Maple Leaf Foods (MFI) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$3.07B
• Dividend Yield: 4.95%
• Average Volume (3M): 292.20K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 14.9
• Beta (1Y): 0.83
• Revenue Growth: -0.03%
• EPS Growth: 497.79%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 13,500
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Packaged Foods
• EPS (TTM): 0.21
• Shares Outstanding: 124,899,060
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 355,361
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 292,199
• PEG Ratio: -0.15
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.63
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.51
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.38
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$34.50
• Price Target Upside: 39.62% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 6
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 64 Neutral
• Price Target: C$27.00 ▲(9.27% Upside)

Maple Leaf Foods' overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call results and reasonable valuation metrics. However, financial performance concerns, particularly in revenue and cash flow, and technical analysis indicating potential bearish momentum, moderate the overall score.

Positive Factors

Strategic Transformation

The spin-off of the pork operations allows Maple Leaf Foods to focus on its core protein business, enhancing strategic clarity and operational focus.

New Product Launches

Introducing new brands expands product offerings and taps into growing markets for high-protein snacks and culturally diverse foods, supporting long-term growth.

Market Share Gains

Gaining market share in key segments indicates strong competitive positioning and brand strength, supporting future revenue growth.

Negative Factors

Input Cost Inflation

Rising input costs can compress margins, impacting profitability. This challenge requires effective cost management and pricing strategies.

Delayed Price Increases

Delayed price adjustments due to retailer policies can strain margins and cash flow until implemented, affecting short-term financial performance.

Challenges from Spin-off

The spin-off increases exposure to pork price volatility, potentially destabilizing margins and requiring new risk management strategies.

Maple Leaf Foods Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Maple Leaf Foods Inc. produces food products in the United States, Canada, Japan, China, and internationally. It produces various food products, including prepared meats, ready-to-cook and ready-to-serve meals, snacks kits, fresh pork and poultry, and plant protein products. The company offers its products under various brands, including Maple Leaf, Schneiders, Greenfield Natural Meat Co., Swift, Prime, Maple Leaf Natural Selections, Mina, Big Stick, Cappola, Deli Express, Field Roast Grain Meat Co., Holiday, Hygrade, Larsen, Lightlife, Lunch Mate, Main Street Deli, Maple Leaf Foodservice, Mitchell's, Olympic Craft Meats, Parma, Shopsy's, Sunrise, and Swift. Maple Leaf Foods Inc. is based in Mississauga, Canada.

How the Company Makes Money

Maple Leaf Foods generates revenue primarily through the sale of its meat and poultry products, which include fresh and frozen meats, ready-to-eat meals, and deli items. The company employs a multi-faceted revenue model that includes retail sales through grocery stores, direct sales to food service operators, and e-commerce channels. Key revenue streams are bolstered by their strong brand portfolio, which includes Maple Leaf, Schneiders, and Lightlife. MFI also benefits from strategic partnerships with retailers and distributors, enhancing its market reach and driving sales. Additionally, the growing consumer demand for plant-based proteins has opened new avenues for revenue, particularly through their Lightlife brand. Overall, the company’s earnings are supported by a combination of product innovation, operational efficiencies, and a commitment to sustainability.

Maple Leaf Foods Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Maple Leaf Foods shows solid financial performance with improvements in profitability and cash flow. Revenue growth and profit margins are on an upward trajectory, but the company needs to manage its debt levels for long-term financial health.

Income Statement

Maple Leaf Foods shows a positive trend in revenue growth with a 2.03% increase in TTM. The gross profit margin improved to 17.23%, indicating better cost management. Net profit margin also increased to 3.51%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the company needs to sustain this growth to ensure long-term stability.

Balance Sheet

The debt-to-equity ratio is at 1.11, indicating a moderate level of leverage, which is a slight improvement from previous periods. Return on equity improved to 11.50%, showing better utilization of equity. However, the company should focus on reducing debt to enhance financial stability.

Cash Flow

Free cash flow growth is strong at 66.86%, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.90. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.52, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. This strong cash flow position supports future investments and debt reduction.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	4.83B	4.90B	4.87B	4.74B	4.52B	4.30B
Gross Profit	852.56M	780.01M	451.37M	424.14M	659.08M	703.05M
EBITDA	623.15M	561.19M	273.48M	-13.66M	373.43M	387.62M
Net Income	203.93M	96.60M	-124.98M	-311.89M	102.82M	113.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.45B	4.43B	4.60B	4.44B	4.39B	3.86B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	187.47M	175.91M	203.36M	91.08M	162.03M	100.83M
Total Debt	1.64B	1.88B	2.13B	1.89B	1.43B	986.18M
Total Liabilities	2.81B	2.89B	3.09B	2.78B	2.35B	1.93B
Stockholders Equity	1.63B	1.54B	1.51B	1.66B	2.04B	1.93B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	395.81M	464.92M	-21.30M	-306.42M	-275.56M	-111.09M
Operating Cash Flow	477.61M	464.92M	176.88M	49.32M	304.79M	321.45M
Investing Cash Flow	-82.49M	-82.54M	-188.57M	-377.01M	-623.48M	-417.43M
Financing Cash Flow	-364.55M	-409.84M	123.97M	256.74M	379.90M	99.53M

Maple Leaf Foods Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Neutral
• Last Price: 24.71
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:MFI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 24.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 24.90, above the 50-day MA of 24.65, and below the 200-day MA of 25.24, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:MFI.

Maple Leaf Foods Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
PBH	69 Neutral	C$4.51B	67.82	3.86%	3.34%	13.05%	-33.72%
SAP	66 Neutral	C$16.73B	-203.87	-1.32%	1.89%	5.37%	-135.85%
MFI	64 Neutral	C$3.07B	14.94	11.72%	4.95%	-0.03%	497.79%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
HLF	58 Neutral	C$427.67M	9.21	8.60%	4.83%	6.15%	-36.76%
HBFG	45 Neutral	C$277.22M	-108.20	-95.27%	―	212.16%	-46.40%
ISTK	25 Underperform	C$152.52M	-50.99	―	―	30.02%	35.29%

Maple Leaf Foods Corporate Events

Maple Leaf Foods Declares Special Dividend Amid Strong Performance

Maple Leaf Foods announced a special cash dividend of $0.60 per share, totaling approximately $75 million, reflecting strong operational performance and disciplined capital management. This move signifies a shift to a balanced capital allocation strategy, enhancing shareholder returns while maintaining flexibility for future investments in growth and innovation. The company has a history of returning capital to shareholders, with significant dividends and share buybacks, and remains committed to creating long-term value for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MFI) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Maple Leaf Foods stock, see the TSE:MFI Stock Forecast page.

Maple Leaf Foods Achieves Strong Q3 Results Amid Strategic Spin-Off

Maple Leaf Foods reported a robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with an 8.0% increase in total company sales to $1,356.3 million and a 21.7% rise in Adjusted EBITDA to $171.4 million. The company has completed the spin-off of its pork operations, allowing it to concentrate on its consumer packaged goods business. Despite facing inflationary pressures in raw material markets, Maple Leaf Foods is optimistic about sustainable growth, supported by pricing actions and the launch of new brands.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:MFI) stock is a Hold with a C$31.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Maple Leaf Foods stock, see the TSE:MFI Stock Forecast page.