Maple Leaf Foods (MFI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$3.12B
• Dividend Yield: 4.96%
• Average Volume (3M): 292.20K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.86
• Revenue Growth: -0.03%
• EPS Growth: 497.79%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 13,500
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): 0.21
• Shares Outstanding: 124,899,060
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 355,361
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 292,199
• PEG Ratio: -0.15
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.63
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.51
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.38
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$36.61
• Price Target Upside: 46.73% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 7
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: C$28.00 ▲(12.22% Upside)

Maple Leaf Foods demonstrates strong financial performance and strategic positioning following its spin-off, contributing positively to its stock score. While technical indicators suggest some caution, the company's valuation and earnings call provide a balanced outlook.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The 8% sales increase indicates strong demand and effective market strategies, supporting long-term revenue growth and market position.

Cash Flow Strength

Robust cash flow growth enhances the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, securing financial stability.

Product Innovation

New product launches in high-protein snacks and ethnic meals diversify offerings and can capture new market segments, driving future growth.

Negative Factors

Input Cost Inflation

Significant input cost inflation can erode profit margins, challenging the company's ability to maintain profitability without price adjustments.

Delayed Price Increases

Delayed price adjustments due to retailer policies may prolong margin pressure, affecting short-term financial performance and stability.

Spin-off Challenges

The spin-off reduces operational flexibility in managing pork market volatility, potentially impacting margin stability and financial resilience.

Maple Leaf Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Maple Leaf Foods Inc. (MFI) is a leading Canadian consumer packaged meats company, specializing in the production of high-quality protein products. Established in 1927, MFI operates within the meat and poultry sector, offering a diverse range of products including fresh and prepared meats, deli products, and plant-based protein alternatives. The company is committed to sustainability and animal welfare, with a focus on innovation and providing nutritious food options to consumers across North America.

How the Company Makes Money

Maple Leaf Foods generates revenue primarily through the sale of its meat and poultry products, which include fresh and frozen meats, ready-to-eat meals, and deli items. The company employs a multi-faceted revenue model that includes retail sales through grocery stores, direct sales to food service operators, and e-commerce channels. Key revenue streams are bolstered by their strong brand portfolio, which includes Maple Leaf, Schneiders, and Lightlife. MFI also benefits from strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors, enhancing its market reach and driving sales. Additionally, the growing consumer demand for plant-based proteins has opened new avenues for revenue, particularly through their Lightlife brand. Overall, the company’s earnings are supported by a combination of product innovation, operational efficiencies, and a commitment to sustainability.

Maple Leaf Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Maple Leaf Foods shows solid financial performance with improvements in profitability and cash flow. Revenue growth and profit margins are on an upward trajectory, but the company needs to manage its debt levels for long-term financial health.

Income Statement

Maple Leaf Foods shows a positive trend in revenue growth with a 2.03% increase in TTM. The gross profit margin improved to 17.23%, indicating better cost management. Net profit margin also increased to 3.51%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the company needs to sustain this growth to ensure long-term stability.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio is at 1.11, indicating a moderate level of leverage, which is a slight improvement from previous periods. Return on equity improved to 11.50%, showing better utilization of equity. However, the company should focus on reducing debt to enhance financial stability.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow growth is strong at 66.86%, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.90. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. This strong cash flow position supports future investments and debt reduction.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	5.08B	4.90B	4.87B	4.74B	4.52B	4.30B
Gross Profit	876.00M	780.01M	451.37M	424.14M	659.08M	703.05M
EBITDA	637.75M	561.19M	273.48M	-13.66M	373.43M	387.62M
Net Income	178.56M	96.60M	-124.98M	-311.89M	102.82M	113.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.45B	4.43B	4.60B	4.44B	4.39B	3.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	236.04M	175.91M	203.36M	91.08M	162.03M	100.83M
Total Debt	1.76B	1.88B	2.13B	1.89B	1.43B	986.18M
Total Liabilities	2.86B	2.89B	3.09B	2.78B	2.35B	1.93B
Stockholders Equity	1.59B	1.54B	1.51B	1.66B	2.04B	1.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	500.92M	464.92M	-21.30M	-306.42M	-275.56M	-111.09M
Operating Cash Flow	581.57M	464.92M	176.88M	49.32M	304.79M	321.45M
Investing Cash Flow	-80.44M	-82.54M	-188.57M	-377.01M	-623.48M	-417.43M
Financing Cash Flow	-423.46M	-409.84M	123.97M	256.74M	379.90M	99.53M

Maple Leaf Foods Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 24.95
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MFI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 24.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.61, below the 50-day MA of 25.39, and below the 200-day MA of 24.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:MFI.

Maple Leaf Foods Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
MFI	72 Outperform	C$3.12B	15.16	11.72%	4.96%	-0.03%	497.79%
PBH	69 Neutral	C$4.33B	65.13	3.86%	3.53%	13.05%	-33.72%
SAP	63 Neutral	C$16.97B	-207.53	-1.32%	1.89%	5.37%	-135.85%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
HLF	58 Neutral	C$406.43M	8.75	8.60%	4.84%	6.15%	-36.76%
HBFG	45 Neutral	C$281.14M	-124.59	-95.27%	―	212.16%	-46.40%
ISTK	25 Underperform	C$238.23M	-79.05	―	―	30.02%	35.29%

Maple Leaf Foods Corporate Events

Maple Leaf Foods Achieves Strong Q3 Results Amid Strategic Spin-Off

Maple Leaf Foods reported a robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with an 8.0% increase in total company sales to $1,356.3 million and a 21.7% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $171.4 million. The company has completed the spin-off of its pork operations, allowing it to concentrate on its consumer packaged goods business. Despite facing inflationary pressures in raw material markets, Maple Leaf Foods is optimistic about sustainable growth, supported by pricing actions and the launch of new brands.

Maple Leaf Foods Completes Spin-off of Canada Packers

Maple Leaf Foods has completed the spin-off of its pork operations into a new entity, Canada Packers Inc., which will begin trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange. This strategic move allows Maple Leaf Foods to focus on its core consumer packaged goods business, while Canada Packers will pursue growth as an independent company in the sustainable pork industry. The spin-off is expected to enhance both companies’ ability to innovate and deliver value, with Maple Leaf retaining a 16% stake in Canada Packers and entering a supply agreement to ensure continued collaboration.

Maple Leaf Foods Announces Spin-Off of Pork Operations

Maple Leaf Foods announced the anticipated closing date for the spin-off of its pork operations into Canada Packers Inc., expected to finalize on October 1, 2025. The arrangement will see Maple Leaf retain a 16% stake in Canada Packers, with the remaining shares distributed to existing shareholders. This strategic move is expected to impact trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange and aligns with Maple Leaf’s focus on optimizing its operations and market positioning.