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Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure (TSE:TWM)
TSX:TWM
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Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure (TWM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TWM

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure

(TSX:TWM)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
C$5.00
▲(3.09% Upside)
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by declining revenues and high leverage. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, further weighing on the score. Valuation metrics are unfavorable due to negative profitability and lack of dividends. While the earnings call provided some strategic positives, they were insufficient to offset the financial and operational challenges.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of the Western Pipeline is expected to yield $10-$15 million in annual cost savings, enhancing operational efficiency and long-term profitability.
Renewable Diesel Expansion
Securing 100% contracted offtakes for 2025 and over 80% for 2026 supports stable revenue from renewable diesel, aligning with sustainable energy trends.
Government Incentives
The $370 million biofuels incentive program from 2026-2027 will significantly benefit Tidewater Renewables, supporting growth in sustainable energy initiatives.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses financial risks, limiting flexibility and increasing vulnerability to market fluctuations, impacting long-term financial stability.
Declining Revenue
Consistent revenue declines reflect challenges in maintaining market position and operational efficiency, affecting long-term profitability and growth potential.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative free cash flow growth indicates cash generation issues, limiting the ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure (TWM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. is a Canadian-based energy infrastructure company focused on providing midstream services to the oil and gas industry. The company operates in the sectors of natural gas processing, transportation, storage, and logistics, offering core products such as natural gas processing facilities, pipelines, and terminal services. TWM is committed to delivering efficient and reliable solutions, facilitating the movement of hydrocarbons from production sites to markets while ensuring environmental sustainability.
How the Company Makes MoneyTidewater Midstream and Infrastructure generates revenue primarily through its midstream services, which include fees for processing natural gas, transporting hydrocarbons through its pipeline network, and providing storage solutions. The company benefits from long-term contracts with producers, creating a stable and predictable revenue stream. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other energy companies enhance its operational capabilities and expand its market reach. The fluctuating prices of oil and gas can impact earnings, but TWM's diversified service offerings and contractual agreements help mitigate risks associated with commodity price volatility.

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several strategic advancements, such as the acquisition of the Western Pipeline and increased renewable diesel offtakes. However, these were offset by financial losses, extended outages, and challenges in natural gas markets. Despite some positive strategic and operational developments, the financial setbacks and operational challenges create a balanced sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Acquisition of Western Pipeline
Tidewater successfully closed the acquisition of the Western Pipeline on September 25, 2025, which is expected to yield $10 million to $15 million in anticipated annual cost savings.
Biofuels Production Incentive Program
The Canadian government announced a $370 million biofuels production incentive program, expected to benefit Tidewater Renewables significantly from January 2026 through December 2027.
High Contracted Offtakes for Renewable Diesel
Tidewater Renewables has increased its contracted offtakes to cover 100% of forecasted renewable diesel production for 2025 and over 80% for 2026.
Optimized Turnaround Schedules
Tidewater Renewables optimized turnaround schedules to extend catalyst life to approximately 2.5 years, with the next turnaround planned for 2028, maximizing production during the incentive program period.
Increased Throughput in Midstream Operations
The BRC gas processing facility's throughput increased from 95 million cubic feet per day in Q2 2025 to 124 million cubic feet per day in Q3 2025.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for Tidewater Renewables
Tidewater Renewables reported a net loss of $1 million for Q3 2025, primarily due to a smaller unrealized gain on soybean oil derivative contracts and a loss on warrant liability revaluation.
Extended Turnaround and Unplanned Outage
The HDRD complex experienced an extended turnaround by 2 weeks and a 2-week unplanned outage in October due to equipment anomalies.
Continued Low Natural Gas Prices
The Ram River gas plant remains curtailed due to record low natural gas prices during Q3 2025.
Lower Midstream Margins
Midstream margins were lower due to historically low AECO pricing and higher corporate costs, contributing to a consolidated net loss of $34.1 million for Tidewater Midstream in Q3 2025.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2025 financial results call for Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Limited and Tidewater Renewables Limited, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. Tidewater Renewables reported a net loss of $1 million, contrasting with a net income of $13 million in the previous quarter, primarily due to noncash items. However, adjusted EBITDA increased by 54% to $16.5 million, driven by higher equity investment contributions. The company achieved 100% contracted offtakes for renewable diesel production for the remainder of 2025, with expectations to direct over 80% of 2026 production toward renewable diesel sales. Meanwhile, Tidewater Midstream reported a consolidated net loss of $34.1 million, largely impacted by previous unrealized gains on derivative contracts. Despite this, the company maintained a consistent adjusted EBITDA of $16.2 million. Strategic initiatives include the acquisition of the Western Pipeline and the execution of an agreement with the government of British Columbia to secure BC-LCFS credits, expected to fund approximately 50% of renewable feedstocks costs in 2026 and 2027. Additionally, the Prince George Refinery's throughput increased by 4% from the previous quarter, with margins expected to improve due to stronger crack spreads observed in October and November.

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and high leverage. The company's cash flow position is concerning, with negative free cash flow growth and operational cash flow issues. To improve its financial health, the company needs to focus on enhancing operational efficiency, managing debt levels, and stabilizing revenue streams.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -7.99% in the TTM period. Gross profit margin is low at 4.30%, and net profit margin is negative at -3.12%, indicating profitability challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also weak, reflecting operational inefficiencies. The company has faced consistent revenue declines over the past few years, impacting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.13, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. Return on equity is negative, reflecting poor returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting some balance in asset financing. The company needs to manage its debt levels to improve financial stability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative free cash flow growth of -67.95% in the TTM period, highlighting cash generation issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating operational cash flow challenges. Free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting some ability to cover net losses, but overall cash flow management remains weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.39B1.64B2.21B2.88B1.70B979.41M
Gross Profit20.90M107.40M59.60M147.00M85.34M74.11M
EBITDA92.50M147.50M-254.50M191.60M247.31M95.52M
Net Income-58.70M-26.60M-385.90M18.90M71.50M-35.18M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.11B1.24B1.60B2.27B1.97B1.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments300.00K100.00K336.70M17.00M15.81M9.93M
Total Debt555.10M572.80M373.50M917.30M889.71M1.04B
Total Liabilities827.20M908.00M1.26B1.53B1.33B1.43B
Stockholders Equity244.60M290.60M305.90M703.30M616.66M426.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-22.50M-78.40M-155.10M-106.40M9.85M134.61M
Operating Cash Flow1.10M-33.50M137.50M242.90M126.70M205.57M
Investing Cash Flow21.20M293.40M14.30M-279.60M19.80M-100.23M
Financing Cash Flow-23.90M-259.90M-168.70M37.90M-140.60M-101.20M

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.85
Price Trends
50DMA
5.75
Negative
100DMA
5.22
Negative
200DMA
4.82
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Positive
RSI
32.48
Neutral
STOCH
31.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TWM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.50, below the 50-day MA of 5.75, and above the 200-day MA of 4.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TWM.

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
C$9.28B17.4915.28%4.65%-4.09%-3.57%
66
Neutral
$31.48B19.3110.22%5.17%2.81%-14.92%
66
Neutral
$4.16B27.5916.47%6.69%-12.18%-29.17%
66
Neutral
C$3.78B67.174.75%4.74%6.52%-13.92%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
52
Neutral
C$96.96M36.765.09%-7.13%-60.41%
46
Neutral
C$128.93M-2.19-33.62%-23.30%76.16%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TWM
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure
4.85
2.15
79.63%
TSE:PPL
Pembina Pipeline
54.17
0.56
1.04%
TSE:GEI
Gibson Energy
25.41
3.43
15.59%
TSE:E
Enterprise
1.31
-0.80
-37.91%
TSE:KEY
Keyera Corp.
45.15
1.84
4.25%
TSE:TPZ
Topaz Energy Corp
28.28
2.02
7.69%

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Corporate Events

Legal Proceedings
Tidewater Midstream Addresses Axiom Lawsuit Allegations
Negative
Nov 21, 2025

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. is responding to a lawsuit filed by Axiom Oil and Gas Inc., which alleges that Tidewater unreasonably exercised its rights under a gas handling agreement. A previous injunction application by Axiom was dismissed, with the court indicating that Axiom faces significant challenges in proving its claims. Tidewater maintains that the lawsuit is without merit and intends to vigorously defend itself.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TWM) stock is a Hold with a C$10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:TWM Stock Forecast page.

Tidewater Midstream’s Earnings Call: Strategic Gains Amid Challenges
Nov 14, 2025

The recent earnings call for Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure painted a picture of mixed sentiments. While the company celebrated strategic milestones like the acquisition of the Western Pipeline and increased renewable diesel offtakes, these achievements were overshadowed by financial losses, extended operational outages, and challenges in the natural gas markets. The overall sentiment was balanced, reflecting both optimism from strategic advancements and caution due to financial setbacks.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Tidewater Midstream Reports Q3 Loss Amid Strategic Shifts and Renewable Focus
Negative
Nov 13, 2025

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. reported a consolidated net loss of $34.1 million for the third quarter of 2025, attributed to lower sales volumes and margins in refined products and emission credits, alongside unfavorable derivative contract valuations. Despite these challenges, the company is poised to benefit from the Canadian government’s new Biofuels Production Incentive and has completed strategic transactions, including the acquisition of Pembina’s Western Pipeline System and the sale of its Sylvan Lake gas plant. These moves are expected to enhance operational efficiency and financial stability, while the execution of an agreement with the Government of British Columbia will support the production of low-carbon fuels, further aligning Tidewater with sustainability goals.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TWM) stock is a Hold with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:TWM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Tidewater Midstream Reports Q3 Loss, Eyes Future Gains with Strategic Moves
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. reported a consolidated net loss of $34.1 million for the third quarter of 2025, primarily due to lower sales volumes and margins in its downstream assets and unfavorable changes in derivative contracts. Despite these challenges, the company is poised to benefit from the Canadian government’s new Biofuels Production Incentive and has completed strategic transactions, including acquiring a segment of Pembina’s Western Pipeline System and selling its Sylvan Lake gas plant. These moves are expected to improve cost efficiencies and enhance its renewable energy production capabilities, potentially leading to improved financial performance in the future.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TWM) stock is a Hold with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:TWM Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Tidewater Midstream Completes Sale of Sylvan Lake Facility
Neutral
Oct 21, 2025

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. has completed the sale of its Sylvan Lake Gas Processing Facility to Parallax Energy Operating Inc. for $5.5 million. This transaction, involving a non-core asset, is expected to have an immaterial impact on Tidewater’s 2025 operating results, with the proceeds being used to repay amounts outstanding on the company’s Senior Credit Facility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TWM) stock is a Hold with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:TWM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Tidewater Completes Acquisition of Western Pipeline’s North Segment
Positive
Sep 25, 2025

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd. has successfully completed the acquisition of the North Segment of the Western Pipeline System from Pembina Pipeline Corporation. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance operational efficiencies by integrating the pipeline with Tidewater’s existing operations, optimizing feedstock procurement, and improving cost structures at the Prince George Refinery.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TWM) stock is a Hold with a C$6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure stock, see the TSE:TWM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 22, 2025