tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Sprott (TSE:SII)
TSX:SII

Sprott (SII) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
46 Followers

Top Page

TSE:SII

Sprott

(TSX:SII)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$245.00
â–²(21.97% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (high profitability, zero debt, and solid cash generation) reinforced by positive earnings-call momentum and AUM/ETF growth. Technicals are supportive but overextended, and the key constraint is a rich valuation (high P/E with a modest yield).
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Zero reported debt and materially higher equity give Sprott durable financial flexibility. Low leverage reduces solvency risk during commodity cycles, supports dividend policy and M&A or product investment, and preserves optionality to withstand AUM-driven revenue swings.
Reliable cash generation
Consistent free-cash-flow conversion of earnings demonstrates high earnings quality and funds operations, dividends and growth without reliance on debt. Persistent FCF supports reinvestment in products and ETF distribution, enhancing long-term self-funded expansion.
Large, growing AUM and ETF scale
Rapid AUM and ETF scale build a recurring-fee base and product diversification that reduce per-dollar costs and improve margin leverage. Larger ETFs nearing breakeven and rising institutional flows create a sustainable revenue runway independent of any single product.
Negative Factors
Commodity price sensitivity
Sprott’s fee revenue and AUM are structurally linked to precious metals and critical materials performance. Prolonged weakness in these markets can meaningfully reduce AUM, recurring fees and incentive fees, producing persistent earnings pressure beyond management control.
Historic growth volatility
Wide swings in revenue and periodic margin variability indicate earnings instability tied to market cycles and flows. This makes multi-quarter planning and capital allocation harder, and can impair predictable fee income and investor confidence over a multi-quarter horizon.
Operating cash coverage variability
Although FCF tracks earnings overall, intermittent working-capital and timing swings reduce short-term liquidity reliability. Such variability and transitional accounting items can complicate cash forecasting and may constrain opportunistic investments or payout consistency during stress periods.

Sprott (SII) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Sprott Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSprott Inc. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides asset management, portfolio management, wealth management, fund management, and administrative and consulting services to its clients. It offers mutual funds, hedge funds, and offshore funds, along with managed accounts. Further, the firm also provides broker-dealer activities. Sprott Inc. was formed on February 13, 2008 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySprott Inc. generates revenue primarily through management fees, performance fees, and transaction fees associated with its investment products and services. Management fees are charged as a percentage of assets under management (AUM) and represent a stable income stream. Performance fees are earned when the investment returns exceed certain benchmarks, aligning Sprott's interests with those of its clients. Transaction fees are collected from services related to the trading and management of client assets. The company's focus on precious metals and real assets attracts investors seeking diversification and protection against inflation, contributing significantly to its earnings. Additionally, Sprott partners with various financial institutions and leverages its expertise in niche markets to enhance its product offerings and expand its client base.

Sprott Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong quarter with significant AUM growth, successful ETF performance, and a notable dividend increase. Despite some transitional accounting impacts and specific ETF redemptions, the overall performance and strategic initiatives signal confidence in future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record AUM Growth
Assets under management increased by $9 billion during the quarter, surpassing $50 billion for the first time in October 2025, representing a 56% increase from December 2024.
Strong ETF Performance
The ETF business grew from under $400 million in assets in 2022 to more than $4.4 billion, with active ETFs launched earlier in 2025 being among the most successful to date.
Dividend Increase
A third quarter dividend of $0.40 per share was declared, representing an increase of 33% from the previous quarter.
Managed Equities Performance
The flagship gold equity fund was up 44% during the quarter and 105% year-to-date.
ETF AUM Growth
The ETF product suite experienced an 83% growth in AUM this year, with most ETFs surpassing breakeven levels, enhancing profitability.
Executive Appointments
Strengthened executive team with the appointments of Ryan McIntyre as President, and Kevin Hibbert and Arthur Einav as co-COOs.
Negative Updates
Transitional Accounting Noise
The new cash-settled stock plan created transitional accounting noise, impacting net income due to accelerated vesting requirements.
Uranium ETF Redemptions
Some redemptions were noted from uranium mining ETFs as investors pursued stocks in the downstream segment of the nuclear fuel supply chain.
Company Guidance
During the 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call, Sprott Inc. provided positive guidance, highlighting a significant increase in assets under management (AUM), which rose by $9 billion during the quarter, driven by strong market performance in gold and silver prices. As of October 31, their AUM surpassed $50 billion for the first time, marking a 4% increase from September 30's $49.1 billion. The firm reported robust sales, particularly in precious metals and critical materials, and noted outstanding performance in their managed equities business, with some strategies up over 100% year-to-date. Their ETF business also saw substantial growth, with assets rising from under $400 million in 2022 to over $4.4 billion. These strong financial results led the Board to declare a third quarter dividend of $0.40 per share, a 33% increase from the previous quarter. Additionally, Sprott announced executive appointments to strengthen their leadership team, reflecting confidence in their future growth trajectory.

Sprott Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: high profitability with a major 2025 revenue step-up while sustaining ~23% net margin, an exceptionally conservative balance sheet with zero debt in 2024–2025 and rising equity, and solid cash conversion with free cash flow generally tracking earnings. The main offset is meaningful year-to-year volatility in growth and some cash-flow coverage swings, consistent with market-sensitive asset-management results.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Profitability is strong with consistently healthy net margins (roughly low-20% to ~29% historically) and solid operating margins, culminating in a major 2025 revenue step-up (over 100% growth) while still delivering ~23% net margin. The main weakness is volatility in growth (declines in 2022–2023 followed by an outsized rebound in 2025) and some margin variability year-to-year (e.g., notably lower profitability in 2022 versus later years).
Balance Sheet
93
Very Positive
The balance sheet is very conservatively positioned: debt is 0 in 2024 and 2025 (and modest prior to that), resulting in minimal leverage risk. Equity has grown materially (from ~$277M in 2022 to ~$503M in 2025), and returns on equity improved to ~18.7% in 2025, indicating efficient capital use. The key watch-out is that asset-management earnings can be market-sensitive, so strong equity levels help, but profitability may still fluctuate with market conditions.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation is solid, with free cash flow closely tracking net income across years (generally near 1:1), suggesting earnings quality is good and cash conversion is reliable. Free cash flow growth turned strongly positive in 2024–2025, including a large jump in 2025. The main weakness is variability in how well operating cash flow covers net income (notably weaker in 2020 and lower again in 2025 versus 2024), indicating periodic working-capital or timing swings.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue405.28M168.35M146.30M154.27M164.94M
Gross Profit370.53M80.82M64.17M66.62M78.48M
EBITDA131.42M74.32M57.19M31.36M50.90M
Net Income94.10M49.29M41.80M17.63M33.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets720.71M388.80M378.83M383.75M365.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments170.09M47.06M22.89M55.03M55.94M
Total Debt2.04M0.0024.24M54.44M29.77M
Total Liabilities217.31M65.15M73.13M106.48M74.65M
Stockholders Equity503.40M323.65M305.70M277.27M291.22M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow133.91M67.28M28.33M32.37M50.55M
Operating Cash Flow136.50M69.15M29.86M32.50M51.25M
Investing Cash Flow17.28M24.52M4.61M-23.49M-20.63M
Financing Cash Flow-50.73M-57.17M-63.46M-3.90M-24.19M

Sprott Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price200.87
Price Trends
50DMA
181.91
Positive
100DMA
153.30
Positive
200DMA
124.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.76
Positive
RSI
49.80
Neutral
STOCH
12.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SII, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 200.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 209.63, above the 50-day MA of 181.91, and above the 200-day MA of 124.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 9.76 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:SII.

Sprott Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$1.21B7.109.85%3.01%11.23%30.44%
78
Outperform
C$5.18B36.8614.90%1.32%35.51%7.55%
73
Outperform
C$97.95B33.3941.10%3.37%597.75%50.43%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
C$15.00B13.2812.37%3.59%-1.02%-5.65%
65
Neutral
C$7.43B9.047.20%0.36%2.46%-27.48%
54
Neutral
C$549.11M17.0514.44%8.78%-0.88%-52.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SII
Sprott
200.87
140.16
230.87%
TSE:IGM
IGM Financial
64.03
21.60
50.90%
TSE:AGF.B
AGF Management B NV
18.72
9.17
96.10%
TSE:FSZ
Fiera Capital A
5.15
-0.48
-8.59%
TSE:ONEX
ONEX Corporation
97.41
-1.20
-1.22%
TSE:BAM
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. Class A
59.79
-6.40
-9.67%

Sprott Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sprott’s Assets and Fee Income Surge on Precious Metals and Critical Materials Boom
Positive
Feb 19, 2026

Sprott reported a sharp expansion in 2025, with assets under management climbing 89% year over year to $59.6 billion, driven by market appreciation and $3.9 billion in net sales, mainly in its exchange-listed products. The firm benefited from a strong rally in gold, silver, platinum and palladium, as well as rising demand for critical materials strategies amid heightened geopolitical tensions.

Revenue momentum was robust, with full-year management fees up 28% to $199 million and net fees up 49% to $216 million, supported by higher AUM, strong inflows into precious metals vehicles, and a surge in performance and carried interest fees. Commission revenues also advanced on increased ATM activity in its physical uranium trust, while higher incentive and stock-based compensation reflected stronger fee generation and a shift in accounting treatment, underscoring both the profitability and evolving cost structure of the business.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SII) stock is a Buy with a C$193.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sprott stock, see the TSE:SII Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sprott’s Assets and Fees Surge on Precious Metals and Critical Materials Boom
Positive
Feb 19, 2026

Sprott Inc. reported a sharp expansion in its business for 2025, with assets under management climbing 89% year-on-year to $59.6 billion, driven by market value gains across most funds and $3.9 billion in net sales, primarily in its exchange-listed products. Management fees, performance fees and carried interest all surged on both quarterly and full-year bases, reflecting strong performance in precious metals and critical materials strategies, higher inflows into physical trusts and ETFs, and robust private strategies, while compensation costs rose alongside fee growth but net compensation ratios improved, underscoring enhanced operating leverage as the firm seeks to capitalize on favorable macro trends.

The strong tailwind from a “banner year” in precious metals, with gold, silver, platinum and palladium significantly outperforming traditional asset classes, underpinned Sprott’s results and reinforced its positioning as a specialist in these markets. Growing investor interest in critical materials, supported by heightened geopolitical tensions and government intervention, further boosted the company’s strategies and suggests continued opportunity for asset growth and value creation for shareholders, even as higher stock-based compensation reflects accounting changes tied to new employee plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SII) stock is a Buy with a C$193.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sprott stock, see the TSE:SII Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Sprott Declares Q4 2025 Dividend and Details Cross-Border Payout Terms
Positive
Feb 18, 2026

Sprott Inc. has declared a fourth-quarter 2025 dividend of US$0.40 per common share, payable on March 17, 2026 to shareholders of record as of March 2, 2026. The dividend is designated as an eligible dividend for Canadian income tax purposes, reinforcing Sprott’s ongoing capital return strategy to shareholders.

Canadian-registered and certain Canadian beneficial shareholders will receive the dividend in Canadian dollars based on the March 17, 2026 spot exchange rate, while non-Canadian holders and those using U.S. depositories will be paid in U.S. dollars. Investors have some flexibility to elect their preferred payout currency through their intermediaries, underscoring attention to cross-border investor needs in Sprott’s shareholder base.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SII) stock is a Buy with a C$193.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sprott stock, see the TSE:SII Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Sprott Sets February 19 Date for Q4 2026 Results Webcast
Neutral
Feb 13, 2026

Sprott Inc., a global asset manager focused on precious metals and critical materials, offers exchange-listed products, managed equity strategies and private investment solutions, serving investors from key North American financial hubs and maintaining dual listings in New York and Toronto. The company announced it will release its fourth-quarter 2026 financial results on February 19, 2026, followed by a same-day webcast led by senior executives to discuss performance, providing investors and analysts with updated insight into its operating trends and strategic positioning in resource-focused asset management.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SII) stock is a Buy with a C$193.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sprott stock, see the TSE:SII Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026