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Verano Holdings (TSE:VRNO)
NEO-L:VRNO
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Verano Holdings (VRNO) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:VRNO

Verano Holdings

(NEO-L:VRNO)

Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
C$6.00
▼(-5.06% Downside)
Verano Holdings' overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability issues. The technical analysis indicates potential risks due to volatility and overbought conditions. While there are some positive developments in retail growth and cost management, these are overshadowed by ongoing market pressures and financial instability.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Verano reported strong Q2 results, with profitability margins and adjusted EBITDA contribution both exceeding expectations, demonstrating strong operational execution.
Growth Potential
Verano launched adult-use sales in Ohio on the first day of market launch, positioning it as a key growth lever with significant sales potential.
Market Expansion
The acquisition of CBST's assets in Arizona and Virginia will expand Verano's operations and penetrate the Virginia medical market for the first time.
Negative Factors
Revenue Challenges
Solid growth in wholesale revenue offset by a decline in retail revenue, primarily driven by the expected productivity decline in NJ.

Verano Holdings (VRNO) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Verano Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVerano Holdings Corp. operates as a vertically integrated multi-state cannabis operator in the United States. The company engages in the cultivation, processing, wholesale, and retail distribution of cannabis in Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Florida, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. It offers artisanal cannabis products under the Encore, Avexia, MUV, Savvy, BITS, and Verano brands for medical and adult-use markets. The company is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyVerano Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of cannabis products via its extensive retail network of dispensaries and wholesale operations. The company's vertically integrated business model allows it to control the entire supply chain from cultivation to retail, optimizing cost efficiency and product quality. Key revenue streams include direct sales to consumers through owned dispensaries, wholesale distribution to other retailers, and private label products. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions also play a role in expanding its market reach and enhancing its product offerings, further contributing to its revenue growth.

Verano Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong retail growth and improved margins due to cost management and efficiency efforts. However, significant challenges remain with declining wholesale revenue, increased net loss, and ongoing market pressures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Retail Revenue Growth
Verano generated $169 million in retail revenue in Q2 2025, marking a 3% increase compared to the prior year. This growth was driven by organic expansion in Ohio and contributions from acquired assets in Virginia and Arizona.
Improved Gross Profit Margins
Gross profit for the quarter was $113 million, or 56% of revenue, up 13% sequentially. The increase was primarily due to cultivation and production efficiencies.
Positive Product and Market Expansion
Verano successfully launched new product lines and opened new dispensaries. The company also expanded its vape market share by 44% in tracked markets.
Effective Cost Management
SG&A expenses were $86 million, nearly flat from the previous quarter, demonstrating effective cost management.
Negative Updates
Decline in Wholesale Revenue
Wholesale revenue fell to $73 million, down 8% sequentially and 21% year-over-year, due to increased competition and a strategic accounts receivable focus.
Overall Revenue Decrease
Overall revenue for the quarter was $202 million, a decrease of 4% sequentially and 9% year-over-year.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for the second quarter was $19 million, compared to a net loss of $12 million in the first quarter, primarily due to an increase in income tax provisions.
Ongoing Price Compression
Ongoing price compression and increased competition in key markets, including Illinois and New Jersey, impacted performance.
Company Guidance
During the Verano Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported a revenue of $202 million, a gross profit of $113 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of $66 million, or 33% of revenue. Despite a 4% sequential and 9% year-over-year decline in total revenue, retail revenue grew 3% compared to the previous year, driven by organic growth in Ohio and acquired assets in Virginia and Arizona. The wholesale segment generated $73 million, impacted by increased competition and a strategic accounts receivable approach. The company maintained a gross margin of 56%, attributed to operational efficiencies, especially in Florida and Illinois. SG&A expenses were stable at $86 million, with a net loss of $19 million due to higher income tax provisions. Verano ended the quarter with $69 million in cash and cash equivalents, with expectations to bolster cash reserves in the latter half of the year. Looking ahead, Verano aims to continue cost management, enhance its product pipeline, and focus on strategic growth in key markets like Florida, Virginia, and Pennsylvania, while addressing industry-wide credit challenges.

Verano Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Verano Holdings is facing financial challenges with declining revenues, significant net losses, and negative cash flow growth. While the gross profit margin is stable, the company struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but the negative return on equity highlights ongoing profitability issues.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Verano Holdings shows declining revenue with a negative growth rate of -2.32% in TTM. The company is experiencing significant losses, with a net profit margin of -40.20% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating operational challenges. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable at 49.18%, suggesting some efficiency in cost management despite overall financial struggles.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.56, indicating a balanced approach to leveraging. However, the return on equity is negative at -25.67%, reflecting the company's inability to generate profit from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at 47.76%, showing a reasonable level of equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The company faces challenges with cash flow, as evidenced by a significant decline in free cash flow growth of -54.39% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.50, indicating some ability to generate cash from operations despite losses. However, the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights ongoing cash flow difficulties.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue846.97M878.59M938.45M1.14B925.07M306.53M
Gross Profit429.20M443.93M475.21M534.79M405.23M157.02M
EBITDA-98.31M-94.29M239.22M47.32M212.51M97.76M
Net Income-345.94M-341.86M-117.35M-350.41M-72.10M51.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.94B1.99B3.08B3.26B3.22B419.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments68.57M87.80M230.44M114.97M125.20M20.90M
Total Debt508.96M522.98M542.79M675.78M446.27M67.17M
Total Liabilities1.02B1.04B1.45B1.45B1.35B224.55M
Stockholders Equity927.23M952.17M1.64B1.82B1.87B187.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.25M13.15M99.04M-32.32M54.55M10.79M
Operating Cash Flow85.92M112.19M148.07M122.83M242.15M100.88M
Investing Cash Flow-120.22M-133.25M-63.98M-270.59M-582.27M-119.07M
Financing Cash Flow-27.18M-65.93M27.60M129.20M443.82M33.89M

Verano Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.32
Price Trends
50DMA
6.32
Positive
100DMA
6.32
Negative
200DMA
6.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Neutral
RSI
100.00
Negative
STOCH
81.97
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:VRNO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.32, above the 50-day MA of 6.32, and below the 200-day MA of 6.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Neutral momentum. The RSI at 100.00 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.97 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:VRNO.

Verano Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
51
Neutral
$7.85B-0.21-41.41%2.22%22.81%-2.01%
43
Neutral
$2.17B-32.20%-5.30%-191.63%
$303.95M97.05-0.70%
$2.51B-24.93%
$2.01B71.511.63%
$1.68B-12.60%
$667.80M-10.02%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:VRNO
Verano Holdings
6.32
0.00
0.00%
ACB
Aurora Cannabis
5.42
-0.42
-7.19%
CURLF
Curaleaf Holdings
3.30
0.35
11.86%
GTBIF
Green Thumb Industries
8.69
-1.07
-10.96%
TCNNF
Trulieve Cannabis
8.80
-0.60
-6.38%
CRLBF
Cresco Labs
1.51
-0.13
-7.93%

Verano Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Verano Holdings Promotes James Leventis to Chief Strategy and Compliance Officer
Positive
Jul 15, 2025

Verano Holdings has promoted James Leventis to Chief Strategy and Compliance Officer, effective July 1, 2025. Leventis, a seasoned cannabis executive and licensed attorney, has been with the company since 2019 and has significantly contributed to its growth. His new role will involve strategic leadership over regulatory, licensing, compliance, and government affairs, enhancing Verano’s executive team as it navigates the dynamic cannabis sector. This appointment is expected to strengthen Verano’s industry positioning and support legislative advancements, benefiting the company and the broader cannabis industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:VRNO) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Verano Holdings stock, see the TSE:VRNO Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Verano Holdings to Release Q2 2025 Financial Results on August 7
Neutral
Jul 2, 2025

Verano Holdings Corp. announced it will release its second-quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025, before the market opens. A conference call and webcast with analysts and investors will follow to discuss the results, reflecting the company’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its stakeholders. This announcement underscores Verano’s active role in the cannabis industry and its ongoing efforts to maintain strong investor relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:VRNO) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Verano Holdings stock, see the TSE:VRNO Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Verano Holdings Launches Innovative Bodega-Style Dispensary in Phoenix
Positive
Jun 25, 2025

Verano Holdings has introduced a new bodega-style dispensary format at its Zen Leaf Cave Creek location in Phoenix, Arizona, aiming to revolutionize the cannabis retail experience. This innovative model allows customers to browse and select products directly from shelves, offering a modern and convenient shopping experience. The company plans to expand this format across its Arizona retail footprint and introduce in-store activation opportunities for wholesale partners, potentially enhancing consumer engagement and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:VRNO) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Verano Holdings stock, see the TSE:VRNO Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Verano Holdings Partners with Grow Sciences to Expand Cannabis Offerings in Illinois
Positive
Jun 19, 2025

Verano Holdings has announced an exclusive partnership with Arizona-based Grow Sciences to introduce a range of premium cannabis products to the Illinois market. This collaboration will see Grow Sciences’ award-winning flower, pre-rolls, and solventless extracts sold at Zen Leaf dispensaries, enhancing Verano’s product offerings and strengthening its market position in Illinois.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:VRNO) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Verano Holdings stock, see the TSE:VRNO Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Verano Holdings Expands Connecticut Presence with Zen Leaf Enfield Opening
Positive
May 21, 2025

Verano Holdings announced the grand opening of Zen Leaf Enfield, its seventh dispensary in Connecticut, which coincides with the $250 million redevelopment of Enfield Square Mall into Enfield Marketplace. The company is actively engaging with the local community by supporting charitable causes and providing career opportunities, positioning itself as a key player in the region’s economic growth and the legal marijuana industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:VRNO) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Verano Holdings stock, see the TSE:VRNO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2025