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TerrAscend Corp (TSE:TSND)
TSX:TSND

TerrAscend Corp (TSND) AI Stock Analysis

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TerrAscend Corp

(TSX:TSND)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$0.50
▲(38.89%Upside)
TerrAscend Corp faces significant challenges, primarily due to weak financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While strategic acquisitions indicate potential for growth, the current financial and market conditions pose considerable risks to investors.
Positive Factors
Financial Strategy
New US$140MM loan facility removes the late-2024 maturity cliff.
Revenue Growth
Ohio acquisition now top priority, Ohio could quickly be a sizable revenue driver.
Negative Factors
Sales Forecast
3Q guidance calls for flat to slightly down sales.

TerrAscend Corp (TSND) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

TerrAscend Corp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTerrAscend Corp (TSND) is a leading North American cannabis operator with a diversified business model encompassing cultivation, manufacturing, distribution, and retail operations. The company operates in both the United States and Canada, providing high-quality cannabis products for medical and adult-use markets. TerrAscend is known for its portfolio of premium brands, which includes a range of flower, edibles, extracts, and topicals designed to cater to varied consumer preferences.
How the Company Makes MoneyTerrAscend Corp generates revenue through multiple key streams: cultivation and production of cannabis products, wholesale distribution to other dispensaries and retailers, and direct retail sales through its own branded dispensaries. The company benefits from vertical integration, allowing it to control the production process from seed to sale, ensuring product quality and margin optimization. TerrAscend also engages in strategic partnerships and acquisitions to expand its market presence and enhance its distribution network, further contributing to its revenue growth. Additionally, the company leverages its expertise in regulatory compliance to operate efficiently across different legal jurisdictions, maximizing its market opportunities.

TerrAscend Corp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: -29.41%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with strong market positions and strategic expansions tempered by revenue declines and competitive pressures. While the company has shown resilience with positive cash flows and strategic positioning, challenges in certain markets and increased competition present headwinds.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Market Leadership in Key Regions
TerrAscend maintained its #1 market share in New Jersey and significant positions in Maryland and Pennsylvania, emphasizing strong brand performance across multiple product categories.
Positive Cash Flow and Financing
The company reported its ninth consecutive quarter of positive cash flow from continuing operations and fifth consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow. Additionally, TerrAscend secured a $140 million non-dilutive debt financing maturing in 2028, enhancing financial flexibility.
Expansion into Ohio
TerrAscend announced a definitive agreement to enter the Ohio market via the acquisition of a high-performing dispensary, marking its first entry into the sixth state.
Strong Wholesale Revenue Growth in Maryland
Wholesale revenue in Maryland increased by 26% sequentially, reaching a $20 million annualized run rate.
Stock Buyback Program
The company initiated a $10 million stock buyback program, demonstrating confidence in its future and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Net revenue for Q3 2024 was $74.2 million, down from $77.5 million in Q2, primarily due to declines in wholesale revenue in New Jersey and retail revenue in Michigan.
Increased Competition and Wholesale Pressure
In New Jersey, wholesale revenue was down due to increased competition and a decline in average order size despite an all-time high in points of distribution.
Net Loss Increase
Net loss from continuing operations for Q3 2024 was $21.4 million, compared to $6.2 million in the previous quarter, driven by reduced adjusted EBITDA and several onetime noncash accounting items.
Guidance for Potential Revenue Decrease
Guidance for Q4 suggests revenue could be flat to down by mid-single digits, with ongoing pricing pressure in Pennsylvania and competition in New Jersey.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2024, TerrAscend maintained its market leadership, notably holding the #1 market share in New Jersey, and reported net revenue of $74.2 million. The company achieved a gross profit margin of 48.8% and an adjusted EBITDA of $13.7 million, marking its ninth consecutive quarter of positive cash flow from continuing operations and its fifth of positive free cash flow. TerrAscend also strengthened its balance sheet with a $140 million non-dilutive debt financing, maturing in August 2028. Looking ahead to Q4, the company anticipates flat to mid-single-digit revenue declines, with stable gross margins and reduced G&A expenses. The expansion into Ohio through a recent acquisition is expected to leverage existing infrastructure and enhance profitability, while the company remains active in pursuing additional M&A opportunities. The company has also been executing a $10 million stock buyback program, demonstrating confidence in its future and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

TerrAscend Corp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TerrAscend Corp shows mixed financial health with improvements in gross profit and cash flows but faces challenges in achieving profitability and reducing high liabilities. Continued focus on operational efficiency and revenue growth is essential for enhancing financial performance.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
TerrAscend Corp's income statement reveals challenges in achieving profitability, with consistent net losses despite improvements in gross profit over the years. The gross profit margin improved to 48.9% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company struggles with negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational inefficiencies. There is also a concerning decline in revenue growth, with a notable drop of 3.4% from 2023 to 2024, which may impact future profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows moderate financial stability with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.39 in 2024, down from previous years, indicating reduced leverage. Return on equity remains negative due to net losses, but the equity ratio improved to 29.1% in 2024, signifying better equity financing. Despite some improvement, high total liabilities pose a risk to financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis highlights positive trends with a significant increase in free cash flow to $27.4 million in 2024, supported by improved operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting effective cash management. However, the company needs to maintain this trajectory to counterbalance past negative cash flows and ensure sustainable growth.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue306.68M317.33M433.51M310.32M198.32M
Gross Profit149.96M159.70M160.66M170.92M26.34M
EBITDA6.16M-1.38M-431.22M133.23M-96.45M
Net Income-80.23M-91.10M-577.08M-155.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets607.23M666.52M1.28B936.84M603.88M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments28.11M24.15M55.27M128.21M75.41M
Total Debt246.18M255.70M449.36M340.38M271.12M
Total Liabilities430.41M425.78M692.57M568.25M592.76M
Stockholders Equity176.96M319.76M580.39M359.94M1.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow27.40M18.04M-118.07M-113.26M-28.10M
Operating Cash Flow37.95M27.47M-44.79M-49.00M33.01M
Investing Cash Flow-12.25M-16.22M-49.14M-213.42M-251.60M
Financing Cash Flow-24.72M-12.50M291.13M284.71M

TerrAscend Corp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.36
Price Trends
50DMA
0.45
Negative
100DMA
0.56
Negative
200DMA
0.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.04
Negative
RSI
40.17
Neutral
STOCH
39.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:TSND, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.37, below the 50-day MA of 0.45, and below the 200-day MA of 0.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:TSND.

TerrAscend Corp Risk Analysis

TerrAscend Corp disclosed 76 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TerrAscend Corp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TerrAscend Corp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (46)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$126.18M9.2915.63%28.97%112.89%
TSOGI
71
Outperform
C$242.33M18.164.76%26.93%
TSXLY
70
Outperform
$112.05M5.6518.60%26.78%
46
Neutral
C$190.36M-4.25-8.56%3.10%13.57%-1.98%
45
Neutral
C$131.35M-38.89%-6.80%11.94%
39
Underperform
$227.80M-554.70%-14.45%44.87%
35
Underperform
C$213.77M-955.11%-35.53%-54.28%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:TSND
TerrAscend Corp
0.35
-1.51
-81.18%
TSE:XLY
Auxly Cannabis Group
0.10
0.07
216.67%
TSE:OGI
OrganiGram Holdings
1.84
-0.27
-12.80%
TSE:LOVE
Cannara Biotech
1.37
0.67
95.71%
TSE:TILT
TILT Holdings Inc
0.58
0.00
0.00%
TSE:CBST
Cannabist Company Holdings
0.56
0.00
0.00%

TerrAscend Corp Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
TerrAscend Corp. Announces AGM Results, Reaffirms Leadership and Financial Strategy
Neutral
Jun 24, 2025

TerrAscend Corp. announced the results of its annual general meeting, where shareholders approved the re-election of key directors and the re-appointment of MNP LLP as the company’s auditor. Additionally, a resolution was passed to modify the exercise prices of certain stock options. These decisions are expected to maintain stability in the company’s leadership and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic positioning in the cannabis industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSND) stock is a Buy with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TerrAscend Corp stock, see the TSE:TSND Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
TerrAscend Announces CFO Transition Amid Strategic Growth
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

TerrAscend Corp announced the departure of its Chief Financial Officer, Keith Stauffer, who will leave the company on July 18, 2025, to pursue opportunities outside the cannabis industry. Alisa Campbell, currently the Senior Vice President of Corporate Finance & Accounting, will take over on an interim basis. The company is conducting a comprehensive search for a permanent replacement. This transition is significant as Stauffer played a crucial role in strengthening TerrAscend’s financial foundation and strategic growth. The leadership change is expected to maintain continuity in the company’s financial strategy, with Campbell’s extensive experience and involvement in the company’s financial operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:TSND) stock is a Buy with a C$3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TerrAscend Corp stock, see the TSE:TSND Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
TerrAscend Expands into Ohio with Strategic Dispensary Acquisition
Positive
May 7, 2025

TerrAscend Corp has announced the acquisition of Ratio Cannabis LLC, marking its entry into Ohio, its sixth U.S. state. This acquisition is expected to enhance TerrAscend’s financial performance immediately and expand its retail presence to 39 dispensaries across North America. The company plans to further expand its footprint in Ohio by acquiring additional dispensaries, aiming to reach the state limit of eight. This strategic move is significant for TerrAscend’s growth and positioning in the competitive cannabis industry, especially given the legal complexities of operating in the U.S. market.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
TerrAscend Expands New Jersey Presence with Fourth Dispensary Acquisition
Positive
May 6, 2025

TerrAscend Corp has announced an agreement to acquire its fourth dispensary in New Jersey, Union Chill, which generates over $11 million in annualized revenue. This acquisition is expected to enhance TerrAscend’s leadership in the state and improve its EBITDA and cash flow. The company plans to introduce its premium brands to Union Chill to boost sales and margins, and is exploring further expansion opportunities in New Jersey. The acquisition will increase TerrAscend’s retail footprint to 39 dispensaries across North America.

Financial Disclosures
TerrAscend to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 3, 2025

TerrAscend Corp announced it will host a conference call to discuss its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 8, 2025. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor relations.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 19, 2025