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Premium Brands (TSE:PBH)
TSX:PBH
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Premium Brands (PBH) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PBH

Premium Brands

(TSX:PBH)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$105.00
▲(6.92% Upside)
Premium Brands' strong revenue growth and successful product launches are offset by high leverage, negative cash flow, and margin pressures. The high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, while technical indicators show mixed signals.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates a robust demand for PBH's specialty food products, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term expansion.
Successful Product Launches
Successful product launches demonstrate PBH's ability to innovate and meet consumer demands, driving future revenue and market share growth.
Positive Long-term Revenue Goals
Ambitious long-term revenue targets reflect confidence in strategic planning and growth potential, supporting investor confidence and business sustainability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, especially in a rising interest rate environment, potentially impacting cash flow and financial flexibility.
Margin Pressure
Increased overhead costs can erode profitability, challenging PBH's ability to maintain margins and necessitating efficient cost management.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow constrains PBH's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, potentially hindering long-term financial health.

Premium Brands (PBH) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Premium Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPremium Brands Holdings Corporation, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes food products primarily in Canada and the United States. It operates in two segments, Specialty Foods and Premium Food Distribution. The company provides meat products and snacks, deli products, beef jerky and halal, sandwiches, pastries, specialty and gourmet products, salads and kettle products, entrees, panini, wraps, subs, hamburgers, burgers, muffins, breads, pastas, and baking and sushi products, as well as processed meat products and ready-to-eat meals. It is also involved in the distribution of food products, including meat, seafood, and halal food products; operation of retail/convenience store and concessionary; and provision of food and seafood processing, and cold storage services. The company operates under the brand names of Grimm's, Freybe, Piller's, Black Kassel, MarcAngelo, Oberto, Bavarian Meats, McSweeney's, Cattleman's Cut, Harvest Meats, Hempler's, Pacific Gold Country, Prime Meats, Isernio's, Fletcher's (U.S.), Leadbetters, Mclean Meats, Shahir, Expresco, Fresh Additions, Lou's Kitchen, WestEnd, Cobblestone, Yorkshire Valley Farms, Premier Meats, Black River Angus, La Maison Du Gibier, Belmont Meats, Purely Crafted, Cowboy, Connie's Kitchen, Skoulakis, Premier Healthy Living, Raybern's, Hygaard, Quality Fast Foods, Buddy's, Bread Garden Go, Stovers Kitchen, Deli Chef, Leonetti's, Island City, Stuyver's, La Boulangerie, Vero Vero, Alive & Rise, Partners, Audrey's, Duso's, Gourmet Chef, Smart Soup, Clearwater, Hancock Gourmet, Diana's Seafood, Marco Polo, Seafood Lover, Ready Brothers, Cold Cracked Lobster, Maximum Seafood, Rocky Point. It serves chains and large format retailers, independent and specialty retailers, foodservice operators, foodservice distributors, and other food manufacturers and food brokers. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Richmond, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPremium Brands generates revenue through the production and sale of its extensive line of specialty food products. The company's primary revenue streams include retail sales, where it supplies its branded products to grocery stores and supermarkets, and foodservice sales, providing products to restaurants, hotels, and catering services. Additionally, PBH benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions, which expand its product offerings and market reach. The company also focuses on innovation and product development, allowing it to meet consumer demand for high-quality, convenient food options, thus driving sales and profitability.

Premium Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong organic growth and successful new product launches, particularly in the U.S. However, the company faces significant margin pressures due to high input costs and overhead from new facilities, alongside challenges in the jerky segment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Organic Volume Growth
The company achieved 10% organic volume growth in Q3, with expectations for even more acceleration into Q4, driven primarily by U.S. Specialty Foods.
Major National Launch Success
The company launched a major meat stick program in Q4, described as the largest in its history, which exceeded initial expectations.
Positive Long-term Revenue Goals
Reiterated 2027 revenue goals of $10 billion, with a strong year expected in 2026, driven by organic growth and strategic acquisitions.
Clearwater's Improved Performance
Clearwater showed a return to normalcy in certain fisheries and improved liquidity, contributing positively to the company's earnings.
Negative Updates
Margin Pressure from High Beef Costs
The Specialty Foods segment faced a 70 basis points impact on gross margins due to high beef costs, with expectations for continued headwinds into Q4.
Incremental Overhead Impact
Margins were pressured by incremental overhead from the Tennessee facility coming online and plants adding second shifts.
Large Restructuring Charge
The quarter included a significant restructuring charge related to inefficiencies and throughput issues as new capacity was ramped up.
Challenges in the Jerky Category
The jerky category experienced a significant decline due to high beef prices and competition, impacting the overall organic volume growth.
Company Guidance
During the 2025 Third Quarter Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating several key metrics and expectations. The company reported that the Specialty Foods segment's gross margin would have been 70 basis points higher if not for the high beef cost impact. The EBITDA margin was implied to be stable compared to the previous year, with plant overhead from a new Tennessee facility and second shifts contributing significantly to margin pressure. The company anticipates modest Q4 EBITDA margin improvement, despite ongoing beef price headwinds and overhead impacts, due to expected growth. Organic volume growth in Q3 was 10% for the total company, driven by U.S. Specialty Foods, and is expected to accelerate into Q4. The company reiterated its fiscal 2027 revenue target of $10 billion, expecting 2026 to be a very strong year with continued product launches and a sales pipeline that pulled $250 million in Q3. Additionally, the company is working on monetizing some assets, with proceeds likely used for debt reduction, aligning with its commitment to deleverage its balance sheet.

Premium Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Premium Brands shows strong revenue growth and stable gross margins but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. High leverage and negative free cash flow are significant concerns.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Premium Brands has shown consistent revenue growth with a 4.63% increase in the TTM period. However, margins have slightly declined, with the net profit margin at 1.35% and EBIT margin at 4.82%. The gross profit margin remains stable at 19.26%, indicating effective cost management. Overall, the company demonstrates solid revenue growth but faces pressure on profitability margins.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.92, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment. Return on equity is modest at 5.34%, reflecting moderate profitability. The equity ratio stands at 27.88%, suggesting a balanced asset structure but with potential vulnerability due to high debt levels.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Operating cash flow has decreased significantly, with a low operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.11. Free cash flow is negative, indicating challenges in generating cash after capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio is -0.96, highlighting cash flow constraints despite revenue growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.22B6.47B6.26B6.03B4.93B4.07B
Gross Profit1.37B1.29B1.21B1.10B901.90M780.20M
EBITDA456.80M430.90M392.70M363.20M337.40M270.50M
Net Income66.10M121.50M94.20M160.10M132.70M83.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.03B5.80B5.16B5.08B4.41B3.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.60M49.20M27.60M11.40M16.50M363.00M
Total Debt3.39B3.20B2.65B2.58B1.95B1.35B
Total Liabilities4.35B4.03B3.39B3.27B2.63B1.94B
Stockholders Equity1.68B1.77B1.77B1.82B1.78B1.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-174.70M-111.70M34.20M-131.90M-76.90M134.70M
Operating Cash Flow70.20M253.10M433.90M96.50M66.30M227.30M
Investing Cash Flow29.70M-315.30M-299.20M-343.60M-808.90M-242.90M
Financing Cash Flow-80.50M83.80M-118.50M242.00M396.10M360.20M

Premium Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price98.20
Price Trends
50DMA
93.93
Positive
100DMA
92.30
Positive
200DMA
84.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.82
Negative
RSI
62.36
Neutral
STOCH
93.65
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PBH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 98.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.29, above the 50-day MA of 93.93, and above the 200-day MA of 84.85, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.82 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PBH.

Premium Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$1.45B24.9213.44%2.57%11.25%58.21%
67
Neutral
C$3.28B18.2211.72%3.12%-0.03%497.79%
67
Neutral
C$4.27B45.493.86%3.46%13.05%-33.72%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
C$13.83B-95.78-1.32%1.97%5.37%-135.85%
58
Neutral
C$490.34M7.638.60%5.57%6.15%-36.76%
54
Neutral
$223.97M-98.30-95.27%212.16%-46.40%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PBH
Premium Brands
98.20
18.07
22.55%
TSE:HLF
High Liner Foods
13.43
-1.58
-10.52%
TSE:MFI
Maple Leaf Foods
25.08
5.16
25.90%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
39.64
13.11
49.44%
TSE:JWEL
Jamieson Wellness Inc
34.25
-2.27
-6.22%
TSE:HBFG
Happy Belly Food Group
1.80
0.82
83.67%

Premium Brands Corporate Events

Premium Brands Holdings: Earnings Call Insights
Nov 12, 2025

The recent earnings call for Premium Brands Holdings showcased a mixed sentiment, with the company celebrating robust organic growth and successful product launches, particularly in the U.S. market. However, these positive developments were tempered by significant margin pressures stemming from high input costs and overhead from new facilities, as well as challenges in the jerky segment.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Premium Brands Achieves Record Q3 Sales and Declares Dividend Amidst Industry Shifts
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation reported record third-quarter sales of $2.0 billion, marking a 19.1% increase from the previous year, driven by strong organic volume growth and strategic U.S. market initiatives. Despite challenges such as protein cost inflation, the company achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $179.1 million and declared a fourth-quarter dividend, indicating robust financial health and continued expansion in the specialty foods sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBH) stock is a Buy with a C$103.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premium Brands stock, see the TSE:PBH Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Premium Brands to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 27, 2025

Premium Brands Holdings Corporation is set to release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 10, 2025. The announcement will include pre-recorded management remarks, a press release with financial statements, and an investor presentation, all accessible on the company’s website. Additionally, a live question and answer session will be hosted by the company’s President and CEO, George Paleologou, and CFO, Will Kalutycz, providing stakeholders an opportunity to engage directly with the company’s leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PBH) stock is a Buy with a C$108.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Premium Brands stock, see the TSE:PBH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 28, 2025