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Freehold Royalties (TSE:FRU)
TSX:FRU
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Freehold Royalties (FRU) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FRU

Freehold Royalties

(TSX:FRU)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
Freehold Royalties demonstrates strong financial performance and attractive valuation, boosted by high dividends. However, negative cash flow and bearish technical indicators are concerns. The restructuring and ongoing dividend payouts provide a positive outlook, though cash management remains a priority. The overall score reflects a balanced view, weighing profitability and strategic initiatives against current market sentiment and financial challenges.
Positive Factors
Dividend Stability
FRU is capable of continuing to offer investors a stable and growing dividend as it executes on its U.S. expansion strategy—especially against a backdrop of weaker commodity prices.
Financial Position
The assets are expected to generate significant net royalty revenue, contributing to FRU's strong financial position.
U.S. Expansion Strategy
The acquisition increased FRU's U.S. inventory by more than 20%, with the Midland Basin now comprising about 50% of FRU's U.S. production, leading to higher realized pricing.
Negative Factors
Commodity Price Risk
FRU is highlighted for investors seeking a stable and growing dividend while executing its U.S. expansion strategy, especially in a market with weaker commodity prices.

Freehold Royalties (FRU) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Freehold Royalties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFreehold Royalties Ltd., an oil and gas royalty company, owns working interests in oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids, and potash properties in Western Canada and the United States. The company holds approximately 6.2 million gross acres of land in Canada and 0.8 million gross drilling unit acres in the United States. It has royalty interests in approximately 15,000 producing wells and receives royalty from approximately 350 industry operators in North America. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFreehold Royalties makes money by collecting royalty payments from oil and gas production on its lands. The company owns mineral titles and royalty interests that entitle it to a percentage of the revenue generated from the production of oil and gas. These royalties are typically based on production volumes and commodity prices. The company's revenue streams are significantly influenced by the performance of the oil and gas markets, as well as its ability to acquire and manage high-quality assets. Freehold Royalties also benefits from strategic partnerships with oil and gas operators who manage the day-to-day production activities on the lands, allowing Freehold to maintain a low-cost structure while generating revenue from its royalty interests.

Freehold Royalties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong production growth and strategic acquisitions, especially in the U.S., alongside impressive financial performance. However, these positives were tempered by declines in benchmark oil prices and challenges in drilling activities both in the U.S. and Canada.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Production Levels
Achieved production of 16,584 BOE a day with a liquid weighting of 67%, setting new high watermarks for Freehold.
Strategic Acquisitions Boost U.S. Positioning
9% production growth from Q2 last year, driven by strategic acquisitions in the U.S., particularly in the Permian Basin.
High Productivity Wells Contribution
31 new wells drilled with initial production rates (IP30s) over 73,000 BOE a day, significantly impacting production levels.
Strong Financial Performance
Funds from operations were $57 million in the quarter or $0.35 per share, marking a 40% increase in FFO per share compared to similar oil benchmark prices in 2021.
Successful Dividends and Investments
Paid $44 million in dividends and invested $12 million in acquiring undeveloped mineral title lands in the U.S.
Canadian Oil Plays Growth
Key Canadian oil plays grew by 10% compared to Q2 last year, now making up approximately 30% of Canadian production.
Negative Updates
Benchmark Oil Pricing Decline
Benchmark oil pricing was 11% lower than the previous quarter, dropping almost $8 a barrel to approximately $64 a barrel.
Slowdown in Drilling Rig Activity
Drilling rig activity in the Permian and Eagle Ford basins down about 10% year-to-date compared to last year.
Canadian Drilling Challenges
Seasonal slowdown in Canadian drilling activity and reduced activity in the Cardium due to weaker gas pricing.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 results conference call, Freehold demonstrated strong performance metrics despite market volatility. The company achieved a production rate of 16,584 BOE per day, with a liquid weighting of 67%, marking a 9% production growth compared to last year. This was largely driven by strategic acquisitions in the Permian Basin and high-performing wells with initial production rates (IP30s) exceeding 73,000 BOE per day. Freehold's average net royalty interest on these wells was 1.1%, effectively doubling the average U.S. royalty interest rate. Financially, Freehold reported $57 million in funds from operations, equating to $0.35 per share, representing a 40% increase from four years ago at similar oil prices. The company also paid $44 million in dividends and invested $12 million in undeveloped U.S. mineral title lands, maintaining a net debt of $271 million with a trailing net debt to funds from operations ratio of 1.1x. Additionally, the company projected returns in the high teens to low 20s percentage range from recent land acquisitions.

Freehold Royalties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Freehold Royalties shows strong profitability and a solid balance sheet with manageable leverage. However, recent revenue declines and negative free cash flow in 2024 suggest potential areas of concern. Overall, the company's financial health is stable, but addressing cash flow challenges could enhance resilience.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Freehold Royalties has demonstrated strong revenue and profit growth over the years. The gross profit margin for 2024 is approximately 64.33%, which is a robust figure indicating efficient cost management. However, the company saw a decline in total revenue from 2023 to 2024 by approximately 1.62%, which may warrant attention. Net profit margin for 2024 is high at 48.29%, showcasing strong profitability. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins are unavailable for 2024, but previous years show consistent profitability.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of around 0.28 for 2024, indicating a conservative use of leverage. Return on equity (ROE) for 2024 is approximately 13.60%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 74.16%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Freehold Royalties experienced a significant decline in free cash flow in 2024, resulting in a negative figure, which could indicate potential cash management challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio for 2024 is approximately 1.49, showing strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting the need for careful cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue320.07M309.48M314.57M393.02M206.19M89.96M
Gross Profit201.56M199.06M305.08M281.72M118.17M10.56M
EBITDA281.01M308.18M279.34M377.76M186.67M65.58M
Net Income119.67M149.45M131.90M209.19M72.08M-13.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41B1.48B1.12B1.21B1.07B829.91M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.000.000.00524.00K2.19M1.03M
Total Debt293.95M302.31M124.59M158.28M147.81M94.91M
Total Liabilities369.82M383.02M194.66M251.66M179.54M170.47M
Stockholders Equity1.04B1.10B923.76M960.34M890.97M659.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-47.25M-188.38M206.27M136.55M-214.98M62.13M
Operating Cash Flow243.59M223.33M216.92M327.35M162.02M65.77M
Investing Cash Flow-305.08M-400.37M-21.18M-191.18M-376.61M-9.55M
Financing Cash Flow61.49M177.03M-196.24M-138.08M215.78M-56.36M

Freehold Royalties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.29
Price Trends
50DMA
12.95
Positive
100DMA
12.32
Positive
200DMA
12.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
57.65
Neutral
STOCH
86.49
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FRU, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.25, above the 50-day MA of 12.95, and above the 200-day MA of 12.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.49 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:FRU.

Freehold Royalties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$2.19B17.4411.89%8.20%-0.92%-23.14%
56
Neutral
C$4.16B1.0515.99%5.25%10.45%-57.37%
$2.05B6.4727.01%
$2.07B2.0244.56%5.37%
$1.17B8.8825.93%5.96%
$4.01B25.658.08%4.32%
67
Neutral
C$2.80B39.525.46%-17.88%-67.55%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FRU
Freehold Royalties
13.17
0.69
5.52%
ATHOF
Athabasca Oil
4.09
0.11
2.76%
PRMRF
Paramount Resources
14.19
3.83
36.97%
CDDRF
Headwater Exploration
4.90
0.21
4.48%
PREKF
PrairieSky Royalty
16.95
-2.17
-11.35%
TSE:IPCO
International Petroleum Corporation
24.50
5.43
28.47%

Freehold Royalties Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Freehold Royalties Restructures Business with New Dedicated Leadership
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

Freehold Royalties Ltd. has announced the termination of its management agreement with Rife Resources Management Ltd., effective May 1, 2025, marking a significant shift in its business structure. This transition to a dedicated executive team is expected to streamline operations and simplify governance, reinforcing Freehold’s position as a leading North American royalty company, with continued support from its largest shareholder, CN Investment Division.

Spark’s Take on TSE:FRU Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:FRU is a Outperform.

Freehold Royalties’ overall score reflects strong financial performance and valuation, offset by negative cash flow concerns and bearish technical indicators. The company’s strategic growth initiatives and high dividend yield offer a positive long-term outlook, but cash flow management remains a priority.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:FRU stock, click here.

Dividends
Freehold Royalties Declares April 2025 Dividend
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Freehold Royalties Ltd. has announced a dividend of Cdn. $0.09 per common share, payable on May 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of April 30, 2025. This announcement reflects Freehold’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders and underscores its stable financial position within the energy royalty sector.

Spark’s Take on TSE:FRU Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:FRU is a Neutral.

Freehold Royalties’ strong financial performance and attractive valuation are somewhat offset by negative cash flow issues and bearish technical indicators. Strategic growth initiatives and high dividend yield provide positive outlooks, but cash flow management and market sentiment need attention.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:FRU stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Freehold Royalties Reports Strong 2024 Results and Strategic Growth
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

Freehold Royalties Ltd. reported strong financial and operational results for 2024, with significant revenue and funds from operations. The company achieved a notable increase in production and reserves, driven by organic growth and strategic acquisitions, including a major acquisition in the Midland Basin. These results underscore Freehold’s robust industry positioning and potential for future growth, benefiting stakeholders through increased dividends and enhanced asset value.

Dividends
Freehold Royalties Announces February 2025 Dividend
Positive
Feb 13, 2025

Freehold Royalties has announced a dividend of Cdn. $0.09 per common share, payable on March 17, 2025, to shareholders of record as of February 28, 2025. This declaration continues to position Freehold as a significant player in the energy royalty sector, providing shareholders with regular income and reinforcing its stable financial outlook.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2025