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AGF Management B NV (TSE:AGF.B)
TSX:AGF.B

AGF Management B NV (AGF.B) AI Stock Analysis

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AGF Management B NV

(TSX:AGF.B)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$14.50
▲(13.28%Upside)
AGF Management B NV's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are the most significant factors driving the overall score. Technical analysis supports a positive outlook, though nearing overbought conditions. The earnings call provided a cautiously optimistic outlook despite some challenges, reinforcing the company’s strategic positioning.
Positive Factors
Financial performance
AGF reported earnings that were significantly ahead of expectations on the back of another quarter of strong earnings contribution from AGF Capital Partners as well as a lower tax rate.
Stock rating upgrade
The stock is upgraded to a BUY rating, indicating a positive outlook for the company.
Valuation and growth potential
Valuation upside is likely driven by AGF Capital Partners, suggesting potential growth in the company's value.
Negative Factors
Asset under management (AUM)
Total Q2/25 mutual fund AUM was down 1% compared to an expected increase, due to weaker equity markets.
Market scale challenges
AGF's $53B AUM lacks scale in a business that demands significantly more scale, especially given fee pressures.
Net retail inflows
Net retail inflows are expected to decline significantly, reflective of seasonality and a weakening flow environment in the mutual fund industry.

AGF Management B NV (AGF.B) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

AGF Management B NV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAGF Management Limited is a publicly owned asset management holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the firm provides its services to public and corporate DB pension plans, endowments and foundations, sovereign wealth funds, corporate plans, insurance companies, and sub-advised mandates. Through its subsidiaries, it manages separate client-focused equity, fixed income, and balanced mutual funds along with separate client-focused equity, fixed income, and balanced portfolios. Through its subsidiaries, the firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. For its equity portion, it invests in growth stocks of companies. The firm employs fundamental analysis to make its investments. AGF Management Limited was founded in 1957 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAGF Management B NV generates revenue primarily through management fees and performance fees associated with its investment products. Management fees are charged as a percentage of the assets under management (AUM) and represent a steady source of income, as they are collected regardless of the investment performance. In addition to management fees, the company earns performance fees when its investment products meet or exceed specified performance benchmarks. AGF Management B NV may also engage in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to broaden its product offerings and expand its client base, contributing to its revenue growth. Furthermore, the company invests in marketing and distribution channels to enhance its market presence and attract new investors.

AGF Management B NV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 25, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements such as growth in AUM and winning a prestigious award, while also acknowledging challenges from market volatility affecting average AUM and a decrease in revenues from AGF Capital Partners. Despite some financial setbacks, the strategic growth and performance metrics suggest a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increase in Assets Under Management (AUM) and Fee-Earning Assets
AUM and fee-earning assets were $53.5 billion at the end of Q2, up 12% from a year ago. The SMA and ETF business saw a 54% year-over-year increase in AUM to $2.8 billion.
Mutual Fund Provider of the Year Award
AGF Investments won the Mutual Fund Provider of the Year Award at the 2025 Wealth Professional Awards ceremony, highlighting the company's innovative product lineup and dedication to client value.
Strong Performance in Mutual Funds
AGF Investments retail mutual fund business reported net sales of $65 million in the quarter, outpacing the Canadian mutual fund industry. Mutual fund AUM was $31 billion, up 15% year-over-year.
Solid Financial Metrics
Adjusted diluted EPS was $0.39. The Board declared a $0.125 per share dividend for Q2 of 2025.
Growth in ETF and SMA AUM
The AUM in ETF and SMA categories has grown 41% on a compounded basis over the last 2 years, with notable performance from the U.S. listed market-neutral anti-beta ETF.
Negative Updates
Market Volatility Impact
Due to market volatility, average AUM was down 3% compared to Q1. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $40 million, $8 million lower than Q1, mainly due to an outsized long-term investment gain in Q1.
Decrease in AGF Capital Partners Revenue
Adjusted revenue from AGF Capital Partners was $15 million, representing a $9 million decrease from the previous quarter due to outsized revenues from long-term investments in Q1.
Decline in Free Cash Flows
Free cash flows for the quarter were $24 million, down $8 million from Q1, primarily due to higher distribution income in the last quarter.
Company Guidance
In the Q2 2025 earnings call for AGF Management Limited, several key financial metrics and strategic updates were highlighted. The company reported assets under management (AUM) and fee-earning assets totaling $53.5 billion, marking a 12% increase from the previous year, although average AUM was down 3% compared to Q1 due to market volatility. The retail mutual fund business achieved net sales of $65 million, equating to 20 basis points of mutual fund AUM, outperforming the Canadian mutual fund industry. AGF's adjusted diluted EPS stood at $0.39, with adjusted EBITDA at $40 million, reflecting an $8 million decrease from Q1 primarily due to an outsized long-term investment gain in the previous quarter. The firm maintained a robust balance sheet, with $426 million in short- and long-term investments, net debt of $50 million, and $166 million available on its credit facility. AGF also declared a $0.125 per share dividend for Q2 2025. The company was recognized as the Mutual Fund Provider of the Year at the 2025 Wealth Professional Awards, underscoring its innovative product lineup and client value delivery. Additionally, AGF's investment performance showed mixed results, with 1-year performance in the 46th percentile, 3-year in the 51st, and 5-year in the 41st percentile. The call concluded with a reaffirmation of AGF's strategic focus on growth, disciplined expense management, and capital allocation flexibility amidst a volatile market environment.

AGF Management B NV Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AGF Management B NV shows strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The company has a robust income statement, stable balance sheet with low leverage, and solid cash flow management. There is potential to enhance asset utilization and leverage for more aggressive growth.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
AGF Management B NV has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, particularly with a notable increase of 5.56% from the previous annual report to the TTM period. The company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 59.2% and a robust net profit margin of 18.26% in the TTM period. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also reflect operational efficiency, standing at 20.59% and 26.43%, respectively. These metrics indicate a well-managed income statement with consistent profitability and growth trajectories.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 67.91%. Debt-to-equity is manageable at 0.15, indicating low leverage risk. Return on equity is strong at 8.54% in the TTM period, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. Overall, the balance sheet is stable with a good balance of debt and equity, although there is room for improvement in leveraging assets for higher returns.
Cash Flow
79
Positive
AGF Management B NV displays solid cash flow management with a free cash flow growth rate of 1.33% in the latest TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.19, indicating good cash generation relative to reported profits. Free cash flow to net income ratio stands at 1.16, suggesting efficient conversion of net income to free cash flow. The company's cash flow performance underscores its ability to support operations and growth initiatives.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue536.63M508.38M471.82M445.44M446.96M380.65M
Gross Profit317.69M261.25M471.55M138.76M106.61M104.96M
EBITDA141.84M141.68M129.01M83.21M49.12M49.26M
Net Income97.97M97.57M87.70M66.65M39.30M173.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.69B1.63B1.42B1.37B1.36B1.35B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.19M73.13M72.64M79.30M109.56M112.18M
Total Debt171.27M95.83M89.89M102.86M84.63M85.66M
Total Liabilities512.71M473.62M331.38M338.44M328.24M331.36M
Stockholders Equity1.15B1.13B1.09B1.03B1.03B1.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow113.88M112.38M83.80M48.26M34.53M89.15M
Operating Cash Flow116.41M114.58M87.24M64.60M47.80M92.46M
Investing Cash Flow-108.59M-78.66M-37.47M-40.33M-24.60M240.43M
Financing Cash Flow5.93M-33.42M-57.93M-52.13M-30.73M-290.54M

AGF Management B NV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.80
Price Trends
50DMA
11.24
Positive
100DMA
10.77
Positive
200DMA
10.46
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Negative
RSI
63.55
Neutral
STOCH
84.09
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AGF.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.20, above the 50-day MA of 11.24, and above the 200-day MA of 10.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.09 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AGF.B.

AGF Management B NV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
C$871.91M8.468.68%3.90%20.65%-2.36%
TSFSZ
72
Outperform
C$654.76M16.6513.09%9.25%3.59%-43.99%
69
Neutral
C$1.03B13.865.62%3.74%35.78%-24.67%
TSSEC
69
Neutral
C$789.82M2.95-7.43%-8.45%211.31%
TSGCG
68
Neutral
C$1.02B14.185.62%3.74%35.78%-24.67%
67
Neutral
$16.47B11.309.71%3.94%11.97%-10.51%
TSAIM
58
Neutral
C$263.60M0.37%67.83%68.03%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AGF.B
AGF Management B NV
12.80
4.93
62.64%
TSE:AIM
Aimia Inc.
2.82
0.09
3.30%
TSE:FSZ
Fiera Capital A
6.53
-0.29
-4.25%
TSE:GCG
Guardian Capital
41.73
-0.41
-0.97%
TSE:GCG.A
Guardian Cap Cl A NV
41.50
-0.93
-2.19%
TSE:SEC
Senvest Capital
333.71
15.21
4.78%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025