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Olympia Financial (TSE:OLY)
:OLY
Canadian Market

Olympia Financial (OLY) AI Stock Analysis

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Olympia Financial

(TSX:OLY)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$128.00
▲(7.11%Upside)
Olympia Financial's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, contributing positively to the overall score. However, technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, and recent earnings declines highlight some challenges. Positive corporate events provide additional support, leading to a solid overall assessment.

Olympia Financial (OLY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Olympia Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOlympia Financial (OLY) is a diverse financial services company that operates across various sectors, including currency exchange, corporate and trustee services, and payment processing. The company is committed to providing customized financial solutions to meet the unique needs of its clients, ranging from individuals to large corporations, with a focus on innovation and customer service.
How the Company Makes MoneyOlympia Financial makes money through a diversified revenue model that includes key streams such as foreign exchange services, where they earn income from currency conversion fees and spread on exchange rates. Additionally, they generate revenue from corporate and trustee services by offering fiduciary, escrow, and other trust-related services, charging clients for managing and administrating these financial processes. Their payment processing division contributes to earnings by charging transaction fees and service charges for facilitating payments between parties. Olympia Financial's ability to sustain earnings is bolstered by strategic partnerships with financial institutions and continuous adaptation to market demands, enhancing their service offerings and expanding their client base.

Olympia Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Olympia Financial demonstrates strong revenue growth, robust gross profit margins, and stable net profit margins. The balance sheet shows low leverage and high equity, while cash flow generation is strong, indicating efficient cash management.
Income Statement
87
Very Positive
Olympia Financial demonstrates strong and consistent revenue growth, with a significant increase in revenue from 2022 to 2025. The gross profit margin remains robust, reflecting effective cost management. Net profit margins have been stable, suggesting consistent profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also show strong performance, indicating healthy operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
The company maintains a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio, highlighting prudent leverage management. Return on Equity (ROE) is impressive, indicating effective use of shareholder funds to generate profits. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a strong capital base and balance sheet stability.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
Olympia Financial displays strong cash flow generation with a significant increase in free cash flow over the years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient cash conversion from earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio further underscores the company's ability to generate cash in excess of its income, supporting growth and financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue102.48M102.31M99.82M71.38M48.35M48.04M
Gross Profit74.00M50.78M96.15M40.33M25.43M26.99M
EBITDA33.41M33.56M32.91M21.90M12.96M14.84M
Net Income23.58M23.92M23.96M14.15M6.51M7.99M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets65.32M49.39M47.27M37.50M36.56M30.65M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.10M12.86M10.92M8.37M15.34M15.94M
Total Debt2.17M2.29M3.57M6.34M13.79M5.99M
Total Liabilities22.33M7.47M11.95M12.17M17.78M11.75M
Stockholders Equity42.98M41.92M35.32M25.32M18.77M18.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.60M20.57M18.59M7.98M11.52M10.13M
Operating Cash Flow26.70M20.97M18.95M8.55M11.88M10.66M
Investing Cash Flow-2.11M-400.78K376.39K-29.84K-7.18M930.16K
Financing Cash Flow-19.62M-18.62M-16.77M-15.12M12.66K-9.41M

Olympia Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price119.50
Price Trends
50DMA
110.97
Positive
100DMA
107.55
Positive
200DMA
103.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.82
Positive
RSI
64.89
Neutral
STOCH
57.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:OLY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 118.99, above the 50-day MA of 110.97, and above the 200-day MA of 103.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.82 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:OLY.

Olympia Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$860.80M8.199.24%3.80%16.93%17.52%
TSOLY
78
Outperform
C$289.72M12.2959.15%6.03%1.49%-3.65%
TSCVG
77
Outperform
C$1.10B9.0310.05%1.04%120.44%
TSFSZ
72
Outperform
C$719.70M18.3013.09%9.12%3.59%-43.99%
TSGCG
71
Outperform
C$1.04B14.735.62%4.94%35.78%-24.67%
TSSEC
69
Neutral
C$804.40M2.95-7.43%-8.45%211.31%
67
Neutral
¥718.51B10.847.44%3.36%7.82%15.26%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:OLY
Olympia Financial
120.52
34.53
40.16%
TSE:SEC
Senvest Capital
331.00
2.75
0.84%
TSE:CVG
Clairvest
75.50
7.65
11.27%
TSE:FSZ
Fiera Capital A
6.65
-0.77
-10.38%
TSE:GCG
Guardian Capital
44.00
1.53
3.60%
TSE:AGF.B
AGF Management B NV
12.73
4.81
60.73%

Olympia Financial Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Olympia Financial Group Inc. Announces 2025 Director Election Results
Positive
Jun 19, 2025

Olympia Financial Group Inc. announced the election results of its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where seven director nominees were elected with high approval rates. The re-appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as auditors was also confirmed. This announcement reflects a stable governance structure and continued confidence in the company’s leadership, potentially reinforcing its market position and stakeholder trust.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OLY) stock is a Buy with a C$135.19 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Olympia Financial stock, see the TSE:OLY Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Olympia Financial Declares June Dividend
Positive
Jun 4, 2025

Olympia Financial Group Inc. has announced a monthly cash dividend of $0.60 per common share, payable on June 30, 2025. This declaration reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning positively by reinforcing investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:OLY) stock is a Buy with a C$143.52 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Olympia Financial stock, see the TSE:OLY Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Olympia Financial Reports Q1 2025 Earnings Decline Amid Rising Costs
Negative
May 8, 2025

Olympia Financial Group Inc. reported a 6% decrease in total net earnings to $5.40 million for the first quarter of 2025, compared to the same period in 2024. The company experienced a slight decline in total revenue, which fell by less than 1% to $25.39 million. Service revenue saw a 1% increase due to a growing client base, while trust and other income decreased by 2% due to lower interest rates. Direct and administrative expenses rose by 1%, primarily driven by increased computer support and maintenance costs. The financial results indicate a challenging environment with slight revenue declines and increased operational costs, impacting Olympia’s earnings per share, which fell by 6% to $2.24.

Dividends
Olympia Financial Group Inc. Declares May Dividend
Positive
May 5, 2025

Olympia Financial Group Inc. has announced a monthly cash dividend of $0.60 per common share, payable on May 30, 2025, to shareholders on record as of May 21, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may positively impact investor sentiment and the company’s market position.

Executive/Board Changes
Olympia Financial Group Appoints Brenda J. Eprile to Board of Directors
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

Olympia Financial Group Inc. has announced the appointment of Brenda J. Eprile to the Board of Directors of Olympia Trust Company. Ms. Eprile brings extensive experience as a corporate director, having previously led the board of Home Capital Group through significant financial challenges. Her background includes senior roles at PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP and the Ontario Securities Commission, making her a valuable addition to Olympia’s leadership team. This appointment is expected to strengthen Olympia’s governance and strategic direction, potentially enhancing its market position and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 20, 2025