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Curaleaf Holdings (TSE:CURA)
TSX:CURA
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Curaleaf Holdings (CURA) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CURA

Curaleaf Holdings

(TSX:CURA)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.50
▼(-20.81% Downside)
Curaleaf Holdings' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenues and cash flow issues. While technical analysis shows positive momentum, the valuation metrics are poor due to negative earnings. The earnings call provides a mixed outlook with strong international growth but significant domestic and regulatory challenges.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
Expansion into new markets is anticipated to increase revenue streams.
Operational Efficiency
Operational efficiencies are expected to drive margins.
Sales Growth
Sales growth in 2Q24 was largely driven by wholesale revenue growth as the international segment continues to gain traction.
Negative Factors
Competition
The company is facing stiff competition in the cannabis industry.
Financial Performance
EBITDA margins fell short of expectations due to higher G&A spend and heavy promotions at the start of the quarter.
Regulatory Challenges
There are concerns about regulatory challenges in the cannabis market.

Curaleaf Holdings (CURA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Curaleaf Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCuraleaf Holdings, Inc. operates a cannabis operator in the United States. It operates through Domestic Operations and International Operations segments. The company engages in the cultivation, production, and sale of cannabis products through retail and wholesale channels. In addition, it offers flowers, pre-rolls, flower pods, and dry-herb vaporizer cartridges; concentrates for vaporizing, such as pre-filled vaporizer cartridges and disposable vaporizer pens; and concentrates for dabbing, including distillate droppers, mints, topical balms and lotions, tinctures, lozenges, capsules, and edibles. Further, the company provides hemp-based CBD and cannabigerol products. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyCuraleaf generates revenue primarily through the sale of cannabis products in its dispensaries. This includes a diverse product range comprising dried flower, pre-rolls, edibles, concentrates, and topicals, which cater to both medical and recreational consumers. The company's revenue model is supported by its vertically integrated operations, allowing it to control production costs and quality. Additionally, Curaleaf benefits from strategic partnerships and collaborations with other cannabis brands and companies, enhancing its product offerings and market presence. The company's expansion into new states and markets, along with its emphasis on compliance and regulatory adherence, also contribute significantly to its earnings.

Curaleaf Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong international growth and product innovation as key positive aspects. However, domestic revenue challenges, margin pressures, and regulatory uncertainties present significant challenges. The call reflects a balanced outlook with robust international performance countered by domestic and regulatory pressures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
International Segment Growth
Curaleaf's International segment reported a 17% sequential growth in revenue and a 62% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand in Germany and the U.K.
Product Innovation Success
Curaleaf launched several new products, including the ACE and Anthem lines, which have received strong market reception and are expected to drive future growth.
Strategic International Expansion
Curaleaf completed the buyout of its minority partner in Curaleaf International and received a license to enter Turkey, positioning it for significant growth in new markets.
Improved Cultivation Practices
The company has made significant improvements in its cultivation practices, leading to high-quality flower production and improved genetics.
Strong R&D and Brand Leadership
Curaleaf continues to lead with its Select brand being the #1 vape brand in the U.S. and Grassroots being a top 3 flower brand.
Negative Updates
Domestic Revenue Pressure
Pricing pressure in key U.S. markets like Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Illinois led to a 14% decline in domestic revenue compared to the previous year.
Adjusted Gross Margin Decrease
The adjusted gross margin decreased by 130 basis points from the first quarter due to higher promotional activity.
Net Loss from Continuing Operations
Curaleaf reported a net loss from continuing operations of $51 million or $0.07 per share for the second quarter.
Challenges in U.S. Market
The U.S. cannabis market faces challenges from hemp-derived products and illicit market pressures, affecting pricing and competition.
Regulatory Uncertainty in New York
Regulatory challenges in New York, including delays in the seed-to-sale program and issues with store compliance, are causing operational uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During the Curaleaf Holdings Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company reported revenue of $315 million, reflecting a 1.5% increase from the first quarter, aligning with their guidance for low single-digit growth. The International segment was a highlight, showing a 17% sequential increase in revenue. Adjusted gross margin was reported at 49%, down by 130 basis points from the first quarter due to increased promotional activity. The company achieved $66 million in adjusted EBITDA, resulting in a 21% AEBITDA margin. Curaleaf's cash position stood at $102 million, after making $47 million in interest and principal debt payments, while generating $9 million in operating cash flow. The company also highlighted their strategic focus on product innovation and international expansion, including a notable presence in Germany and the receipt of a license to enter Turkey.

Curaleaf Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Curaleaf Holdings faces challenges with profitability, as evidenced by declining revenues and persistent net losses. While there is some improvement in cash flow and operational efficiency, the high debt levels and leverage risks pose financial stability concerns. The company needs to focus on enhancing profitability and managing leverage to ensure sustainable growth.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
The company shows a declining revenue trend with a slight drop in total revenue from $1.34 billion in the previous year to $1.31 billion in TTM. The gross profit margin has decreased, indicating increased cost pressures. Furthermore, negative net income results in a negative net profit margin, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges. Though EBIT and EBITDA margins show slight improvements, they remain low, impacting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, which poses leverage risks. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, impacting shareholder returns. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but with notable leverage risks.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Operating cash flow remains positive, reflecting operational viability. The free cash flow has grown compared to previous periods, improving cash flow stability. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is affected by persistent losses, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates inefficiencies. Overall, cash flow management shows improvements but remains constrained by net income losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.29B1.34B1.35B1.34B1.21B626.64M
Gross Profit625.61M639.25M614.45M579.03M687.59M390.51M
EBITDA220.14M233.14M238.76M220.97M278.98M128.59M
Net Income-244.34M-215.42M-281.20M-376.93M-109.13M-61.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.92B2.95B3.10B3.41B3.11B2.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments102.27M93.03M91.82M163.18M299.33M73.54M
Total Debt843.02M853.82M883.55M931.91M652.40M577.71M
Total Liabilities1.98B1.96B1.93B2.01B1.44B1.01B
Stockholders Equity871.30M861.21M1.05B1.28B1.55B1.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow49.54M64.42M5.05M-91.96M-205.92M-113.92M
Operating Cash Flow136.37M162.57M75.26M46.40M-33.96M12.36M
Investing Cash Flow-87.48M-93.83M-78.69M-228.62M-163.97M-197.11M
Financing Cash Flow-37.76M-54.24M-67.02M50.54M424.80M224.08M

Curaleaf Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.42
Price Trends
50DMA
2.17
Positive
100DMA
1.68
Positive
200DMA
1.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.63
Negative
RSI
71.72
Negative
STOCH
91.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CURA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.37, above the 50-day MA of 2.17, and above the 200-day MA of 1.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.72 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CURA.

Curaleaf Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$3.35B-24.93%-2.64%1.65%
51
Neutral
$7.83B-0.18-40.10%2.29%21.46%-2.03%
$388.80M-98.42%
$299.85M97.05-0.70%
$977.31M53.681.73%
$1.71B-12.60%
$626.29M-10.02%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CURA
Curaleaf Holdings
4.42
0.51
13.04%
CGC
Canopy Growth
1.51
-3.67
-70.85%
ACB
Aurora Cannabis
5.33
-0.68
-11.31%
CRON
Cronos Group
2.56
0.36
16.36%
TCNNF
Trulieve Cannabis
8.99
0.49
5.76%
CRLBF
Cresco Labs
1.42
-0.12
-7.79%

Curaleaf Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Curaleaf Expands Internationally Amidst Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

Curaleaf Holdings reported a second-quarter 2025 revenue of $315 million, with a notable 62% year-over-year growth in its international segment. The company was awarded a license to operate in Turkey, marking a significant expansion in its international operations. Despite a net loss, Curaleaf is focusing on strategic growth, including opening new retail locations, launching innovative products, and strengthening its leadership team to position itself for future industry growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CURA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Curaleaf Holdings stock, see the TSE:CURA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Curaleaf to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Jul 8, 2025

Curaleaf Holdings announced it will release its second quarter 2025 financial and operational results on August 6, 2025, after market close. The announcement will be followed by a conference call and webcast, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s performance and strategic direction. This release is significant for stakeholders as it offers an opportunity to gauge Curaleaf’s market positioning and operational progress in the evolving cannabis industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CURA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Curaleaf Holdings stock, see the TSE:CURA Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Curaleaf Holdings Acquires Full Ownership of European Operations
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

Curaleaf Holdings has acquired the remaining equity stake in Curaleaf International Holdings Limited from a strategic institutional investor, bringing its ownership to 100%. This acquisition, completed through a Put/Call Option agreement, allows Curaleaf to streamline decision-making and enhance strategic alignment across its European operations, reinforcing its commitment to international expansion and long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CURA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Curaleaf Holdings stock, see the TSE:CURA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Curaleaf Strengthens Leadership with New President and Key Executive Hires
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

Curaleaf Holdings has appointed Rahul Pinto as the new President to lead its global commercial functions, alongside strengthening its leadership team with three new Senior Vice Presidents in digital, retail merchandising, and brand marketing. This strategic move aims to enhance Curaleaf’s position as a global leader in the cannabis industry by leveraging Pinto’s extensive experience in consumer packaged goods and retail, as well as the expertise of the new hires, to drive innovation and growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CURA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Curaleaf Holdings stock, see the TSE:CURA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Curaleaf Holdings Confirms Board and Auditor at 2025 AGM
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. recently held its 2025 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where key resolutions were passed, including the election of ten directors and the reappointment of PKF O’Connor Davies, LLP as the company’s auditor. The meeting, conducted via webcast, saw significant shareholder participation with over 1.7 billion votes cast. These decisions are expected to reinforce Curaleaf’s governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CURA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Curaleaf Holdings stock, see the TSE:CURA Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Curaleaf Holdings Strengthens Governance at 2025 Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. held its 2025 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders via webcast, where key resolutions were passed, including the election of directors and the reappointment of the company’s auditor. The meeting saw a significant number of votes cast, reflecting strong shareholder engagement. These developments are expected to reinforce Curaleaf’s governance and operational stability, positively impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CURA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Curaleaf Holdings stock, see the TSE:CURA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025