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Polaris Infras J (TSE:PIF)
TSX:PIF
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Polaris Infrastructure (PIF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PIF

Polaris Infrastructure

(TSX:PIF)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$13.00
▲(1.56% Upside)
Polaris Infrastructure's overall stock score reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The most significant factor is the positive earnings call, which highlights strong growth and strategic developments. Technical analysis supports a bullish outlook with positive momentum. However, financial performance and valuation present challenges, particularly with profitability and a negative P/E ratio. The attractive dividend yield offers some investor appeal.

Polaris Infrastructure (PIF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Polaris Infrastructure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPolaris Renewable Energy Inc. engages in the acquisition, development, and operation of renewable energy projects in Latin America. The company operates a 72 MW net geothermal facility in Nicaragua; and three run-of-river hydroelectric facilities in Peru with approximately 5 MW net, 8 MW net, and 20 MW net capacity. It also operates a solar project in the Dominican Republic with 32.6 MWdc. The company was formerly known as Polaris Infrastructure Inc. and changed its name to Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. in July 2022. Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPolaris Infrastructure makes money by generating and selling electricity generated from its renewable energy projects. The company operates geothermal and hydroelectric plants, where it harnesses natural resources like geothermal heat and water flow to produce electricity. This electricity is then sold to national grids or directly to large consumers under long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs), ensuring a steady revenue stream. Key revenue streams include the sale of electricity under these PPAs, which often include fixed pricing terms, providing predictable income. Additionally, the company may benefit from government incentives for renewable energy production and strategic partnerships aimed at expanding its energy capacity and market reach.

Polaris Infrastructure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with significant revenue and earnings growth, effective cost management, and successful integration of acquired assets. However, there were challenges with production declines in Nicaragua and increased financing activities due to debt repayment. The growth in renewable energy projects suggests positive future prospects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Power Generation
Consolidated power production for the quarter was 215,797 megawatt hours, up from 186,886 megawatt hours for the same period in 2024.
Revenue Growth
Revenue increased to $21.6 million during the quarter, compared to $18.7 million in the same period in 2024.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $15.4 million, compared to $13.3 million in the previous year.
Net Earnings Growth
Net earnings for the quarter grew to $2.2 million from $985,000 in Q2 2024.
Successful Acquisition Integration
Punta Lima Wind Project in Puerto Rico produced 17,814 megawatt hours, exceeding management's expectations.
Efficient Cost Management
Operational costs and G&A for the company decreased year-over-year, despite the full quarter inclusion of Punta Lima.
Promising Project Pipeline
Active development in Puerto Rico and Dominican Republic, with promising prospects for storage projects and brownfield developments.
Negative Updates
Nicaragua Production Decline
Production in Nicaragua was 110,895 megawatt hours, slightly down from 114,046 megawatt hours in the same period last year due to unplanned maintenance.
Impact of San Jacinto Maintenance
San Jacinto's performance was impacted by unplanned maintenance, causing a decrease of about 2,200 megawatt hours for the quarter.
Increased Cash Used in Financing Activities
Higher cash used in financing activities due to early debt repayment of four credit facilities totaling $120.6 million.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. reported consolidated power production of 215,797 megawatt hours, an increase from 186,886 megawatt hours in the same period in 2024. Revenue for the quarter was $21.6 million, up from $18.7 million the previous year, and adjusted EBITDA reached $15.4 million compared to $13.3 million last year. Net earnings rose to $2.2 million from $985,000 in Q2 2024. The company highlighted a full quarter of production from the newly acquired Punta Lima Wind Project in Puerto Rico, which produced 17,814 megawatt hours, exceeding expectations. Polaris also announced a quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share to be paid on August 22, 2025. The company expects continued growth with the ASAP battery project in Puerto Rico and anticipates the possibility of a mid-2026 commercial operation date for the project. Management reiterated their focus on diversification and strategic brownfield developments to enhance shareholder value.

Polaris Infrastructure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Polaris Infrastructure shows a stable yet challenging financial performance. Strong operational cash flows and improved leverage are offset by profitability issues, such as negative net income and declining EBIT margins. The balance sheet indicates better debt management, but the negative return on equity highlights the need for improved profitability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Polaris Infrastructure shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a gross profit margin of 43.74%, which is stable compared to previous periods. However, the net profit margin has turned negative at -13.50%, indicating profitability challenges. Revenue growth is modest at 3.90% TTM, but the EBIT margin has decreased to 17.30%, reflecting operational efficiency issues. The EBITDA margin remains strong at 55.30%, suggesting good cash flow generation from operations.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.90 TTM from 1.22, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity is negative at -4.16%, reflecting recent losses. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. Overall, the company is managing its debt better but needs to improve profitability to enhance shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows resilience despite challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.34 TTM, indicating robust cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow to net income is also high at 0.95, suggesting efficient cash utilization. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -8.56%, highlighting potential cash flow constraints. The company maintains a solid cash flow position, but growth is a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue78.37M75.77M78.52M62.60M59.52M74.72M
Gross Profit34.28M32.81M35.92M25.19M22.75M38.77M
EBITDA43.34M49.84M56.99M40.90M45.69M78.59M
Net Income-10.58M2.99M11.74M2.50M501.00K28.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets549.59M662.11M519.40M535.10M502.70M491.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments86.09M213.31M40.05M35.33M97.93M60.06M
Total Debt220.22M317.70M175.12M187.33M170.99M189.99M
Total Liabilities304.85M402.58M249.47M264.89M241.88M264.35M
Stockholders Equity244.86M259.75M269.34M269.68M262.76M228.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.89M31.69M32.57M1.02M32.72M33.42M
Operating Cash Flow34.60M35.05M43.96M33.51M41.13M40.31M
Investing Cash Flow-16.27M-3.31M-11.38M-65.99M-10.15M-2.85M
Financing Cash Flow27.19M141.51M-27.71M-30.13M6.89M-9.99M

Polaris Infrastructure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.80
Price Trends
50DMA
12.10
Positive
100DMA
11.77
Positive
200DMA
11.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
64.37
Neutral
STOCH
78.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PIF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.42, above the 50-day MA of 12.10, and above the 200-day MA of 11.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PIF.

Polaris Infrastructure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
0.97%
67
Neutral
$17.66B18.135.33%3.62%7.33%12.21%
61
Neutral
C$266.16M59.81-4.34%6.54%4.98%-244.98%
54
Neutral
C$3.01B271.12-0.61%2.25%-13.45%-112.19%
35
Underperform
C$16.44M-90.04%-80.29%
$4.43B1.50%4.50%
$4.20B22.35-1.19%5.32%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PIF
Polaris Infrastructure
12.80
1.62
14.49%
TSE:BLX
Boralex Inc Cl A
29.29
-2.84
-8.84%
TSE:GRB
Greenbriar Capital
0.41
-0.07
-14.58%
TSE:INE
Innergex Renewable Energy
13.74
4.80
53.69%
AQN
Algonquin Power & Utilities
5.81
0.71
13.92%
NPIFF
Northland Power
16.13
1.38
9.36%

Polaris Infrastructure Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Polaris Renewable Energy Advances Energy Storage Strategy in Puerto Rico
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has announced the submission of the Battery Energy Storage System Standard Offer Agreement (SO1 Agreement) to the Puerto Rico Energy Bureau, as part of the Puerto Rico Accelerated Storage Addition Program. This strategic initiative aims to enhance grid reliability through utility-scale battery energy storage systems. The agreement, involving Polaris Power US, Inc. as the Resource Provider, is expected to be finalized within 30 to 90 days, with commercial operations anticipated to begin in Q3 2026. The project will strengthen Polaris’s position in the renewable energy sector and support Puerto Rico’s energy resilience goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Buy with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Polaris Renewable Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. has announced a quarterly dividend of US$0.15 per common share, payable on August 22nd to shareholders of record as of August 11th. This move underscores the company’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its shareholders while maintaining a strong position in the renewable energy sector. The board is open to evaluating further dividend increases, reflecting confidence in the company’s financial health and operational performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Buy with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Polaris Renewable Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results with Increased Production and Revenue
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. reported a 15% increase in energy production for Q2 2025, driven by favorable hydrological conditions in Peru and the acquisition of the Punta Lima Wind Farm in Puerto Rico. The company achieved $21.6 million in revenue and $15.4 million in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, reflecting strong operational efficiency despite inflationary pressures. The company’s financial performance was bolstered by improved productivity in its Dominican Republic facility and strong results from the newly acquired wind farm, although challenges such as system-wide curtailment and technical issues in Panama were noted.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Buy with a C$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Polaris Renewable Energy to Host Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. announced that it will hold its Earnings Conference Call and Webcast to report its Q2 2025 Earnings Results on July 31, 2025. This announcement highlights the company’s ongoing commitment to transparency and engagement with its investors, which may positively impact its operations and industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Buy with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Polaris Renewable Energy Confirms Director Elections at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 19, 2025

Polaris Renewable Energy Inc. announced the successful election of all six director nominees at its annual shareholder meeting. This election ensures continuity in leadership as the company continues its operations in the renewable energy sector, potentially strengthening its position in the market and reassuring stakeholders of its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PIF) stock is a Buy with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Polaris Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:PIF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025