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goeasy Ltd (TSE:GSY)
TSX:GSY

goeasy (GSY) AI Stock Analysis

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goeasy

(TSX:GSY)

75Outperform
goeasy's strong financial performance, highlighted by robust revenue and profitability growth, is tempered by high leverage and cash flow challenges. The company's positive earnings outlook and attractive valuation enhance its growth prospects, while recent corporate events underscore strategic progress. However, technical analysis suggests cautious optimism due to bearish trends.
Positive Factors
Analyst Upgrade
Upgrading shares of goeasy to Outperform from Market Perform indicates increased confidence in the stock's future performance.
Share Repurchase
Goeasy has been actively buying back shares, having repurchased a significant amount of shares under the NCIB, benefiting from excess leverage capacity.
Stock Performance
Historical data shows buying the stock at the current multiple has proven to be a highly profitable investment, with significant returns.
Negative Factors
Credit Performance
It remains challenging to model long-term credit performance due to the fluidity of U.S. trade policies.
Trade Uncertainty
GSY is exposed to indirect repercussions of U.S. trade uncertainty, which could impact unemployment and credit losses in Canada.

goeasy (GSY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

goeasy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptiongoeasy Ltd. (GSY) is a leading financial services company based in Canada that operates in the non-prime consumer lending market. The company specializes in providing loans and other financial products to consumers who may not have access to traditional banking services. Its core products include unsecured installment loans and secured loans, designed to meet the financial needs of customers with varying credit profiles. goeasy operates through its two main divisions: easyfinancial, which offers personal and home equity loans, and easyhome, which provides lease-to-own merchandise services.
How the Company Makes Moneygoeasy makes money primarily through interest income and service charges collected on the loans it provides. The easyfinancial division is the main revenue driver, offering unsecured and secured loans with varying interest rates based on the borrower's creditworthiness. These loans generate income through interest payments and additional service fees. The easyhome division contributes to revenue through lease-to-own agreements on household merchandise, where customers make regular payments to eventually own the item. This division also collects fees and interest on these agreements. The company's earnings are further supported by its strategic partnerships with retailers and financial institutions, which help expand its customer base and enhance service offerings.

goeasy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
goeasy demonstrates strong revenue and profitability growth, with impressive margins. However, high leverage and negative free cash flow pose financial risks. The company needs to focus on debt reduction and cash flow improvement for long-term stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
goeasy has demonstrated robust revenue growth with a Revenue Growth Rate of 21.87%, alongside a strong Gross Profit Margin of 68.88% in the most recent year. The Net Profit Margin stands at a solid 18.58%, reflecting effective cost management and profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins of 40.01% and 60.32% respectively indicate healthy operational efficiency. Despite these strengths, the growth trajectory should be monitored for sustainability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company shows a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 3.07, indicating significant leverage which could pose risks during economic downturns. However, its Return on Equity is strong at 23.57%, signifying effective use of equity to generate income. The Equity Ratio of 23.12% suggests a moderate level of asset financing through equity, which is a positive sign amidst high leverage.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
goeasy's cash flow situation is challenging, with negative Free Cash Flow reflecting high capital expenditure requirements and significant debt repayments. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio indicates that the company is not generating sufficient cash from operations to cover its net income, a potential risk if sustained long-term. It's crucial for goeasy to improve its cash generation to support future growth and reduce financial risk.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.52B1.25B1.02B826.72M652.92M
Gross Profit
1.05B851.59M795.88M622.03M472.24M
EBIT
609.66M476.52M583.07M450.26M343.34M
EBITDA
918.96M591.65M664.38M529.15M408.06M
Net Income Common Stockholders
283.11M247.90M140.16M244.94M136.50M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
251.38M144.58M32.45M82.88M62.95M
Total Assets
5.19B4.16B3.30B2.60B1.50B
Total Debt
3.69B2.89B2.30B1.62B941.65M
Net Debt
3.44B2.77B2.27B1.54B878.70M
Total Liabilities
3.99B3.11B2.43B1.81B1.06B
Stockholders Equity
1.20B1.05B869.69M789.91M443.51M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-488.61M-490.58M-533.77M-106.32M45.74M
Operating Cash Flow
-469.45M-473.22M-505.88M-78.88M74.41M
Investing Cash Flow
3.52M-11.75M-42.49M-210.63M-28.67M
Financing Cash Flow
572.73M566.89M508.55M298.94M973.00K

goeasy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price143.49
Price Trends
50DMA
152.20
Negative
100DMA
161.05
Negative
200DMA
169.07
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
39.00
Neutral
STOCH
34.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GSY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 143.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 154.65, below the 50-day MA of 152.20, and below the 200-day MA of 169.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GSY.

goeasy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSPRL
77
Outperform
C$1.15B16.6932.69%1.82%44.34%65.62%
TSGSY
75
Outperform
$2.33B9.2223.56%3.44%18.04%2.48%
TSAI
68
Neutral
C$514.88M10.159.58%8.33%-1.56%-9.70%
TSECN
65
Neutral
C$790.01M6.65%1.32%54.95%
64
Neutral
$12.60B9.737.92%16985.68%12.21%-5.61%
TSFN
57
Neutral
C$2.23B12.7724.01%6.53%13.85%-33.76%
TSACD
48
Neutral
C$26.96M-3.81%4.20%78.55%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GSY
goeasy
143.49
-29.43
-17.02%
TSE:ACD
Accord Financial
3.15
-1.00
-24.10%
TSE:ECN
ECN Capital
3.02
1.13
59.79%
TSE:AI
Atrium Mortgage Invest
10.92
0.68
6.64%
TSE:FN
First National Financial
37.84
3.61
10.55%
TSE:PRL
Propel Holdings Inc
32.17
6.73
26.45%

goeasy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -9.69%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong loan growth, increased capital, and improved operating leverage. However, the company faced challenges with declining net income, lower portfolio yield, and increased loan loss provisions due to economic conditions. While there are positive aspects, the financial pressures indicate a balanced outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Loan Growth and Record Applications
goeasy Ltd. saw a record first quarter with 672,000 credit applications, up 10% from the previous year. They generated 43,500 new customers, an increase of 8%, with organic loan growth exceeding forecasts by reaching $119 million.
Expansion in Automotive Financing
The company achieved record first quarter originations of $150 million in automotive financing, up 30% year-over-year, and expanded their dealer network to over 4,000 dealers.
Strong Capital Position
goeasy Ltd. raised over $550 million in additional capital and issued US$400 million senior unsecured notes due in 2030, maintaining a weighted average borrowing cost of 6.8%.
Improved Operating Leverage
Efficiency ratio improved to 26.1%, a reduction of 130 basis points from the previous year, and operating expenses as a percentage of revenue decreased to 8.7%.
Negative Updates
Decline in Adjusted Net Income
Adjusted net income for the quarter was $60 million, down 9% from the same period in 2024, primarily due to a decline in total yield on consumer loans and increased allowance for credit losses.
Lower Portfolio Yield
The overall portfolio yield finished at 31.3%, on the lower end of forecasts, due to growth of secured loan products with lower interest rates and the implementation of a new interest rate cap.
Increased Loan Loss Provision
Loan loss provision rate increased from 7.61% in the prior quarter to 7.86%, reducing earnings by approximately $0.52 per share due to weaker economic performance and unfavorable macroeconomic indicators.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, goeasy Ltd. reported robust performance metrics, including a record $672,000 in credit applications, a 10% increase year-over-year, and $677 million in originations. The company added 43,500 new customers, marking an 8% increase from the previous year. The total loan portfolio grew to $4.79 billion, reflecting a 24% increase, with unsecured lending comprising 62% of originations. The average loan per branch rose to $7.2 million, up 20%. Despite a decline in the portfolio yield to 31.3%, the company maintained a strong capital position, raising over $550 million and ending the quarter with $2 billion in total funding capacity. The annualized net charge-off rate was 8.9%, within the forecasted range, and the adjusted net income stood at $60 million. The efficiency ratio improved to 26.1%, and goeasy continues to focus on scaling its automotive and home equity lending products.

goeasy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
goeasy Ltd. Elects Board of Directors Amidst Strong Shareholder Support
Positive
May 9, 2025

goeasy Ltd. announced the election of its board of directors during the Annual General and Special Meeting of Shareholders. All nominated directors were successfully elected, reflecting strong shareholder support. This election is a significant step in reinforcing goeasy’s leadership and strategic direction as it continues to focus on providing financial services to non-prime Canadians. The company is well-positioned in the industry with a stable credit rating and a commitment to community support, having raised over $6.5 million for charitable causes.

Spark’s Take on TSE:GSY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:GSY is a Outperform.

goeasy Ltd. is well-positioned for growth with a strong financial performance, marked by impressive revenue and profitability metrics. The stock is attractively valued, offering a reasonable P/E ratio and substantial dividend yield. Positive earnings call sentiment and strategic corporate developments such as leadership changes and financing efforts further enhance the growth outlook. However, high leverage and cash flow challenges remain key risks that investors should monitor.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:GSY stock, click here.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
goeasy Ltd. Reports Strong Loan Portfolio Growth Amidst Macroeconomic Challenges
Positive
May 7, 2025

goeasy Ltd. reported its first-quarter results, showcasing a 24% increase in its loan portfolio to $4.79 billion and a 10% rise in revenue to $392 million. Despite a slight decline in loan originations and a decrease in net income, the company maintained stable credit performance and improved its funding capacity to support future growth. The results reflect the resilience of goeasy’s business model amid macroeconomic uncertainties, with strategic moves to optimize product, pricing, and collections.

Spark’s Take on TSE:GSY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:GSY is a Outperform.

goeasy’s overall stock score reflects strong financial performance with notable growth in revenue and profitability. While the company faces risks from high leverage and cash flow challenges, its attractive valuation and positive earnings call outlook bolster the score. The appointment of a new CEO and successful debt financing further support strategic growth initiatives.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:GSY stock, click here.

Financial Disclosures
goeasy Ltd. Schedules Q1 2025 Financial Results Release and Conference Call
Neutral
Apr 23, 2025

goeasy Ltd. announced it will release its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 7, 2025, followed by a conference call for analysts and investors on May 8, 2025. This announcement is part of goeasy’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency and engagement with stakeholders, reflecting its stable financial outlook and commitment to growth in the non-prime lending market.

Spark’s Take on TSE:GSY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TSE:GSY is a Outperform.

goeasy demonstrates strong financial and operational performance, with robust revenue and profit growth. The company faces challenges with high leverage and cash flow issues but shows potential for undervaluation given its P/E ratio and dividend yield. Recent earnings call highlights, including growth in loan originations and strategic initiatives, enhance its outlook.

To see Spark’s full report on TSE:GSY stock, click here.

Business Operations and Strategy
goeasy Ltd. Celebrated as a Top Workplace in Canada for 2025
Positive
Apr 4, 2025

goeasy Ltd. has been recognized on the 2025 Best Workplaces in Canada list for the second consecutive year, highlighting its commitment to an employee-centric and inclusive culture. This recognition, based on direct employee feedback, underscores goeasy’s investment in creating a supportive environment where employees can thrive, as evidenced by a record-high engagement score and additional accolades for being a top workplace for women and having trusted executive teams. The acknowledgment reinforces goeasy’s strategy of investing in its workforce to drive customer satisfaction and business success.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
goeasy Ltd. Closes US$400 Million Notes Offering to Boost Growth
Positive
Apr 1, 2025

goeasy Ltd. has successfully closed a US$400 million offering of senior unsecured notes due in 2030, with a currency swap agreement reducing the borrowing cost to 6.03% annually. The proceeds will be used to partially repay secured facilities and support the company’s organic growth plans, increasing its total funding capacity to $2.2 billion, thereby strengthening its financial position and capacity for expansion.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
goeasy Ltd. Prices US$400 Million in Senior Unsecured Notes
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

goeasy Ltd. has announced the pricing of US$400 million in senior unsecured notes due in 2030, with an interest rate of 7.375%. The proceeds, estimated to be approximately C$566.4 million, will be used to partially repay existing debt and for general corporate purposes. The offering is expected to close on April 1, 2025, and includes a currency swap to manage exchange rate risks. This financial move is part of goeasy’s strategy to optimize its capital structure and strengthen its market position in the non-prime lending sector.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
goeasy Ltd. Announces US$400 Million Senior Unsecured Notes Offering
Positive
Mar 25, 2025

goeasy Ltd. announced its intention to offer US$400 million in senior unsecured notes, subject to market conditions, to partially repay its secured facilities and for general corporate purposes. The company plans to enter a currency swap agreement to fix the foreign exchange rate for the proceeds, with the notes expected to be guaranteed by certain subsidiaries. This move is part of goeasy’s strategy to strengthen its financial position and maintain its growth trajectory in the consumer lending industry.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
goeasy Ltd. Appoints Dan Rees as New CEO to Drive Growth
Positive
Mar 3, 2025

goeasy Ltd. has appointed Dan Rees as its new Chief Executive Officer, marking the first time in 25 years that an external candidate has been chosen for this role. Rees, who has a 25-year career at Scotiabank, brings extensive experience in business transformation and growth, which aligns with goeasy’s ambitions to expand its loan portfolio significantly by 2027. His leadership is expected to drive goeasy’s strategic initiatives, including product expansion and operational efficiency, ultimately enhancing shareholder value.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
goeasy Ltd. Achieves Record Financial Results and Increases Dividend
Positive
Feb 13, 2025

goeasy Ltd. reported record financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ending December 31, 2024, highlighting significant growth in loan originations and revenue. The company’s loan portfolio grew by 26% to $4.60 billion, driven by a notable increase in credit applications. Revenue for the quarter reached a record $405 million, marking a 20% increase from the previous year. Despite a slight increase in the net charge-off rate, the company maintained stable credit performance and increased its dividend per share by 25%, indicating strong financial health and positive future prospects.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.