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High Liner Foods Inc (TSE:HLF)
TSX:HLF

High Liner Foods (HLF) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:HLF

High Liner Foods

(TSX:HLF)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
C$16.00
▲(3.23% Upside)
High Liner Foods faces significant challenges with declining profitability and bearish technical indicators. While the stock's valuation is attractive, and strategic initiatives offer some long-term potential, the immediate financial and operational hurdles weigh heavily on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Brand integration and portfolio expansion
Completing acquisitions and integrating Mrs. Paul’s and Van de Kamp’s ahead of plan strengthens High Liner’s product portfolio and channel reach. Durable benefit: broader SKU assortment and scale can drive cross-sell, procurement leverage, and higher shelf presence over multiple quarters.
Moderate leverage / balanced capital structure
A debt-to-equity near 0.62 and ~44% equity ratio indicate moderate leverage, giving the company capacity to fund investments and absorb shocks. This balanced structure supports sustainable operations and strategic initiatives without excessive refinancing risk over the medium term.
Strategic investments and contract-backed volumes
Automation investments improve long-term manufacturing efficiency and unit economics while a multi-year USDA award provides contracted volume visibility. Together these structural moves can stabilize utilization, lower per-unit costs, and support margin recovery over 2–6 months and beyond.
Negative Factors
Severe free cash flow deterioration
A >200% decline in free cash flow growth signals persistent cash generation issues that can constrain capex, debt repayment, and working capital. Weak FCF reduces financial flexibility and increases risk that the firm must raise external capital or cut investments, impacting medium-term growth plans.
Margin compression and profitability decline
A 250bp gross margin hit and nearly 30% EBITDA reduction indicate structural pressure from higher input costs and cost absorption issues. Unless material cost or pricing improvements occur, these margin headwinds can persist, eroding operating leverage and long-term return on capital.
Rising net debt and leverage coverage stress
A material increase in net debt and a ~3.5x net debt/EBITDA ratio tightens covenant and refinancing risk over time. Higher leverage reduces financial optionality and elevates interest and coverage pressure, limiting capacity for M&A, capex, or dividends absent sustained cash-flow improvement.

High Liner Foods (HLF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

High Liner Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHigh Liner Foods Incorporated processes and markets prepared and packaged frozen seafood products in North America. The company provides a range of frozen seafood products, including raw fillets and shellfish, cooked shellfish; and value added products, which include sauced, glazed, breaded and battered seafood, seafood entrees, and breaded cheese sticks, including High Liner, Fisher Boy, Sea Cuisine, Catch of the Day, C.Wirthy & Co., High Liner Foodservice, Mirabel, Icelandic Seafood, and FPI brands. It sells its products directly, as well as through distributors to retail and club stores; and through foodservice distributors to hotels, restaurants, and healthcare and educational organizations. The company was founded in 1899 and is headquartered in Lunenburg, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyHigh Liner Foods generates revenue primarily through the sale of its frozen seafood products to retail and food service customers. The company has a diverse portfolio of well-known brands, including High Liner, Sea Cuisine, and Fisher Boy, which contribute significantly to its revenue streams. Key revenue sources include direct sales to grocery stores, restaurants, and food distributors. Additionally, strategic partnerships with major retailers and food service operators enhance their market presence and distribution capabilities. The company's focus on innovation, sustainability, and meeting consumer demand for quality seafood products also plays a crucial role in driving sales and overall profitability.

High Liner Foods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a challenging quarter for High Liner Foods, with significant macroeconomic headwinds impacting profitability and volumes. However, there were positive signs in terms of sales growth, strategic brand integration, and recognition from partners. Despite short-term pressures, the company remains focused on long-term growth through innovation and strategic initiatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sales Increase
Sales increased in the third quarter by $19.7 million or 8.6% to $248.6 million compared to $228.9 million in the same period last year, driven by increased pricing reflecting the inflationary markets.
Successful Promotional Campaigns
Momentum in the premium Sea Cuisine brand accelerated, becoming the fastest-growing brand in the category, driven by successful promotional activations and expanded distribution.
USDA Contract Secured
A larger USDA award has been secured that will begin supporting volumes in the fourth quarter and throughout 2026.
Strategic Initiatives Advancements
Successfully integrated Mrs. Paul's and Van de Kamp's brands ahead of schedule and continued investments in automation and innovation.
Recognition from Distributors
Sysco Canada recognized High Liner Foods as a top 10 supplier, and Gordon Food Service awarded the Cornerstone Partner Award in the U.S.
Negative Updates
Gross Profit and Margin Decline
Gross profit decreased by $2 million or 4.1% to $46.3 million, with gross profit as a percentage of net sales decreasing by 250 basis points to 18.6% compared to 21.1% in the third quarter of 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $6.3 million or 29.3% to $15.2 million compared to $21.5 million in the prior year, reflecting decreased gross profit and increased expenses.
Net Income Drop
Reported net income decreased by $13.5 million or 73.8% to $4.8 million, with diluted earnings per share decreasing to $0.16 compared to $0.61 in the prior year.
Inventory Cost Impact
The inventory acquired from Conagra was recorded at a higher fair market value, resulting in a temporary noncash impact of approximately $2.5 million on gross margin.
Volume Decrease
Sales volume decreased by 1 million pounds or 1.8% to 55 million pounds compared to 56.8 million pounds in the third quarter of 2024, due to customer and consumer pullback and global trade uncertainty.
Company Guidance
During the High Liner Foods Inc. conference call discussing the third quarter of 2025, the company reported some challenges, including a sales volume decrease of 1.8% to 55 million pounds and a gross profit decrease of 4.1% to $46.3 million, with the gross profit margin contracting by 250 basis points to 18.6%. Adjusted EBITDA also dropped by 29.3% to $15.2 million. Net income fell 73.8% to $4.8 million, influencing a diluted EPS of $0.16. The company's net debt increased by $100.2 million to $333.4 million, raising its net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to 3.5x. Despite these setbacks, High Liner Foods emphasized its strategic investments in innovation and automation, which are anticipated to bolster future profitability and growth. The company also highlighted the successful integration of new brands, Mrs. Paul’s and Van de Kamp's, and ongoing efforts to address rising raw material costs and tariffs through pricing adjustments.

High Liner Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High Liner Foods shows stable revenue growth and a balanced capital structure, but faces challenges in operational efficiency and cash flow generation. The decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins, along with significant cash flow challenges, could pose risks if not addressed.
Income Statement
72
Positive
High Liner Foods shows a stable revenue growth rate of 2.03% TTM, indicating resilience in the packaged foods industry. The gross profit margin of 22.24% and net profit margin of 4.94% TTM suggest moderate profitability. However, the decline in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years indicates potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62 TTM reflects a moderate leverage position, which is a positive sign of financial stability. However, the return on equity has decreased to 11.68% TTM, indicating a decline in profitability from equity investments. The equity ratio of 43.89% TTM suggests a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a concerning free cash flow growth rate of -212.61% TTM, highlighting significant cash flow challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.25 TTM indicates limited cash generation relative to net income, which could impact future liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue991.70M959.22M1.08B1.07B875.40M827.45M
Gross Profit214.07M217.27M218.69M229.93M198.54M177.92M
EBITDA97.64M115.09M85.17M106.41M86.27M78.09M
Net Income34.46M60.16M31.68M54.73M42.25M28.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets941.26M849.31M834.40M1.00B826.47M776.56M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments313.00K19.95M10.50M5.82M983.00K33.15M
Total Debt316.18M228.98M253.56M380.69M266.19M303.82M
Total Liabilities527.99M443.58M448.54M630.07M493.94M485.56M
Stockholders Equity413.28M405.73M385.86M373.42M332.52M291.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-19.57M66.78M160.26M-96.83M8.37M94.05M
Operating Cash Flow526.00K90.59M179.31M-76.16M28.68M103.00M
Investing Cash Flow-67.17M-40.24M-18.80M-20.67M-20.32M-8.95M
Financing Cash Flow57.36M-40.66M-153.85M100.14M-41.42M-63.86M

High Liner Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.50
Price Trends
50DMA
14.37
Positive
100DMA
15.12
Positive
200DMA
16.02
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Positive
RSI
68.86
Neutral
STOCH
65.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HLF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.20, above the 50-day MA of 14.37, and below the 200-day MA of 16.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:HLF.

High Liner Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
C$4.88B63.213.86%3.34%13.05%-33.72%
68
Neutral
C$1.45B23.2013.44%2.67%11.25%58.21%
66
Neutral
C$16.72B-206.22-1.32%1.89%5.37%-135.85%
64
Neutral
C$3.14B15.3311.72%4.95%-0.03%497.79%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
C$442.62M9.588.60%4.83%6.15%-36.76%
45
Neutral
C$232.76M-97.27-95.27%212.16%-46.40%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HLF
High Liner Foods
15.50
0.55
3.67%
TSE:MFI
Maple Leaf Foods
25.23
7.50
42.33%
TSE:PBH
Premium Brands
93.60
19.82
26.87%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
41.08
18.53
82.13%
TSE:JWEL
Jamieson Wellness Inc
34.65
2.62
8.16%
TSE:HBFG
Happy Belly Food Group
1.78
0.76
74.51%

High Liner Foods Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
High Liner Foods Boosts Liquidity With US$60 Million Term Loan and Five-Year ABL Extension
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

High Liner Foods has bolstered its balance sheet and funding flexibility by completing a US$60 million incremental addition to its senior secured Term Loan B and securing a five-year extension of its US$200 million asset-based revolving credit facility at unchanged pricing. Proceeds from the new term debt will be used primarily to repay borrowings tied to the recent acquisition of the Mrs. Paul’s and Van de Kamp’s U.S. retail seafood brands and to support higher working capital needs, while the oversubscribed financing and extended ABL maturity underscore lender confidence in the company’s strategy, credit profile and liquidity position, reinforcing its capacity to pursue growth and manage ongoing operational requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HLF) stock is a Hold with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Liner Foods stock, see the TSE:HLF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
High Liner Foods Faces Q3 Challenges but Eyes Growth with New Product Line
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

High Liner Foods reported a challenging third quarter of 2025, with a decline in adjusted EBITDA and net income due to macroeconomic pressures such as tariffs, consumer sentiment, and reduced foodservice traffic. Despite these challenges, the company is implementing pricing adjustments and cost management strategies while investing in brand innovation and automation. The integration of Conagra Brands is ahead of schedule, and the company is launching a new fully cooked frozen seafood product line, aiming for sustainable growth and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HLF) stock is a Buy with a C$16.76 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Liner Foods stock, see the TSE:HLF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 15, 2025