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Saputo Inc. (TSE:SAP)
TSX:SAP

Saputo Inc. (SAP) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SAP

Saputo Inc.

(TSX:SAP)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$45.00
â–²(11.55% Upside)
Saputo Inc. has a solid financial foundation with strong cash flow and revenue growth, but profitability issues weigh on the score. Technical indicators show strong momentum, though valuation concerns persist due to negative earnings. Positive earnings call guidance and sentiment provide a boost.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Generation
The significant increase in cash flow enhances Saputo's financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt reduction, which supports long-term growth.
Improved Financial Metrics
The improvement in financial metrics indicates effective cost management and operational efficiency, strengthening Saputo's competitive position and profitability.
Growth in Canadian Segment
Revenue growth in Canada demonstrates Saputo's ability to adapt to inflationary pressures and maintain market leadership, supporting long-term revenue stability.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues may hinder Saputo's ability to reinvest in growth and compete effectively, impacting long-term financial health.
Challenges in Australia
Operational challenges in Australia could affect Saputo's ability to maintain efficiency and profitability in this key market, impacting global operations.
U.S. Revenue Decline
Revenue decline in the U.S. market may signal competitive pressures and market volatility, potentially affecting Saputo's overall revenue growth trajectory.

Saputo Inc. (SAP) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Saputo Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSaputo Inc. produces, markets, and distributes dairy products in Canada, the United States, Argentina, Australia, and the United Kingdom. The company offers cheeses, including mozzarella and cheddar; specialty cheeses, such as ricotta, provolone, blue, parmesan, goat cheese, feta, romano, and havarti; fine cheeses comprising brie and camembert; and other cheeses that include brick, colby, farmer, munster, monterey jack, fresh curd, and processed cheeses. It also provides fluid milk, yogurt, sour cream, cottage cheese, and ice cream mixes, as well as other dairy and non-dairy products, which comprise butter, cream and creamers, aerosol whipped toppings, whipping cream, dips, spread, oil, flavored coffee whitener, and iced coffee. In addition, the company offers dairy ingredients and nutritional products, including milk powder, casein, whey powder, lactose, lactoferrin, infant formula, and whey protein concentrates; and distributes fine imported cheese to specialty stores, as well as dairy and non-dairy products manufactured by third parties. It serves customers in the retail, foodservice, and industrial segments. The company sells its products under the Saputo, Alexis de Portneuf, Armstrong, Bari, Cogruet, DuVillage 1860, Kingsey, Shepherd Gourmet Dairy, Stella, Woolwich Goat Dairy, Cathedral City, Clover, Country Life, Davidstow, Frylight, Wensleydale Creamery, Vitalite, Sheese, Dairyland, Neilson, Nutrilait, Baxter, Scotsburn, Trutaste, Milk2Go/Lait's Go, Joyya, Baileys, Heluva Good, CHEER, Cracker Barrel, Devondale, Fred Walker, Great Ocean Road, King Island Dairy, Liddells, Mersey Valley, Mil Lel, Murray Goulburn Ingredients, Warrnambool, South Cape, Sungold, Tasmanian Heritage, La Paulina, Molfino, Ricrem, Black Creek, Frigo Cheese Heads, Gardenia, Great Midwest, King's Choice, Lugano, Montchevre, Organic Creamery, Salemville, Treasure Cave, DairyStar, and Friendship Dairies brands. Saputo Inc. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySaputo Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of dairy products, which include cheese, fluid milk, and dairy ingredients. The company operates through various segments, including the Dairy Products Division (Canada), the Dairy Products Division (USA), the Cheese Division (Canada and USA), and the International Sector. Key revenue streams come from retail sales, foodservice sales, and industrial sales. Significant partnerships with retailers and foodservice operators contribute to consistent demand for its products. Additionally, Saputo benefits from economies of scale due to its extensive production capabilities and distribution networks, enhancing its profitability. The company also engages in strategic acquisitions to expand its product offerings and market presence, further driving revenue growth.

Saputo Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted strong cash flow, improved financial metrics, and significant industry recognition, indicating positive progress. However, challenges such as U.S. revenue decline, transitional costs, and operational issues in Australia and Europe were noted.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Operations generated robust cash flow of $372 million, up 130% year-over-year, driven by lower capital spending and improved working capital management.
Significant Recognition in North America
Saputo received prestigious industry awards in North America for supplier performance, showcasing strong customer relationships and confidence.
Improved Financial Metrics
Adjusted EBITDA increased by 16% to $450 million, and adjusted net earnings rose by 26% to $198 million compared to the same quarter last year.
Operational Efficiency and Cost Management
Enhanced operational efficiencies and proactive cost management led to margin expansions across various sectors.
Growth in Canadian Segment
Canadian revenues increased by 6%, driven by strong sales volumes and higher selling prices to combat inflationary pressures.
Strategic Share Repurchases
Returned $376 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, with plans to continue actively repurchasing shares.
Negative Updates
U.S. Revenue Decline
U.S. revenues decreased by 3% due to lower dairy commodity market pricing, though partially offset by higher selling prices and increased sales volume.
Challenges in Australia
Australia faced higher milk costs and reduced milk availability, impacting operational efficiencies despite improved year-over-year results.
Europe Sector Performance Impact
Europe's adjusted EBITDA decreased by $3 million due to a major maintenance shutdown and asset transitions, despite a 17% increase in revenue.
Transitional Costs in U.S.
Incurred transitional implementation costs associated with the start-up of a new warehousing facility, affecting short-term financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the Saputo Inc. Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results Call, the company provided strong guidance on several key metrics. Consolidated revenues for Q2 2026 were reported at $4.7 billion, showing stability compared to the previous year, with higher sales volumes particularly noted in North America. Adjusted EBITDA reached $450 million, marking a 16% increase from last year, driven by improved commercial execution and cost management. Net earnings totaled $185 million, and on an adjusted basis, net earnings rose to $198 million, reflecting a 26% increase. This led to an adjusted EPS of $0.48 per share, up from $0.37 the previous year, representing a 30% growth, partly due to share repurchases. Cash flow from operating activities was robust at $372 million, up 130% year-over-year, while capital expenditure remained in line with plans at $84 million. The company's net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improved to 1.88, indicating a strong balance sheet and financial flexibility for future strategic initiatives.

Saputo Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Saputo Inc. shows strong revenue growth and effective cash flow management, which are positive indicators. However, the negative net income and declining profitability margins are significant concerns. The balance sheet shows stable leverage, but the negative return on equity highlights challenges in generating shareholder value.
Income Statement
Saputo Inc. has shown a mixed performance in its income statement. The company experienced a significant revenue growth rate of 13.1% in the TTM period, indicating strong top-line growth. However, the net profit margin is negative at -0.92%, reflecting a net loss, which is a concern. The gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, and both EBIT and EBITDA margins have declined, suggesting pressure on profitability. Overall, while revenue growth is a positive sign, the declining profitability metrics and net loss weigh heavily on the score.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Saputo Inc. shows moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.52, indicating a manageable level of leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -2.46%, which is concerning as it reflects the company's inability to generate positive returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is relatively stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the leverage is under control, the negative ROE impacts the overall score.
Cash Flow
Saputo Inc.'s cash flow statement presents a mixed picture. The free cash flow growth rate is strong at 23.35%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.34, showing that the company is generating cash from operations despite the net loss. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.62, suggesting that the company is managing its cash flow effectively. The positive cash flow metrics provide a cushion against the net loss, resulting in a relatively favorable score.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.10B19.06B17.34B17.84B15.04B14.29B
Gross Profit1.96B1.56B1.51B1.55B1.16B1.47B
EBITDA1.54B1.43B1.37B1.42B1.02B1.37B
Net Income-94.00M-176.00M265.00M622.00M274.00M626.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.48B13.91B14.26B14.43B13.68B13.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments296.00M257.00M466.00M263.00M165.00M308.70M
Total Debt3.44B3.59B3.99B4.04B4.25B4.11B
Total Liabilities6.68B6.94B7.21B7.29B7.18B6.68B
Stockholders Equity6.79B6.98B7.05B7.14B6.50B6.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.06B681.00M537.00M384.00M195.00M645.10M
Operating Cash Flow1.43B1.10B1.19B1.02B693.00M1.08B
Investing Cash Flow-321.00M-285.00M-652.00M-632.00M-799.00M-387.40M
Financing Cash Flow-1.27B-1.03B-343.00M-369.00M-72.00M-704.70M

Saputo Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.34
Price Trends
50DMA
38.52
Positive
100DMA
36.07
Positive
200DMA
31.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Positive
RSI
53.05
Neutral
STOCH
18.75
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SAP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.34 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.77, above the 50-day MA of 38.52, and above the 200-day MA of 31.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SAP.

Saputo Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
C$4.51B67.823.86%3.34%13.05%-33.72%
66
Neutral
C$16.55B-202.51-1.32%1.89%5.37%-135.85%
64
Neutral
C$3.07B14.9411.72%4.95%-0.03%497.79%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
C$430.25M9.218.60%4.83%6.15%-36.76%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
40.34
17.62
77.55%
TSE:HLF
High Liner Foods
14.99
0.34
2.32%
TSE:MFI
Maple Leaf Foods
24.71
6.54
35.99%
TSE:PBH
Premium Brands
100.37
24.10
31.60%

Saputo Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Saputo Inc. Achieves Strong Q2 Fiscal 2026 Results with Strategic Initiatives
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Saputo Inc. reported strong financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, with revenues reaching $4.721 billion, a slight increase from the previous year. The company’s adjusted EBITDA rose significantly by 15.7% to $450 million, driven by successful commercial initiatives, operational improvements, and cost optimization measures. Despite unfavorable US dairy commodity market conditions, Saputo managed to increase sales volumes and maintain margins through strategic pricing and efficiency efforts. Net earnings also saw a substantial rise, attributed to higher adjusted EBITDA, gains from hyperinflation adjustments, and reduced financial charges.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SAP) stock is a Buy with a C$42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Saputo Inc. stock, see the TSE:SAP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025