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AltaGas Ltd. (TSE:ALA)
TSX:ALA
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AltaGas (ALA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ALA

AltaGas

(TSX:ALA)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$43.00
▲(1.11% Upside)
AltaGas's overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call and fair valuation, which are offset by mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The company's strategic investments and growth projects provide a positive outlook, but challenges in revenue and cash flow need to be addressed to improve financial health.
Positive Factors
New Growth Projects
The announcement of new growth projects indicates AltaGas's commitment to expanding its capacity and enhancing its market position, which is crucial for long-term growth and competitiveness.
Operational Efficiency
Strong operational performance, as indicated by the increase in EBITDA, reflects AltaGas's ability to manage costs and improve profitability, which is vital for sustainable growth.
Regulatory Advancements
Positive regulatory developments and cost reductions enhance AltaGas's operational stability and profitability, supporting long-term financial health and shareholder value.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The decline in revenue growth poses a challenge to AltaGas's ability to maintain its market position and could impact future profitability if not addressed.
Cash Flow Constraints
Limited cash flow generation restricts AltaGas's ability to invest in growth opportunities and may affect its financial flexibility and resilience.
Facility Outages
Unplanned facility outages can disrupt operations and negatively impact volumes, highlighting potential risks in operational reliability and efficiency.

AltaGas (ALA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

AltaGas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAltaGas Ltd. operates as an energy infrastructure company in North America. The company operates through Utilities and Midstream segments. The Utilities segment owns and operates rate-regulated natural gas distribution and storage utilities in Maryland, Virginia, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and the District of Columbia serving approximately 1.7 million customers. This segment also provides interstate natural gas transportation and storage services. The Midstream segment engages in the natural gas gathering and extraction with 1.2 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of extraction processing capacity and approximately 1.2 Bcf/d of raw field gas processing capacity; natural gas gathering and extraction business; fractionation and liquids handling business; and natural gas and natural gas liquids marketing activities. It also engages in LPG exports and distribution, logistics, trucking and rail terminals, and liquid storage businesses. In addition, the company operates gas-fired power generation and distribution assets with a generating capacity of 578 MW of power in California and Colorado. It serves residential, commercial, and industrial customers primarily in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin. AltaGas Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAltaGas generates revenue through multiple key streams. The Gas segment earns income by providing natural gas gathering, processing, and transmission services, as well as through the sale of processed natural gas. The Power segment contributes revenue from electricity generation and wholesale power sales, particularly from its renewable energy assets. The Utilities segment derives income from regulated rates for the distribution of natural gas and electricity to end-users. Additionally, AltaGas benefits from long-term contracts and strategic partnerships with other energy companies, which provide stable cash flows and enhance its market position. Factors such as regulatory frameworks, commodity prices, and operational efficiencies also significantly influence the company's earnings.

AltaGas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive outlook for AltaGas, with strong operational performance, new growth projects, and successful project execution. However, there were some minor challenges with EBITDA comparisons and facility outages. Overall, the sentiment is positive, driven by strategic investments and regulatory advancements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational Performance in Q3
AltaGas reported an 18% year-over-year increase in normalized EBITDA, achieving $268 million. Record global export volumes were over 133,000 barrels per day, with year-to-date volumes up 4%.
New Growth Projects and Investments
Three new growth projects were announced, including REEF Optimization One and Dimsdale gas storage facility expansion, with a combined investment of over $200 million. These projects are backed by strong demand.
Successful Project Execution
Pipestone II reached mechanical completion and remains on track for full operation by late 2025. The REEF project is 60% complete, with significant progress in construction.
Positive Regulatory and Financial Developments
Advancements in rate cases in Virginia and D.C., with a reduction of 5% in O&M costs at WGL. A $200 million issuance of hybrid notes resulted in $30 million cash savings over five years.
Negative Updates
Normalized EBITDA Slightly Below Q3 2024
Though normalized EBITDA grew by 18% year-over-year, it was slightly below Q3 2024 due to the pension settlement recorded in 2024.
Younger Facility Outage
The Younger nonoperated facility experienced an extended unplanned outage during Q3, impacting volumes.
Lower Pipestone I Volumes
Volumes at Pipestone I were lower year-over-year due to a planned turnaround in September.
Company Guidance
During the AltaGas Ltd. Third Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance and updates on their fiscal outlook. AltaGas reported a normalized EBITDA of $268 million for Q3, with a year-over-year growth of 18% when excluding a 2024 pension settlement. The company achieved record global export volumes of over 133,000 barrels per day, marking a 4% increase year-to-date, and noted a 3% rise in gathering and processing activity. The North Pine frac plant also saw a 13% volume growth. AltaGas announced the final investment decision (FID) for three new projects, including the REEF Optimization One, which will add 25,000 barrels per day of propane export capacity at a capital cost of $110 million, with $55 million net to AltaGas, scheduled for service in the second half of 2027. The Dimsdale gas storage facility will expand by 6 Bcf, backed by contracts with Tourmaline and Gunvor, at a cost of $65 million, targeting a year-end 2026 service date. Additionally, the $135 million Keweenaw connector pipeline in Michigan is set to enhance system reliability by early 2027. AltaGas has approximately $5 billion of investment capacity over the next three years, with $3.5 billion earmarked for growth initiatives, aiming for a 5% to 7% annual enterprise growth. The company's strategic focus remains on disciplined capital allocation to maximize long-term shareholder value.

AltaGas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AltaGas presents a mixed financial picture. While operational efficiency is evident through healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins, declining revenue and free cash flow growth pose challenges. The balance sheet remains stable with manageable leverage, but cash flow constraints could impact future investments and growth opportunities. The company should focus on reversing revenue declines and improving cash flow generation to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
65
Positive
AltaGas shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin is relatively stable, but the net profit margin is modest at 6.21% TTM, indicating room for improvement in profitability. Revenue growth has been negative recently, with a decline of 16.3% TTM, which is concerning. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, suggesting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.19 TTM, indicating a balanced leverage level for the industry. Return on equity is decent at 9.27% TTM, showing effective use of equity. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -94.52% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is below 1, indicating potential issues in cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting limited cash available after capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.65B12.45B12.89B14.39B10.63B5.64B
Gross Profit2.88B2.76B2.26B2.81B2.46B2.02B
EBITDA1.90B1.62B1.70B1.48B1.41B1.34B
Net Income799.00M596.00M673.00M523.00M283.00M552.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.27B26.09B23.47B23.96B21.59B21.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments320.00M85.00M95.00M53.00M63.00M32.00M
Total Debt10.28B10.57B9.88B10.17B8.71B8.64B
Total Liabilities16.20B17.05B15.61B16.35B13.99B13.87B
Stockholders Equity8.62B8.75B7.71B7.46B6.95B7.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow8.00M149.00M178.00M-419.00M-76.00M-70.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.52B1.54B1.12B539.00M738.00M773.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.45B-1.38B-199.00M-997.00M-483.00M-1.21B
Financing Cash Flow198.00M-175.00M-882.00M435.00M-245.00M392.00M

AltaGas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price42.53
Price Trends
50DMA
41.99
Positive
100DMA
40.90
Positive
200DMA
38.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Positive
RSI
55.94
Neutral
STOCH
59.36
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ALA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 42.53 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.98, above the 50-day MA of 41.99, and above the 200-day MA of 38.82, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.36 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ALA.

AltaGas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$3.49B10.4214.64%-9.78%5.12%
72
Outperform
C$9.28B17.4918.92%5.13%1.57%55.82%
68
Neutral
C$1.77B21.116.30%2.25%6.01%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$12.32B16.499.01%2.92%-0.68%49.61%
60
Neutral
C$6.96B20.6810.45%3.59%-4.80%39.16%
59
Neutral
C$3.78B25.0616.47%7.32%-12.18%-29.17%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ALA
AltaGas
42.53
10.27
31.82%
TSE:GEI
Gibson Energy
23.22
2.11
9.97%
TSE:NVA
NuVista Energy
18.01
5.54
44.43%
TSE:KEY
Keyera Corp.
40.94
-0.93
-2.21%
TSE:PKI
Parkland
39.84
7.71
23.99%
TSE:SPB
Superior Plus
7.99
1.67
26.50%

AltaGas Corporate Events

AltaGas Ltd. Reports Q3 2025 Results and Growth Plans
Oct 31, 2025

AltaGas Ltd. is a North American infrastructure company that operates in the utilities and midstream sectors, providing energy solutions through its diversified portfolio. The company recently announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting several strategic developments and investment decisions aimed at bolstering its growth trajectory.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
AltaGas Reports Q3 2025 Results and Announces New Growth Projects
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

AltaGas reported a decline in its third quarter 2025 financial results, with a decrease in normalized EPS and EBITDA compared to the previous year, primarily due to the absence of certain pension plan settlements. However, the Midstream segment showed a 13% increase in normalized EBITDA driven by stronger export volumes and improved performance at its natural gas storage asset. The company announced positive final investment decisions on several growth projects, including the Ridley Island Energy Export Facility Optimization and the Keweenaw Connector Pipeline, aimed at enhancing throughput capacity and gas delivery, respectively. These projects are expected to bolster AltaGas’ operational capabilities and market position in the coming years.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ALA) stock is a Buy with a C$48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AltaGas stock, see the TSE:ALA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
AltaGas to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

AltaGas Ltd. announced it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, before the market opens. The company will also hold a conference call and webcast on the same day to discuss the financial results and other corporate developments, indicating its commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ALA) stock is a Buy with a C$48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AltaGas stock, see the TSE:ALA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
AltaGas Appoints Industry Veteran Bill Bullock to Board of Directors
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

AltaGas Ltd. has appointed Bill Bullock as a new Independent Director, effective October 1, 2025. With nearly four decades of experience in the energy sector, Bullock brings extensive expertise in global operations and various energy markets. His appointment is expected to enhance the company’s strategic focus and value creation for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ALA) stock is a Buy with a C$46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AltaGas stock, see the TSE:ALA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
AltaGas Closes $200 Million Hybrid Note Offering for Financial Efficiency
Positive
Sep 5, 2025

AltaGas announced the closing of its $200 million hybrid note offering, which will be used to redeem or repurchase its outstanding preferred shares. This strategic financial move is expected to result in approximately $30 million in cash savings over five years due to lower taxes and financing charges, enhancing the company’s financial efficiency and benefiting stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ALA) stock is a Hold with a C$44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AltaGas stock, see the TSE:ALA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
AltaGas Announces $200 Million Hybrid Note Offering
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

AltaGas Ltd. announced a $200 million offering of 5.375% Fixed-to-Fixed Rate Junior Subordinated Notes, Series 4, due in 2055. The proceeds from this offering will be used to redeem or repurchase existing preferred shares, enhancing the company’s financial structure and potentially impacting its market positioning positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ALA) stock is a Hold with a C$44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AltaGas stock, see the TSE:ALA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
AltaGas to Redeem All Outstanding Preferred Shares
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

AltaGas Ltd., a company listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange, has announced its intention to redeem all outstanding Series A and Series B preferred shares by September 30, 2025. This redemption will involve a total payout of $200 million, with a final dividend payment scheduled for September 29, 2025. The move is part of AltaGas’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its capital structure and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ALA) stock is a Hold with a C$45.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AltaGas stock, see the TSE:ALA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025