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Premium Brands (TSE:PBH)
TSX:PBH

Premium Brands (PBH) AI Stock Analysis

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Premium Brands

(TSX:PBH)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$87.00
▲(7.87%Upside)
Premium Brands' overall stock score reflects strong growth prospects and positive corporate events, offset by high leverage and valuation concerns. The earnings call and corporate events provide a positive outlook, but technical indicators suggest caution.
Positive Factors
Consumer Trends
Premium Brands is well-positioned to benefit from long-term and emerging consumer trends, supporting organic growth across its businesses.
Financial Flexibility
Premium Brands completed a $150 million convertible debenture offering, which increases financial flexibility.
Growth Initiatives
Growth momentum in core U.S. sales growth initiatives continued and is expected to accelerate with major U.S. product launches by the end of the year.
Negative Factors
Customer Onboarding
Customer onboarding delays have pushed some growth into the following year, suggesting potential short-term challenges.
Raw Material Costs
Raw material inflation weighed on Q1 margins, but price increases are expected to offset this in the future.
Tariffs and Sales Risk
Tariff noise introduces some near-term risk with significant topline sales exposure.

Premium Brands (PBH) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Premium Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPremium Brands Holdings Corporation (PBH) is a leading Canadian company that specializes in the manufacturing and distribution of a wide array of food products. Operating in the food industry, PBH owns a diverse portfolio of specialty food businesses and brands, including premium protein, seafood, and gourmet food products. The company serves various sectors, including retail, food service, and wholesale, with a commitment to providing high-quality, innovative, and sustainable food solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyPremium Brands Holdings Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its specialty food products across multiple channels, including retail, food service, and wholesale. The company's revenue model is driven by its diverse portfolio of brands and products, which allows it to cater to a wide range of consumer preferences and market segments. Key revenue streams include premium protein products, seafood, and gourmet foods, which are distributed through a well-established network of retailers, restaurants, and food service operators. In addition to organic growth through its existing brands, PBH frequently expands its business through strategic acquisitions of complementary companies and brands, enhancing its market presence and broadening its product offerings. Significant partnerships with retailers and food service providers further contribute to its earnings by increasing distribution reach and brand visibility.

Premium Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.63%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong future growth prospects supported by new capacity and initiatives, particularly in the U.S. market, along with efforts to reduce leverage. However, ongoing commodity price pressures and challenges in specific segments like the C-store channel and lobster exports present notable concerns. The overall sentiment of the call leans towards optimism for future growth despite current challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and Future Prospects
The company reiterated its annual guidance for revenue growth of 11% to 14% this year, with growth heavily weighted towards the back half of the year. New initiatives and increased capacity are expected to drive significant growth in Q3 and Q4.
Significant Growth in US Bakery Segment
The U.S. bakery segment reported over 30% growth in the quarter, with additional capacity set to support further expansion.
Tennessee Facility and Capacity Expansion
The Tennessee facility is now in commercial production, adding $280 million in sales capacity, with expectations to fill this capacity next year.
Potential Reduction in Leverage
The company is implementing a three-step plan to reduce leverage, aiming to reach its targeted range by the end of the year or early 2026.
Temporary Advance Recovery from Clearwater
The company expects to recover a temporary advance made to Clearwater within the year, with Clearwater showing signs of improvement.
Negative Updates
Commodity Price Pressures
Raw material inflation, particularly in chicken and beef, posed an 80 basis point headwind to margins in the quarter, with expectations of continued pressure in Q2.
Challenges in the C-Store Channel
Weakness observed in the C-store channel in the U.S., impacting the U.S. component of the jerky business.
Lobster Segment Drag
The lobster segment continues to be a drag due to high prices and lower exports to China, with most of the drag attributed to the higher price environment.
Uncertain Impact of Trade Developments
While no material impact from trade developments was observed in Q1, there remains uncertainty around potential tariffs and trade disruptions.
Company Guidance
During the Premium Brands Holdings Corporation First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reaffirmed its annual guidance of 11% to 14% revenue growth for the year, highlighting a stronger revenue trajectory expected in the latter half of the year. CEO George Paleologou and CFO Will Kalutycz discussed various performance metrics, including a notable $132 million realization from their sales pipeline in Q1, with additional growth anticipated as capacity increases. The company has targeted revenue between $7.2 billion and $7.4 billion for 2025, with significant contributions from new projects like the Tennessee facility. Organic volume growth was robust in Q1, and further acceleration is expected in Q3 and Q4. The company is also actively managing leverage, aiming to reach its target range by year-end, supported by a $230 million sale-leaseback initiative. Despite some headwinds from raw material inflation, particularly in chicken and beef prices, the company is optimistic about stabilization in the second half of the year.

Premium Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Premium Brands shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but the high leverage and negative free cash flow present potential financial risks. While profitability is stable, further improvements in cash flow management and reduction in debt levels could strengthen the company's financial position.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Premium Brands has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase of 3.36% compared to the previous year. Although gross profit slightly declined, the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 18.29%. The net profit margin stands at 1.76%, reflecting stable but modest profitability. The EBIT margin is 5.57%, and the EBITDA margin is 8.35%, indicating efficient operational management despite moderate net income levels.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.87, highlighting significant leverage that may pose risks during economic downturns. Return on equity (ROE) is 6.75%, suggesting moderate returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio is 29.55%, indicating that a substantial portion of the company’s assets is financed by equity, which is relatively healthy but leaves room for improvement.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has improved, yet free cash flow remains negative due to high capital expenditures, which could affect long-term liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.34, showing robust cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting the impact of significant capital investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.69B6.47B6.26B6.03B4.93B4.07B
Gross Profit1.22B1.29B1.05B1.10B901.90M780.20M
EBITDA558.40M545.50M493.00M483.50M387.30M295.60M
Net Income117.80M121.50M94.20M160.10M132.70M83.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.91B5.80B5.16B5.08B4.41B3.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.90M49.20M27.60M11.40M16.50M363.00M
Total Debt3.26B3.17B2.63B2.56B1.94B1.33B
Total Liabilities4.16B4.03B3.39B3.27B2.63B1.94B
Stockholders Equity1.75B1.77B1.77B1.81B1.77B1.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-57.30M-111.70M34.20M-131.90M-76.90M134.70M
Operating Cash Flow275.70M253.10M433.90M96.50M66.30M227.30M
Investing Cash Flow-339.90M-315.30M-299.20M-343.60M-808.90M-242.90M
Financing Cash Flow68.90M83.80M-118.50M242.00M396.10M360.20M

Premium Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.65
Price Trends
50DMA
80.05
Positive
100DMA
78.33
Positive
200DMA
80.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Negative
RSI
52.62
Neutral
STOCH
61.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PBH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.65 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.34, above the 50-day MA of 80.05, and above the 200-day MA of 80.62, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PBH.

Premium Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSHLF
78
Outperform
C$523.08M6.8314.49%3.78%-4.45%90.27%
76
Outperform
C$1.49B27.7711.64%3.23%12.62%47.37%
TSMFI
72
Outperform
C$3.50B36.976.05%3.40%3.16%
TSPBH
66
Neutral
C$3.62B30.446.75%4.23%6.29%24.34%
65
Neutral
$26.88B15.06-4.01%3.23%1.02%2.11%
TSSAP
60
Neutral
C$11.32B42.30-2.51%2.79%9.20%-147.37%
52
Neutral
$145.00M-183.38%100.08%-22.44%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PBH
Premium Brands
80.65
-11.92
-12.88%
TSE:HBFG
Happy Belly Food Group
1.12
0.62
124.00%
TSE:MFI
Maple Leaf Foods
28.26
6.16
27.87%
TSE:HLF
High Liner Foods
17.98
5.15
40.14%
TSE:JWEL
Jamieson Wellness Inc
35.68
7.13
24.97%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
27.23
-3.51
-11.42%

Premium Brands Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Premium Brands Reports Record Q1 Sales and Reaffirms 2025 Guidance
Positive
May 7, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation reported record first-quarter sales of $1.68 billion, a 14.9% increase from the previous year, and an adjusted EBITDA of $136.5 million. The company has reaffirmed its 2025 sales and adjusted EBITDA guidance, and declared a second-quarter dividend of $0.85 per share. Recent acquisitions, including Denmark Sausage, LLC, contributed to sales growth but initially impacted profitability. The company is focused on leveraging capital allocations for long-term value despite challenges such as cost inflation and tariff-related uncertainties.

Financial Disclosures
Premium Brands Holdings to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 24, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation announced it will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 7, 2025. The release will include pre-recorded management remarks, a press release with financial statements, and an investor presentation. A live question and answer session with the company’s President and CEO, George Paleologou, and CFO, Will Kalutycz, will also be held. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction for the upcoming quarters.

Shareholder Meetings
Premium Brands Clarifies Voting Process for Upcoming Annual Meeting
Neutral
Apr 8, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation has distributed materials to its shareholders ahead of its Annual Meeting scheduled for May 6, 2025. The meeting will address two key shareholder proposals: the adoption of an ‘overboarding’ policy for directors and the disclosure of the percentage of pork produced using group sow housing. The Board recommends voting against both proposals, and the proxy form allows a single vote for or against both proposals collectively.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 24, 2025