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High Liner Foods (TSE:HLF)
:HLF
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High Liner Foods (HLF) AI Stock Analysis

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High Liner Foods

(TSX:HLF)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$20.50
▲(11.84%Upside)
High Liner Foods exhibits a solid overall profile, with the most significant strengths being its strategic acquisitions and attractive valuation metrics. While financial performance shows stable margins, the decline in revenue and fluctuating cash flows pose challenges. Technical indicators are favorable, suggesting positive momentum. Overall, the company is well-positioned for growth but needs to address revenue stability.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
High Liner’s leading position as a North American seafood processor, strong free cash flow profile, and clean balance sheet supportive of M&A opportunities present compelling upside for the shares.
Innovation and Retail Growth
High Liner's broad portfolio, spanning across price points, and its focus on innovation fuelled retail sales and volume growth.
Market Share and Strategy
High Liner gained market share by leaning into the QSR channel, which is benefitting from consumers trading down from casual dining.
Negative Factors
Consumer Pressures
Consumer pressures continued to weigh on demand in foodservice.
Revenue and Consumer Demand
Revenue of $268 million represents a year-over-year decrease of 3.1%, with foodservice volumes coming under pressure due to consumers pulling back on out-of-home dining.

High Liner Foods (HLF) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

High Liner Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHigh Liner Foods (HLF) is a leading North American processor and marketer of value-added frozen seafood. The company operates within the food industry, focusing on providing seafood solutions tailored to meet the needs of both retail and foodservice customers. High Liner Foods offers a wide range of seafood products, including fish fillets, shrimp, and other shellfish, catering to various market segments with quality and taste as their primary differentiators.
How the Company Makes MoneyHigh Liner Foods makes money through the sale of its frozen seafood products across retail and foodservice channels. The company's revenue model is anchored on its ability to innovate and provide value-added seafood products that appeal to a diverse customer base. High Liner Foods generates revenue from key streams including branded retail sales under labels such as High Liner, Icelandic Seafood, and Fisher Boy, as well as private-label offerings. Additionally, the company has a significant presence in the foodservice industry, supplying seafood solutions to restaurants, institutions, and other foodservice operators. Strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors, as well as a focus on sustainability and supply chain efficiency, further contribute to High Liner Foods' earnings.

High Liner Foods Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.37%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
High Liner Foods faced challenges in Q1 2025 primarily due to the later timing of Lent, a slowdown in foodservice, and foreign exchange impacts. However, the company demonstrated resilience through strong retail performance, innovation, and operational efficiencies. The promising start to Q2 indicates potential for recovery and growth despite the headwinds.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Retail Channel Success
Volumes and sales grew in the retail business during Q1 2025, supported by targeted promotional activities and new product innovations, such as the Sea Cuisine shrimp skewers. The U.S. retail market saw notable growth with brands like Fisher Boy and Sea Cuisine outperforming the category.
Innovation and Product Development
High Liner Foods increased focus on innovation, introducing new products such as Sea Cuisine shrimp skewers and Cheddar Biscuit Tilapia, which have been well-received in the market. The company is also leveraging alternative species to combat price and supply challenges.
Operational Performance and Strategic Initiatives
The company has implemented effective promotional strategies and operational improvements, maintaining a stable gross margin percentage despite various headwinds.
Strong Start to Q2 2025
Despite the challenges in Q1 due to the late timing of Lent, the company reported strong performance in April 2025, setting a positive tone for Q2.
Negative Updates
Decline in Sales and Volume
Sales decreased by $8.6 million or 3.1% to $268.4 million in Q1 2025, and sales volume decreased by 1.5% to GBP66 million. This decline was due to the later timing of Lent and a slowdown in foodservice traffic.
Impact of FX and Canadian Dollar Weakness
The conversion of a weaker Canadian dollar resulted in a $3.5 million decrease in sales and a $1 million decrease in gross profit in Q1 2025 compared to the same period in 2024.
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA decreased by $2.1 million or 6.1% to $32.1 million, with a decrease in adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of sales to 12% compared to 12.4%.
Increased Net Debt
Net debt increased by $41.5 million to $274.7 million at the end of Q1 2025, reflecting higher bank loans and lower cash balance.
Company Guidance
During the High Liner Foods Q1 2025 conference call, the company provided detailed guidance on its financial performance, highlighting several key metrics despite the challenging macroeconomic environment. Sales volume decreased by 1.5% to GBP66 million, and net sales fell by 3.1% to $268.4 million, mainly due to a later Lenten period and decreased foodservice traffic, although retail and contract manufacturing experienced growth. Gross profit decreased by 3.1% to $63.5 million, with gross profit as a percentage of sales increasing slightly to 23.7%. Adjusted EBITDA fell by 6.1% to $32.1 million, and net income decreased by 7.8% to $15.3 million. The company also noted an increase in net debt to $274.7 million from $233.2 million at the end of fiscal 2024, with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.7x. Despite these declines, the company expressed optimism in its resilience and strategic initiatives, projecting strong performance for the first half of 2025 and aiming to maintain a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio below its long-term target of 3x by the end of fiscal 2025.

High Liner Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High Liner Foods shows solid financial health with improvements in profitability and leverage. Despite a slight revenue decline, the company has managed to enhance its margins and cash flow generation, indicating resilience in operations. However, maintaining revenue growth amidst industry challenges remains a critical focus.
Income Statement
72
Positive
High Liner Foods has shown a mixed trend in revenue with slight growth over the past year, but a decline compared to two years ago. The gross profit margin for 2024 stands at approximately 22.7%, indicating a healthy profitability level. The net profit margin improved from 2.9% in 2023 to 6.3% in 2024, showcasing a strong recovery. However, the revenue decline from 2023 to 2024 indicates potential challenges in maintaining sales growth.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved, moving from 0.66 in 2023 to 0.56 in 2024, reflecting better leverage management. Return on equity increased to 14.8% in 2024, suggesting effective use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio remains stable at around 47.8%, indicating a balanced approach between debt and equity financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Free cash flow has decreased from previous years but remains positive, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of approximately 1.11 in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at around 1.51, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Although free cash flow growth has slowed, the company maintains a healthy cash flow position.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue950.68M959.22M1.08B1.07B875.40M827.45M
Gross Profit215.32M217.27M218.69M229.93M198.54M177.92M
EBITDA104.36M115.09M85.17M106.41M86.27M78.09M
Net Income58.86M60.16M31.68M54.73M42.25M28.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets864.78M849.31M834.40M1.00B826.47M776.56M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.94M19.95M10.50M5.82M983.00K33.15M
Total Debt255.68M228.98M253.56M380.69M266.19M303.82M
Total Liabilities453.62M443.58M448.54M630.07M493.94M485.56M
Stockholders Equity411.16M405.73M385.86M373.42M332.52M291.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.97M66.78M160.26M-96.83M8.37M94.05M
Operating Cash Flow62.46M90.59M179.31M-76.16M28.68M103.00M
Investing Cash Flow-53.65M-40.24M-18.80M-20.67M-20.32M-8.95M
Financing Cash Flow-21.28M-40.66M-153.85M100.14M-41.42M-63.86M

High Liner Foods Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.33
Price Trends
50DMA
18.02
Positive
100DMA
17.24
Positive
200DMA
15.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
51.67
Neutral
STOCH
33.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:HLF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.21, above the 50-day MA of 18.02, and above the 200-day MA of 15.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:HLF.

High Liner Foods Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSHLF
73
Outperform
C$530.10M6.9314.49%3.71%-4.45%90.27%
TSPBH
72
Outperform
C$3.76B33.316.75%4.06%6.29%24.34%
TSMFI
72
Outperform
C$3.75B39.696.05%3.16%3.16%
TSSAP
70
Outperform
C$11.40B42.30-2.51%2.76%9.91%-165.83%
54
Neutral
C$4.44B4.09-20.57%3.84%8.18%1.50%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:HLF
High Liner Foods
18.24
5.41
42.17%
TSE:MFI
Maple Leaf Foods
30.37
6.71
28.36%
TSE:SAP
Saputo Inc.
28.49
-2.28
-7.41%
TSE:PBH
Premium Brands
90.51
0.61
0.68%

High Liner Foods Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
High Liner Foods Completes Acquisition of U.S. Seafood Brands
Positive
Jun 30, 2025

High Liner Foods has completed the acquisition of the Mrs. Paul’s and Van de Kamp’s seafood brands from Conagra Brands for an adjusted price of USD $42.4 million. This acquisition is expected to enhance High Liner Foods’ market presence in the U.S., securing approximately 29 million pounds of seafood sales annually and delivering an estimated USD $11 million in annual run rate Adjusted EBITDA by 2027. The purchase was funded through the company’s existing lending facility, maintaining a strong balance sheet.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HLF) stock is a Hold with a C$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Liner Foods stock, see the TSE:HLF Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
High Liner Foods Acquires Mrs. Paul’s and Van de Kamp’s Brands
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

High Liner Foods has announced the acquisition of the Mrs. Paul’s and Van de Kamp’s brands from Conagra Brands for USD $55 million. This strategic move is expected to enhance High Liner Foods’ market position in the U.S. by securing existing contract manufacturing business, increasing annual volume, and providing growth opportunities through expanded distribution and customer relationships. The transaction is anticipated to deliver significant financial benefits, including an estimated USD $11 million annual run rate Adjusted EBITDA by 2027, and is expected to be slightly accretive to Adjusted EBITDA starting in the second half of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HLF) stock is a Hold with a C$20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Liner Foods stock, see the TSE:HLF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
High Liner Foods Secures Shareholder Approval for Key Governance Measures
Positive
May 14, 2025

High Liner Foods announced that all proposed nominees were elected as directors during its Annual and Special General Meeting. Additionally, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was appointed as the auditor, and shareholders approved amendments to the company’s articles of association and an advisory resolution on executive compensation, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s governance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HLF) stock is a Hold with a C$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Liner Foods stock, see the TSE:HLF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
High Liner Foods Reports Q1 2025 Results: Retail Gains Amid Market Challenges
Neutral
May 13, 2025

High Liner Foods reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, noting a decrease in sales volume and net income compared to the previous year. Despite these challenges, the company experienced improved retail performance due to value-driven promotions and growth in the Club category, which helped offset market pressures. The later timing of the Lenten period affected overall performance, but a strong finish to the quarter and a positive start to the second quarter were observed. The company remains committed to supporting foodservice operators and driving profitable growth amid an uncertain macro environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:HLF) stock is a Hold with a C$14.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on High Liner Foods stock, see the TSE:HLF Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
High Liner Foods to Participate in BMO Global Conference
Neutral
May 7, 2025

High Liner Foods has announced its participation in the BMO Global Farm to Market Conference, taking place in New York City on May 14-15, 2025. The company’s President and CEO, Paul Jewer, will discuss strategies for navigating risk to achieve sustainable growth during a fireside chat. This participation highlights High Liner Foods’ commitment to engaging with industry leaders and institutional investors, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Shareholder MeetingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
High Liner Foods Updates Management Information Circular for Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 1, 2025

High Liner Foods has filed an amended and restated management information circular for its upcoming annual and special general meeting of shareholders. The amendment corrects the quorum requirements for meetings of directors and shareholders, ensuring accurate representation in the company’s governance documents. This update is crucial for maintaining proper corporate governance and ensuring shareholder confidence in the company’s decision-making processes.

Financial Disclosures
High Liner Foods Schedules Q1 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

High Liner Foods announced the release of its first quarter earnings for 2025, scheduled for May 13, with a subsequent conference call on May 14 to discuss the results. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic positioning in the competitive frozen seafood market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2025