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Propel Holdings Inc (TSE:PRL)
TSX:PRL
Canadian Market
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Propel Holdings Inc (PRL) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PRL

Propel Holdings Inc

(TSX:PRL)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
C$28.00
▲(29.15% Upside)
Propel Holdings Inc's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and attractive valuation, supported by positive earnings call insights. However, technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, which tempers the overall score. The company's ability to manage debt and improve cash flow will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health and expansion potential.
Market Expansion
Successful market expansion in the UK demonstrates Propel's ability to penetrate new markets, enhancing its competitive position and growth prospects.
Lending as a Service Growth
The rapid growth of the Lending as a Service program highlights Propel's innovative offerings and potential for scalable revenue streams, strengthening its business model.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
High debt levels can pose financial risks if not managed carefully, potentially impacting cash flow and limiting financial flexibility.
Negative Cash Flow
Consistently negative cash flow indicates potential challenges in sustaining operations without external financing, which could affect long-term viability.
Uptick in Delinquencies
An increase in delinquencies could signal rising credit risk, potentially affecting profitability and necessitating stricter credit controls.

Propel Holdings Inc (PRL) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Propel Holdings Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPropel Holdings Inc (PRL) is a technology-driven financial services company that specializes in providing innovative payment solutions and credit products primarily to underserved consumers. Operating within the fintech sector, Propel focuses on delivering accessible financial services through its proprietary platforms, which include credit cards and personal loans. The company's mission is to empower individuals with the tools necessary for financial success, leveraging data analytics and technology to enhance the customer experience.
How the Company Makes MoneyPropel Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from interest income on loans and fees associated with its credit products. The company offers personal loans and credit cards, earning money from the interest charged on outstanding balances. Additionally, Propel earns revenue from origination fees and late payment fees charged to borrowers. The company also benefits from partnerships with various financial institutions and payment networks, which help broaden its service offerings and customer reach. By leveraging data analytics, Propel effectively manages risk and optimizes pricing strategies, contributing to its overall profitability.

Propel Holdings Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Propel Holdings reported strong financial performance with record-breaking revenue and growth across multiple regions. However, economic pressures and a slight uptick in delinquencies led to a cautious outlook and revised guidance. While the company remains optimistic about future growth opportunities, particularly in the UK and through the Lending as a Service program, it maintains a prudent stance in the current economic environment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Propel Holdings achieved record quarterly revenue of $152.1 million, an increase of 30% from Q3 2024, and record total originations funded of $205 million, up 37% year-over-year. Net income rose by 43% to $15 million.
Strong Performance in Canada and UK
Revenue in Canada grew by 41% year-over-year, and in the UK, record originations and revenue were achieved with a 78% increase in loan originations in September.
Lending as a Service Growth
The Lending as a Service program achieved record revenue exceeding $5 million in Q3, representing growth of more than 4x from last year and sequential growth of approximately 13%.
Successful Integration and Growth in UK Market
The integration of QuidMarket in the UK was completed ahead of schedule, with record growth driven by enhanced acquisition, risk, and analytics capabilities.
Dividend Increase
Propel Holdings' Board of Directors approved an increase in the annual dividend from $0.78 to $0.84 per share, marking the ninth consecutive dividend increase.
Negative Updates
Uptick in Delinquencies
There was a modest uptick in delinquencies in the US, reflecting normal seasonal trends and broader macroeconomic pressures.
Economic Pressures on US Consumers
Inflation in essential spending categories and the resumption of student loan collections pressured US consumers, leading to moderated real wage growth.
Revised Guidance
Propel Holdings revised its 2025 guidance, expecting NCAB growth to come in moderately below the low end of the previously communicated range, with adjustments to margin and return on equity metrics.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, Propel Holdings provided guidance indicating a strong performance for the third quarter of 2025. The company achieved record total originations funded of $205 million, marking a 37% increase year-over-year, and reported record revenue of $152.1 million, a 30% rise from Q3 2024. Net income grew by 43% to $15 million, while adjusted net income rose by 16% to $16.2 million. The company observed a modest uptick in delinquencies, particularly in the U.S., prompting targeted underwriting adjustments to maintain credit quality. Propel's U.K. market also showed promising growth, with record monthly loan originations rising 78%, and the company expects further expansion. Despite macroeconomic challenges, Propel's AI-powered platform and disciplined risk management have supported stable credit performance and profitable growth, leading to an 8% increase in the annual dividend to $0.84 per share.

Propel Holdings Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Propel Holdings Inc shows robust revenue growth and profitability improvements over recent years, though it faces challenges with operational cash flow generation. The company's high debt levels need careful management to mitigate financial risks. Overall, Propel Holdings is on a positive trajectory with strong revenue and profit growth but must address cash flow weaknesses to ensure long-term financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Propel Holdings Inc has shown impressive revenue growth over the years, with a significant increase from $64.58M in 2019 to $416.02M in 2024. The gross profit margin is consistently high at 100%, indicating strong pricing power and cost management. However, the company reported no EBIT or EBITDA for 2024, which could indicate increasing operational costs or strategic reinvestments impacting profits. The net profit margin improved to 11.14% in 2024 from 3.09% in 2019, reflecting enhanced efficiency in converting revenues into net income.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has remained relatively stable, reflecting prudent financial management though it is on the higher side, posing potential risks if not managed carefully. The equity ratio improved to 38.13% in 2024 from a low of 4.46% in 2019, indicating stronger financial stability. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 22.07% in 2024, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the high level of debt suggests risk if earnings do not sustain growth.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The company's free cash flow has been consistently negative, raising concerns about its ability to generate cash independently from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating that net income does not translate effectively into cash flow. Despite this, Propel Holdings has managed to secure financing to support its cash needs, evidenced by strong financing cash flows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue529.31M447.87M316.70M226.73M123.13M69.07M
Gross Profit312.65M193.52M131.99M216.57M123.13M69.07M
EBITDA87.14M68.09M42.21M30.66M0.0011.07M
Net Income60.71M46.38M27.78M15.13M6.56M7.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets604.59M551.01M344.26M256.68M149.50M79.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.42M20.50M13.75M7.66M7.24M5.25M
Total Debt290.17M274.29M201.52M151.57M50.05M52.83M
Total Liabilities354.44M340.89M242.74M175.04M74.17M70.64M
Stockholders Equity250.16M210.11M101.52M81.64M75.33M8.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-22.87M-61.13M-32.39M-90.59M-54.60M-17.55M
Operating Cash Flow-14.99M-54.84M-26.95M-85.32M-51.83M-15.42M
Investing Cash Flow-73.49M-71.90M-5.43M-5.27M-2.76M-2.13M
Financing Cash Flow102.08M134.83M38.48M91.01M56.59M16.59M

Propel Holdings Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.68
Price Trends
50DMA
28.84
Negative
100DMA
32.14
Negative
200DMA
30.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.49
Positive
RSI
28.33
Positive
STOCH
19.54
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PRL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.02, below the 50-day MA of 28.84, and below the 200-day MA of 30.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.49 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.33 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:PRL.

Propel Holdings Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$287.56M12.4456.12%7.00%-0.31%-5.26%
74
Outperform
$1.48B10.875.47%5.69%-9.93%
73
Outperform
C$996.45M11.2234.20%3.18%38.93%38.14%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
61
Neutral
$2.60B11.5218.88%4.13%13.69%-16.06%
55
Neutral
C$822.72M-4.48-143.13%1.35%35.22%-1246.65%
46
Neutral
C$25.68M-5.30-5.97%-11.69%71.34%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PRL
Propel Holdings Inc
21.68
-17.26
-44.32%
TSE:LB
Laurentian Bank
33.03
7.59
29.85%
TSE:ACD
Accord Financial
3.00
-1.02
-25.37%
TSE:DLCG
Dominion Lending Centres, Inc. (Canada) Class A
10.39
4.50
76.40%
TSE:OLY
Olympia Financial
122.00
28.73
30.80%
TSE:GSY
goeasy
134.26
-39.02
-22.52%

Propel Holdings Inc Corporate Events

Propel Holdings Reports Record Revenue Amid Cautious Outlook
Nov 6, 2025

Propel Holdings’ recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, underscored by record-breaking revenue and growth across various regions. The sentiment was largely positive, driven by impressive financial metrics and strategic advancements, although tempered by economic pressures and a cautious outlook. The company remains optimistic about future growth, particularly in the UK and through its Lending as a Service program, while maintaining a prudent approach given the current economic climate.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Propel Holdings Achieves Record Q3 Results and Boosts Dividend
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Propel Holdings Inc. announced record financial results for Q3 2025, with a 30% increase in revenue to $152.1 million and a 43% rise in net income to $15.0 million. The company also declared an 8% increase in its annualized dividend, marking its ninth consecutive dividend increase. Propel’s strategic focus on disciplined underwriting and leveraging AI technology has enabled it to achieve profitable growth and maintain stable credit performance amid a dynamic macroeconomic environment. The company is well-positioned for future growth, with a robust business development pipeline and investments in infrastructure and technology.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PRL) stock is a Hold with a C$26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Propel Holdings Inc stock, see the TSE:PRL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025