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Cronos Group (US) (TSE:CRON)
NASDAQ:CRON

Cronos Group (CRON) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CRON

Cronos Group

(NASDAQ:CRON)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
C$4.00
▲(14.94% Upside)
Cronos Group's overall score reflects strong earnings performance and technical momentum, offset by valuation concerns and cash flow challenges. The company's robust market position in Canada and Israel, coupled with a strong balance sheet, supports future growth, but operational profitability and cash flow issues need resolution.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
The acquisition of CanAdelaar positions Cronos to expand into the European market, leveraging the Netherlands' adult-use cannabis pilot program, which enhances its global footprint and long-term growth potential.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with substantial cash reserves and no debt provides Cronos with financial stability and flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather industry volatility.
Brand Leadership
The market leadership of the Spinach brand in Canada demonstrates Cronos' competitive advantage in brand recognition and consumer preference, supporting sustained revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Ongoing cash flow challenges may limit Cronos' ability to fund operations and growth initiatives internally, potentially necessitating external financing, which could impact long-term financial health.
Operational Profitability
Persistent issues with operational profitability, as indicated by a negative EBIT margin, suggest inefficiencies that could hinder Cronos' ability to achieve sustainable profit margins over time.
Flower Supply Constraints
Supply constraints in the core flower category could impact Cronos' ability to meet demand and maintain market share, potentially affecting revenue growth and competitive positioning.

Cronos Group (CRON) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Cronos Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCronos Group Inc. is a leading Canadian cannabis company that focuses on the production and distribution of cannabis and cannabis-derived products. Operating in both the adult-use and medical cannabis sectors, Cronos Group is dedicated to innovative product development and has established a strong presence in international markets. The company offers a diverse portfolio of products, including dried flower, oils, capsules, and other cannabis-infused items, while leveraging advanced technology and research to enhance its product offerings.
How the Company Makes MoneyCronos Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of cannabis products in both domestic and international markets. The company's revenue streams include wholesale sales to licensed distributors and retailers, direct-to-consumer sales through its own online platforms, and partnerships with other companies to co-develop and market cannabis products. Significant partnerships, such as those with major players in the pharmaceutical and consumer goods sectors, allow Cronos to expand its reach and diversify its product offerings. Additionally, the company benefits from the growing legalization of cannabis in various regions, enabling it to tap into new markets and increase its customer base.

Cronos Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance by Cronos in Q3 2025, with record-breaking results, significant growth in Israel, and market leadership in Canada. Although there were some challenges with flower supply constraints and shipment timing issues, the overall outlook remains positive with a strong balance sheet and strategic growth initiatives in place.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarter in Q3 2025
Cronos delivered another record quarter in Q3 2025, highlighting continued strength of core business and global strategy success, with robust demand across key markets.
Significant Growth in Israel
Cronos achieved record net revenue in Israel, driven by the flagship PEACE NATURALS and Lit brands. Medical patient count returned to growth in 2025, up nearly 5% year-to-date.
Spinach Brand Market Leadership
Spinach brand became #2 cannabis brand in Canada with 4.5% market share, #4 in Flower with 4.9%, and #3 in vapes with 7%. Achieved #1 position in edibles with 19.7% market share.
Improved Financial Metrics
Consolidated net revenue of $36.3 million, a 6% increase year-over-year. Gross profit and adjusted gross profit were $18.3 million, equating to a 50% gross margin, a 19 percentage point improvement from Q3 2024.
Strong Balance Sheet
Cronos maintains one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry with no debt and $824 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments.
Negative Updates
Flower Supply Constraints in Canada
Flower supply constraints led to softer flower revenue year-over-year in Canada, though offset by growth in edibles and vape categories.
Shipment Timing Issues
Results in other international markets were lighter this quarter due to shipment timing, affecting revenue recognition in Q3.
Company Guidance
During the Cronos Group's 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Call, the company reported a record quarter with consolidated net revenue of $36.3 million, marking a 6% increase year-over-year. This growth was driven by strong demand in Israel and robust performance in the Canadian market, particularly in the edibles and vape categories. The Spinach brand emerged as a leading cannabis brand in Canada, securing a 4.5% overall market share, with notable achievements in the edibles and vape segments. The company also highlighted the completion of its Phase 2 expansion at GrowCo, which is expected to alleviate flower supply constraints and drive further growth in 2026. Cronos ended the quarter with $824 million in cash, emphasizing its strong balance sheet and ability to invest in global expansion and innovation. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $5.7 million, reflecting significant year-over-year improvement, and gross margins improved to 50%, up 19 percentage points from the previous year.

Cronos Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cronos Group shows mixed financial performance. Revenue growth and gross profit margins are improving, but the company struggles with operational profitability and cash flow generation. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, but cash flow issues need addressing for long-term sustainability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Cronos Group has shown a positive revenue growth rate of 1.68% in the TTM, indicating a recovery from previous declines. The gross profit margin has improved to 36.82%, reflecting better cost management. However, the company still faces challenges with profitability, as evidenced by a negative EBIT margin of -25.76% and a net profit margin of 14.17%, which is skewed by non-operational factors.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet is strong with a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19%, suggesting minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is modest at 1.72%, indicating limited profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is healthy, showing a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow situation is concerning, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -39.03% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.53, indicating that cash generation from operations is not fully covering net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue132.65M117.50M87.03M87.54M64.02M46.57M
Gross Profit55.68M30.45M11.88M15.58M-17.45M-25.75M
EBITDA22.19M-45.37M-72.28M-93.81M-150.79M-173.09M
Net Income36.13M41.04M-73.79M-170.26M-392.81M-72.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.18B1.17B1.14B1.21B1.40B1.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments824.17M858.80M861.53M877.72M1.00B1.29B
Total Debt1.74M2.02M2.55M3.88M9.81M9.81M
Total Liabilities46.36M55.33M43.96M72.05M63.46M217.51M
Stockholders Equity1.08B1.06B1.10B1.14B1.34B1.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.74M5.69M-46.26M-93.98M-165.88M-177.85M
Operating Cash Flow21.75M18.84M-42.84M-88.95M-153.62M-142.46M
Investing Cash Flow-84.37M175.15M-59.50M-1.84M-28.90M20.15M
Financing Cash Flow-12.79M-1.23M-1.03M-2.90M-13.44M-5.46M

Cronos Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.48
Price Trends
50DMA
3.59
Positive
100DMA
3.56
Positive
200DMA
3.11
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.14
Positive
RSI
49.00
Neutral
STOCH
28.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CRON, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.78, below the 50-day MA of 3.59, and above the 200-day MA of 3.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:CRON.

Cronos Group Risk Analysis

Cronos Group disclosed 90 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cronos Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cronos Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
C$1.47B28.603.34%22.20%
60
Neutral
C$2.00B-10.87-9.95%4.27%3.41%
58
Neutral
C$2.96B-7.90-27.61%-3.38%-31.35%
52
Neutral
C$720.77M-7.99-11.79%-6.48%22.63%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
C$366.87M-6.19-10.76%23.87%-19.57%
47
Neutral
C$677.97M-0.70-60.19%-0.67%58.98%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CRON
Cronos Group
3.75
0.91
32.04%
TSE:WEED
Canopy Growth
1.93
-2.09
-51.99%
TSE:ACB
Aurora Cannabis
6.37
0.16
2.58%
TSE:CURA
Curaleaf Holdings
3.85
1.66
75.80%
TSE:TRUL
Trulieve Cannabis
10.65
3.82
55.93%
TSE:CL
Cresco Labs
1.65
0.45
37.50%

Cronos Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Cronos Group Achieves Record Q3 2025 Results, Strengthens Global Position
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Cronos Group reported record levels of consolidated net revenue, gross profit, and Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2025, driven by strong performance in Israel and strategic cost management. The company maintains a robust financial position with $824 million in cash and investments, enabling global expansion and innovation. Despite temporary supply constraints in Canada, Cronos is well-positioned for future growth with its expanded cultivation capacity at Cronos GrowCo.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 10, 2025