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OrganiGram Holdings (TSE:OGI)
TSX:OGI
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OrganiGram Holdings (OGI) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:OGI

OrganiGram Holdings

(TSX:OGI)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
C$2.50
▲(16.82% Upside)
OrganiGram Holdings receives a strong overall score due to robust financial performance, positive technical indicators, and strategic growth initiatives highlighted in recent earnings calls and corporate events. While profitability and cash flow management remain challenges, the company's solid balance sheet and market leadership position it well for future growth.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Revenues were up significantly while EBITDA showed an improvement as well.
Synergies and Margins
The Company has increased its expected synergies to $15M from $10M that is expected to drive margin improvements into fiscal 2026.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Costs
Organigram announced its entry into the U.S. market through the acquisition of Collective Project Limited for upfront consideration of $6.2M.

OrganiGram Holdings (OGI) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

OrganiGram Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrganigram Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, produces and sells cannabis and cannabis-derived products in Canada. It offers medical cannabis products, including cannabis flowers, cannabis oils, and vaporizers for civilian patients and veterans; adult use recreational cannabis under the Edison Cannabis Co., Trail Blazer, SHRED, SHRED'ems, Big Bag O' Buds, and Monjour brands; and cannabis edibles products and concentrates. The company also engages in the wholesale shipping of cannabis plant cuttings, dried flowers, blends, pre-rolls, and cannabis derivative based products to retailers and wholesalers for adult-use recreational cannabis. It sells its products through online, as well as telephone channels. Organigram Holdings Inc. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Moncton, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrganiGram generates revenue primarily through the sale of cannabis products to both medical and recreational consumers. Its revenue model includes direct sales to retailers, wholesale distribution to licensed cannabis shops, and online sales through its own e-commerce platform. Key revenue streams include dried flower sales, cannabis oils, and pre-rolled joints. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with other cannabis producers and distributors, enhancing its market reach and product offerings. Additionally, OrganiGram has been involved in international markets, exploring opportunities for exporting products, which can further contribute to its revenue growth.

OrganiGram Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.60%|
Next Earnings Date:Dec 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Organigram Global's earnings call revealed strong revenue performance and market leadership in Canada, driven by strategic acquisitions and international sales growth. However, there are challenges in penetrating the US market and navigating regulatory frameworks. The integration of recent acquisitions is showing positive synergies, and future growth is anticipated with strategic investments and market expansion.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue
Organigram Global reported a record-breaking quarter by revenue, with gross sales up 79% year-over-year, surpassing $100 million for the first time in any given quarter. Net revenue was up 74% year-over-year to reach $65.6 million.
Market Leadership in Canada
Organigram became the #1 LP by market share in both vapes and pre-rolls in Canada, with a leading 21.7% share in vapes. They have a strong presence in flower, vapes, and pre-rolls, representing around 85% of the total market.
International Sales Growth
International sales increased 177% year-over-year to $6.1 million, with growth driven by expanded orders from existing partners like Sanity Group and customers in Australia.
Successful Integration of Motif Acquisition
The integration of the Motif acquisition is progressing well, with operational efficiencies being realized, including increased extraction capacity and expected higher synergies than initially estimated.
Collective Project Expansion
Entry into the US hemp-derived THC beverage market with products distributed in 10 US states. The Collective Project brand won recognition at the 2025 High Spirits Awards.
Negative Updates
Challenges in US Market Penetration
While there is excitement about the US market, the focus remains on driving trial and awareness with significant investment, indicating it is still a nascent stage for profitability.
Impact of Regulatory Frameworks
The Canadian and US markets face different regulatory challenges, with the potential for greater price compression in international markets as competition grows.
Company Guidance
In the Organigram Global Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 earnings call, the company provided robust guidance, highlighting record-breaking performance and strategic growth initiatives. Organigram reported an impressive 74% year-over-year increase in net revenue, reaching $65.6 million, driven by the Motif acquisition and organic growth. The company maintained a strong presence in the Canadian cannabis market, holding a 21.7% market share in vapes, and saw international sales increase by 177% to $6.1 million. The Collective Project acquisition marked their entry into the US hemp-derived THC beverage market, with projections to grow this sector significantly. Organigram anticipates realizing $15 million in annual synergies from the Motif integration by next year and expects adjusted gross margins to stabilize around 35% for fiscal 2025, with a long-term target of 40% in the second half of fiscal 2026. Additionally, they are investing in capacity enhancements and innovative technology to further strengthen their market position and drive future growth.

OrganiGram Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OrganiGram Holdings shows strong revenue growth and improved gross margins. However, profitability and cash flow remain concerns. The balance sheet is solid with low leverage, offering financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
OrganiGram Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a 21.4% increase in TTM revenue compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 32.7% in TTM, indicating effective cost management. However, the company is still facing challenges with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and a net profit margin of 8.7% in TTM. The EBITDA margin is positive, reflecting improvements in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a solid equity base, with an equity ratio of 72.6% in TTM, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.02, which reduces financial risk. Return on equity is modest at 4.3%, suggesting potential for improvement in generating profits from shareholder equity.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a challenging picture, with negative free cash flow in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating inefficiencies in converting income into cash. There is a notable decrease in free cash flow compared to the previous year, highlighting cash management issues.
BreakdownSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue159.84M149.21M145.81M79.16M86.80M
Gross Profit47.52M35.07M31.57M-28.40M-56.49M
EBITDA-23.59M-207.62M10.96M-95.59M-121.47M
Net Income-45.44M-229.48M-14.28M-130.70M-136.16M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets407.86M298.45M577.11M554.02M417.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments107.57M33.86M98.91M183.84M74.73M
Total Debt4.46M4.72M3.36M4.96M103.67M
Total Liabilities101.87M26.83M69.05M74.21M118.10M
Stockholders Equity305.99M271.62M508.06M479.81M299.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.47M-62.70M-84.99M-40.92M-123.78M
Operating Cash Flow3.87M-35.80M-36.21M-28.59M-45.13M
Investing Cash Flow-38.77M1.35M44.03M-115.11M-138.20M
Financing Cash Flow107.78M-817.00K5.33M174.46M160.37M

OrganiGram Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.14
Price Trends
50DMA
1.95
Positive
100DMA
1.77
Positive
200DMA
1.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
60.08
Neutral
STOCH
70.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OGI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.03, above the 50-day MA of 1.95, and above the 200-day MA of 1.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OGI.

OrganiGram Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$297.22M21.231.86%38.86%
60
Neutral
HK$18.30B5.54-4.00%3.33%9.92%-18.97%
$339.55M-98.42%
$303.74M97.05-0.70%
$962.23M53.051.73%
$2.23B-24.93%
$1.44B-12.60%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OGI
OrganiGram Holdings
2.14
-0.65
-23.30%
CGC
Canopy Growth
1.49
-5.55
-78.84%
ACB
Aurora Cannabis
5.39
-1.59
-22.78%
CRON
Cronos Group
2.52
0.07
2.86%
CURLF
Curaleaf Holdings
2.94
-0.26
-8.13%
TCNNF
Trulieve Cannabis
8.10
-2.10
-20.59%

OrganiGram Holdings Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Organigram Reports Record Q3 Fiscal 2025 Results, Expands Internationally
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

Organigram Holdings reported record financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with significant increases in revenue and adjusted EBITDA. The company achieved a 72% year-over-year increase in net revenue, driven by the acquisition of Motif Labs and international sales growth. Organigram’s strategic expansion into the U.S. market and its leadership in the Canadian cannabis sector underscore its ambition to become a global player. Despite a net loss due to changes in financial instruments, the company continues to optimize its operations and expand its brand portfolio, aiming for further international growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGI) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OrganiGram Holdings stock, see the TSE:OGI Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Organigram to Announce Q3 Fiscal 2025 Results on August 13
Neutral
Aug 1, 2025

Organigram Global Inc. announced it will release its third quarter fiscal 2025 earnings results on August 13, 2025. The company will host a conference call to discuss these results, reflecting its continued focus on market leadership and expansion in the cannabis industry. This announcement underscores Organigram’s commitment to transparency and stakeholder engagement, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGI) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OrganiGram Holdings stock, see the TSE:OGI Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Organigram Expands U.S. Presence with Hemp-Derived THC Beverage Launch
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

Organigram Global Inc. has launched an e-commerce platform in the U.S. for its Collective Project brand, marking a significant step in its expansion into the U.S. hemp-derived THC beverage market. This move is part of a broader strategy to capitalize on the growing demand for THC beverages, with the market projected to reach $4 billion by 2028. The launch includes a diverse range of products, enhancing Organigram’s market presence and offering a new revenue stream, while reinforcing its position as a leader in the cannabis industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGI) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OrganiGram Holdings stock, see the TSE:OGI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Organigram Global Announces CEO Succession Amidst Strong Growth
Positive
May 27, 2025

Organigram Global Inc. announced the retirement of CEO Beena Goldenberg at the end of the fiscal year, with a comprehensive search for a successor underway. Under Goldenberg’s leadership, Organigram grew significantly, becoming Canada’s market leader in cannabis with substantial revenue growth and international expansion. The company is well-positioned for future growth, with the Board expressing confidence in its strategic direction and leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OGI) stock is a Buy with a C$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OrganiGram Holdings stock, see the TSE:OGI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 13, 2025