Gibson Energy (GEI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$4.22B
• Dividend Yield: 6.52%
• Average Volume (3M): 498.19K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 26.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.74
• Revenue Growth: -14.27%
• EPS Growth: -11.69%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 460
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 44
• Industry: Oil & Gas Midstream
• EPS (TTM): 0.37
• Shares Outstanding: 163,717,730
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 366,250
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 498,193
• PEG Ratio: -0.76
• Price to Book (P/B): 4.09
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.34
• P/FCF Ratio: 9.40
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$26.54
• Price Target Upside: 3.00% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 12

• Rating: 68 Neutral
• Price Target: C$28.00 ▲(8.65% Upside)

Gibson Energy's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its strengths and challenges. Strong cash flow management and technical indicators support the stock's performance, while high leverage and valuation concerns pose risks. Recent corporate achievements and a solid dividend yield enhance its attractiveness.

Positive Factors

Dividend

The company's quarterly dividend was raised by about 5% to $0.43 per share, offering an attractive yield of approximately 7.3%.

Earnings

Total EBITDA of C$146mn came in ahead of expectations.

Infrastructure

Infrastructure and Marketing results exceeded expectations, contributing to a positive outlook in a maintenance-heavy quarter.

Negative Factors

Financial Performance

The Q4/24 EBITDA results fell short of expectations, with a significant miss driven by atypical losses in the Marketing segment.

Growth Opportunities

Gibson is downgraded to HOLD as growth opportunities are longer-dated in the context of current market conditions.

Leverage

Gibson's leverage remains high, above its target range, which may affect capital spending and dividends.

Gibson Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Gibson Energy Inc., a liquids infrastructure company, engages in the gathering, storage, optimization, processing, and marketing of liquids and refined products in North America. It operates through two segments, Infrastructure and Marketing. The Infrastructure segment operates a network of infrastructure assets that include oil terminals, rail loading and unloading facilities, gathering pipelines, and a crude oil processing facility. The Marketing segment purchases, sells, stores, and optimizes hydrocarbon products, including crude oil, natural gas liquids, road asphalt, roofing flux, frac oils, light and heavy straight run distillates, vacuum gas oil, and an oil-based mud product. The company was formerly known as Gibson Energy Holdings ULC and changed its name to Gibson Energy Inc. in April 2011. Gibson Energy Inc. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Gibson Energy generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from its midstream services in the oil and gas industry. The company earns money by charging fees for transporting crude oil via its extensive pipeline network and for the storage of crude oil and refined products at its terminals. Additionally, Gibson provides processing services and operational support for energy producers, enhancing its revenue through service contracts. The company also benefits from long-term partnerships and contracts with major oil and gas companies, securing a stable income flow. Strategic investments in infrastructure and operational efficiency further contribute to its profitability.

Gibson Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Gibson Energy's financial performance is characterized by stable operational cash flows and consistent profitability, but high leverage and inconsistent revenue growth pose challenges.

Income Statement

Gibson Energy exhibits a stable income statement with a consistent EBIT margin of approximately 3%. The gross profit margin is around 3.66% in the TTM period, showing stability over the years. The net profit margin is modest at about 1.44% for TTM, slightly improved from the previous year. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline of 4.59% in TTM compared to the previous year. Overall, the income statement reflects operational stability with moderate profitability.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Gibson Energy shows a debt-to-equity ratio of around 2.80, indicating a high leverage position. The equity ratio stands at 20.41% for TTM, suggesting moderate equity relative to total assets. The return on equity is modest at 16.99% for TTM, reflecting a reasonable return on shareholder investments. Despite the high leverage, the company maintains a stable equity position.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement demonstrates strong operational cash generation with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.20 for TTM, indicating effective cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.18, showing robust free cash flow generation. However, the free cash flow has declined by 16.88% compared to the previous year, reflecting potential pressure on cash reserves.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.77B	11.78B	11.01B	11.04B	7.21B	4.94B
Gross Profit	407.62M	423.64M	483.33M	394.44M	304.41M	306.14M
EBITDA	535.75M	531.78M	535.79M	479.15M	416.44M	378.56M
Net Income	159.00M	152.17M	214.21M	223.25M	145.05M	121.31M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.64B	4.97B	4.95B	3.19B	3.43B	3.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	41.57M	57.07M	143.76M	83.60M	62.69M	53.68M
Total Debt	2.76B	2.65B	2.77B	1.72B	1.74B	1.55B
Total Liabilities	3.79B	4.00B	4.03B	2.62B	2.79B	2.39B
Stockholders Equity	854.44M	972.07M	912.47M	573.02M	644.13M	679.65M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	470.99M	423.21M	444.44M	457.93M	99.13M	244.45M
Operating Cash Flow	693.30M	598.45M	574.86M	598.31M	216.81M	459.55M
Investing Cash Flow	-223.75M	-142.28M	-1.60B	-134.40M	-127.06M	-303.95M
Financing Cash Flow	-473.73M	-544.00M	1.07B	-445.51M	-82.95M	-149.40M

Gibson Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 25.77
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GEI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 25.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.00, above the 50-day MA of 24.22, and above the 200-day MA of 22.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.59 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.68 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GEI.

Gibson Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
KEY	78 Outperform	C$10.00B	18.85	18.92%	4.77%	1.57%	55.82%
PKI	72 Outperform	C$6.69B	22.42	9.44%	3.68%	-10.91%	-21.14%
PPL	71 Outperform	$29.46B	17.07	10.69%	5.48%	-3.86%	-9.35%
GEI	68 Neutral	C$4.22B	26.47	17.22%	6.52%	-14.27%	-11.69%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$14.84B	8.64	2.77%	5.45%	4.51%	-62.52%
TPZ	65 Neutral	C$3.86B	60.26	5.17%	5.34%	1.92%	11.06%
TWM	50 Neutral	C$99.33M	―	-21.94%	―	-25.69%	87.47%

Gibson Energy Corporate Events

Gibson Energy Achieves Record Throughput Following Gateway Dredging Completion

Gibson Energy reported strong second-quarter results for 2025, highlighted by the completion of the Gateway dredging project, which significantly increased throughput and set new volume records. The company achieved an Infrastructure Adjusted EBITDA of $153 million, reflecting robust performance despite planned downtimes. Key achievements included major turnarounds at the Moose Jaw Facility and Hardisty Diluent Recovery Unit, executed on time and under budget. The company’s strategic focus on safety was underscored by surpassing 9.5 million hours without a lost-time injury. Financially, Gibson faced a slight decrease in net income and distributable cash flow compared to the previous year, attributed to lower marketing contributions and higher capital expenditures. However, the company expects improvements in the second half of the year as benefits from recent projects are realized.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GEI) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gibson Energy stock, see the TSE:GEI Stock Forecast page.

Gibson Energy Announces Quarterly Dividend

Gibson Energy has announced a quarterly dividend of $0.43 per common share, payable on October 17, 2025, to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2025. This decision underscores Gibson’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness as an investment, reflecting positively on its financial health and stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GEI) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gibson Energy stock, see the TSE:GEI Stock Forecast page.

Gibson Energy to Release Q2 2025 Financial Results

Gibson Energy announced that it will release its 2025 second quarter financial and operating results on July 28, 2025, after North American markets close. A conference call and webcast to discuss the results will be held the following day, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GEI) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gibson Energy stock, see the TSE:GEI Stock Forecast page.