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Sprott (TSE:SII)
TSX:SII

Sprott (SII) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:SII

Sprott

(TSX:SII)

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Outperform 78 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$200.00
â–²(19.79% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (high margins, debt-free balance sheet, solid cash conversion) and a very constructive earnings call highlighting record AUM growth and strengthening product momentum. The main offsets are expensive valuation (high P/E, modest yield) and technical indicators showing an overheated condition that can increase near-term volatility.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
Zero total debt and expanding equity give Sprott durable financial flexibility. A net-cash posture supports investment in product development, opportunistic M&A or buybacks, and dividend increases without leverage-driven risk—important for a firm exposed to cyclical asset flows.
Rapid AUM and ETF scale-up
Sustained, large AUM gains and rapid ETF scaling indicate durable product-market fit in precious metals and resources. Larger recurring AUM improves fee revenue stability, economies of scale for ETF operations and enhances cross-selling potential across institutional and retail channels.
High profitability and cash conversion
Strong margins and near-parity of free cash flow to net income signal high earnings quality. Durable cash generation supports dividend policy, reinvestment in distribution and product development, and cushions the firm through resource-price-driven AUM cycles.
Negative Factors
Revenue sensitivity to commodity cycles
Sprott's fee revenue and performance fees are structurally tied to commodity price movements and AUM valuation. Prolonged weakness in precious metals or resource sectors can materially reduce fees and incentive income, creating lasting volatility in earnings and cash flow.
Slowing cash flow and margin compression
A decline in free cash flow and margin compression versus the prior year indicate emerging pressure on core profitability. If these trends persist, they could erode capital available for dividends, product investment and weaken resilience to AUM drawdowns over the medium term.
Accounting impacts and concentrated redemptions
Transitional accounting from a cash-settled equity plan can depress reported earnings and obscure operating trends, while concentrated redemptions in niche ETFs highlight product-concentration risk. Both factors can reduce earnings visibility and increase flow volatility over months.

Sprott (SII) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Sprott Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSprott Inc. is a publicly owned asset management holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides asset management, portfolio management, wealth management, fund management, and administrative and consulting services to its clients. It offers mutual funds, hedge funds, and offshore funds, along with managed accounts. Further, the firm also provides broker-dealer activities. Sprott Inc. was formed on February 13, 2008 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneySprott Inc. generates revenue primarily through management fees, performance fees, and transaction fees associated with its investment products and services. Management fees are charged as a percentage of assets under management (AUM) and represent a stable income stream. Performance fees are earned when the investment returns exceed certain benchmarks, aligning Sprott's interests with those of its clients. Transaction fees are collected from services related to the trading and management of client assets. The company's focus on precious metals and real assets attracts investors seeking diversification and protection against inflation, contributing significantly to its earnings. Additionally, Sprott partners with various financial institutions and leverages its expertise in niche markets to enhance its product offerings and expand its client base.

Sprott Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong quarter with significant AUM growth, successful ETF performance, and a notable dividend increase. Despite some transitional accounting impacts and specific ETF redemptions, the overall performance and strategic initiatives signal confidence in future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record AUM Growth
Assets under management increased by $9 billion during the quarter, surpassing $50 billion for the first time in October 2025, representing a 56% increase from December 2024.
Strong ETF Performance
The ETF business grew from under $400 million in assets in 2022 to more than $4.4 billion, with active ETFs launched earlier in 2025 being among the most successful to date.
Dividend Increase
A third quarter dividend of $0.40 per share was declared, representing an increase of 33% from the previous quarter.
Managed Equities Performance
The flagship gold equity fund was up 44% during the quarter and 105% year-to-date.
ETF AUM Growth
The ETF product suite experienced an 83% growth in AUM this year, with most ETFs surpassing breakeven levels, enhancing profitability.
Executive Appointments
Strengthened executive team with the appointments of Ryan McIntyre as President, and Kevin Hibbert and Arthur Einav as co-COOs.
Negative Updates
Transitional Accounting Noise
The new cash-settled stock plan created transitional accounting noise, impacting net income due to accelerated vesting requirements.
Uranium ETF Redemptions
Some redemptions were noted from uranium mining ETFs as investors pursued stocks in the downstream segment of the nuclear fuel supply chain.
Company Guidance
During the 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call, Sprott Inc. provided positive guidance, highlighting a significant increase in assets under management (AUM), which rose by $9 billion during the quarter, driven by strong market performance in gold and silver prices. As of October 31, their AUM surpassed $50 billion for the first time, marking a 4% increase from September 30's $49.1 billion. The firm reported robust sales, particularly in precious metals and critical materials, and noted outstanding performance in their managed equities business, with some strategies up over 100% year-to-date. Their ETF business also saw substantial growth, with assets rising from under $400 million in 2022 to over $4.4 billion. These strong financial results led the Board to declare a third quarter dividend of $0.40 per share, a 33% increase from the previous quarter. Additionally, Sprott announced executive appointments to strengthen their leadership team, reflecting confidence in their future growth trajectory.

Sprott Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: revenue is up 6.8% TTM with high profitability (gross margin ~44.5%, net margin ~26.7%). Balance sheet strength is excellent with zero debt and solid ~15% ROE. Cash generation is healthy with FCF closely tracking earnings, though TTM FCF is down ~14% and margins are slightly compressed versus 2024.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is up 6.8% with strong profitability (gross margin ~44.5% and net margin ~26.7%). Earnings power looks consistently high across recent periods, with net income rising from 2022’s depressed level to ~50.3M TTM. The main weakness is some margin compression versus 2024 (lower gross and net margins), suggesting a slightly less favorable mix or higher costs despite revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
93
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with zero total debt in 2024 and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and equity expanding to ~344.7M on ~466.2M of assets. Returns on equity are solid and steady (~15% in 2024 and TTM), indicating good profitability without leverage. The key limitation is that prior years did carry some debt (notably 2022–2023), so the current net-cash posture is strong but not a long, uninterrupted pattern.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is strong: operating cash flow is ~72.4M TTM and free cash flow is ~70.5M, with free cash flow closely tracking net income (about 0.98x TTM), supporting earnings quality. Operating cash flow also exceeds net income comfortably in TTM. The weakness is momentum—TTM free cash flow declined ~14% versus the prior period, signaling some recent normalization after a stronger 2024.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue199.04M168.35M146.30M154.27M164.94M114.41M
Gross Profit73.83M80.82M64.17M66.62M78.48M56.82M
EBITDA72.24M74.32M57.19M31.36M50.90M39.95M
Net Income50.30M49.29M41.80M17.63M33.19M26.98M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets466.17M388.80M378.83M383.75M365.87M377.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.34M47.06M22.89M55.03M55.94M53.58M
Total Debt0.000.0024.24M54.44M29.77M16.99M
Total Liabilities121.44M65.15M73.13M106.48M74.65M86.36M
Stockholders Equity344.73M323.65M305.70M277.27M291.22M290.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow70.51M67.28M28.33M32.37M50.55M25.55M
Operating Cash Flow72.44M69.15M29.86M32.50M51.25M26.24M
Investing Cash Flow28.94M24.52M4.61M-23.49M-20.63M-17.09M
Financing Cash Flow-58.09M-57.17M-63.46M-3.90M-24.19M-22.44M

Sprott Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price166.96
Price Trends
50DMA
143.81
Positive
100DMA
129.19
Positive
200DMA
107.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
9.71
Positive
RSI
53.63
Neutral
STOCH
22.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:SII, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 166.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 164.60, above the 50-day MA of 143.81, and above the 200-day MA of 107.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.71 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 53.63 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:SII.

Sprott Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$1.17B9.149.85%3.01%11.23%30.44%
78
Outperform
C$4.31B61.2914.90%1.32%35.51%7.55%
76
Outperform
C$15.49B15.1012.37%3.59%-1.02%-5.65%
69
Neutral
C$7.98B13.295.15%0.36%2.46%-27.48%
68
Neutral
C$110.80B29.8336.59%3.37%597.75%50.43%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
62
Neutral
C$633.34M20.5311.26%8.78%-0.88%-52.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:SII
Sprott
164.78
102.73
165.55%
TSE:IGM
IGM Financial
67.35
24.98
58.94%
TSE:AGF.B
AGF Management B NV
18.25
7.62
71.65%
TSE:FSZ
Fiera Capital A
6.07
-0.85
-12.25%
TSE:ONEX
ONEX Corporation
116.65
5.81
5.24%
TSE:BAM
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. Class A
69.39
-12.83
-15.60%

Sprott Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
Sprott Inc. Reports Record AUM and Expands ETF Offerings
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Sprott Inc. reported significant growth in its Assets Under Management (AUM), reaching $49.1 billion by the end of Q3 2025, driven by rising precious metals prices and strong performance in managed equities. The company achieved record net sales and expanded its ETF offerings, contributing to a substantial increase in revenue and a 33% dividend hike, reflecting confidence in its future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SII) stock is a Buy with a C$109.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sprott stock, see the TSE:SII Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Sprott Inc. Boosts Dividend by 33% for Q3 2025
Positive
Nov 4, 2025

Sprott Inc. has announced a significant 33% increase in its quarterly dividend, raising it to US$0.40 per common share for the third quarter of 2025. This move reflects the company’s robust financial health and commitment to delivering value to its shareholders. The dividend will be paid on December 2, 2025, with Canadian shareholders receiving payments in Canadian dollars and others in U.S. dollars, subject to currency election options. This increase underscores Sprott’s strong position in the asset management industry, particularly in the precious metals and critical materials sectors, and signals confidence in its ongoing growth and profitability.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:SII) stock is a Buy with a C$109.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sprott stock, see the TSE:SII Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026