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Fiera Capital A (TSE:FSZ)
TSX:FSZ
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Fiera Capital A (FSZ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:FSZ

Fiera Capital A

(TSX:FSZ)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
C$7.00
▲(14.38% Upside)
Fiera Capital A's overall stock score reflects strong operational efficiency and attractive dividend yield, but is tempered by challenges in revenue growth and high leverage. The technical indicators suggest a lack of strong momentum, while the earnings call provided a mixed sentiment with both positive and negative aspects.
Positive Factors
Growth in Assets Under Management
The increase in AUM indicates strong market appreciation and net organic growth, enhancing revenue potential through management fees and expanding the firm's market presence.
Recognition in Fixed Income
Recognition as a top fixed income manager enhances the firm's reputation, potentially attracting more clients and increasing AUM, which supports long-term revenue growth.
Strong Performance in Private Markets
Positive returns in private markets demonstrate effective investment strategies, which can attract more capital and improve financial performance over time.
Negative Factors
Challenges in Equity Strategies
Underperformance in equity strategies may hinder competitive positioning and limit growth in AUM, affecting revenue derived from management fees.
Decrease in Public Market Revenues
A decline in public market revenues reflects reduced fee income, which could impact overall profitability and limit resources for strategic investments.
High Leverage
Significant leverage increases financial risk, potentially constraining cash flow and limiting the firm's ability to invest in growth opportunities.

Fiera Capital A (FSZ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Fiera Capital A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFiera Capital Corporation is an employee owned investment manager. The firm primarily provides its services to institutional investors, mutual funds, charitable organizations, and private clients. It manages separate client-focused equity, fixed income, and balanced portfolios. The firm also launches and manages equity, fixed income, and balanced mutual funds and income trusts for its clients. It invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe with a focus on Canada. The firm primarily invests in growth and value stocks of small-cap companies. It also invests in G.A.R.P. and value stocks of large-cap companies. The firm also makes investments in income trusts and preferred shares. It also applies exclusions to be fossil fuel free, integrates environmental, social, and governance considerations, and applies an ethical filter while making its investments. The firm employs fundamental and quantitative analysis along with bottom-up stock picking approach to create its equity portfolios. It employs a top-down macro-economic research to make its fixed income investments. The firm also makes alternative investments, including the use of long/short equity strategy. It benchmarks the performance of its portfolio against the S&P/TSX Index, MSCI ACWI Index, S&P/TSX Composite FFF Index, and S&P 500 indices. The firm conducts in-house research to make its investments. It makes investments in social infrastructure with a focus on affordable housing and community health care facilities and also makes investment in solar and wind power generation, transport, and mid-market assets. It typically invests in Canada. It was formerly known as Fiera Sceptre Inc. Fiera Capital Corporation was founded in 2002 and is based in Montréal, Canada with an additional office in Toronto, Canada, Calgary, Canada, and Vancouver, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyFiera Capital A generates revenue primarily through management fees charged on the assets under management (AUM) across its various investment products and services. These fees are typically calculated as a percentage of the AUM, which varies depending on the specific fund or investment strategy. Additionally, the company may earn performance fees based on the returns of certain funds exceeding predefined benchmarks. Key revenue streams also include advisory services and institutional mandates, where they provide customized investment solutions for large clients. Strategic partnerships with financial institutions and other asset managers can enhance distribution capabilities and expand their client base, further contributing to their earnings.

Fiera Capital A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with strong growth in assets under management and recognition in fixed income, contrasted by challenges in equity strategies and a decline in public market revenues and net earnings.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Total Assets Under Management
Total assets under management increased by 4% to $166.9 billion, with the public market platform reaching $145 billion, up 3.9%, and the private market platform at $22 billion, up 5.3%.
Recognition in Fixed Income
Fiera Capital was recognized as Fixed Income Manager of the Year at the European Awards 2025, demonstrating strong performance in fixed income strategies, with 86% of fixed income assets outperforming their benchmark over 1 year and 97% over 5 years.
Strong Performance in Private Markets
Private market strategies generated positive returns, with key strategies delivering absolute returns of 5% to 10% over the 1-year period. The infrastructure debt fund returned 2.6% in Q3 and an internal rate of return of more than 11% since inception.
Launch of Canadian Built Opportunities Fund
Received an initial investment of approximately $800 million from the Canadian District of the United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of Americas, with the fund aiming to reach over $1 billion in assets within 3 years.
Financial Performance Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $50 million, up 10% quarter-over-quarter, with a margin just over 30%.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Equity Strategies
Equity strategies faced challenges in outperforming benchmarks due to security selection issues and limited exposure to outperforming sectors like materials and energy.
Decrease in Public Market Revenues
Base management fees in public markets were down $4 million from the same quarter last year due to lower sub-advised assets under management.
Performance Fee Volatility
Performance fees were volatile, with fees of $200,000 during the quarter, down from less than $1 million in the same quarter last year.
Net Earnings Decline
Net earnings attributable to the company's shareholders were $6 million or $0.05 per diluted share, down from $13 million or $0.11 per diluted share in the same quarter last year.
Company Guidance
During Fiera Capital's third-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. Total assets under management (AUM) increased by 4% to $166.9 billion, driven by market appreciation and net organic growth of $900 million. The public market platform reported an AUM of $145 billion, up 3.9% from the previous quarter, while the private market platform reached $22 billion, a 5.3% increase. Notable achievements included a $500 million mandate in the U.S. growth equity strategy and an $800 million investment from the Canadian District of the United Brotherhood of Carpenters and Joiners of America into the Canadian Built Opportunities Fund. Financially, Fiera Capital reported total revenues of $167 million, a 3% increase from the previous quarter, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of over 30%. Net debt decreased to $680 million, with a net debt ratio of 3.5x. The company repurchased 1.6 million shares year-to-date for approximately $10 million and announced a quarterly dividend of $0.108 per share.

Fiera Capital A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fiera Capital A shows strong operational efficiency with high gross profit margins and healthy EBIT/EBITDA margins. However, challenges include declining revenue growth and high leverage, which could impact financial stability. Cash flow metrics indicate efficient cash generation, but the decline in free cash flow growth is concerning.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Fiera Capital A's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is exceptionally high at 98.14%, indicating strong cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 5.78%, suggesting challenges in converting revenue into net income. The revenue growth rate has declined significantly by 24.23% in the TTM, reflecting potential market or operational challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, showing operational efficiency, but the declining revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.80 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is moderate at 13.50%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the high leverage suggests a lower proportion of equity in the capital structure, which could pose risks in volatile markets.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 8.53% in the TTM, which could impact future investments and debt servicing. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.86, indicating that operating cash flow is relatively aligned with net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.98, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income, despite the recent decline in growth.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue343.27M676.20M675.53M664.89M737.85M689.48M
Gross Profit319.09M430.91M444.04M425.29M385.53M340.11M
EBITDA158.75M149.50M189.96M139.49M201.56M130.09M
Net Income37.99M24.99M58.45M25.35M73.53M-3.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.21B1.25B1.29B1.33B1.47B1.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.04M44.56M75.22M68.21M111.98M72.37M
Total Debt793.74M768.51M732.54M746.30M709.54M767.07M
Total Liabilities932.69M957.75M960.74M982.45M1.05B1.04B
Stockholders Equity267.18M285.06M322.63M341.05M415.31M467.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow126.71M130.98M135.12M108.39M155.15M133.60M
Operating Cash Flow130.68M134.00M137.97M113.31M171.29M145.38M
Investing Cash Flow-3.61M9.39M3.29M-6.34M43.55M-13.42M
Financing Cash Flow-135.36M-175.23M-137.30M-148.15M-179.35M-159.85M

Fiera Capital A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.12
Price Trends
50DMA
6.19
Negative
100DMA
6.38
Negative
200DMA
6.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
47.98
Neutral
STOCH
22.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:FSZ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.10, below the 50-day MA of 6.19, and below the 200-day MA of 6.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:FSZ.

Fiera Capital A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$951.00M8.469.85%3.49%11.23%30.44%
77
Outperform
C$992.05M8.530.32%0.14%-44.78%-95.84%
74
Outperform
C$931.91M5.479.11%22.33%-25.06%
74
Outperform
C$1.65B8.7513.82%2.71%58.88%82.03%
69
Neutral
C$1.65B10.6113.82%2.72%58.88%82.03%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
C$671.72M17.8911.26%8.88%-0.88%-52.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:FSZ
Fiera Capital A
6.08
-2.86
-31.99%
TSE:AGF.B
AGF Management B NV
14.03
3.30
30.75%
TSE:CVG
Clairvest
70.64
0.45
0.64%
TSE:GCG
Guardian Capital
67.15
26.01
63.22%
TSE:GCG.A
Guardian Cap Cl A NV
67.22
26.78
66.22%
TSE:SEC
Senvest Capital
373.50
28.50
8.26%

Fiera Capital A Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Fiera Capital Achieves Positive Net Growth in Q3 2025
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

Fiera Capital reported positive financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net organic growth of nearly $900 million, marking a return to positive total net flows. The company’s adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 30%, driven by increased revenues and cost containment efforts. Fiera Capital reduced its net debt, repurchased over 500,000 shares, and declared a dividend of 10.8 cents per share. These results highlight the firm’s commitment to operational efficiency and returning capital to shareholders, strengthening its position in the asset management industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FSZ) stock is a Hold with a C$8.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fiera Capital A stock, see the TSE:FSZ Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Fiera Capital Sees 4% Growth in Q3 2025 AUM
Positive
Oct 21, 2025

Fiera Capital reported a preliminary estimate of $166.9 billion in assets under management as of September 30, 2025, marking a 4.0% increase from the previous quarter. This growth was driven by positive net flows and market appreciation in both public and private markets, with significant contributions from equity mandates and the Canadian Built Opportunities Platform. The company will release its Q3 2025 financial results on November 13, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:FSZ) stock is a Hold with a C$7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Fiera Capital A stock, see the TSE:FSZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025