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Canopy Growth (TSE:WEED)
TSX:WEED
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Canopy Growth (WEED) AI Stock Analysis

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Canopy Growth

(TSX:WEED)

Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
C$1.50
▼(-2.60%Downside)
Canopy Growth's overall stock score is low due to significant financial performance issues, poor valuation metrics, and bearish technical indicators. Although restructuring efforts and product innovations provide some optimism, they are not enough to overcome the company's substantial financial and market challenges.
Positive Factors
Cost Reduction Plans
Management has identified new cost-reduction plans that are expected to lead to cost savings of at least C$20mn over the next 12-18 months.
Negative Factors
Execution Problems
Canopy has lingering execution problems, such as reliable product supply, resource allocation, supply chain coordination, and poor alignment between consumer demand and products sold.
Regulatory Challenges
Recent regulatory changes in Poland are putting near-term pressure on Canopy's international operations.

Canopy Growth (WEED) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Canopy Growth Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanopy Growth Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and sale of cannabis and hemp-based products for recreational and medical purposes primarily in Canada, the United States, and Germany. It operates through two segments, Global Cannabis and Other Consumer Products. The company's products include dried cannabis flower, extracts and concentrates, beverages, gummies, and vapes. It offers its products under the Tweed, 7ACRES, 7ACRES Craft Collective, DOJA, Ace Valley, Quatreau, Deep Space, First + Free, Surity Pro, Spectrum Therapeutics, Vert, Tokyo Smoke, Twd, Martha Stewart CBD, DNA Genetics, BioSteel, Storz & Bickel, This Works, HiWay, Simple Stash, Whisl, and Truverra brands. The company was formerly known as Tweed Marijuana Inc. and changed its name to Canopy Growth Corporation in September 2015. Canopy Growth Corporation was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Smiths Falls, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCanopy Growth makes money primarily through the cultivation, processing, and sale of cannabis and cannabis-derived products. Its revenue streams include the sale of recreational cannabis products in Canada, medical cannabis products globally, and CBD products in various markets. The company also generates income through its strategic partnerships and investments, such as with Constellation Brands, which provides expertise in brand building and distribution. Additionally, Canopy has pursued acquisitions and developed a portfolio of brands to expand its market reach and product offerings, thus contributing to its earnings.

Canopy Growth Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 30, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -34.75%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in the Canada medical business and significant restructuring efforts aimed at cost reduction and operational improvements. However, these were offset by notable underperformance in international markets, challenges with Acreage Holdings, and gross margin pressures. While there are positive signs from new product innovations and restructuring efforts, the financial challenges and market underperformance present significant hurdles.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Canada Medical Business
The Canada medical business grew sales by 13% year-over-year, benefiting from a shift towards insurer patients and a larger product assortment in the Spectrum online store.
Restructuring and Cost Reduction
Canopy Growth has restructured its operations to improve synchronization and reduce costs, identifying at least $20 million in annual operating expense reductions over the next 12 to 18 months.
Improvement in Adjusted EBITDA
There was a year-over-year improvement in adjusted EBITDA, despite missing the target of positive adjusted EBITDA for fiscal 2025.
Positive Early Signs from Product Innovations
New products such as Claybourne infused pre-rolls and Tweed and 7ACRES all-in-one vapes have shown positive early consumer response, with encouraging market share growth.
Negative Updates
Underperformance in Key Markets
Revenue fell short in Storz & Bickel, Poland, and Australia medical businesses, with a notable 23% year-over-year decline in Storz & Bickel revenue.
Challenges with Acreage Holdings
Acreage Holdings continues to face liquidity challenges, underperforming in expectations, particularly due to delays in Ohio's adult-use market opening.
Decline in International Markets Sales
International market sales, excluding U.S. CBD, declined by 23% in Q4 fiscal 2025, affected significantly by regulatory changes in Poland and increased competition in Australia.
Gross Margin Pressures
Gross margins were negatively impacted by higher costs in new product launches and inventory write-downs, affecting overall profitability.
Company Guidance
During Canopy Growth's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 financial results conference call, several key metrics and strategic guidance were highlighted. The company reported a 13% growth in its Canadian medical business for fiscal 2025, despite a decline in the broader market. Canopy streamlined its operations by reducing a third of its lowest-performing SKUs, focusing on high-demand product categories such as high-potency flower, pre-rolls, and vapes, and targeting an annual operating expense reduction of at least $20 million over the next 12 to 18 months. Additionally, Canopy made a $100 million U.S. early prepayment on its senior secured term loan, reducing annual interest expenses by approximately $13 million U.S. Efforts to improve supply chain synchronization resulted in increased fill rates from the mid-80s to mid-90s percentage range. Looking ahead, Canopy aims to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA and generate positive free cash flow by accelerating growth in its global medical cannabis and Canadian adult-use businesses, and by launching a new device from Storz & Bickel later in the year.

Canopy Growth Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Canopy Growth is struggling significantly with its financial performance. The company has faced consistent revenue decline and sustained losses, with negative net margins and EBIT margins. The balance sheet shows a weakening financial position with increasing leverage risk. Cash flow management is poor, with negative operating and free cash flows.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Canopy Growth has faced consistent revenue decline and sustained losses over the analyzed period. The company reported a revenue decrease from 2022 to 2025, with negative net margins and EBIT margins, indicating persistent profitability challenges. Despite a temporary gross profit in 2025, overall profitability remains weak due to high operational costs impacting the bottom line.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a decreasing trend in total assets and stockholders' equity, reflecting a weakening financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has increased over time, indicating higher leverage risk. However, the company maintains a reasonable equity ratio, suggesting some stability, though financial health is under pressure from rising debts and declining equity.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Canopy Growth has experienced negative operating and free cash flows, with a deteriorating free cash flow trend. The operating cash flow to net income ratio remains unfavorable, highlighting cash flow challenges. Despite some capital expenditure reductions, overall cash flow management needs improvement to support sustainability.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue269.00M297.15M402.90M520.33M546.65M
Gross Profit79.51M79.90M-104.14M-193.05M66.96M
EBITDA-479.31M-312.83M-2.88B-121.15M-1.50B
Net Income-598.12M-657.27M-3.31B-320.49M-1.67B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets917.70M1.30B2.44B5.62B6.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments131.47M203.46M782.60M1.37B2.30B
Total Debt348.40M668.00M1.31B1.50B1.58B
Total Liabilities430.49M799.82M1.68B1.98B3.20B
Stockholders Equity487.21M500.37M758.43M3.59B3.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-177.03M-285.95M-568.10M-593.92M-639.87M
Operating Cash Flow-165.75M-281.95M-557.55M-545.81M-465.73M
Investing Cash Flow-47.79M241.59M433.38M230.82M-884.11M
Financing Cash Flow148.66M-465.06M-19.69M-45.53M1.26B

Canopy Growth Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.54
Price Trends
50DMA
1.92
Negative
100DMA
1.78
Negative
200DMA
3.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
39.76
Neutral
STOCH
13.58
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:WEED, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.66, below the 50-day MA of 1.92, and below the 200-day MA of 3.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.58 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:WEED.

Canopy Growth Risk Analysis

Canopy Growth disclosed 87 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Canopy Growth reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Canopy Growth Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$7.47B-0.04-63.86%2.34%16.17%0.25%
39
Underperform
$315.66M-122.10%-18.39%35.21%
ACACB
$250.99M95.993.05%
$771.54M16.054.61%
$769.47M-25.08%
$1.35B27.082.83%
$774.74M-12.39%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:WEED
Canopy Growth
1.49
-8.29
-84.76%
ACB
Aurora Cannabis
4.55
-1.20
-20.87%
CRON
Cronos Group
2.01
-0.37
-15.55%
CURLF
Curaleaf Holdings
1.00
-3.15
-75.90%
GTBIF
Green Thumb Industries
5.70
-5.45
-48.88%
TCNNF
Trulieve Cannabis
4.06
-6.30
-60.81%

Canopy Growth Corporate Events

Other
Storz & Bickel Wins ‘Equipment Provider of the Year’ at 2025 Cannabis Awards
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

Storz & Bickel, a subsidiary of Canopy Growth, has been named ‘Equipment Provider of the Year’ at the 2025 Business of Cannabis Awards, highlighting their innovation and excellence in vaporization technology. This recognition underscores Storz & Bickel’s leadership in the industry, with products like the VOLCANO and VENTY vaporizers making significant impacts in both medical and recreational markets. The award enhances the company’s reputation for precision engineering and product reliability, further solidifying its position in the global cannabis vaporization market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WEED) stock is a Sell with a C$1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canopy Growth stock, see the TSE:WEED Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Canopy Growth Reports FY2025 Financial Results with Strategic Focus on Growth and Profitability
Neutral
May 30, 2025

Canopy Growth Corporation reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, highlighting a 4% increase in Canada cannabis revenue in Q4, driven by a 13% growth in medical cannabis. The company reduced its total debt by $293 million, or 49%, during FY2025 and initiated cost reduction measures expected to save at least $20 million annually. Despite a decrease in net revenue and gross margin, the company remains focused on accelerating growth and profitability through strategic restructuring and operational improvements, aiming for positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow in the near term.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WEED) stock is a Sell with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canopy Growth stock, see the TSE:WEED Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Canopy Growth to Announce Q4 and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
May 16, 2025

Canopy Growth Corporation announced it will release its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 on May 30, 2025. The release will be followed by an audio webcast featuring CEO Luc Mongeau and CFO Judy Hong. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market position and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:WEED) stock is a Sell with a C$2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Canopy Growth stock, see the TSE:WEED Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Canopy Growth Expands Product Lineup in Canada’s Cannabis Market
Positive
May 6, 2025

Canopy Growth has launched a series of new products in Canada’s adult-use cannabis market, focusing on high-demand formats like vapes, high-THC flower, pre-rolls, and edibles. This strategic move aims to strengthen its market presence with offerings from its flagship brands, Tweed and 7ACRES, and includes advanced vape technology and new high-THC strains. These innovations are expected to enhance Canopy’s competitive positioning and meet evolving consumer preferences in the rapidly growing cannabis industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 16, 2025