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PrairieSky Royalty (TSE:PSK)
TSX:PSK

PrairieSky Royalty (PSK) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PSK

PrairieSky Royalty

(TSX:PSK)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$31.00
▲(4.66% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (profitability, low leverage, and strong cash conversion). Corporate events reinforce shareholder returns and operating momentum, while technicals are only moderately supportive. Valuation is the key drag, with a higher P/E only partly balanced by the dividend yield.

PrairieSky Royalty (PSK) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

PrairieSky Royalty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrairieSky Royalty Ltd. holds crude oil and natural gas royalty interests in Alberta, Saskatchewan, British Columbia, and Manitoba of Canada. It holds an interest in approximately 9.8 million acres with petroleum and/or natural gas rights; 8.5 million acres of gross overriding royalty interests; approximately 0.3 million acres of the GRT interests; and other acreage. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrairieSky Royalty generates revenue primarily through the collection of royalties on the oil and gas produced from its extensive land holdings. The company leases these lands to exploration and production companies, who then extract the resources. In return, PrairieSky receives a percentage of the revenue generated from the production, known as a royalty. This model allows the company to earn income without directly engaging in the costly and risky process of exploration and production. Additionally, PrairieSky benefits from a diversified portfolio of land, which includes a variety of oil and gas plays, reducing its exposure to any single project or commodity price fluctuations. The company's earnings are also supplemented by strategic partnerships and agreements with various oil and gas operators, enhancing its ability to maximize royalty income.

PrairieSky Royalty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in oil production and financial flexibility, with record oil production and an increase in credit facility. However, there was a lack of growth in natural gas and NGL revenue, and the company maintained a notable level of net debt. Overall, positive developments outweighed the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Royalty Oil Production
PrairieSky achieved record royalty oil production of 14,376 barrels per day, marking an 8% increase from the same quarter the previous year.
Increase in Multilateral Spuds
The company reported 61 multilateral spuds in the quarter, representing 52% of all new wells, a new high watermark for this metric.
Financial Performance
Royalty production revenue totaled $111.2 million in Q2 2025, with oil production generating $95.7 million of revenue.
Lease Agreements and Revenue
PrairieSky entered into 47 new leases with 37 different counterparties, generating $8.5 million in bonus consideration.
Increased Credit Facility
The company exercised the accordion feature of its credit facility, increasing it by $250 million to $600 million, enhancing financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Stable Natural Gas and NGL Revenue
Natural gas and NGL revenue added $15.5 million on relatively flat volumes compared to Q2 2024, indicating no significant growth in this segment.
Net Debt Level
PrairieSky exited the quarter with net debt of $242 million, though this was not highlighted as a severe concern.
Company Guidance
During the PrairieSky Royalty Limited Q2 2025 earnings call, the company reported record royalty oil production of 14,376 barrels per day, an 8% increase from the previous year. Revenue from royalty production totaled $111.2 million, with oil production contributing $95.7 million and natural gas and NGLs adding $15.5 million. The company generated $12.4 million in other revenues, including $8.5 million from 47 new leases. Funds from operations reached $96.7 million or $0.41 per share, and dividends declared were $61.2 million, equating to $0.26 per share with a payout ratio of 63%. Additionally, PrairieSky repurchased $2 million worth of stock and exited the quarter with net debt of $242 million. The credit facility was expanded by $250 million, increasing total capacity to $600 million, providing further financial flexibility.

PrairieSky Royalty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals: high profitability, low leverage, and strong cash conversion. The main offsets are commodity-driven revenue variability, choppy free-cash-flow history, and a modest recent uptick in debt.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
PrairieSky Royalty shows very strong profitability, with consistently high gross and operating margins across the period and a healthy net margin in both annual results and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Revenue performance is the main swing factor: after a strong surge in 2021–2022, revenue declined in 2023–2024 and is up sharply again in TTM, highlighting commodity-driven volatility. Net income remains solid, but the uneven top-line trajectory keeps the score from being higher.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservative overall, with low leverage (debt-to-equity remaining below ~0.10 in recent periods, including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)) and a large equity base relative to debt. Returns on equity are steady and respectable, though not accelerating, and the recent increase in total debt versus 2024 is a modest negative. Overall, financial flexibility appears strong, with limited balance-sheet risk based on the data provided.
Cash Flow
79
Positive
Cash generation is strong, with operating cash flow consistently exceeding net income by a wide margin across all periods (including TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), indicating high cash conversion. Free cash flow is positive in most years and remains solid in TTM, but growth has been choppy—most notably the large negative free cash flow in 2021 and a slight decline in TTM versus the prior year. This points to some volatility in cash available after spending, even though underlying cash profitability remains healthy.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue465.90M470.30M479.60M619.30M293.60M159.70M
Gross Profit424.70M466.40M473.20M612.70M290.00M157.20M
EBITDA448.90M439.80M455.50M580.20M264.60M143.80M
Net Income220.80M215.30M227.60M317.50M123.30M31.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.17B3.21B3.31B3.42B3.51B2.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Debt245.90M95.50M188.10M219.20M645.00M45.10M
Total Liabilities608.90M465.70M541.30M647.10M915.80M266.20M
Stockholders Equity2.56B2.74B2.77B2.77B2.59B2.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow311.90M363.60M306.50M552.00M-206.30M145.10M
Operating Cash Flow363.40M378.60M318.90M565.50M252.00M152.30M
Investing Cash Flow-102.60M-49.10M-57.90M-30.60M-986.40M-8.60M
Financing Cash Flow-260.80M-329.50M-261.00M-534.90M734.40M-143.70M

PrairieSky Royalty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price29.62
Price Trends
50DMA
27.48
Positive
100DMA
26.57
Positive
200DMA
24.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.75
Negative
RSI
63.62
Neutral
STOCH
82.76
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PSK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 29.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.20, above the 50-day MA of 27.48, and above the 200-day MA of 24.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.75 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.76 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PSK.

PrairieSky Royalty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$5.21B13.6813.48%5.77%11.52%24.76%
75
Outperform
C$7.02B32.368.16%3.76%-1.59%0.09%
75
Outperform
C$2.71B20.5113.00%7.05%2.52%-8.32%
69
Neutral
C$5.82B5.309.60%2.99%-11.41%40.81%
68
Neutral
C$4.00B9.0727.19%3.04%115.77%
67
Neutral
C$4.63B-47.90-4.70%1.91%-1.36%-149.45%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PSK
PrairieSky Royalty
29.62
3.30
12.53%
TSE:ATH
Athabasca Oil
8.13
3.23
65.92%
TSE:TVE
Tamarack Valley Energy
9.24
4.97
116.39%
TSE:FRU
Freehold Royalties
16.23
4.60
39.58%
TSE:PEY
Peyto Exploration & Dev
24.84
10.25
70.21%
TSE:SCR
Strathcona Resources
27.15
7.79
40.23%

PrairieSky Royalty Corporate Events

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
PrairieSky Royalty Sets February Date for Q4 and Year-End 2025 Results
Neutral
Jan 14, 2026

PrairieSky Royalty Ltd. will release its fourth-quarter and year-end 2025 financial and operating results after markets close on February 9, 2026, followed by a conference call for the investment community on February 10, 2026. The company will make detailed financial statements, management’s discussion and analysis, and its annual information form available on its website and through SEDAR+, signaling continued transparency and ongoing engagement with investors as it reports on the performance of its royalty-based oil and gas portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PSK) stock is a Buy with a C$30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PrairieSky Royalty stock, see the TSE:PSK Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
PrairieSky Royalty Declares Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

PrairieSky Royalty Ltd. announced a quarterly dividend of CDN $0.26 per common share, to be paid on January 15, 2026, to shareholders recorded by December 31, 2025. This move reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and highlights its strong cash flow generation capabilities from its extensive property portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PSK) stock is a Buy with a C$35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PrairieSky Royalty stock, see the TSE:PSK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
PrairieSky Royalty Reports Increased Oil Production and Strategic Acquisitions in Q3 2025
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

PrairieSky Royalty Ltd. reported an 11% increase in oil royalty production in Q3 2025 compared to the previous year, averaging 14,127 barrels per day. Despite a decrease in US$ WTI benchmark pricing, total royalty production revenue reached $107.7 million. The company declared a dividend of $60.5 million and repurchased 2,739,587 common shares. Acquisitions focused on fee lands and royalty interests in Mannville heavy oil and Duvernay light oil. The appointment of Ian Dundas to the Board of Directors is expected to strengthen the leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PSK) stock is a Buy with a C$35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on PrairieSky Royalty stock, see the TSE:PSK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025