NuVista Energy (NVA) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $2.81B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 796.02K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.5
• Beta (1Y): 1.09
• Revenue Growth: -15.57%
• EPS Growth: -12.73%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 88
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 45
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.55
• Shares Outstanding: 200,664,030
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 967,630
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 796,017
• PEG Ratio: 0.28
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.15
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 13.62
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: $17.01
• Price Target Upside: 19.91% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: ―

NuVista Energy demonstrates strong financial performance with effective cost management and reduced debt levels. Its valuation appears attractive, indicating potential for price appreciation. While technical indicators suggest some caution in the short term, the company's record reserves and robust production growth offer a positive long-term outlook.

Positive Factors

Production and Reserves

NuVista reported a production beat and a strong reserve report, replacing 150% on a PDP basis, which is encouraging for investors.

Profitability

NuVista's management added $0.25 in value for every dollar spent, indicating strong profitability.

Negative Factors

Infrastructure Delays

Despite a delay in third-party infrastructure, there was no change to guidance, which should please investors.

NuVista Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

NuVista Energy Ltd., an oil and natural gas company, engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas reserves in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. It primarily focuses on the condensate rich Montney formation in the Wapiti area of the Alberta Deep Basin. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

NuVista Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids that it extracts from its properties. The company's key revenue streams include the production and sale of these commodities in both domestic and international markets. NuVista's earnings are influenced by the prevailing market prices of oil and natural gas, its production volumes, and operational efficiencies. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other energy companies and service providers can also impact revenue by facilitating access to new technologies, expertise, and markets, thereby optimizing production capabilities and cost management.

NuVista Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

NuVista Energy exhibits strong operational performance with solid margins and a healthy balance sheet. Revenue has slightly decreased, but effective cost management keeps profitability stable. The reduction in debt enhances financial stability, though attention is needed on cash flow management due to declining Free Cash Flow.

Income Statement

NuVista Energy has shown a slight decrease in revenue in the latest year, with a Total Revenue of $1.215 billion compared to $1.263 billion the previous year. Gross Profit Margin remains robust, indicating effective cost management. The Net Profit Margin declined slightly, reflecting a drop in profitability. The absence of EBIT in the latest report is notable, but EBITDA remains strong, suggesting good operational performance.

Balance Sheet

The company's Debt-to-Equity ratio has improved, indicating a lower reliance on debt to finance operations, which reduces financial risk. The Return on Equity remains healthy, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds. The Equity Ratio suggests a strong capital structure, with a significant portion of assets financed through equity.

Cash Flow

Operating Cash Flow remains strong, but Free Cash Flow has decreased, reflecting higher capital expenditures. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio indicates that the company generates sufficient cash to cover its net income. However, the Free Cash Flow Growth Rate has declined, which could impact future flexibility.

Breakdown
TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
1.24B	1.22B	1.26B	1.75B	885.29M	424.64M
	Gross Profit
807.83M	788.15M	804.36M	1.34B	819.33M	48.35M
	EBIT
281.03M	245.40M	513.69M	880.64M	471.14M	-239.52M
	EBITDA
830.47M	733.47M	767.13M	1.07B	562.80M	-38.84M
	Net Income Common Stockholders
382.10M	305.72M	367.68M	631.04M	264.67M	-197.88M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.68M	0.00	0.00	41.89M	-122.03M	-125.96M
	Total Assets
3.58B	3.45B	3.06B	2.82B	2.39B	2.16B
	Total Debt
281.44M	288.07M	305.05M	332.12M	541.26M	706.36M
	Net Debt
278.77M	288.07M	305.05M	290.23M	663.29M	832.32M
	Total Liabilities
1.15B	1.10B	943.02M	886.17M	956.17M	1.00B
	Stockholders Equity
2.43B	2.35B	2.12B	1.94B	1.44B	1.16B
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
201.83M	105.98M	160.14M	428.64M	50.74M	-32.91M
	Operating Cash Flow
685.02M	600.25M	721.34M	844.82M	338.58M	147.20M
	Investing Cash Flow
-511.58M	-499.58M	-531.59M	-442.09M	-176.26M	-201.43M
	Financing Cash Flow
-170.77M	-100.67M	-231.65M	-360.83M	-162.32M	54.23M

NuVista Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 14.19
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:NVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.19 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.98, above the 50-day MA of 12.66, and above the 200-day MA of 12.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.32 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:NVA.

NuVista Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
NVA	74 Outperform	$2.81B	7.50	16.78%	―	-15.57%	-12.73%
Sector *	57 Neutral	$7.06B	3.04	-3.49%	5.80%	0.53%	-50.39%
BTE		$1.27B	5.63	8.02%	4.01%	―	―
ATHOF		$1.91B	5.61	30.45%	―	―	―
PRMRF		$1.99B	1.85	48.97%	22.95%	―	―
FRHLF		$1.49B	12.79	15.22%	8.56%	―	―
IPCO	66 Neutral	C$2.20B	20.38	8.83%	―	-7.83%	-45.69%

NuVista Energy Corporate Events

NuVista Energy Reports Record Reserves and Strong 2024 Financial Results

NuVista Energy Ltd. reported record reserves and strong financial results for the year ending December 31, 2024, with significant growth in production and reserves. The company achieved its highest-ever annual average production, increased capital expenditures, and maintained a strong financial position with low net debt. NuVista also expanded its natural gas portfolio by adding LNG sales and was recognized as part of the TSX30 for the third consecutive year, ranking sixth overall.