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Urbana Corp (TSE:URB.A)
TSX:URB.A

Urbana (URB.A) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:URB.A

Urbana

(TSX:URB.A)

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Outperform 82 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:82Outperform
Price Target:
C$10.50
▲(11.70% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance (exceptional profitability and low leverage) and an attractive valuation (very low P/E). Technicals are supportive due to a strong uptrend, but near-overbought signals temper the overall rating.

Urbana (URB.A) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Urbana Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUrbana Corporation is an investment fund launched and managed by Caldwell Investment Management Ltd. For its equity investment the fund primarily invests in public equity markets of United States and Canada. The fund primarily focuses on U.S. financial companies and Canadian resource companies for equity investments. The fund also focuses on private equity investments. It was formerly known as Macho River Gold Mines Limited. Urbana Corporation is domiciled in Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyUrbana makes money primarily through the appreciation of its investment portfolio and the income generated from its equity holdings. The company invests in a combination of public and private equity securities, which include financial exchanges, asset management firms, and other investment vehicles. Urbana's revenue model relies on capital gains from the sale of these investments and dividends received from its equity holdings. The company's performance is influenced by market conditions, the performance of its portfolio companies, and strategic investment decisions. Urbana may also engage in partnerships or joint ventures to enhance its investment capabilities and revenue potential.

Urbana Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Very strong current profitability and a conservative balance sheet (low leverage, healthy ROE) support a high score. Offsetting this are uneven historical revenue trends and a choppy cash flow profile, including a recent decline in free cash flow versus the prior period.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is up strongly (+19.4%), and profitability is exceptionally high, with net margins around ~85% and EBIT margins in the mid‑90% range. That said, revenue has been volatile across years (including declines in 2020 and 2022 and modest growth in 2024), which reduces confidence in consistency despite the very strong current-period earnings profile.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned: leverage is very low (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.04) and equity represents the majority of the capital base, supporting financial flexibility. Return on equity is also healthy (roughly ~19–22% in recent periods). The main watch item is that debt moved up from zero in 2024 to a modest level in TTM, though it remains small relative to equity.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is positive in TTM, but operating/free cash flow declined versus the prior annual period (TTM free cash flow down ~8.9%). Cash flow has also shown notable swings historically, including a negative year in 2023, which tempers the quality/stability of cash conversion despite strong reported profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue112.47M119.81M81.91M24.72M70.42M16.56M
Gross Profit111.49M116.81M79.21M23.44M69.70M16.00M
EBITDA107.33M114.26M77.38M21.48M67.99M14.34M
Net Income95.60M101.79M69.52M18.92M59.99M13.08M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets586.67M516.76M450.65M367.13M348.10M288.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments372.64K18.64M341.42K268.58K387.09K732.46K
Total Debt18.30M0.0042.70M32.00M23.70M22.80M
Total Liabilities69.29M45.37M76.07M57.52M46.96M39.17M
Stockholders Equity517.38M471.39M374.57M309.60M301.14M249.17M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.27M65.97M-6.07M2.04M6.78M16.40M
Operating Cash Flow28.27M65.97M-6.07M2.04M6.78M16.40M
Investing Cash Flow-12.40M0.000.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow-28.28M-47.67M6.15M-2.15M-7.12M-16.54M

Urbana Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.40
Price Trends
50DMA
8.79
Positive
100DMA
8.14
Positive
200DMA
7.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Positive
RSI
55.94
Neutral
STOCH
63.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:URB.A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.4 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.36, above the 50-day MA of 8.79, and above the 200-day MA of 7.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:URB.A.

Urbana Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
C$389.97M4.0320.07%1.47%-73.34%40.59%
81
Outperform
C$389.97M4.2420.24%1.43%-73.34%40.59%
71
Outperform
C$258.77M5.4926.60%550.81%
70
Neutral
C$276.75M12.8950.74%6.44%-2.76%-12.20%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
C$704.94M4.1436.24%2.20%-1.35%496.34%
51
Neutral
C$271.19M-147.550.84%8.11%97.99%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:URB.A
Urbana
9.36
3.22
52.49%
TSE:AIM
Aimia Inc.
3.00
0.58
23.97%
TSE:QRC
Queen's Road Capital Investment
13.30
6.52
96.17%
TSE:OLY
Olympia Financial
115.59
13.68
13.43%
TSE:URB
Urbana Corporation
9.79
3.66
59.65%
TSE:STCK
Stack Capital Group
19.51
7.96
68.92%

Urbana Corporate Events

Dividends
Urbana Delivers Seventh Straight Dividend Increase With 7.7% Hike for 2026
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

Urbana Corporation’s board has declared a 2026 dividend of $0.14 per share on its common and non-voting Class A shares, marking the seventh consecutive annual increase and a 7.7% rise over the 2025 payout. The dividend, designated as an eligible dividend for Canadian income tax purposes, underscores Urbana’s ongoing commitment to returning capital to shareholders and may enhance its appeal to income-focused investors in the Canadian market.

The most recent analyst rating on ($TSE:URB.A) stock is a Buy with a C$10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Urbana stock, see the TSE:URB.A Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025