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goeasy Ltd (TSE:GSY)
TSX:GSY

goeasy (GSY) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GSY

goeasy

(TSX:GSY)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
C$146.00
▲(8.61% Upside)
goeasy's overall stock score is driven by strong valuation metrics and positive earnings call highlights, such as record revenue and loan book growth. However, financial performance concerns, including high leverage and negative cash flows, along with bearish technical indicators, weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Loan book growth
Sustained organic loan book expansion increases the company’s core interest-earning asset base, diversifying revenue sources and improving scale economics. Over 2–6 months this growth supports durable interest income and underwriting data depth, aiding risk selection and product pricing.
Record revenue
Consistent top-line growth signals durable demand for non-prime lending and leasing products, reinforcing the business model’s ability to generate recurring revenue. Higher revenue supports reinvestment in origination capability and operational leverage that can sustain margins over multiple quarters.
High portfolio yield
A structurally high portfolio yield underpins strong interest margins inherent to non-prime, secured-focused lending. Even net of credit costs, elevated yields provide buffer to absorb credit deterioration and financing costs, supporting long-term profitability if underwriting remains disciplined.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Very high leverage materially increases refinancing and interest-rate risk, constraining strategic flexibility. Over months this elevated indebtedness can pressure liquidity and force higher provision for financing costs, limiting capital available for growth or cushioning cyclical credit stress.
Weak cash generation
Persistent negative operating and free cash flows undermine the firm’s ability to self-fund loan growth and service debt without external financing. Structurally weak cash conversion increases reliance on capital markets and raises execution risk if funding conditions tighten over the medium term.
Rising credit losses
Worsening delinquencies and higher allowance levels signal a structural deterioration in portfolio credit quality amid macro weakness. Over coming months elevated loss rates can compress net margins, require higher provisions, and increase cost of capital for a non-prime lender reliant on interest spread.

goeasy (GSY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

goeasy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Descriptiongoeasy Ltd. provides non-prime leasing and lending services to consumers in Canada. The company operates through two segments, Easyfinancial and Easyhome. The Easyfinancial segment provides unsecured and real estate secured installment loans; personal, home equity, and auto loans; point-of-sale and small business financing; and value-added services. The Easyhome segment leases household furniture, appliances, electronics, computers, and unsecured lending products to retail consumers. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 294 easyfinancial locations that include 8 kiosks, as well as 158 easyhome stores that include 34 franchises. The company was formerly known as easyhome Ltd. and changed its name to goeasy Ltd. in September 2015. goeasy Ltd. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada
How the Company Makes Moneygoeasy generates revenue primarily through interest income from the loans it provides, fees associated with leasing arrangements, and retail financing services. The company offers personal loans with higher interest rates compared to traditional financial institutions, which contributes significantly to its revenue. Additionally, goeasy earns fees from its leasing services, where customers pay for the rental of furniture and appliances, often leading to long-term contracts. The company's strategic partnerships with retailers for point-of-sale financing also create an important revenue stream, allowing customers to finance purchases directly at the point of sale. Overall, the combination of high-interest loan products, leasing fees, and retail financing services forms the core of goeasy's revenue model.

goeasy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of strong financial performance and growth, offset by challenges such as increased delinquencies and macroeconomic pressures. While the company achieved record revenue and successful financing efforts, issues like EPS decline and economic headwinds posed challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Organic Loan Book Growth
Reported organic loan book growth of $336 million driven by originations of $946 million, lifting receivables to $5.44 billion at quarter end.
Record Quarterly Revenue
Generated record quarterly revenue of $440 million, up 15% from Q3 of last year.
Recognition and Awards
Recognized as one of the best places to work in Ontario and one of Canada's top growing companies.
Successful Senior Unsecured Notes Offering
Launched a senior unsecured notes offering netting CAD 796 million in gross proceeds with a 6.1% coupon.
Negative Updates
EPS Decline
EPS at $4.12 was down from the same period in '24 due to lower yields, increased allowance for credit losses, and financing costs.
Increased Delinquencies
Higher early-stage delinquencies attributable to weak macroeconomic conditions, with allowance for credit losses increasing from 7.9% to 8.1%.
Efficiency Ratio Increase
Efficiency ratio at 23.4% was 30 basis points higher than last year.
Economic Challenges
Persistent challenging macroeconomic backdrop with high unemployment and negative GDP growth impacting performance.
Company Guidance
During goeasy Limited's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. The quarter saw organic loan book growth of CAD 336 million, driven by originations totaling CAD 946 million, increasing receivables to CAD 5.44 billion. This resulted in record quarterly revenue of CAD 440 million, a 15% year-over-year increase. The portfolio yield stood at 31.4%, reflecting the ongoing transition from the rate cap and a higher composition of secured loans. The net charge-off rate improved by 30 basis points year-over-year to 8.9%, while the allowance for credit losses increased from 7.9% to 8.1%. The efficiency ratio was at 23.4%, and earnings per share (EPS) were CAD 4.12, down from the previous year due to lower yields and increased credit loss provisions. The company remains focused on prudent underwriting amid challenging macroeconomic conditions and aims for Q4 loan book growth between CAD 250 million and CAD 275 million, with a yield outlook of 30.5% to 31.5%.

goeasy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
goeasy demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with high leverage and negative cash flows. The declining net profit margin and high debt levels could pose risks if not addressed.
Income Statement
75
Positive
goeasy has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.57%. The company maintains strong gross and EBIT margins, indicating efficient cost management and operational effectiveness. However, the net profit margin has decreased in the TTM period compared to previous years, which could be a concern for profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.84 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk if not managed carefully. The return on equity has decreased from previous years, suggesting reduced efficiency in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is relatively low, reflecting a high reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
goeasy's cash flow situation is concerning, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM period. The free cash flow growth rate is negative, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, highlighting potential issues in converting income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.66B1.52B1.25B1.02B826.72M652.92M
Gross Profit1.24B1.05B851.59M708.26M561.49M429.68M
EBITDA861.41M918.96M740.46M603.86M472.32M364.99M
Net Income232.86M283.11M247.90M140.16M244.94M136.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.20B5.19B4.16B3.30B2.60B1.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments501.91M251.38M120.38M32.45M82.88M62.95M
Total Debt4.72B3.69B2.89B2.45B1.91B941.65M
Total Liabilities4.97B3.99B3.11B2.43B1.81B1.06B
Stockholders Equity1.23B1.20B1.05B869.69M789.91M443.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-199.28M-479.45M-490.58M-533.77M-106.32M45.74M
Operating Cash Flow-175.07M-469.45M-473.22M-505.88M-78.88M74.41M
Investing Cash Flow-474.08M3.52M-11.75M-42.49M-210.63M-28.67M
Financing Cash Flow1.00B572.73M566.89M508.55M298.94M973.00K

goeasy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price134.42
Price Trends
50DMA
130.67
Positive
100DMA
156.66
Negative
200DMA
158.46
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.60
Negative
RSI
53.93
Neutral
STOCH
66.74
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GSY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 134.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.68, above the 50-day MA of 130.67, and below the 200-day MA of 158.46, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.74 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:GSY.

goeasy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$934.09M9.7234.20%3.01%38.93%38.14%
69
Neutral
C$913.84M13.6710.50%7.33%7.74%-31.96%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
C$683.95M23.666.08%0.49%3.31%-39.12%
65
Neutral
C$3.96B15.588.72%2.09%-7.50%-34.45%
63
Neutral
C$2.20B9.5718.88%4.48%13.69%-16.06%
62
Neutral
$1.78B14.085.11%4.67%-11.26%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GSY
goeasy
134.42
-33.02
-19.72%
TSE:LB
Laurentian Bank
39.96
12.44
45.21%
TSE:MKP
MCAN Mortgage
22.64
5.98
35.90%
TSE:VBNK
Versabank
21.37
1.96
10.10%
TSE:EQB
Equitable Group
104.32
-3.03
-2.82%
TSE:PRL
Propel Holdings Inc
22.98
-11.10
-32.57%

goeasy Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
goeasy Ltd. Announces CEO Transition Amid Health-Related Departure
Neutral
Dec 2, 2025

goeasy Ltd. announced that CEO Dan Rees will step down due to health reasons, with Patrick Ens, current President of easyfinancial, set to take over as CEO effective January 1, 2026. Ens, who joined goeasy in 2024, has been recognized for his strategic leadership and expertise in consumer lending, positioning him as a strong successor. This leadership transition is expected to maintain the company’s growth trajectory and long-term ambition to become a leading non-prime lender in Canada.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSY) stock is a Buy with a C$194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on goeasy stock, see the TSE:GSY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
goeasy’s Patrick Ens Joins Canadian Lenders Association Board
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

goeasy Ltd. announced the appointment of Patrick Ens, President of easyfinancial, to the Board of Directors of the Canadian Lenders Association (CLA). This appointment reflects goeasy’s ongoing commitment to leadership within the CLA, aiming to enhance responsible and inclusive lending in Canada. Patrick Ens brings extensive experience in consumer credit, reinforcing goeasy’s influence in shaping policies and promoting financial inclusion. The CLA’s Board aims to unite various financial entities to advance financial literacy and an inclusive credit economy, which could further strengthen goeasy’s industry positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSY) stock is a Buy with a C$194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on goeasy stock, see the TSE:GSY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
goeasy Ltd. Achieves Record Revenue Despite Economic Challenges
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

goeasy Ltd. reported strong third-quarter results with a 13% increase in loan originations to $946 million and a 24% growth in its loan portfolio to $5.44 billion. Despite a challenging economic climate, the company achieved a record revenue of $440 million, up 15% from the previous year. However, net income decreased by 61% due to a non-cash fair value change on prepayment options related to notes payable. The company remains optimistic about its long-term potential, supported by increased provisions and a focus on cash collections amid persistent macroeconomic challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSY) stock is a Buy with a C$225.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on goeasy stock, see the TSE:GSY Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
goeasy Ltd. Renews $1.4 Billion Securitization Facility
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

goeasy Ltd. announced the renewal of its revolving securitization warehouse facility, maintaining its capacity at $1.4 billion with similar terms. The facility, backed by consumer loans, involves a lending syndicate of three large Canadian banks and has a new maturity date set for October 30, 2026. The renewal ensures goeasy’s continued ability to support its financial services offerings, reinforcing its position in the consumer lending market and providing stability for its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSY) stock is a Hold with a C$194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on goeasy stock, see the TSE:GSY Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
goeasy Ltd. Schedules Q3 2025 Financial Results Release and Conference Call
Neutral
Oct 22, 2025

goeasy Ltd. announced it will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, followed by a conference call for analysts and investors on November 6, 2025. This announcement is part of goeasy’s ongoing efforts to maintain transparency with stakeholders and could potentially impact its market positioning by providing insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GSY) stock is a Hold with a C$194.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on goeasy stock, see the TSE:GSY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025