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PrairieSky Royalty
(TSX:PSK)
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Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$37.00
▲(5.38% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/15/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, low leverage, and robust free cash flow) and a positive earnings-call outlook (record production, strong YoY funds-from-operations growth, and ongoing debt reduction). Offsetting factors are a mixed technical picture (negative MACD and near-term overbought signal) and a relatively high P/E multiple despite a supportive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash generation
Consistent, material free cash flow provides durable funding for dividends, debt reduction and selective acreage/tiny M&A without issuing equity. High FCF relative to earnings strengthens financial flexibility across cycles and supports capital allocation priorities over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Commodity and FX sensitivity
Royalties are paid on production value, so realized commodity prices and the CAD/USD rate materially drive revenue and funds from operations. This structural exposure can amplify volatility in cash flow and make dividend and capital plans contingent on external market factors beyond company control.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation
Consistent, material free cash flow provides durable funding for dividends, debt reduction and selective acreage/tiny M&A without issuing equity. High FCF relative to earnings strengthens financial flexibility across cycles and supports capital allocation priorities over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
PrairieSky Royalty (PSK) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
C$8.28B
Dividend Yield2.94%
Average Volume (3M)339.52K
Price to Earnings (P/E)34.4
Beta (1Y)0.26
Revenue Growth6.68%
EPS Growth11.02%
CountryCA
Employees71
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.04
Shares Outstanding232,442,550
10 Day Avg. Volume379,332
30 Day Avg. Volume339,519
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-9.32
Price to Book (P/B)2.47
Price to Sales (P/S)13.15
P/FCF Ratio24.43
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
C$36.40Price Target Upside3.67% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering5
EPS Forecast (FY)1.28
Revenue Forecast (FY)C$615.25M
PrairieSky Royalty Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
PrairieSky Royalty Ltd., a Canadian company, holds royalty stakes in crude oil and natural gas assets across the provinces of Alberta, Saskatchewan, British Columbia, and Manitoba. Its extensive portfolio comprises an estimated 9.8 million acres f...
How the Company Makes Money
PrairieSky primarily generates revenue from mineral and royalty ownership by granting E&P operators the right to explore for and produce hydrocarbons on lands where PrairieSky holds mineral title or royalty interests. Key revenue streams include: ...
PrairieSky Royalty Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 13, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated multiple operational and financial positives: record production, strong realized pricing, significant funds from operations growth (+38% YoY), robust leasing and drilling activity, multi-play growth (Clearwater +27%, Mannville Stack +19%), and active capital allocation including CAD 71.1M of debt reduction and continued dividends. Headwinds were limited to weather-related delays, an outstanding net debt balance (CAD 186.6M) despite reduction, sensitivity to commodity prices and FX, and modest YoY oil volume growth (3%). Overall, the positive developments and clear path to being net cash outweigh the manageable challenges.Positive Updates
Record Total Production
Total production reached a record 27,479 BOE/d, up 4% versus Q2 2025, driven by liquids growth (oil +3%, NGLs +15%).
Negative Updates
Weather-Related Operational Delays
Wet field conditions in Eastern Alberta's heavy oil region hindered operations, delaying some completions and drilling activity during the quarter.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Total Production
Total production reached a record 27,479 BOE/d, up 4% versus Q2 2025, driven by liquids growth (oil +3%, NGLs +15%).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to continued strong activity and light‑oil growth for the rest of 2026, citing a record total production of 27,479 BOE/d (oil average 14,740 bbl/d), oil up 3% and NGLs up 15% versus Q2 2025, and a sequential 7% oil increase from Q1; management pointed to 215 rigs active (vs. 170 a year ago), 57 leases with 46 operators, 137 multilateral spuds YTD (vs. 100 a year ago) and 51 Duvernay spuds YTD (compared with 55 in all of 2025) as drivers of “meaningful” near‑term growth, including Duvernay wells that should boost Q3 royalties; financially they reported CAD 167.1M production revenue, CAD 133.1M funds from operations (CAD 0.57/sh, +38% YoY), CAD 10.9M other revenues including CAD 6.4M of bonus (YTD bonus CAD 18.7M, +39% YoY), declared CAD 61.6M of dividends this quarter (payout ratio 46%) and a Q3 dividend of CAD 0.265/sh, reduced net debt by CAD 71.1M (minor acquisitions CAD 1.8M) to net debt of CAD 186.6M at June 30, and reiterated they expect to be net cash by this time next year; commodity realizations in Q2 were strong (WTI US$92.80, realized liquids CAD 109.87/bbl, NGL CAD 55.30/bbl) and with CAD$0.71/USD management said Canadian light oil economics are near CAD ~100/bbl.PrairieSky Royalty Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 538.30M | 478.20M | 470.30M | 479.60M | 619.30M | 293.60M |
| Gross Profit | 386.10M | 323.30M | 466.40M | 473.20M | 612.70M | 290.00M |
| EBITDA | 480.60M | 432.80M | 439.80M | 455.50M | 580.20M | 264.60M |
| Net Income | 241.50M | 205.00M | 215.30M | 227.60M | 317.50M | 123.30M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.11B | 3.15B | 3.21B | 3.31B | 3.42B | 3.51B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Total Debt | 176.20M | 242.50M | 95.50M | 188.10M | 219.20M | 645.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 552.10M | 604.50M | 465.70M | 541.30M | 647.10M | 915.80M |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.56B | 2.54B | 2.74B | 2.77B | 2.77B | 2.59B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 350.10M | 257.50M | 363.60M | 306.50M | 552.00M | -206.30M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 379.70M | 357.40M | 378.60M | 318.90M | 565.50M | 252.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -35.70M | -99.20M | -49.10M | -57.90M | -30.60M | -986.40M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -344.00M | -258.20M | -329.50M | -261.00M | -534.90M | 734.40M |
PrairieSky Royalty Technical Analysis
Positive
35.11
Price Trends
33.49
Positive
33.21
Positive
30.59
Positive
Market Momentum
0.48
Negative
64.05
Neutral
95.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PSK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.11 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.65, above the 50-day MA of 33.49, and above the 200-day MA of 30.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PSK.
PrairieSky Royalty Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | C$8.28B | 34.38 | 9.48% | 2.99% | 6.68% | 11.02% | |
73 Outperform | C$5.13B | 10.31 | 16.96% | 5.13% | 26.11% | 45.27% | |
71 Outperform | C$2.87B | 20.55 | 13.88% | 6.37% | 0.67% | 11.91% | |
70 Outperform | C$5.23B | 22.64 | 12.57% | ― | -6.76% | -46.80% | |
66 Neutral | C$9.55B | 11.21 | 13.89% | 26.69% | -8.60% | 18.87% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
62 Neutral | C$6.56B | 189.26 | 1.34% | 1.29% | 7.64% | -86.01% |
* Energy Sector Average
TSE:PSK
PrairieSky Royalty
36.52
13.16
56.32%
TSE:ATH
Athabasca Oil
11.03
5.13
86.95%
TSE:TVE
Tamarack Valley Energy
13.76
8.46
159.57%
TSE:FRU
Freehold Royalties
17.78
5.31
42.59%
TSE:PEY
Peyto Exploration & Dev
25.32
7.47
41.82%
TSE:SCR
Strathcona Resources
44.66
16.47
58.43%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.