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Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure (TSE:TWM)
TSX:TWM

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure (TWM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:TWM

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure

(TSX:TWM)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
C$9.50
▲(4.40% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/27/26
The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance—loss-making TTM results and elevated leverage with reduced equity—despite improved free cash flow. Technicals are supportive (uptrend and positive MACD) but appear overbought, and valuation is difficult to justify with a negative P/E. Earnings-call takeaways add some support via contracted offtakes and expected cost/credit benefits, but near-term operational and margin challenges remain material.
Positive Factors
Improved cash generation
Trailing‑twelve‑month positive operating and free cash flow signals that Tidewater has begun generating internal funds to cover operations and selective investments. Durable FCF reduces near‑term refinancing needs and supports debt servicing or targeted capex if sustained over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
A ~1.9x debt‑to‑equity ratio with a materially reduced equity base leaves limited balance‑sheet flexibility. Persistent leverage increases refinancing and interest rate risk, constraining the company's ability to invest, absorb shocks, or pursue growth without relying on volatile cash flows or external funding.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved cash generation
Trailing‑twelve‑month positive operating and free cash flow signals that Tidewater has begun generating internal funds to cover operations and selective investments. Durable FCF reduces near‑term refinancing needs and supports debt servicing or targeted capex if sustained over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure (TWM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Ltd., through its subsidiaries, operates as a diversified midstream and infrastructure company in North America. It primarily focuses on natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil operations and p...
How the Company Makes Money
TWM makes money by charging customers for midstream services and, to a lesser extent, through commodity-linked marketing activities. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Service fees and processing margins: revenue earned for gathering and m...

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several strategic advancements, such as the acquisition of the Western Pipeline and increased renewable diesel offtakes. However, these were offset by financial losses, extended outages, and challenges in natural gas markets. Despite some positive strategic and operational developments, the financial setbacks and operational challenges create a balanced sentiment.
Positive Updates
Successful Acquisition of Western Pipeline
Tidewater successfully closed the acquisition of the Western Pipeline on September 25, 2025, which is expected to yield $10 million to $15 million in anticipated annual cost savings.
Negative Updates
Net Loss for Tidewater Renewables
Tidewater Renewables reported a net loss of $1 million for Q3 2025, primarily due to a smaller unrealized gain on soybean oil derivative contracts and a loss on warrant liability revaluation.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Successful Acquisition of Western Pipeline
Tidewater successfully closed the acquisition of the Western Pipeline on September 25, 2025, which is expected to yield $10 million to $15 million in anticipated annual cost savings.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the third quarter 2025 financial results call for Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Limited and Tidewater Renewables Limited, several key metrics and strategic initiatives were highlighted. Tidewater Renewables reported a net loss of $1 million, contrasting with a net income of $13 million in the previous quarter, primarily due to noncash items. However, adjusted EBITDA increased by 54% to $16.5 million, driven by higher equity investment contributions. The company achieved 100% contracted offtakes for renewable diesel production for the remainder of 2025, with expectations to direct over 80% of 2026 production toward renewable diesel sales. Meanwhile, Tidewater Midstream reported a consolidated net loss of $34.1 million, largely impacted by previous unrealized gains on derivative contracts. Despite this, the company maintained a consistent adjusted EBITDA of $16.2 million. Strategic initiatives include the acquisition of the Western Pipeline and the execution of an agreement with the government of British Columbia to secure BC-LCFS credits, expected to fund approximately 50% of renewable feedstocks costs in 2026 and 2027. Additionally, the Prince George Refinery's throughput increased by 4% from the previous quarter, with margins expected to improve due to stronger crack spreads observed in October and November.

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials are pressured: TTM profitability deteriorated into a sizable net loss with negative gross and operating profit, and leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.9x) with a materially smaller equity base. The main offset is improved cash generation, with TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow turning positive after weakness in 2024, but durability is still uncertain given volatility and the debt load.
Income Statement
24
Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.32B1.64B2.21B2.88B1.70B
Gross Profit-28.90M107.40M59.60M147.00M85.34M
EBITDA19.00M147.50M-254.50M191.60M247.31M
Net Income-112.20M-26.60M-385.90M18.90M71.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.11B1.24B1.60B2.27B1.97B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.10M100.00K336.70M17.00M15.81M
Total Debt574.70M572.80M373.50M917.30M889.71M
Total Liabilities888.20M908.00M1.26B1.53B1.33B
Stockholders Equity182.20M290.60M305.90M703.30M616.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.80M-78.40M-155.10M-106.40M9.85M
Operating Cash Flow10.80M-33.50M137.50M242.90M126.70M
Investing Cash Flow5.70M293.40M14.30M-279.60M19.80M
Financing Cash Flow-15.50M-259.90M-168.70M37.90M-140.60M

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.10
Price Trends
50DMA
7.13
Positive
100DMA
6.17
Positive
200DMA
5.61
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.47
Negative
RSI
60.73
Neutral
STOCH
67.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TWM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.20, above the 50-day MA of 7.13, and above the 200-day MA of 5.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.47 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:TWM.

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$162.63B19.1112.34%5.80%33.06%-12.36%
75
Outperform
C$35.32B17.939.91%5.44%2.81%-14.92%
69
Neutral
C$89.99B22.3412.80%4.41%-3.98%-33.45%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
C$5.04B20.8016.47%6.61%-12.18%-29.17%
61
Neutral
C$12.04B23.3315.39%4.81%-4.09%-3.57%
53
Neutral
C$188.16M-1.01-49.98%-23.30%76.16%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TWM
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure
9.10
3.60
65.45%
TSE:ENB
Enbridge
75.40
15.05
24.94%
TSE:PPL
Pembina Pipeline
62.07
8.01
14.81%
TSE:TRP
TC Energy
88.16
22.55
34.37%
TSE:GEI
Gibson Energy
29.98
9.52
46.56%
TSE:KEY
Keyera Corp.
53.40
10.83
25.43%

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Tidewater Midstream Posts Wider 2025 Loss but Deepens Pivot to Low-Carbon Fuels
Negative
Mar 26, 2026
Tidewater Midstream reported a significantly wider net loss for both the fourth quarter and full year 2025, driven by lower operating income, the absence of prior-year impairment reversals, and weaker contributions from equity investments, which a...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Tidewater Midstream Posts Wider 2025 Loss but Advances Pipeline and Low-Carbon Fuel Strategy
Negative
Mar 26, 2026
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure reported a sharp deterioration in fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, with a Q4 net loss of $30.0 million and full-year loss of $112.2 million, driven by lower operating income, the absence of prior-ye...
Business Operations and Strategy
Tidewater Midstream Secures Long-Term Gas and NGL Deals at Brazeau River Complex
Positive
Jan 7, 2026
Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure has signed long-term agreements to process up to 75 MMcf/d of natural gas and handle associated NGL supply and fractionation at its Brazeau River Complex in central Alberta. The deals, which carry initial fiv...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 27, 2026