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Curaleaf Holdings (TSE:CURA)
TSX:CURA

Curaleaf Holdings (CURA) AI Stock Analysis

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Curaleaf Holdings

(TSX:CURA)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
C$1.00
▼(-12.28%Downside)
Curaleaf Holdings' overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and persistent net losses, countered by strong international growth and improved margins. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, while valuation metrics reflect ongoing profitability issues. Strategic expansions and operational efficiency improvements provide some optimism for future growth.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
Expansion into new markets is anticipated to increase revenue streams.
Operational Efficiency
Operational efficiencies are expected to drive margins.
Sales Growth
Sales growth in 2Q24 was largely driven by wholesale revenue growth as the international segment continues to gain traction.
Negative Factors
Competition
The company is facing stiff competition in the cannabis industry.
Financial Performance
EBITDA margins fell short of expectations due to higher G&A spend and heavy promotions at the start of the quarter.
Regulatory Challenges
There are concerns about regulatory challenges in the cannabis market.

Curaleaf Holdings (CURA) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Curaleaf Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCuraleaf Holdings, Inc. operates a cannabis operator in the United States. It operates through Domestic Operations and International Operations segments. The company engages in the cultivation, production, and sale of cannabis products through retail and wholesale channels. In addition, it offers flowers, pre-rolls, flower pods, and dry-herb vaporizer cartridges; concentrates for vaporizing, such as pre-filled vaporizer cartridges and disposable vaporizer pens; and concentrates for dabbing, including distillate droppers, mints, topical balms and lotions, tinctures, lozenges, capsules, and edibles. Further, the company provides hemp-based CBD and cannabigerol products. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyCuraleaf Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of cannabis products across its retail dispensaries and wholesale channels. The company's key revenue streams include the direct sale of proprietary branded products, such as Curaleaf, Select, and Grassroots, which are available in various forms including flower, pre-rolls, oils, and edibles. Additionally, Curaleaf earns revenue through wholesale operations where it supplies cannabis products to other dispensaries and retailers. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions also play a vital role in expanding Curaleaf's market presence and product offerings, contributing to its earnings. The company's vertically integrated model ensures control over the entire supply chain, from cultivation to distribution, optimizing cost efficiencies and product quality.

Curaleaf Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Curaleaf's first quarter showed a mixed performance with significant growth in the international segment and improved gross margins offset by revenue declines and challenges in key domestic markets like New York. Despite the net loss and price compression challenges, strategic expansions and product innovations present optimistic prospects for future growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Gross Margin Expansion
Gross margin expanded by 250 basis points to 50% from the fourth quarter, reflecting improved efficiency in cultivation operations.
International Segment Growth
International segment delivered 74% year-over-year growth, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of 70% growth and 14% sequential growth, led by Germany and the U.K.
Strong Performance in Ohio
Ohio delivered robust year-over-year growth of 58% in quarter one, with strong performance from both retail locations and expanding wholesale business.
Introduction of New Products
Introduction and strong initial sell-through of new products like Anthem and Ace, with new proprietary extraction technology, setting new standards in the market.
Improved Cash Flow
Operating and free cash flow from continuing operations were $42 million and $26 million, respectively.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue of $310 million represented a 6% sequential decline and a 9% decrease compared to the same period last year, primarily due to pricing pressure and seasonality.
Challenges in New York
Significant revenue impact due to the inversion of illicit cannabis entering the market, causing a 50% drop in revenues from fourth quarter to February.
Price Compression
Price compression remains a significant headwind across the industry, affecting markets like New Jersey, Arizona, and Illinois.
Net Loss
First quarter net loss from continuing operations was $55 million, or a loss of $0.07 per share.
SG&A Expenses Increase
SG&A expenses were $107 million, a $3 million increase from the year-ago period, driven by international expansion and new store openings.
Company Guidance
During Curaleaf Holdings, Inc.'s Q1 2025 conference call, the company provided comprehensive guidance on its financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported a revenue of $310 million for the quarter, marking a 6% sequential decline, attributed to seasonality and price compression. Despite this, Curaleaf expanded its gross margin by 250 basis points to 50% and achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $65 million, representing a 21% margin. The company's international segment showed strong momentum with a 74% year-over-year revenue growth, led by Germany and the U.K. Domestically, New York and Ohio were highlighted for their revenue growth, with New York experiencing a 24% increase year-over-year. Curaleaf ended the quarter with $122 million in cash and reduced acquisition-related debt by $20 million. Looking ahead, the company anticipates low single-digit revenue growth in Q2 and remains focused on strategic expansions and enhancing profitability through operational efficiency and product optimization.

Curaleaf Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Curaleaf Holdings faces challenges with profitability, evidenced by declining revenues and persistent net losses. While cash flow and operational efficiency show some improvement, high debt levels and leverage risks pose financial stability concerns. The company needs to enhance profitability and manage leverage for sustainable growth.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
The company shows a declining revenue trend with a slight drop in total revenue from $1.34 billion in the previous year to $1.31 billion in TTM. The gross profit margin has decreased, indicating increased cost pressures. Furthermore, negative net income results in a negative net profit margin, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges. Though EBIT and EBITDA margins show slight improvements, they remain low, impacting overall profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio, which poses leverage risks. However, the equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, impacting shareholder returns. Overall, the balance sheet shows stability but with notable leverage risks.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Operating cash flow remains positive, reflecting operational viability. The free cash flow has grown compared to previous periods, improving cash flow stability. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is affected by persistent losses, and the operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates inefficiencies. Overall, cash flow management shows improvements but remains constrained by net income losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.31B1.34B1.35B1.34B1.21B626.64M
Gross Profit596.92M639.25M614.45M579.03M687.59M390.51M
EBITDA217.71M233.14M238.76M220.97M278.98M128.59M
Net Income-228.21M-215.42M-281.20M-376.93M-109.13M-61.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.95B2.95B3.10B3.40B3.26B2.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments121.87M93.03M91.82M163.18M299.33M73.54M
Total Debt846.60M853.82M883.55M931.91M753.65M577.71M
Total Liabilities1.98B1.96B1.93B2.00B1.45B1.01B
Stockholders Equity814.02M861.21M1.05B1.28B1.76B1.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow62.65M64.42M5.05M-91.96M-205.92M-113.92M
Operating Cash Flow159.03M162.57M75.26M46.40M-33.96M12.36M
Investing Cash Flow-93.78M-93.83M-78.69M-228.62M-163.97M-197.11M
Financing Cash Flow-48.01M-54.24M-67.02M50.54M424.80M224.08M

Curaleaf Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.14
Price Trends
50DMA
1.20
Negative
100DMA
1.40
Negative
200DMA
2.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
48.38
Neutral
STOCH
47.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CURA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.14, below the 50-day MA of 1.20, and below the 200-day MA of 2.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:CURA.

Curaleaf Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
54
Neutral
$863.38M-25.08%-0.11%11.22%
51
Neutral
$7.41B0.32-61.11%2.34%16.99%1.69%
CGCGC
$254.47M-122.10%
ACACB
$220.72M82.703.05%
$731.91M14.964.61%
$693.49M-12.39%
$231.04M-17.34%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CURA
Curaleaf Holdings
1.15
-4.10
-78.10%
CGC
Canopy Growth
1.24
-5.21
-80.78%
ACB
Aurora Cannabis
4.26
-0.36
-7.79%
CRON
Cronos Group
1.91
-0.42
-18.03%
TCNNF
Trulieve Cannabis
3.63
-5.62
-60.76%
CRLBF
Cresco Labs
0.51
-1.07
-67.72%

Curaleaf Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Curaleaf Strengthens Leadership with New President and Key Executive Hires
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

Curaleaf Holdings has appointed Rahul Pinto as the new President to lead its global commercial functions, alongside strengthening its leadership team with three new Senior Vice Presidents in digital, retail merchandising, and brand marketing. This strategic move aims to enhance Curaleaf’s position as a global leader in the cannabis industry by leveraging Pinto’s extensive experience in consumer packaged goods and retail, as well as the expertise of the new hires, to drive innovation and growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CURA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Curaleaf Holdings stock, see the TSE:CURA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Curaleaf Holdings Confirms Board and Auditor at 2025 AGM
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. recently held its 2025 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders, where key resolutions were passed, including the election of ten directors and the reappointment of PKF O’Connor Davies, LLP as the company’s auditor. The meeting, conducted via webcast, saw significant shareholder participation with over 1.7 billion votes cast. These decisions are expected to reinforce Curaleaf’s governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CURA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Curaleaf Holdings stock, see the TSE:CURA Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Curaleaf Holdings Strengthens Governance at 2025 Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 13, 2025

Curaleaf Holdings, Inc. held its 2025 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders via webcast, where key resolutions were passed, including the election of directors and the reappointment of the company’s auditor. The meeting saw a significant number of votes cast, reflecting strong shareholder engagement. These developments are expected to reinforce Curaleaf’s governance and operational stability, positively impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CURA) stock is a Buy with a C$6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Curaleaf Holdings stock, see the TSE:CURA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Curaleaf Holdings Reports Q1 2025 Results with Strong International Growth
Positive
May 8, 2025

Curaleaf Holdings reported a total revenue of $310 million for the first quarter of 2025, with a notable international revenue growth of 74% year-over-year. Despite a decrease in net revenue compared to the previous year, the company achieved a 50% adjusted gross margin and continued to expand its product offerings and retail locations, demonstrating resilience and strategic positioning for long-term success.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Curaleaf Holdings to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 7, 2025

Curaleaf Holdings announced it will release its first quarter 2025 financial and operational results on May 8, 2025, after market close. The company will host a conference call and webcast to discuss these results, providing stakeholders with insights into its performance and strategic direction. This announcement is significant as it offers an opportunity for investors and analysts to evaluate Curaleaf’s market positioning and operational effectiveness in the evolving cannabis industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 17, 2025