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Propel Holdings Inc (TSE:PRL)
TSX:PRL

Propel Holdings Inc (PRL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PRL

Propel Holdings Inc

(TSX:PRL)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$28.00
â–²(48.31% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:12/18/25
Propel Holdings Inc's strong financial performance and favorable valuation are key strengths, supported by record-breaking growth and profitability. The earnings call provided positive guidance, despite some economic pressures. Technical indicators are neutral, reflecting stable market sentiment.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion and profitability.
Lending as a Service Growth
Rapid growth in the Lending as a Service program highlights Propel's innovative offerings and potential for sustained revenue diversification.
UK Market Expansion
Strong expansion in the UK market underscores Propel's successful international strategy and potential for continued global growth.
Negative Factors
Uptick in Delinquencies
Rising delinquencies could signal increased credit risk, potentially impacting future profitability and necessitating tighter credit controls.
Economic Pressures on US Consumers
Economic pressures on consumers may reduce demand for Propel's credit products, affecting revenue growth and financial performance.
Revised Guidance
Revised guidance suggests potential challenges in meeting growth targets, which could impact investor confidence and long-term strategic plans.

Propel Holdings Inc (PRL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Propel Holdings Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPropel Holdings Inc. operates as an online financial technology company. The company's online lending platform facilitates access to credit products, such as installment loans and lines of credit under the MoneyKey and CreditFresh brands to American consumers. It also offers marketing, analytics, and loan servicing services. Propel Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyPropel Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from interest income on loans and fees associated with its credit products. The company offers personal loans and credit cards, earning money from the interest charged on outstanding balances. Additionally, Propel earns revenue from origination fees and late payment fees charged to borrowers. The company also benefits from partnerships with various financial institutions and payment networks, which help broaden its service offerings and customer reach. By leveraging data analytics, Propel effectively manages risk and optimizes pricing strategies, contributing to its overall profitability.

Propel Holdings Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Propel Holdings reported strong financial performance with record-breaking revenue and growth across multiple regions. However, economic pressures and a slight uptick in delinquencies led to a cautious outlook and revised guidance. While the company remains optimistic about future growth opportunities, particularly in the UK and through the Lending as a Service program, it maintains a prudent stance in the current economic environment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Propel Holdings achieved record quarterly revenue of $152.1 million, an increase of 30% from Q3 2024, and record total originations funded of $205 million, up 37% year-over-year. Net income rose by 43% to $15 million.
Strong Performance in Canada and UK
Revenue in Canada grew by 41% year-over-year, and in the UK, record originations and revenue were achieved with a 78% increase in loan originations in September.
Lending as a Service Growth
The Lending as a Service program achieved record revenue exceeding $5 million in Q3, representing growth of more than 4x from last year and sequential growth of approximately 13%.
Successful Integration and Growth in UK Market
The integration of QuidMarket in the UK was completed ahead of schedule, with record growth driven by enhanced acquisition, risk, and analytics capabilities.
Dividend Increase
Propel Holdings' Board of Directors approved an increase in the annual dividend from $0.78 to $0.84 per share, marking the ninth consecutive dividend increase.
Negative Updates
Uptick in Delinquencies
There was a modest uptick in delinquencies in the US, reflecting normal seasonal trends and broader macroeconomic pressures.
Economic Pressures on US Consumers
Inflation in essential spending categories and the resumption of student loan collections pressured US consumers, leading to moderated real wage growth.
Revised Guidance
Propel Holdings revised its 2025 guidance, expecting NCAB growth to come in moderately below the low end of the previously communicated range, with adjustments to margin and return on equity metrics.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Propel Holdings provided guidance indicating a strong performance for the third quarter of 2025. The company achieved record total originations funded of $205 million, marking a 37% increase year-over-year, and reported record revenue of $152.1 million, a 30% rise from Q3 2024. Net income grew by 43% to $15 million, while adjusted net income rose by 16% to $16.2 million. The company observed a modest uptick in delinquencies, particularly in the U.S., prompting targeted underwriting adjustments to maintain credit quality. Propel's U.K. market also showed promising growth, with record monthly loan originations rising 78%, and the company expects further expansion. Despite macroeconomic challenges, Propel's AI-powered platform and disciplined risk management have supported stable credit performance and profitable growth, leading to an 8% increase in the annual dividend to $0.84 per share.

Propel Holdings Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Propel Holdings Inc shows strong revenue growth and profitability, with effective cost management. The balance sheet is stable, though the low equity ratio requires attention. Cash flow challenges exist, but improvements in free cash flow growth are encouraging.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Propel Holdings Inc has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM growth rate of 17.44%, indicating robust expansion. The company maintains healthy profitability with a gross profit margin of 44.94% and a net profit margin of 11.49% for the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also solid at 15.13% and 16.50%, respectively. These metrics reflect efficient operations and effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. Return on equity is strong at 29.57%, indicating effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, which could pose a risk if leverage increases significantly.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges, with negative operating and free cash flows in the TTM. Despite this, free cash flow growth has improved significantly by 73.32%. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 1.53, indicating that free cash flow exceeds net income, which is a positive sign. However, the negative operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests potential liquidity issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue560.98M447.87M316.70M226.73M128.88M73.59M
Gross Profit257.22M193.52M131.99M96.41M68.11M44.32M
EBITDA102.16M68.09M42.21M23.60M10.98M12.87M
Net Income65.00M46.38M27.78M15.13M6.56M7.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets639.53M551.01M344.26M256.68M149.50M79.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments72.01M20.50M13.75M7.66M7.24M5.25M
Total Debt323.34M274.29M201.52M151.57M50.05M52.83M
Total Liabilities379.99M340.89M242.74M175.04M74.17M70.64M
Stockholders Equity259.55M210.11M101.52M81.64M75.33M8.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-34.18M-61.13M-32.39M-90.59M-54.60M-17.55M
Operating Cash Flow-27.82M-54.84M-26.95M-85.32M-51.83M-15.42M
Investing Cash Flow-74.81M-71.90M-5.43M-5.27M-2.76M-2.13M
Financing Cash Flow114.50M134.83M38.48M91.01M56.59M16.59M

Propel Holdings Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price18.88
Price Trends
50DMA
23.63
Negative
100DMA
23.71
Negative
200DMA
28.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.02
Positive
RSI
27.02
Positive
STOCH
16.21
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PRL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 18.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.01, below the 50-day MA of 23.63, and below the 200-day MA of 28.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 27.02 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.21 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PRL.

Propel Holdings Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$743.19M7.9834.20%3.01%38.93%38.14%
71
Outperform
C$559.43M11.299.72%7.95%-13.69%-1.60%
69
Neutral
C$974.82M12.7010.50%7.33%7.74%-31.96%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
C$741.14M25.696.08%0.49%3.31%-39.12%
63
Neutral
$1.70B7.5518.88%4.48%13.69%-16.06%
50
Neutral
C$639.28M-3.53-137.87%1.51%36.52%-1243.96%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PRL
Propel Holdings Inc
18.88
-7.67
-28.88%
TSE:AI
Atrium Mortgage Invest
11.65
1.95
20.05%
TSE:DLCG
Dominion Lending Centres, Inc. (Canada) Class A
8.25
0.40
5.10%
TSE:MKP
MCAN Financial
24.02
6.48
36.98%
TSE:GSY
goeasy
106.06
-49.61
-31.87%
TSE:VBNK
Versabank
23.20
8.34
56.14%

Propel Holdings Inc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Propel Holdings Gains Approval for New Banking Subsidiary in Puerto Rico
Positive
Dec 2, 2025

Propel Holdings Inc. has received regulatory approval to establish Propel International Bank, Inc. in Puerto Rico, marking a significant expansion in its fintech-bank partnership platform. Propel Bank will focus on consumer lending services and aims to provide strategic benefits such as product diversification and expanded market access. The bank will operate under a highly regulated environment, leveraging Propel’s AI technology, and is expected to be operational in the first half of 2026. This development positions Propel to enhance its financial ecosystem, benefiting partners, shareholders, and underserved consumers.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PRL) stock is a Buy with a C$28.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propel Holdings Inc stock, see the TSE:PRL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Propel Holdings Achieves Record Q3 Results and Boosts Dividend
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Propel Holdings Inc. announced record financial results for Q3 2025, with a 30% increase in revenue to $152.1 million and a 43% rise in net income to $15.0 million. The company also declared an 8% increase in its annualized dividend, marking its ninth consecutive dividend increase. Propel’s strategic focus on disciplined underwriting and leveraging AI technology has enabled it to achieve profitable growth and maintain stable credit performance amid a dynamic macroeconomic environment. The company is well-positioned for future growth, with a robust business development pipeline and investments in infrastructure and technology.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PRL) stock is a Hold with a C$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propel Holdings Inc stock, see the TSE:PRL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025