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Premium Brands (TSE:PBH)
TSX:PBH
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Premium Brands (PBH) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PBH

Premium Brands

(TSX:PBH)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$100.00
▲(12.50% Upside)
Premium Brands' overall stock score reflects a mix of steady revenue growth and operational efficiency, offset by profitability and cash flow challenges. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, while the high P/E ratio indicates overvaluation. The earnings call provided positive long-term growth prospects but highlighted ongoing margin pressures. The dividend yield offers some compensation for the high valuation.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong organic growth indicates robust demand and effective market penetration, supporting long-term revenue expansion and market position.
Product Innovation
Successful product launches demonstrate the company's ability to innovate and meet consumer demand, driving future sales and brand strength.
Long-term Revenue Goals
Ambitious revenue targets reflect strategic planning and confidence in growth initiatives, enhancing investor confidence and long-term outlook.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressure
Sustained margin pressure from input costs can erode profitability, challenging the company's ability to maintain competitive pricing and margins.
Overhead Costs
Increased overhead costs from new facilities can strain margins, requiring efficient management to avoid long-term profitability issues.
Debt Levels
Higher leverage increases financial risk, potentially limiting strategic flexibility and increasing vulnerability to interest rate changes.

Premium Brands (PBH) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Premium Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPremium Brands Holdings Corporation (PBH) is a leading Canadian specialty food company that operates in the food production sector. The company focuses on high-quality, value-added food products, primarily in the meat and seafood categories. PBH's portfolio includes a diverse range of brands and products, such as prepared meats, fresh and frozen seafood, and premium deli meats, catering to both retail and foodservice customers across North America.
How the Company Makes MoneyPremium Brands generates revenue through the production and sale of its extensive line of specialty food products. The company's primary revenue streams include retail sales, where it supplies its branded products to grocery stores and supermarkets, and foodservice sales, providing products to restaurants, hotels, and catering services. Additionally, PBH benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions, which expand its product offerings and market reach. The company also focuses on innovation and product development, allowing it to meet consumer demand for high-quality, convenient food options, thus driving sales and profitability.

Premium Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong organic growth and successful new product launches, particularly in the U.S. However, the company faces significant margin pressures due to high input costs and overhead from new facilities, alongside challenges in the jerky segment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Volume Growth
The company achieved 10% organic volume growth in Q3, with expectations for even more acceleration into Q4, driven primarily by U.S. Specialty Foods.
Major National Launch Success
The company launched a major meat stick program in Q4, described as the largest in its history, which exceeded initial expectations.
Positive Long-term Revenue Goals
Reiterated 2027 revenue goals of $10 billion, with a strong year expected in 2026, driven by organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
Clearwater's Improved Performance
Clearwater showed a return to normalcy in certain fisheries and improved liquidity, contributing positively to the company's earnings.
Negative Updates
Margin Pressure from High Beef Costs
The Specialty Foods segment faced a 70 basis points impact on gross margins due to high beef costs, with expectations for continued headwinds into Q4.
Incremental Overhead Impact
Margins were pressured by incremental overhead from the Tennessee facility coming online and plants adding second shifts.
Large Restructuring Charge
The quarter included a significant restructuring charge related to inefficiencies and throughput issues as new capacity was ramped up.
Challenges in the Jerky Category
The jerky category experienced a significant decline due to high beef prices and competition, impacting the overall organic volume growth.
Company Guidance
During the 2025 Third Quarter Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating several key metrics and expectations. The company reported that the Specialty Foods segment's gross margin would have been 70 basis points higher if not for the high beef cost impact. The EBITDA margin was implied to be stable compared to the previous year, with plant overhead from a new Tennessee facility and second shifts contributing significantly to margin pressure. The company anticipates modest Q4 EBITDA margin improvement, despite ongoing beef price headwinds and overhead impacts, due to expected growth. Organic volume growth in Q3 was 10% for the total company, driven by U.S. Specialty Foods, and is expected to accelerate into Q4. The company reiterated its fiscal 2027 revenue target of $10 billion, expecting 2026 to be a very strong year with continued product launches and a sales pipeline that pulled $250 million in Q3. Additionally, the company is working on monetizing some assets, with proceeds likely used for debt reduction, aligning with its commitment to deleverage its balance sheet.

Premium Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Premium Brands shows steady revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with profitability and cash flow. The increasing leverage poses a risk, and the negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity concerns. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and managing its debt levels to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Premium Brands has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.17%. The gross profit margin has slightly decreased to 18.30% in the TTM period, indicating some pressure on cost management. The net profit margin is relatively low at 1.76%, which suggests limited profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 1.87 in the TTM period, indicating higher leverage and potential risk. The return on equity is modest at 6.72%, showing average profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has decreased significantly, and free cash flow remains negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient free cash flow relative to its net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, reflecting potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.90B6.47B6.26B6.03B4.93B4.07B
Gross Profit1.33B1.29B1.21B1.10B901.90M780.20M
EBITDA451.60M430.90M392.70M363.20M337.40M270.50M
Net Income93.20M121.50M94.20M160.10M132.70M83.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.97B5.80B5.16B5.08B4.41B3.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.90M49.20M27.60M11.40M16.50M363.00M
Total Debt3.30B3.20B2.65B2.58B1.95B1.35B
Total Liabilities4.26B4.03B3.39B3.27B2.63B1.94B
Stockholders Equity1.72B1.77B1.77B1.82B1.78B1.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-137.30M-111.70M34.20M-131.90M-76.90M134.70M
Operating Cash Flow143.70M253.10M433.90M96.50M66.30M227.30M
Investing Cash Flow-46.10M-315.30M-299.20M-343.60M-808.90M-242.90M
Financing Cash Flow-96.80M83.80M-118.50M242.00M396.10M360.20M

Premium Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price88.89
Price Trends
50DMA
94.13
Negative
100DMA
90.52
Negative
200DMA
83.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.52
Positive
RSI
32.59
Neutral
STOCH
10.51
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PBH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 88.89 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.89, below the 50-day MA of 94.13, and above the 200-day MA of 83.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.51 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PBH.

Premium Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$1.45B24.9213.44%2.45%11.25%58.21%
67
Neutral
C$3.28B18.2211.72%3.12%-0.03%497.79%
64
Neutral
C$4.27B45.493.86%3.65%8.42%-17.99%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
C$490.34M7.638.60%5.85%6.15%-36.76%
61
Neutral
C$13.83B-95.78-1.32%2.18%5.37%-135.85%
54
Neutral
$223.97M-98.30-97.83%144.66%-11.39%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PBH
Premium Brands
88.89
14.36
19.27%
TSE:HLF
High Liner Foods
13.75
0.69
5.27%
TSE:MFI
Maple Leaf Foods
24.15
4.66
23.91%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
36.69
11.19
43.88%
TSE:JWEL
Jamieson Wellness Inc
34.94
0.08
0.23%
TSE:HBFG
Happy Belly Food Group
1.73
1.05
154.41%

Premium Brands Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Premium Brands Achieves Record Q3 Sales and Declares Dividend Amidst Industry Shifts
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation reported record third-quarter sales of $2.0 billion, marking a 19.1% increase from the previous year, driven by strong organic volume growth and strategic U.S. market initiatives. Despite challenges such as protein cost inflation, the company achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $179.1 million and declared a fourth-quarter dividend, indicating robust financial health and continued expansion in the specialty foods sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBH) stock is a Buy with a C$103.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premium Brands stock, see the TSE:PBH Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Premium Brands to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 27, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation is set to release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 10, 2025. The announcement will include pre-recorded management remarks, a press release with financial statements, and an investor presentation, all accessible on the company’s website. Additionally, a live question and answer session will be hosted by the company’s President and CEO, George Paleologou, and CFO, Will Kalutycz, providing stakeholders an opportunity to engage directly with the company’s leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBH) stock is a Buy with a C$108.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premium Brands stock, see the TSE:PBH Stock Forecast page.

Premium Brands Holdings Reports Record Sales and Growth
Aug 13, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings’ recent earnings call painted a generally positive outlook, underscored by strong sales and organic growth, particularly in the U.S. market. Despite facing challenges such as margin pressure from commodity inflation and a contraction in U.S. sandwich initiatives, the company highlighted record sales and strategic investments as key positive aspects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025