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Aurora Cannabis (TSE:ACB)
TSX:ACB

Aurora Cannabis (ACB) AI Stock Analysis

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Aurora Cannabis

(TSX:ACB)

Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
Aurora Cannabis scores a 50, reflecting a balance of significant financial difficulties and promising operational improvements. The positive earnings call and strategic corporate moves suggest potential growth, but the persistent financial challenges and high valuation limit the overall score. Continued focus on profitability and operational efficiency will be crucial.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
The company's balance sheet offers optionality even in tough conditions.
Market Potential
A federal re-scheduling in the U.S. should provide benefits including increased research, lower stigma, improve access to capital, and unlock the world's biggest addressable cannabis market.
Strategic Shift
ACB has turned over a proverbial new leaf following the reset in the cannabis industry, now with a focus on responsible growth.
Negative Factors
Industry Risks
There are lingering risks in the emerging cannabis industry including rampant illicit markets, limited insurance coverage, and unpredictable path to further de-regulation.
Operational Challenges
There are administration delays in settlement payments.

Aurora Cannabis (ACB) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Aurora Cannabis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAurora Cannabis Inc. produces, distributes, and sells cannabis and cannabis derivative products in Canada and internationally. It also engages in facility engineering and design, cannabis breeding, research, production, derivatives, product development, wholesale, and retail distribution activities. The company produces various strains of dried cannabis, cannabis oil and capsules, and topical kits for medical patients. It also sells vaporizers; consumable vaporizer accessories; and herb mills for using CanniMed herbal cannabis products, as well as grinders and vaporizer lockable containers. In addition, the company engages in the development of medical cannabis products at various stages of development, including oral, topical, edible, and inhalable products; and operation of CanvasRX, a network of cannabis counseling and outreach centers. Further, it provides patient counselling services; design and construction services; and cannabis analytical product testing services. The company's brand portfolio includes Aurora, Aurora Drift, San Rafael '71, Daily Special, AltaVie, MedReleaf, CanniMed, Whistler, Woodstock, and WMMC. Aurora Cannabis Inc. is headquartered in Edmonton, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAurora Cannabis generates revenue through the cultivation and sale of cannabis products for both medical and recreational use. Key revenue streams include the sale of dried cannabis flower and derivative products such as oils, edibles, and topicals. The company also earns from its international operations, where it supplies medical cannabis to various countries with legal frameworks supporting its use. Moreover, Aurora engages in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its market reach and product offerings, including collaborations with other cannabis companies and investments in technology and research to improve cultivation efficiency and product innovation. Additionally, the company may also generate revenue from licensing its cannabis strains and intellectual property to other producers.

Aurora Cannabis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -24.19%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Aurora Cannabis showcased a strong performance with record revenue and growth metrics, particularly in the international medical cannabis market. Despite some temporary challenges in Poland and a decline in consumer cannabis revenue, the company's strategic focus on high-margin international markets and improvements in financial metrics contributed to a largely positive outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Net revenue rose 27% to a record $343 million, with global medical cannabis revenue increasing 39%. Adjusted gross margin improved to 55% compared to 49% in the previous year.
Strong International Performance
International revenue comprised over half of total global medical cannabis, up from 41% in fiscal 2024. International medical cannabis revenue grew 114%.
Improved Financial Metrics
Record adjusted EBITDA of almost $50 million and record positive free cash flow of about $10 million. Consolidated adjusted gross margin at 62%, a 1200 basis points increase from the previous year.
Expansion in Global Markets
Aurora expanded its product portfolio in Australia and launched new products in Germany and the U.K. Maintained leadership positions in multiple countries including Canada, Australia, and Germany.
Negative Updates
Temporary Challenges in Poland
Experienced headwinds due to regulatory changes impacting prescription volumes. This is seen as a temporary issue, but it affected short-term performance.
Decline in Consumer Cannabis Revenue
Consumer cannabis net revenue declined to $8.2 million from $10.2 million the previous year, due to a strategic focus on higher-margin medical cannabis.
Increased SG&A Expenses
Adjusted SG&A expenses increased by 17% compared to the previous year, primarily due to higher freight and logistics costs and costs related to the acquisition of MedReleaf Australia.
Company Guidance
During the Aurora Cannabis Inc. fiscal fourth quarter 2025 results conference call, the company provided notable guidance metrics, highlighting a record-setting fiscal year with net revenue rising by 27% to $343 million, primarily driven by a 39% increase in global medical cannabis revenue. Adjusted gross margin improved to 55%, while adjusted EBITDA reached nearly $50 million, and positive free cash flow was around $10 million. The company's balance sheet remains robust with $185 million in cash and no debt in the cannabis business. Aurora's focus on the medical cannabis segment, which constituted 75% of net revenue, led to international market growth, particularly in Australia and Europe, despite regulatory challenges in Poland. Moving into fiscal 2026, the company anticipates continued strong performance in global medical cannabis revenue, particularly in Europe and Australia, with expectations of slightly lower Q1 2026 global cannabis revenue due to temporary international market declines. However, margins are expected to remain strong, and free cash flow should stay positive.

Aurora Cannabis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aurora Cannabis is facing significant financial challenges. Despite a positive gross profit and revenue growth, the company continues to operate at a net loss with negative cash flow, highlighting ongoing operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet shows conservative leverage but poor return metrics.
Income Statement
20
Very Negative
Aurora Cannabis has been facing significant challenges in its income statement. Although there was a positive gross profit in the latest year, the company continues to operate at a net loss with a negative net profit margin. The revenue growth rate was positive, indicating some recovery, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain negative, reflecting ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet shows a moderately stable capital structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage use. However, the return on equity is negative due to persistent losses, which undermines shareholder value. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting an asset-heavy structure, which may provide some stability.
Cash Flow
25
Negative
Aurora's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative free cash flow indicating more cash is leaving the business than is being generated. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests inefficiencies in cash generation relative to reported earnings. Despite this, the company has shown some improvement in free cash flow growth, albeit from a low base.
BreakdownMar 2024Mar 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue270.28M231.58M221.34M245.25M278.91M
Gross Profit131.46M-60.45M21.23M-21.56M-33.54M
EBITDA20.47M-203.32M-143.09M-137.20M-393.23M
Net Income-69.33M-263.79M-1.72B-693.63M-3.31B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets838.67M926.32M1.08B2.60B2.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments117.47M300.84M439.14M425.21M169.25M
Total Debt104.79M227.52M269.49M399.55M531.25M
Total Liabilities236.80M404.62M422.00M567.03M657.25M
Stockholders Equity559.77M490.64M661.84M2.04B2.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-85.46M-125.13M-142.05M-263.66M-692.96M
Operating Cash Flow-68.51M-115.81M-109.84M-210.58M-337.95M
Investing Cash Flow-5.49M-27.31M-36.60M-26.91M-249.48M
Financing Cash Flow-47.92M-56.48M147.78M521.95M582.56M

Aurora Cannabis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.08
Price Trends
50DMA
6.91
Negative
100DMA
6.92
Negative
200DMA
6.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.44
Positive
RSI
42.24
Neutral
STOCH
35.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ACB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.87, below the 50-day MA of 6.91, and below the 200-day MA of 6.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ACB.

Aurora Cannabis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.50B0.32-61.87%2.27%17.10%1.59%
TSACB
50
Neutral
$341.98M104.293.05%16.39%-98.10%
CGCGC
$256.86M-122.10%
OGOGI
$181.37M20.294.76%
$229.92M-17.34%
45
Neutral
C$140.60M-38.89%-6.80%11.94%
$167.76M-554.70%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ACB
Aurora Cannabis
6.08
-0.49
-7.46%
CGC
Canopy Growth
1.19
-5.15
-81.23%
OGI
OrganiGram Holdings
1.38
-0.20
-12.66%
CRLBF
Cresco Labs
0.51
-1.07
-67.72%
TSE:TSND
TerrAscend Corp
0.38
-1.45
-79.23%
CBSTF
Cannabist Company Holdings
0.05
-0.13
-72.22%

Aurora Cannabis Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aurora Cannabis Unveils Mildew-Resistant Cannabis Breakthrough
Positive
Mar 20, 2025

Aurora Cannabis has announced a groundbreaking discovery of a genetic resistance to powdery mildew, a significant pathogen in cannabis cultivation. This development, achieved at their Aurora Coast research facility, is expected to lead to the creation of mildew-resistant cannabis cultivars, enhancing biosecurity, reducing production costs, and improving product quality. The discovery, protected by international patents, positions Aurora as a leader in cannabis science, potentially opening new market opportunities and advancing cultivation methods globally.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aurora Cannabis Enhances Access to Medical Cannabis in Australia
Positive
Feb 15, 2025

Aurora Cannabis, in collaboration with its subsidiary MedReleaf Australia, has removed the concession card requirement for its IndiMed products, allowing broader patient access to medical cannabis in Australia. This move reflects Aurora’s commitment to simplifying prescription processes and adapting quickly to market demands, enhancing its position in the growing Australian medical cannabis market.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aurora Cannabis Secures Strategic $27 Million Supply Agreement with SNDL
Positive
Feb 7, 2025

Aurora Cannabis has announced a strategic supply agreement with SNDL Inc., a Canadian cannabis producer, to source premium cannabis flower over the next three years valued at $27 million. This partnership underscores Aurora’s strategy to leverage both in-house and third-party cultivation to enhance its product offerings, reflecting its commitment to quality and cultivation excellence, which is expected to strengthen its market position and benefit stakeholders.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Aurora Cannabis Achieves Record Third-Quarter Revenue and Income
Positive
Feb 5, 2025

Aurora Cannabis reported its fiscal 2025 third-quarter results with a total net revenue of $88.2 million, marking a 37% increase year-over-year, primarily driven by a 51% rise in its global medical cannabis sector. The company achieved record net income of $31.2 million and adjusted EBITDA of $23.1 million, both experiencing substantial growth. Aurora also generated positive free cash flow of $27.4 million, maintaining a strong balance sheet with $180 million in cash and a debt-free cannabis business. These results underscore Aurora’s leadership in the global cannabis industry, supported by international revenue growth and expansion in its plant propagation segment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 26, 2025