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Canopy Growth (TSE:WEED)
:WEED
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Canopy Growth (WEED) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:WEED

Canopy Growth

(NASDAQ:WEED)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
C$2.00
▼(-2.44% Downside)
Canopy Growth's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its weak financial performance, characterized by significant losses and negative cash flows. While there are positive signs in technical analysis and some optimism from the earnings call, the negative valuation metrics and financial challenges weigh heavily on the score.
Positive Factors
Cost Reduction
Management has identified new cost-reduction plans that are expected to lead to cost savings of at least C$20mn over the next 12-18 months.
Negative Factors
Execution Problems
Canopy has lingering execution problems, such as reliable product supply, resource allocation, supply chain coordination, and poor alignment between consumer demand and products sold.
Regulatory Challenges
Recent regulatory changes in Poland are putting near-term pressure on its international operations.
Stock Price Decline
Canopy's stock price has plunged significantly due to its two recent ATM programs to raise cash and other unfavorable factors.

Canopy Growth (WEED) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Canopy Growth Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCanopy Growth Corporation is a leading Canadian cannabis company that operates in the production and distribution of cannabis and hemp-based products. Founded in 2013, the company operates across various sectors, including recreational and medical cannabis products, as well as CBD-infused beverages and edibles. Canopy Growth is known for its diverse portfolio of brands such as Tweed, Spectrum Therapeutics, and Houseplant, catering to a wide range of consumer preferences in both the domestic and international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyCanopy Growth generates revenue primarily through the sale of cannabis products, which includes both dried flower and oils for recreational and medical use. The company's revenue model is largely driven by its ability to scale production and leverage its extensive distribution networks. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers through retail outlets, wholesale distribution to other retailers, and export sales to international markets where cannabis is legal. Additionally, Canopy Growth has formed significant partnerships, including collaborations with beverage companies to develop cannabis-infused drinks, which further enhance its product offerings and market reach. The company also invests in research and development to innovate within the cannabis space, creating new products that tap into emerging consumer trends.

Canopy Growth Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with strong revenue growth in the cannabis segment, particularly in Canada and Germany, and significant cost reduction achievements. However, challenges such as declining margins, a decrease in Storz & Bickel revenue, and market-specific issues in Poland and Australia were notable concerns.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Cannabis Net Revenue Growth
Cannabis net revenue grew 24% year-over-year, with Canada medical net revenue increasing 13% and Canada adult-use net revenue rising 43%.
International Market Growth
International net revenues returned to growth with a 4% increase, highlighted by triple-digit growth in Germany.
Cost Reduction Achievements
Achieved $17 million in annualized savings against a $20 million target, reaching 85% of the goal ahead of plan.
Canada Adult-Use Revenue Surge
Revenue in the Canada adult-use segment increased 43% year-over-year, driven by strategic product alignment and expanded distribution.
Positive Cash Flow Developments
Significant improvement in free cash flow, with cash used from operating activities down to $10 million from $52 million the previous year.
Negative Updates
Storz & Bickel Revenue Decline
Storz & Bickel segment revenue was down 25% year-over-year, attributed to weaker consumer demand and lapping strong sales from the previous year.
Compressed Margins
Cannabis gross margin declined to 24%, impacted by higher near-term costs and softer sales in high-margin markets like Poland.
Soft Performance in Key Markets
Challenges in Poland due to regulatory changes and supply issues, and increased supply leading to price compression in Australia.
Company Guidance
During the call, Canopy Growth provided detailed guidance on several key metrics for the first quarter of fiscal 2026. Notably, the company reported a 24% year-over-year increase in cannabis net revenue, driven by a 13% growth in Canada medical net revenue and a 43% rise in Canada adult-use net revenue. Internationally, net revenues grew by 4%, with Germany achieving triple-digit growth. The Storz & Bickel segment faced a 25% decline in revenue year-over-year, attributed to weaker consumer demand and lapping strong sales from the previous year. The company highlighted a successful cost reduction initiative that has already delivered $17 million in annualized savings against a $20 million target. Despite these achievements, the adjusted EBITDA loss was $8 million, primarily due to lower gross margins which the company aims to improve through several strategic actions. The balance sheet showed $144 million in cash and short-term investments, with a debt balance of $295 million. Looking ahead, Canopy Growth aims to achieve significant improvement in free cash flow and gross margins in the second half of fiscal 2026.

Canopy Growth Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Canopy Growth faces significant financial challenges with substantial net losses and negative cash flows. Despite slight revenue growth, the company struggles with profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin and return on equity. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but the overall financial health is concerning.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Canopy Growth's income statement shows significant challenges with profitability. The company has a negative net profit margin of -222.35% in the TTM, indicating substantial losses relative to revenue. Although there is a slight revenue growth of 2.20% in the TTM, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain deeply negative, reflecting ongoing operational inefficiencies. The gross profit margin is positive at 29.56%, but the overall financial health is concerning due to persistent net losses.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72 in the TTM, suggesting manageable leverage compared to equity. However, the return on equity is significantly negative at -112.78%, highlighting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at 54.05%, indicating a reasonable proportion of equity financing, but the negative ROE is a major concern.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in the TTM, with a free cash flow growth rate of -24.79%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash outflows exceed net losses. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive at 1.07, indicating some alignment between cash flow and accounting losses, but overall cash flow health is weak.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue274.92M269.00M297.15M333.25M510.32M546.65M
Gross Profit74.52M79.51M80.88M-98.38M-143.60M66.96M
EBITDA-410.31M-479.31M-312.83M-2.88B-52.98M-1.55B
Net Income-512.50M-598.12M-657.27M-3.28B-310.04M-1.74B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets904.67M917.70M1.30B2.44B5.62B6.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments143.63M131.47M203.46M782.60M1.37B2.30B
Total Debt327.80M348.40M668.00M1.31B1.50B1.58B
Total Liabilities415.69M430.49M799.82M1.68B1.98B3.20B
Stockholders Equity488.98M487.21M500.37M758.43M3.59B3.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-133.14M-177.03M-285.95M-568.10M-593.92M-639.87M
Operating Cash Flow-124.31M-165.75M-281.95M-557.55M-545.81M-465.73M
Investing Cash Flow-15.46M-47.79M241.59M433.38M230.82M-884.11M
Financing Cash Flow68.34M148.66M-465.06M-19.69M-45.53M1.26B

Canopy Growth Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.05
Price Trends
50DMA
1.70
Positive
100DMA
1.80
Positive
200DMA
2.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Negative
RSI
60.29
Neutral
STOCH
73.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:WEED, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.79, above the 50-day MA of 1.70, and below the 200-day MA of 2.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:WEED.

Canopy Growth Risk Analysis

Canopy Growth disclosed 87 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Canopy Growth reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Canopy Growth Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.83B-0.18-40.10%2.29%21.46%-2.03%
50
Neutral
C$537.77M-98.42%-4.24%55.82%
$298.77M97.05-0.70%
$977.31M53.681.73%
$2.42B-24.93%
$2.07B73.421.63%
$1.71B-12.60%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:WEED
Canopy Growth
2.08
-4.90
-70.20%
ACB
Aurora Cannabis
5.33
-0.68
-11.31%
CRON
Cronos Group
2.56
0.36
16.36%
CURLF
Curaleaf Holdings
3.20
0.34
11.89%
GTBIF
Green Thumb Industries
8.86
-0.53
-5.64%
TCNNF
Trulieve Cannabis
8.99
0.49
5.76%

Canopy Growth Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Canopy Growth Urges Shareholders to Vote in Upcoming Meeting
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

Canopy Growth Corporation has announced the mailing and filing of proxy materials for its 2025 annual general and special meeting of shareholders. The company emphasizes the importance of shareholder voting to avoid additional costs and achieve a quorum, which is essential for the meeting to proceed. Shareholders will vote on several key issues, including the election of directors, auditor re-appointment, a share consolidation proposal, and an advisory vote on executive compensation. The board recommends voting in favor of all resolutions.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Canopy Growth Expands 7ACRES Brand to Australia
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Canopy Growth has expanded its global medical cannabis portfolio by launching its 7ACRES brand in Australia, introducing two high-THC sativa strains, Ultra Jack and Jack Frost. This expansion enhances Canopy Growth’s existing product offerings in Australia, which already include Tweed flower products and Spectrum Therapeutics oils, and underscores the company’s focus on building a scalable medical platform across international markets.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Canopy Growth Strengthens European Market Strategy with New Appointment
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Canopy Growth has appointed Miles Worne as Managing Director of European Markets, aiming to strengthen its presence in Europe and support its global medical strategy. This strategic move highlights the company’s focus on long-term growth in Europe, leveraging Mr. Worne’s extensive experience in the cannabis and healthcare sectors to enhance operations and market execution in the region.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Canopy Growth to Reduce Debt and Interest Expenses with Strategic Prepayments
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

Canopy Growth announced an agreement to make early prepayments on its Senior Secured Term Loan, reducing it by US$50 million by March 2026. This move is expected to lower the company’s annual cash interest expense by US$6.5 million, enhancing financial flexibility for sustainable growth. The agreement also facilitates additional funding for Acreage Holdings, a part of Canopy USA’s portfolio, highlighting Canopy Growth’s strategic efforts to strengthen its financial position and support its subsidiaries.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Canopy Growth to Announce Q1 Fiscal 2026 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 25, 2025

Canopy Growth Corporation announced it will release its first quarter fiscal year 2026 financial results on August 8, 2025. Following the release, the company will host an audio webcast with CEO Luc Mongeau and Interim CFO Tom Stewart. This announcement highlights Canopy Growth’s ongoing transparency with stakeholders and its strategic focus on the U.S. market, which may influence its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

Other
Storz & Bickel Wins ‘Equipment Provider of the Year’ at 2025 Cannabis Awards
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

Storz & Bickel, a subsidiary of Canopy Growth, has been named ‘Equipment Provider of the Year’ at the 2025 Business of Cannabis Awards, highlighting their innovation and excellence in vaporization technology. This recognition underscores Storz & Bickel’s leadership in the industry, with products like the VOLCANO and VENTY vaporizers making significant impacts in both medical and recreational markets. The award enhances the company’s reputation for precision engineering and product reliability, further solidifying its position in the global cannabis vaporization market.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Canopy Growth Reports FY2025 Financial Results with Strategic Focus on Growth and Profitability
Neutral
May 30, 2025

Canopy Growth Corporation reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, highlighting a 4% increase in Canada cannabis revenue in Q4, driven by a 13% growth in medical cannabis. The company reduced its total debt by $293 million, or 49%, during FY2025 and initiated cost reduction measures expected to save at least $20 million annually. Despite a decrease in net revenue and gross margin, the company remains focused on accelerating growth and profitability through strategic restructuring and operational improvements, aiming for positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow in the near term.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 27, 2025