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Aimia Inc. (TSE:AIM)
TSX:AIM
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Aimia Inc. (AIM) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AIM

Aimia Inc.

(TSX:AIM)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.00
▲(2.04% Upside)
Aimia Inc.'s overall stock score reflects its financial resilience and strategic advancements, particularly highlighted in the earnings call. However, profitability and liquidity challenges, along with a negative P/E ratio, weigh down the score. The technical analysis suggests a neutral trend, contributing moderately to the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Profit Growth
The consistent increase in revenue and gross profit indicates a strengthening market position and effective business strategies, supporting long-term growth.
SG&A Cost Reduction
Significant reduction in SG&A expenses enhances profitability, indicating efficient cost management that can sustain margins over time.
Share Buyback Program
The continuation of the share buyback program reflects confidence in the company's financial health and can enhance shareholder value over the long term.
Negative Factors
Bozzetto Revenue Decline
The decline in Bozzetto's revenue suggests challenges in maintaining market share, which could impact overall revenue stability if not addressed.
Cash Position Decline
A declining cash position may limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage unexpected expenses, affecting liquidity.
Profitability Challenges
Persistent profitability issues indicate underlying operational inefficiencies, which could hinder long-term financial performance if not resolved.

Aimia Inc. (AIM) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Aimia Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAimia Inc. focuses on long-term investments in public and private companies. It operates through two segments, Holdings and Investment Management. The company, through its subsidiary, Mittleman Investment Management, LLC, provides discretionary portfolio management services to institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. The company, through its long-term investments, owns and operates Club Premier, a coalition loyalty program, as well as invests in B2B technology company, and outdoor advertising firm. It also operates a B2B cross-border automotive trading platform, as well as an investment advisory business. The company was formerly known as Groupe Aeroplan Inc. and changed its name to Aimia Inc. in October 2011. Aimia Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAimia generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by offering loyalty program management services and analytics solutions to businesses. The company earns fees from clients for developing and managing loyalty programs, which may include technology platforms, customer engagement strategies, and data analytics services. Additionally, Aimia monetizes its data insights by providing businesses with detailed analytics that help them understand customer behavior and optimize their marketing efforts. Significant partnerships with various brands and organizations enhance Aimia's offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Aimia Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view with significant revenue and profit growth, cost reductions, and strategic advancements like the share buyback and tax settlement. However, challenges remain, such as the decline in Bozzetto's revenue on a constant currency basis and the decrease in cash position. Overall, the company seems to be making solid progress with a cautiously optimistic outlook despite some economic uncertainties.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Profit Growth
Consolidated revenue grew by 5% to $128.7 million, and gross profit was up 11% to $34.9 million. Adjusted EBITDA rose by 60.2% to $19.7 million from $12.3 million.
SG&A Cost Reduction
SG&A expenses declined by 33% to $25.9 million, contributing to improved profitability.
Share Buyback Program
The company achieved important milestones regarding its share buyback program, which was renewed and will run through to June 2026, with $8.2 million spent in Q2.
Settlement with CRA
Settlement with the Canada Revenue Agency will lead to a total refund of $33 million.
Cortland Performance
Cortland's revenue grew by 8% to $37.8 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 36% to $4.9 million.
Negative Updates
Bozzetto Revenue Decline on Constant Currency
Bozzetto's revenue was down 2% on a constant currency basis due to lower volumes in the textile solutions sector, influenced by U.S. tariffs on Asian imports.
Cash Position Decline
The company's cash position decreased from $94.7 million at the end of Q1 to $70.5 million at the end of Q2, impacted by various expenses including share buybacks and debt payments.
Company Guidance
During the Aimia Inc. Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided optimistic guidance based on several key financial metrics. The company reported a consolidated revenue increase of 5% to $128.7 million, with gross profit rising by 11% to $34.9 million. SG&A expenses saw a significant decline of 33% to $25.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased to $19.7 million from $12.3 million the previous year. Focused cost reductions led to a revised Holdco cost guidance down to $9 million for the year. Aimia's core holdings, Bozzetto and Cortland, demonstrated resilience despite economic uncertainties, with Bozzetto's adjusted EBITDA margin improving to 18.6% and Cortland's revenue growing by 8% year-over-year. The company reiterated its guidance for adjusted EBITDA in 2025 to be between $88 million and $95 million for its core holdings, while expecting a $33 million tax refund following a settlement with CRA. The company is committed to executing its 3-step strategy, which includes reducing Holdco costs, renewing its share buyback program, and exploring new investment opportunities.

Aimia Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aimia Inc. shows financial resilience with a strong equity position and no debt, but faces profitability and liquidity challenges. Revenue growth is volatile, and the company needs to address negative profit margins and improve cash flows for a better financial outlook.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Aimia Inc. shows inconsistent revenue growth with a recent increase from $207.7M to $495.5M, indicating volatility. The gross profit margin remains positive, but EBIT and net profit margins are negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges and losses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively strong with no total debt, resulting in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio. However, stockholders' equity has declined. The equity ratio is robust, suggesting reliance on equity financing rather than debt.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow from operations has improved, but free cash flow remains negative. The cash flow situation suggests Aimia Inc. is still facing liquidity challenges, although there is some recovery in operating cash flows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue507.30M500.80M207.70M479.40M13.40M14.30M
Gross Profit216.80M132.00M-17.60M467.40M-3.80M3.00M
EBITDA-4.20M30.00M-126.40M462.00M-11.40M0.00
Net Income-53.50M-56.40M-188.00M440.10M-16.40M-4.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets878.60M900.40M963.60M804.00M431.00M444.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments50.50M95.50M137.30M505.30M34.80M146.10M
Total Debt305.20M168.80M177.90M0.000.000.00
Total Liabilities512.20M371.80M380.50M27.10M27.00M3.50M
Stockholders Equity338.40M499.70M568.60M776.90M404.00M431.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.90M-11.20M-23.50M-17.70M21.40M-32.00M
Operating Cash Flow43.10M2.10M-12.00M-17.70M21.40M-32.00M
Investing Cash Flow-5.80M38.10M-460.10M526.00M-118.90M108.80M
Financing Cash Flow-80.80M-57.80M85.10M-49.10M-12.60M-28.20M

Aimia Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.94
Price Trends
50DMA
3.15
Negative
100DMA
3.05
Negative
200DMA
2.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
26.96
Positive
STOCH
13.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AIM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.07, below the 50-day MA of 3.15, and above the 200-day MA of 2.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.96 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:AIM.

Aimia Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
C$903.64M8.049.85%3.50%11.23%30.44%
C$1.02B8.509.77%0.14%132.11%5511.22%
C$899.11M5.289.91%14.62%
C$1.64B10.6011.80%2.72%96.56%158.06%
C$645.07M17.1213.48%10.24%-1.64%-40.68%
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
C$264.15M0.07%12.18%93.30%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AIM
Aimia Inc.
2.94
0.40
15.75%
TSE:AGF.B
AGF Management B NV
14.02
4.08
41.05%
TSE:CVG
Clairvest
70.82
2.62
3.84%
TSE:FSZ
Fiera Capital A
6.33
-2.60
-29.12%
TSE:GCG
Guardian Capital
66.95
28.73
75.17%
TSE:SEC
Senvest Capital
370.00
37.00
11.11%

Aimia Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Aimia Inc. Updates on September Share Buybacks
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

Aimia Inc. announced that it repurchased and canceled 185,700 of its common shares in September 2025 under its normal course issuer bid program, representing 0.2% of its outstanding shares. This initiative is part of Aimia’s strategy to enhance shareholder value and address the discount of its share price relative to its intrinsic value. The company has repurchased 1,508,300 shares, or 25.5% of the allowable shares, under the current NCIB program. Aimia believes that share repurchases are a desirable use of funds, aligning with its strategic direction and capital allocation priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AIM) stock is a Hold with a C$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aimia Inc. stock, see the TSE:AIM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Aimia Inc. Updates on August Share Buybacks
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

Aimia Inc. announced the repurchase and cancellation of 107,600 common shares in August 2025 as part of its normal course issuer bid program, representing 0.1% of its outstanding shares. The initiative is part of Aimia’s strategy to enhance shareholder value by reducing the discount of its share price relative to its net asset value. Since the start of the share buyback initiative in June 2024, Aimia has repurchased over 7.4 million shares, and the current program allows for the purchase of up to 5.9 million shares through June 2026. This move reflects Aimia’s belief that its share price may not always reflect its intrinsic value and represents a strategic use of funds while maintaining financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AIM) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aimia Inc. stock, see the TSE:AIM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Aimia Inc. Receives $29.3 Million Tax Refund to Bolster Strategic Initiatives
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

Aimia Inc. announced it has received a $29.3 million tax refund from the Canada Revenue Agency, following a settlement related to a 2013 income tax audit of its former subsidiary, Aeroplan Inc. The company plans to use the refund to support its 2025-2026 normal course issuer bid and for general investment purposes, while also anticipating an additional $6 million refund from Revenu Québec. This financial boost is expected to aid Aimia in its strategic initiatives and enhance shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AIM) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aimia Inc. stock, see the TSE:AIM Stock Forecast page.

Aimia Inc. Earnings Call: Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Aimia Inc.’s recent earnings call struck a balanced tone, highlighting significant achievements in revenue and profit growth, strategic initiatives, and cost reductions, while also acknowledging some ongoing challenges. The company reported substantial progress, particularly with its share buyback program and tax settlement, but faced hurdles such as a decline in Bozzetto’s revenue on a constant currency basis and a reduced cash position. Overall, Aimia Inc. appears to be on a solid path forward with a cautiously optimistic outlook despite some economic uncertainties.

Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Aimia Inc. Declares Quarterly Preferred Share Dividends
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

Aimia Inc. has declared quarterly dividends on its preferred shares, with specific amounts set for Series 1, Series 3, and Series 4 shares. These dividends, payable on September 30, 2025, are classified as ‘eligible dividends’ for Canadian tax purposes. This announcement reflects Aimia’s ongoing commitment to providing shareholder value and maintaining its financial strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AIM) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aimia Inc. stock, see the TSE:AIM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Aimia Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Strategic Progress
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

Aimia Inc. reported a 5.1% increase in revenue for Q2 2025, driven by foreign currency fluctuations and strong demand for its products. The company achieved a 60% rise in Adjusted EBITDA and reduced HoldCo costs, despite economic uncertainties and U.S. tariffs affecting some markets. Aimia plans to enhance financial transparency by focusing on balance sheet improvements and has renewed its share buyback program. The company also settled a tax dispute with the Canada Revenue Agency, anticipating a significant refund.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AIM) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aimia Inc. stock, see the TSE:AIM Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Aimia Inc. to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results on August 14
Neutral
Aug 6, 2025

Aimia Inc. is set to announce its second quarter 2025 financial results on August 14, 2025. The results will be released at 7:00 am ET, followed by a live webcast and teleconference call at 8:30 am ET. This announcement is significant as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AIM) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aimia Inc. stock, see the TSE:AIM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Aimia Inc. Enhances Shareholder Value with Share Buyback Initiative
Positive
Aug 1, 2025

Aimia Inc. announced the repurchase and cancellation of 667,000 common shares in July 2025 as part of its normal course issuer bid program, representing 0.7% of its outstanding shares. This initiative is part of Aimia’s strategy to enhance shareholder value and reduce the share price discount relative to its intrinsic value. The company plans to continue its share buyback program, which aligns with its strategic direction and capital allocation priorities, while maintaining financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:AIM) stock is a Buy with a C$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aimia Inc. stock, see the TSE:AIM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 12, 2025