Gibson Energy (GEI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $3.71B
• Dividend Yield: 7.37%
• Average Volume (3M): 744.28K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 24.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.76
• Revenue Growth: -12.18%
• EPS Growth: -29.17%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 460
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Midstream
• EPS (TTM): 0.28
• Shares Outstanding: 163,843,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 586,069
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 744,285
• PEG Ratio: -0.76
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.09
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.34
• P/FCF Ratio: 9.40
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.87
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.64
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 17.03
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 13.72
• 1Y Price Target: $25.07
• Price Target Upside: 8.62% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8
• EPS Forecast (FY): 1.31
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $10.20B

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: C$23.50 ▲(1.82% Upside)

Gibson Energy's overall stock score reflects a mixed financial performance with strong cash flow management but high leverage risk. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while the valuation is mixed with a high P/E ratio but attractive dividend yield. The earnings call provided optimism with record operational achievements, though challenges in the marketing segment and high debt levels remain concerns.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

Record throughput achievements indicate strong operational efficiency and asset utilization, supporting long-term growth and customer base expansion.

Safety Performance

Strong safety performance reflects a robust safety culture, reducing operational risks and enhancing the company's reputation and reliability.

Cost Savings Initiative

Significant cost savings initiatives improve financial efficiency, increasing profitability and enabling reinvestment in growth opportunities.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

Declining revenue growth could impact long-term financial health, necessitating strategic adjustments to sustain profitability and market position.

High Debt Levels

High leverage poses financial risk, potentially limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to market fluctuations, impacting long-term stability.

Marketing Segment Struggles

Underperformance in the marketing segment suggests challenges in capturing market opportunities, affecting overall revenue diversification and growth potential.

Gibson Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Gibson Energy Inc., a liquids infrastructure company, engages in the gathering, storage, optimization, processing, and marketing of liquids and refined products in North America. It operates through two segments, Infrastructure and Marketing. The Infrastructure segment operates a network of infrastructure assets that include oil terminals, rail loading and unloading facilities, gathering pipelines, and a crude oil processing facility. The Marketing segment purchases, sells, stores, and optimizes hydrocarbon products, including crude oil, natural gas liquids, road asphalt, roofing flux, frac oils, light and heavy straight run distillates, vacuum gas oil, and an oil-based mud product. The company was formerly known as Gibson Energy Holdings ULC and changed its name to Gibson Energy Inc. in April 2011. Gibson Energy Inc. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Gibson Energy generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from its midstream services in the oil and gas industry. The company earns money by charging fees for transporting crude oil via its extensive pipeline network and for the storage of crude oil and refined products at its terminals. Additionally, Gibson provides processing services and operational support for energy producers, enhancing its revenue through service contracts. The company also benefits from long-term partnerships and contracts with major oil and gas companies, securing a stable income flow. Strategic investments in infrastructure and operational efficiency further contribute to its profitability.

Gibson Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Gibson Energy shows strong cash flow management and stable profitability margins, despite a decline in revenue growth. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio indicates potential financial risk due to leverage. The company should focus on improving revenue growth and reducing leverage to enhance financial health and stability.

Income Statement

Gibson Energy's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 4.21%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains stable profitability margins with a gross profit margin of 3.79% and a net profit margin of 1.48%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also stable at 3.26% and 4.98%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency. Despite the revenue decline, the company has managed to sustain its profitability, which is a positive sign.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.23, suggesting significant leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed properly. The return on equity (ROE) is 17.17%, indicating decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio is low, which may imply a higher reliance on debt financing. The company needs to focus on improving its equity base to enhance financial stability.

Cash Flow

Gibson Energy's cash flow statement shows a strong free cash flow growth rate of 33.89% in the TTM period, which is a positive indicator of cash generation capability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.69, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.68, reflecting efficient cash conversion from earnings. The company demonstrates strong cash flow management, which supports its ability to meet financial obligations and invest in growth opportunities.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.77B	11.78B	11.01B	11.04B	7.21B	4.94B
Gross Profit	407.62M	423.64M	483.33M	394.44M	298.33M	306.14M
EBITDA	505.77M	496.05M	494.33M	449.44M	381.24M	378.56M
Net Income	159.00M	152.17M	214.21M	223.25M	145.05M	121.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.64B	4.97B	4.95B	3.19B	3.43B	3.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	41.57M	57.07M	143.76M	83.60M	62.69M	53.68M
Total Debt	2.76B	2.65B	2.77B	1.72B	1.74B	1.55B
Total Liabilities	3.79B	4.00B	4.03B	2.62B	2.79B	2.39B
Stockholders Equity	854.44M	972.07M	912.47M	573.02M	644.13M	679.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	336.71M	284.31M	376.89M	398.68M	44.38M	181.92M
Operating Cash Flow	559.02M	459.56M	507.31M	539.06M	162.06M	397.02M
Investing Cash Flow	-223.75M	-142.28M	-1.60B	-134.40M	-127.06M	-303.95M
Financing Cash Flow	-339.45M	-405.10M	1.14B	-386.26M	-28.20M	-86.86M

Gibson Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 23.08
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GEI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 23.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.83, below the 50-day MA of 25.05, and below the 200-day MA of 23.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GEI.

Gibson Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
KEY	72 Outperform	C$9.28B	17.49	18.92%	5.14%	1.57%	55.82%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
PPL	65 Neutral	$31.00B	17.97	10.69%	5.20%	-3.86%	-9.35%
TPZ	64 Neutral	C$3.78B	67.17	4.75%	5.30%	6.52%	-13.92%
PKI	60 Neutral	C$6.96B	20.68	10.45%	3.59%	-4.80%	39.16%
GEI	59 Neutral	$3.71B	24.60	16.47%	7.37%	-12.18%	-29.17%
TWM	48 Neutral	C$128.93M	-2.19	-21.94%	―	-30.00%	84.31%

Gibson Energy Corporate Events

Gibson Energy Reports Record Throughput and Growth

Gibson Energy Inc., a leading liquids infrastructure company, operates primarily in the storage, optimization, processing, and gathering of liquids and refined products across North America. In its latest earnings report for Q3 2025, Gibson Energy highlighted record throughput across its Canadian and U.S. terminals, underscoring its critical role in the global energy value chain. The company reported an Infrastructure Adjusted EBITDA of $154 million, marking a $4 million increase from the previous year, driven by higher throughput and cost savings. However, the Marketing Adjusted EBITDA saw a decrease, reflecting a challenging environment, leading to a consolidated Adjusted EBITDA of $147 million, down by $4 million year-over-year. Despite a decrease in net income to $46 million, Gibson Energy achieved significant cost savings and maintained a strong safety record with over 9.8 million hours without a lost-time injury. Looking ahead, Gibson Energy remains focused on strategic growth and operational efficiency, as evidenced by its recent issuance of senior unsecured notes and the expansion of its leadership team. The company continues to position itself as a key player in the energy sector, with a stable outlook affirmed by investment-grade credit ratings.

Gibson Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend

Gibson Energy announced a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per common share, payable on January 16, 2026, to shareholders of record as of December 30, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and may impact its financial performance and attractiveness to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GEI) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gibson Energy stock, see the TSE:GEI Stock Forecast page.

Gibson Energy Schedules Q3 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call

Gibson Energy announced it will release its 2025 third quarter financial results on November 3, 2025, after market close. A conference call and webcast to discuss these results will follow on November 4, 2025. This announcement is part of Gibson’s ongoing efforts to keep stakeholders informed about its financial performance and operational progress.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GEI) stock is a Hold with a C$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gibson Energy stock, see the TSE:GEI Stock Forecast page.

Gibson Energy Issues $375 Million in Senior Unsecured Notes

Gibson Energy announced the issuance of $375 million in senior unsecured notes due in 2032, with a 4.45% interest rate. The proceeds from this offering will be used to repay outstanding debt, including a recently matured $325 million note, and for general corporate purposes. This move is part of Gibson’s strategy to manage its financial obligations and support its operational goals, potentially strengthening its position in the energy infrastructure sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GEI) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gibson Energy stock, see the TSE:GEI Stock Forecast page.