enhance its service offerings and revenue streams by 2026.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Polaris Renewable Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend, Signals Stability and Growth
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has announced a quarterly dividend of US$0.15 per common share, payable on November 21st to shareholders of record as of November 10th. This move underscores the company’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its shareholders and reflects its stable financial performance. The board is open to evaluating further dividend increases, indicating potential future growth and shareholder value enhancement.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Polaris Renewable Energy Secures New Credit Facility and Announces Executive Changes
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has secured a US$3.5 million working capital and a US$10 million letter of credit facility with the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce and the Export Development Corp. This facility aims to enhance the company’s liquidity as it expands its operations in Latin America and the Caribbean. Additionally, Polaris announced executive changes with Anton Jelic transitioning to Chief Administrative Officer and Alba Seisdedos Ballesteros becoming the new Chief Financial Officer, reflecting the company’s growth and strategic focus on strengthening its governance and financial operations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025