tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Whitecap Resources (TSE:WCP)
TSX:WCP

Whitecap Resources (WCP) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,552 Followers

Top Page

TS

Whitecap Resources

(TSX:WCP)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$9.50
▲( 8.82% Upside)
Whitecap Resources scores high due to its financial recovery, strategic mergers, and robust dividend yield. While technical indicators suggest caution, the low P/E ratio and strategic initiatives position it favorably for growth, appealing to both growth and income investors.
Positive Factors
Financial Flexibility
Whitecap Resources announced $270 million from non-core asset sales, aiding in financial flexibility.
Operational Performance
Reported Q4 cash flow came out at $0.70/sh vs consensus at $0.67/sh, indicating better-than-expected financial performance.
Strategic Growth
Whitecap Resources completed its merger with VRN, indicating strategic growth and expansion.
Negative Factors
Capital Expenditures
Unchanged guidance with production and capex showing stability and confidence in operational plans.
Debt Management
Net debt as a percentage of PDP value has decreased and currently stands at a low 13% of PDP value.

Whitecap Resources (WCP) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Whitecap Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWhitecap Resources Inc., oil and gas company, acquires and develops petroleum and natural gas properties in Canada. Its principal properties are located in West Central Alberta, British Columbia, Southeast Saskatchewan, West Central Saskatchewan, and Southwest Saskatchewan. As of February 14, 2022, it had a total proved plus probable reserves of 701,829 thousand barrels of oil equivalent. Whitecap Resources Inc. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyWhitecap Resources Inc. generates revenue through the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. The company's primary revenue streams include the sale of these commodities to various markets, primarily within Canada and the United States. Whitecap's earnings are significantly influenced by fluctuations in global oil and gas prices, which directly impact the revenue from its production activities. Additionally, the company often engages in hedging strategies to manage price risks and stabilize cash flows. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships also play a crucial role in enhancing Whitecap's production capabilities and expanding its asset base, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Whitecap Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Whitecap Resources demonstrates robust revenue growth and effective leverage management, but faces challenges with declining net profit margins and return on equity. The absence of EBIT profitability is a concern, though strong cash flow generation supports overall financial health.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Whitecap Resources has shown a strong recovery in its income statement metrics. The company achieved a significant gross profit margin improvement from 48.5% in 2023 to 60% in 2024. However, the net profit margin decreased slightly to 20.6% in 2024 from 27.5% in 2023, indicating increased costs or other financial pressures. Despite this, the revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024 was impressive at 21.9%, showcasing strong top-line growth. The lack of EBIT margin is a weak point, but EBITDA margin remained robust at 54.4% in 2024.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Whitecap Resources reflects a solid equity base with an equity ratio of 57.8% in 2024, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio improved to 0.20, showing a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. However, the return on equity decreased from 16.2% in 2023 to 14.1% in 2024, suggesting a decline in efficiency or profitability relative to equity.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement indicates healthy cash generation, with a free cash flow of $696.8 million in 2024, a growth of 12.8% from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 2.26, reflecting efficient cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio slightly decreased to 0.86, indicating potential challenges in maintaining cash flow relative to net earnings.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.85B3.94B3.23B4.78B2.69B931.90M
Gross Profit
2.16B2.36B1.40B3.11B1.73B453.24M
EBIT
1.00B937.30M1.02B1.79B840.86M18.85M
EBITDA
2.29B2.18B2.16B3.13B2.99B-2.00B
Net Income Common Stockholders
915.10M812.30M889.00M1.68B1.78B-1.84B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
0.00362.30M32.90M-29.00M-29.67M-71.59M
Total Assets
9.79B9.95B9.60B9.53B6.88B3.38B
Total Debt
942.50M1.14B1.38B1.87B1.09B1.17B
Net Debt
942.50M780.80M1.38B1.90B1.11B1.24B
Total Liabilities
3.98B4.20B4.13B4.48B3.14B2.38B
Stockholders Equity
5.81B5.75B5.48B5.05B3.74B996.95M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
633.60M696.80M617.60M1.49B564.70M248.91M
Operating Cash Flow
1.78B1.83B1.74B2.18B1.12B450.18M
Investing Cash Flow
-634.60M-563.80M-765.60M-2.50B-387.38M-261.03M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.14B-907.40M-976.90M313.40M-736.53M-189.15M

Whitecap Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.73
Price Trends
50DMA
8.35
Positive
100DMA
8.98
Negative
200DMA
9.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
59.83
Neutral
STOCH
69.28
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:WCP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.21, above the 50-day MA of 8.35, and below the 200-day MA of 9.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.28 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:WCP.

Whitecap Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSWCP
76
Outperform
$10.74B5.6616.40%8.25%5.56%35.85%
57
Neutral
$7.06B3.04-3.49%5.80%0.53%-50.39%
$4.58B10.6513.64%1.21%
$3.97B24.688.39%4.32%
$2.05B7.6216.78%
TSSCR
77
Outperform
C$6.16B8.6912.43%2.64%796.07%-35.52%
TSPEY
73
Outperform
C$3.75B12.5911.17%7.02%2.80%-7.94%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:WCP
Whitecap Resources
8.73
-1.19
-12.00%
MEGEF
MEG Energy
18.00
-3.99
-18.14%
PREKF
PrairieSky Royalty
16.79
-1.96
-10.45%
NUVSF
NuVista Energy
10.18
0.22
2.21%
TSE:PEY
Peyto Exploration & Dev
18.81
4.34
29.99%
TSE:SCR
Strathcona Resources
28.75
-5.05
-14.94%

Whitecap Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.67%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong first quarter performance with production and financial metrics exceeding expectations, strategic progress with the Barron combination, and effective cost management. Challenges were minimal and did not significantly impact overall operations.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Production Forecast
First quarter production reached 179,051 boe per day, surpassing the interim forecast by over 6,000 boe per day, driven by strong performance in Montney, Duvernay, and Glauconite assets.
Successful Drilling Program
Whitecap executed a 14-rig, 86-well first quarter drilling program with strong results, particularly in unconventional assets such as Montney and Duvernay.
Strong Financial Position
The company's balance sheet is robust with net debt below $1 billion, representing a debt-to-annualized funds flow ratio of only 0.6x, and is projected to maintain strength post-Barron combination.
Barron Combination Progress
Whitecap received Competition Bureau approval for the Barron combination, with the transaction expected to close on May 12, enhancing its position as a leading producer.
Cost Management and Capital Efficiency
First quarter operating and transportation costs were reduced by 2.5%, and the company maintained a focus on driving down controllable costs and increasing capital efficiencies.
Negative Updates
Musreau Downtime
Experienced downtime at Musreau due to an unexpected outage on a compressor, reducing throughput by about 25% for over a month.
Company Guidance
The guidance provided in the Whitecap Resources Q1 2025 results conference call highlighted several key metrics and strategic priorities. First quarter production reached 179,051 boe per day, surpassing the interim forecast by over 6,000 boe per day, driven by strong performance from the Montney, Duvernay, and Glauconite assets. The company reported funds flow of $446 million or $0.75 per share, with operating and transportation costs at $15.92 per boe. Net debt remained below $1 billion, representing a debt-to-annualized funds flow ratio of 0.6x. The pending combination with Barron, expected to close on May 12, is projected to result in a combined net debt of $3.5 billion by year-end, with a debt-to-annualized funds flow ratio of 1x. Whitecap emphasized its focus on maintaining balance sheet strength, capital discipline, and providing strong returns to shareholders, with a breakeven point for sustaining dividends and maintenance capital at $55 WTI and $2 AECO. The company also highlighted its strategic flexibility to adjust capital programs and cost structures in response to commodity price fluctuations, projecting a full funding position at $47 WTI and $3 AECO through identified synergies and cost deflation measures.

Whitecap Resources Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Whitecap Resources to End U.S. SEC Reporting Obligations
Neutral
May 22, 2025

Whitecap Resources Inc. announced its intention to terminate its U.S. reporting obligations with the SEC for its common shares, effective 90 days from filing, subject to SEC approval. The company’s shares will remain listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange, and it will continue to fulfill its Canadian disclosure obligations, ensuring transparency for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WCP) stock is a Buy with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitecap Resources stock, see the TSE:WCP Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividends
Whitecap Resources Secures TSX Approval for Share Buyback and Confirms May Dividend
Positive
May 15, 2025

Whitecap Resources Inc. has received approval from the Toronto Stock Exchange to renew its normal course issuer bid, allowing the company to repurchase up to 10% of its public float over the next year. This move is intended to enhance shareholder value by repurchasing shares when their market price does not reflect their underlying value. Additionally, Whitecap has confirmed a monthly dividend of Cdn. $0.0608 per share for May, reinforcing its commitment to providing sustainable dividends to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WCP) stock is a Buy with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitecap Resources stock, see the TSE:WCP Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Whitecap Resources Completes Merger with Veren, Boosts Production Outlook
Positive
May 12, 2025

Whitecap Resources Inc. has successfully completed its strategic merger with Veren Inc., making it the seventh largest oil and natural gas producer in Canada. This merger enhances Whitecap’s position as a major player in the industry, with increased production capabilities and a strong portfolio of drilling opportunities. The company plans to leverage this expanded asset base to improve profitability and shareholder returns. Additionally, Whitecap has entered agreements to sell non-strategic assets for $270 million, which will be used to strengthen its balance sheet. The company has also updated its 2025 production guidance, projecting increased production levels and significant capital expenditures focused on its Montney and Duvernay assets.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WCP) stock is a Buy with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Whitecap Resources stock, see the TSE:WCP Stock Forecast page.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A Transactions
Whitecap Resources and Veren Finalize Acquisition Plan
Neutral
May 8, 2025

Whitecap Resources Inc. and Veren Inc. have received the final court order for their planned business combination, where Whitecap will acquire all outstanding shares of Veren. This strategic move, expected to complete by May 12, 2025, will lead to Veren’s delisting from the TSX and NYSE, impacting its trading status and reporting obligations in the U.S. market.

Delistings and Listing ChangesM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Whitecap and Veren Shareholders Approve Business Combination
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Whitecap Resources Inc. and Veren Inc. have announced that their shareholders have approved a business combination, with significant majorities in favor from both companies. This merger, pending court approval and other conditions, is expected to close soon, resulting in Veren’s delisting from the TSX and NYSE, impacting its trading status and reporting obligations in the U.S.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Whitecap Resources Secures Strong Shareholder Support at Annual Meeting
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

Whitecap Resources Inc. announced that all matters presented at its annual shareholders’ meeting were approved, including the election of nine directors, appointment of auditors, and amendments to the award incentive plan. The meeting also saw the approval of a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation, reflecting strong shareholder support for the company’s governance and strategic initiatives.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Whitecap Resources Reports Robust Q1 2025 Results and Production Growth
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

Whitecap Resources Inc. reported strong financial and operational results for the first quarter of 2025, with a 6% increase in production to 179,051 boe/d compared to the same period in 2024. This growth was driven by higher-than-expected output from new wells and robust base production. The company’s funds flow also saw a significant rise, reaching $446 million, marking a 17% increase on a per-share basis from the previous year. These results underscore Whitecap’s continued operational momentum and strategic positioning in the oil and gas sector, benefiting stakeholders through enhanced production and financial performance.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Whitecap Resources Declares April Dividend and Announces Q1 2025 Results Call
Neutral
Apr 15, 2025

Whitecap Resources Inc. has announced a monthly cash dividend of Cdn. $0.0608 per share for April, payable on May 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of April 30, 2025. Additionally, the company will release its first quarter 2025 results on April 23, 2025, followed by a conference call and webcast on April 24, 2025, to discuss the results, reflecting its commitment to shareholder engagement and transparency.

DividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Whitecap Resources Announces March 2025 Dividend
Positive
Mar 13, 2025

Whitecap Resources Inc. has announced a monthly cash dividend of Cdn. $0.0608 per share for March 2025, payable on April 15, 2025. This move underscores the company’s commitment to providing sustainable dividends to its shareholders, reflecting its stable financial position and strategic focus on growth and shareholder returns.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Whitecap Resources and Veren Announce $15 Billion Merger to Form Leading Canadian Oil Producer
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

Whitecap Resources Inc. and Veren Inc. have announced a strategic merger valued at $15 billion, creating a leading Canadian light oil and condensate producer. This merger positions the combined entity as the largest landholder in the Alberta Montney and Duvernay regions, with significant production capabilities and a strong focus on sustainable growth. The transaction is expected to enhance profitability and shareholder returns, while also reinforcing the company’s financial strength and competitive advantage in the evolving energy market.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.