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Premium Brands (TSE:PBH)
TSX:PBH
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Premium Brands (PBH) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PBH

Premium Brands

(TSX:PBH)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$95.00
▲(2.79% Upside)
Premium Brands Holdings Corporation's overall stock score reflects strong future growth prospects and positive corporate events, offset by high leverage and premium valuation. The company's strategic initiatives and shareholder confidence contribute positively, while financial risks and valuation concerns temper the score.
Positive Factors
Consumer Trends
Premium Brands is well-positioned to benefit from long-term and emerging consumer trends, supporting organic growth across its businesses.
Financial Flexibility
Premium Brands completed a $150 million convertible debenture offering, which increases financial flexibility.
Growth Initiatives
Growth momentum in core U.S. sales growth initiatives continued and is expected to accelerate with major U.S. product launches by the end of the year.
Negative Factors
Customer Onboarding
Customer onboarding delays have pushed some growth into the following year, suggesting potential short-term challenges.
Raw Material Costs
Raw material inflation weighed on Q1 margins, but price increases are expected to offset this in the future.
Tariff Risks
Tariff noise introduces some near-term risk with significant topline sales exposure.

Premium Brands (PBH) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Premium Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPremium Brands Holdings Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes food products primarily in Canada and the United States. It operates in two segments, Specialty Foods and Premium Food Distribution. The company provides meat products and snacks, deli products, beef jerky and halal, sandwiches, pastries, specialty and gourmet products, salads and kettle products, entrees, panini, wraps, subs, hamburgers, burgers, muffins, breads, pastas, and baking and sushi products, as well as processed meat products and ready-to-eat meals. It is also involved in the distribution of food products, including meat, seafood, and halal food products; operation of retail/convenience store and concessionary; and provision of food and seafood processing, and cold storage services. The company operates under the brand names of Grimm's, Freybe, Piller's, Black Kassel, MarcAngelo, Oberto, Bavarian Meats, McSweeney's, Cattleman's Cut, Harvest Meats, Hempler's, Pacific Gold Country, Prime Meats, Isernio's, Fletcher's (U.S.), Leadbetters, Mclean Meats, Shahir, Expresco, Fresh Additions, Lou's Kitchen, WestEnd, Cobblestone, Yorkshire Valley Farms, Premier Meats, Black River Angus, La Maison Du Gibier, Belmont Meats, Purely Crafted, Cowboy, Connie's Kitchen, Skoulakis, Premier Healthy Living, Raybern's, Hygaard, Quality Fast Foods, Buddy's, Bread Garden Go, Stovers Kitchen, Deli Chef, Leonetti's, Island City, Stuyver's, La Boulangerie, Vero Vero, Alive & Rise, Partners, Audrey's, Duso's, Gourmet Chef, Smart Soup, Clearwater, Hancock Gourmet, Diana's Seafood, Marco Polo, Seafood Lover, Ready Brothers, Cold Cracked Lobster, Maximum Seafood, Rocky Point. It serves chains and large format retailers, independent and specialty retailers, foodservice operators, foodservice distributors, and other food manufacturers and food brokers. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Richmond, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPremium Brands Holdings generates revenue primarily from the production and sale of its specialty food products. The company's revenue model is built on multiple key revenue streams, including direct sales to retail and foodservice businesses, as well as through its distribution networks. It leverages its extensive brand portfolio and proprietary distribution channels to reach a wide customer base. Significant partnerships with retailers and foodservice operators enhance its market presence and distribution capabilities. Additionally, Premium Brands benefits from its acquisitions strategy, continuously expanding its offerings and market reach, which in turn contributes to its earnings growth.

Premium Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.34%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong future growth prospects supported by new capacity and initiatives, particularly in the U.S. market, along with efforts to reduce leverage. However, ongoing commodity price pressures and challenges in specific segments like the C-store channel and lobster exports present notable concerns. The overall sentiment of the call leans towards optimism for future growth despite current challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and Future Prospects
The company reiterated its annual guidance for revenue growth of 11% to 14% this year, with growth heavily weighted towards the back half of the year. New initiatives and increased capacity are expected to drive significant growth in Q3 and Q4.
Significant Growth in US Bakery Segment
The U.S. bakery segment reported over 30% growth in the quarter, with additional capacity set to support further expansion.
Tennessee Facility and Capacity Expansion
The Tennessee facility is now in commercial production, adding $280 million in sales capacity, with expectations to fill this capacity next year.
Potential Reduction in Leverage
The company is implementing a three-step plan to reduce leverage, aiming to reach its targeted range by the end of the year or early 2026.
Temporary Advance Recovery from Clearwater
The company expects to recover a temporary advance made to Clearwater within the year, with Clearwater showing signs of improvement.
Negative Updates
Commodity Price Pressures
Raw material inflation, particularly in chicken and beef, posed an 80 basis point headwind to margins in the quarter, with expectations of continued pressure in Q2.
Challenges in the C-Store Channel
Weakness observed in the C-store channel in the U.S., impacting the U.S. component of the jerky business.
Lobster Segment Drag
The lobster segment continues to be a drag due to high prices and lower exports to China, with most of the drag attributed to the higher price environment.
Uncertain Impact of Trade Developments
While no material impact from trade developments was observed in Q1, there remains uncertainty around potential tariffs and trade disruptions.
Company Guidance
During the Premium Brands Holdings Corporation First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reaffirmed its annual guidance of 11% to 14% revenue growth for the year, highlighting a stronger revenue trajectory expected in the latter half of the year. CEO George Paleologou and CFO Will Kalutycz discussed various performance metrics, including a notable $132 million realization from their sales pipeline in Q1, with additional growth anticipated as capacity increases. The company has targeted revenue between $7.2 billion and $7.4 billion for 2025, with significant contributions from new projects like the Tennessee facility. Organic volume growth was robust in Q1, and further acceleration is expected in Q3 and Q4. The company is also actively managing leverage, aiming to reach its target range by year-end, supported by a $230 million sale-leaseback initiative. Despite some headwinds from raw material inflation, particularly in chicken and beef prices, the company is optimistic about stabilization in the second half of the year.

Premium Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Premium Brands shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but high leverage and negative free cash flow present potential financial risks. Improvements in cash flow management and debt reduction could enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Premium Brands has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 3.36% compared to the previous year. Although gross profit slightly declined, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 18.29%. The net profit margin stands at 1.76%, reflecting stable but modest profitability. The EBIT margin is 5.57%, and the EBITDA margin is 8.35%, indicating efficient operational management despite moderate net income levels.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.87, highlighting significant leverage that may pose risks during economic downturns. Return on equity (ROE) is 6.75%, suggesting moderate returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is 29.55%, indicating that a substantial portion of the company’s assets is financed by equity, which is relatively healthy but leaves room for improvement.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has improved, yet free cash flow remains negative due to high capital expenditures, which could affect long-term liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.34, showing robust cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting the impact of significant capital investments.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.47B6.26B6.03B4.93B4.07B
Gross Profit1.29B1.05B1.10B901.90M780.20M
EBITDA545.50M493.00M483.50M387.30M295.60M
Net Income121.50M94.20M160.10M132.70M83.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.80B5.16B5.08B4.41B3.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments49.20M27.60M11.40M16.50M363.00M
Total Debt3.17B2.63B2.56B1.94B1.33B
Total Liabilities4.03B3.39B3.27B2.63B1.94B
Stockholders Equity1.77B1.77B1.81B1.77B1.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-111.70M34.20M-131.90M-76.90M134.70M
Operating Cash Flow253.10M433.90M96.50M66.30M227.30M
Investing Cash Flow-315.30M-299.20M-343.60M-808.90M-242.90M
Financing Cash Flow83.80M-118.50M242.00M396.10M360.20M

Premium Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price92.42
Price Trends
50DMA
83.51
Positive
100DMA
80.56
Positive
200DMA
79.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.01
Negative
RSI
66.78
Neutral
STOCH
78.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PBH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 92.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 88.04, above the 50-day MA of 83.51, and above the 200-day MA of 79.12, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PBH.

Premium Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$1.57B26.9812.75%2.24%11.87%56.93%
71
Outperform
C$4.15B44.205.36%3.68%6.29%24.34%
70
Outperform
C$13.19B42.30-2.20%2.37%9.91%-165.83%
70
Neutral
C$4.15B23.1511.29%2.75%5.44%1391.43%
64
Neutral
C$493.77M7.6612.01%4.94%-4.45%90.27%
54
Neutral
C$5.27B4.16-2.52%3.52%18.95%8.48%
$100.72M-183.38%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PBH
Premium Brands
92.42
9.93
12.04%
TSE:HLF
High Liner Foods
16.99
4.41
35.06%
TSE:MFI
Maple Leaf Foods
33.42
11.53
52.67%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
32.00
3.42
11.97%
TSE:JWEL
Jamieson Wellness Inc
37.49
7.25
23.97%
HBFGF
Happy Belly Food Group
0.78
0.41
110.81%

Premium Brands Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Premium Brands Achieves Record Q2 Sales and Strategic Growth
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation reported record second-quarter sales of $1.9 billion, a 12.5% increase from the previous year, driven by strong growth in its U.S. initiatives for protein and artisan baked goods. The company also completed a sale and leaseback of its Tennessee sandwich plant, generating $166 million, and declared a third-quarter dividend of $0.85 per share. Despite challenges such as protein cost inflation, the company achieved a 7.6% increase in adjusted EBITDA and made progress in debt reduction, indicating a positive impact on its financial stability and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBH) stock is a Buy with a C$94.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premium Brands stock, see the TSE:PBH Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Premium Brands to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation announced that it will release its second quarter 2025 financial results on August 6, 2025. The release will include pre-recorded management remarks, financial statements, and an investor presentation, which will be accessible on the company’s website. A live question and answer session with the company’s President and CEO, George Paleologou, and CFO, Will Kalutycz, will also be held on the same day. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBH) stock is a Buy with a C$94.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premium Brands stock, see the TSE:PBH Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Premium Brands Announces Strong Shareholder Support in 2025 Meeting
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation announced the results of its 2025 annual meeting, where a significant majority of shareholders voted in favor of all director nominees and the company’s executive compensation approach. The meeting saw 75.04% of issued shares voted, with directors like Sean Cheah and Dr. Marie Delorme receiving over 99% support. The strong backing for the company’s ‘say on pay’ vote and the reappointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as auditors reflect shareholder confidence in the company’s strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBH) stock is a Buy with a C$94.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premium Brands stock, see the TSE:PBH Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Premium Brands Reports Record Q1 Sales and Reaffirms 2025 Guidance
Positive
May 7, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation reported record first-quarter sales of $1.68 billion, a 14.9% increase from the previous year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $136.5 million. The company has reaffirmed its 2025 sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance, and declared a second-quarter dividend of $0.85 per share. Recent acquisitions, including Denmark Sausage, LLC, contributed to sales growth but initially impacted profitability. The company is focused on leveraging capital allocations for long-term value despite challenges such as cost inflation and tariff-related uncertainties.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025