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Verano Holdings (TSE:VRNO)
NEO-L:VRNO

Verano Holdings (VRNO) AI Stock Analysis

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Verano Holdings

(NEO-L:VRNO)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.50
▲(2.85%Upside)
The overall score reflects financial struggles, especially with declining revenues and profitability impacting the financial performance. Technical analysis indicates potential overbought conditions, while valuation concerns due to negative earnings further weigh on the score. However, positive corporate events offer some optimism for future growth and market positioning.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Verano reported strong Q2 results, with profitability margins and adjusted EBITDA contribution both exceeding expectations, demonstrating strong operational execution.
Growth Potential
Verano launched adult-use sales in Ohio on the first day of market launch, positioning it as a key growth lever with significant sales potential.
Market Expansion
The acquisition of CBST's assets in Arizona and Virginia will expand Verano's operations and penetrate the Virginia medical market for the first time.
Negative Factors
Revenue Challenges
Solid growth in wholesale revenue offset by a decline in retail revenue, primarily driven by the expected productivity decline in NJ.

Verano Holdings (VRNO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Verano Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVerano Holdings Corp. operates as a vertically integrated multi-state cannabis operator in the United States. The company engages in the cultivation, processing, wholesale, and retail distribution of cannabis in Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. It offers artisanal cannabis products under the Encore, Avexia, MUV, Savvy, BITS, and Verano brands for medical and adult-use markets. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyVerano Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of cannabis products across its retail dispensaries and wholesale distribution channels. The company cultivates and processes cannabis in its state-of-the-art facilities, ensuring a consistent supply of high-quality products. Retail sales contribute significantly to Verano's revenue, as the company operates numerous dispensaries in key markets. Additionally, it engages in wholesale transactions, supplying cannabis products to other dispensaries and third-party retailers. Verano's strategic partnerships and acquisitions often enhance its market presence and expand its product offerings, further bolstering its revenue generation capabilities. The company also benefits from its strong brand portfolio, which attracts a loyal customer base and drives sales growth.

Verano Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 0.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook for Verano Holdings. While the company showcased strong wholesale performance, retail expansion, and successful new product launches, it also faced significant challenges such as a net loss due to asset impairments, revenue decline in key markets, and pricing pressures. Overall, the highlights and lowlights are balanced, reflecting a neutral sentiment.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full Year Revenue and Wholesale Performance
For the full year 2024, Verano Holdings delivered $879 million in revenue and adjusted EBITDA of $264 million. The company achieved $353 million in total wholesale revenue, marking the highest annual total ever in the wholesale segment, with a 1% gain versus the prior year.
Expansion of Retail Footprint
In 2024, Verano strengthened its retail footprint by adding 17 new dispensaries across key markets including Virginia, Arizona, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Florida.
Innovative Product Launches
The company launched innovative products such as Extra Savvy 2 gram vape cartridges and Essence J’s barrel-style pre-roll joints, which have become top-selling items in their respective markets.
Improved Retail Productivity
In the fourth quarter, Verano increased transactions per headcount by 54% in Florida and 14% in other markets compared to the third quarter.
Positive Performance in Florida
Verano reclaimed the number two market position in Florida with an 11% market share, driven by successful facility upgrades and new product launches.
Negative Updates
Net Loss and Impairments
Verano reported a net loss of $342 million for the year, driven by intangible and fixed asset impairments, particularly in Pennsylvania retail licenses and an Arizona cultivation facility.
Revenue Decline in Key Markets
Revenue decreased by 6% year-over-year, primarily due to increased competition, promotional activity, and cultivation facility upgrades in markets like New Jersey, Illinois, and Florida.
Pricing Compression and Competition
The company faced pricing compression and increased competition in markets such as Illinois, New Jersey, and Florida, impacting retail revenue.
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses increased to $353 million in 2024, representing 40% of revenue, up from 35% of revenue in the prior year, driven by new store openings.
Challenges with Third-Party Accounts
Verano held back some third-party accounts due to non-payment, affecting wholesale performance, though improvements are underway.
Company Guidance
During the Verano Holdings earnings call for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, several key metrics were highlighted regarding the company's financial performance and future guidance. Verano reported a full-year revenue of $879 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $264 million, which represents 30% of their revenue. The fourth-quarter revenue was $218 million, showing a sequential increase of 1% from the previous quarter, with an adjusted EBITDA of $63 million. Retail revenue for the year totaled $672 million, while wholesale revenue reached $353 million, marking a 1% gain over the prior year. The company expanded its retail footprint by adding 17 new dispensaries across key markets such as Virginia and Arizona. Verano also experienced a net loss of $342 million for the year, largely due to impairments of intangible and fixed assets, and ended the year with $88 million in cash and cash equivalents. Looking ahead to 2025, Verano anticipates CapEx spending between $25 million and $40 million, focusing on efficiency initiatives at cultivation facilities and targeted retail expansion, while also exploring potential M&A opportunities to strengthen their market position.

Verano Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Verano Holdings faces significant challenges with declining revenues and profitability, compressing margins, and negative equity returns. Despite stable debt levels, cash flow generation inconsistencies raise concerns about future liquidity and financial flexibility.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
Verano Holdings shows declining revenue and profitability. The TTM revenue is slightly lower than the previous annual period, and gross profit margin is compressing. The company struggles with negative EBIT and net profit margins, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates moderate financial health. The debt-to-equity ratio remains relatively stable, showing average leverage. However, the equity ratio has decreased, and return on equity is negative, highlighting profitability issues.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows mixed results. Operating cash flow remains positive, but free cash flow has recently turned negative, indicating potential liquidity concerns. Free cash flow to net income ratios are unfavorable due to persistent net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue867.09M878.59M938.45M1.14B925.07M306.53M
Gross Profit430.55M443.93M475.21M534.79M405.23M157.02M
EBITDA-100.40M-94.29M239.22M47.32M212.51M97.76M
Net Income-348.55M-341.86M-117.35M-350.41M-72.10M51.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.97B1.99B3.08B3.26B3.22B419.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments84.22M87.80M230.44M114.97M125.20M20.90M
Total Debt528.71M522.98M542.79M675.78M446.27M67.17M
Total Liabilities1.03B1.04B1.45B1.45B1.35B224.55M
Stockholders Equity943.38M952.17M1.64B1.82B1.87B187.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-20.27M13.15M99.04M-32.32M54.55M10.79M
Operating Cash Flow82.94M112.19M148.07M122.83M242.15M100.88M
Investing Cash Flow-128.32M-133.25M-63.98M-270.59M-582.27M-119.07M
Financing Cash Flow-64.20M-65.93M27.60M129.20M443.82M33.89M

Verano Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.32
Price Trends
50DMA
6.32
Positive
100DMA
6.32
Negative
200DMA
6.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Neutral
RSI
100.00
Negative
STOCH
81.97
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:VRNO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.32, above the 50-day MA of 6.32, and below the 200-day MA of 6.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Neutral momentum. The RSI at 100.00 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.97 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:VRNO.

Verano Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
$2.17B-31.94%-4.13%-218.59%
52
Neutral
$7.53B0.20-61.87%2.28%16.72%1.10%
ACACB
$256.33M98.953.05%
$753.42M-25.08%
$1.40B30.452.83%
$861.01M-12.39%
$267.18M-17.34%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:VRNO
Verano Holdings
6.32
0.00
0.00%
ACB
Aurora Cannabis
4.49
-1.52
-25.29%
CURLF
Curaleaf Holdings
1.15
-3.06
-72.68%
GTBIF
Green Thumb Industries
6.56
-5.13
-43.88%
TCNNF
Trulieve Cannabis
4.58
-5.42
-54.20%
CRLBF
Cresco Labs
0.66
-1.04
-61.18%

Verano Holdings Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Verano Holdings to Release Q2 2025 Financial Results on August 7
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

Verano Holdings Corp. announced it will release its second-quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025, before the market opens. A conference call and webcast with analysts and investors will follow to discuss the results, reflecting the company’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its stakeholders. This announcement underscores Verano’s active role in the cannabis industry and its ongoing efforts to maintain strong investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:VRNO) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Verano Holdings stock, see the TSE:VRNO Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Verano Holdings Launches Innovative Bodega-Style Dispensary in Phoenix
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

Verano Holdings has introduced a new bodega-style dispensary format at its Zen Leaf Cave Creek location in Phoenix, Arizona, aiming to revolutionize the cannabis retail experience. This innovative model allows customers to browse and select products directly from shelves, offering a modern and convenient shopping experience. The company plans to expand this format across its Arizona retail footprint and introduce in-store activation opportunities for wholesale partners, potentially enhancing consumer engagement and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:VRNO) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Verano Holdings stock, see the TSE:VRNO Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Verano Holdings Partners with Grow Sciences to Expand Cannabis Offerings in Illinois
Positive
Jun 19, 2025

Verano Holdings has announced an exclusive partnership with Arizona-based Grow Sciences to introduce a range of premium cannabis products to the Illinois market. This collaboration will see Grow Sciences’ award-winning flower, pre-rolls, and solventless extracts sold at Zen Leaf dispensaries, enhancing Verano’s product offerings and strengthening its market position in Illinois.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:VRNO) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Verano Holdings stock, see the TSE:VRNO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Verano Holdings Expands Connecticut Presence with Zen Leaf Enfield Opening
Positive
May 21, 2025

Verano Holdings announced the grand opening of Zen Leaf Enfield, its seventh dispensary in Connecticut, which coincides with the $250 million redevelopment of Enfield Square Mall into Enfield Marketplace. The company is actively engaging with the local community by supporting charitable causes and providing career opportunities, positioning itself as a key player in the region’s economic growth and the legal marijuana industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:VRNO) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Verano Holdings stock, see the TSE:VRNO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Verano Holdings Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results Amidst Revenue Decline
Negative
May 8, 2025

Verano Holdings reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a decrease in revenue to $210 million, down 5% year-over-year. The decline was attributed to increased promotional activity and price compression, although partially offset by strong sales in Ohio and contributions from recent acquisitions. Despite a net loss of $12 million, Verano expanded its retail operations, opening new dispensaries in Florida and other states, and implemented automation technologies to improve efficiency and reduce costs.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Verano Expands Florida Presence with New MÜV Dispensary
Positive
Apr 17, 2025

Verano Holdings Corp. has expanded its retail presence in Florida with the opening of the MÜV New Smyrna Beach dispensary, marking its 81st location in the state and 155th nationwide. This new opening, strategically located near local amenities, aims to enhance customer experience and capitalize on the 420 ‘high holiday’ with significant promotions. The expansion underscores Verano’s commitment to growing its footprint in Florida, with plans for further product launches and dispensary openings throughout 2025, thereby strengthening its market position and offering a comprehensive cannabis shopping experience.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025