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Clairvest Group Inc (TSE:CVG)
TSX:CVG
Canadian Market

Clairvest (CVG) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:CVG

Clairvest

(TSX:CVG)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$78.00
▲(6.85% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/18/26
The score is primarily supported by strong financial safety (debt-free balance sheet) and attractive valuation (reasonable P/E and very high dividend yield). Offsetting these positives are volatile, timing-sensitive earnings and cash flows, and a neutral technical setup with the price sitting slightly below key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Debt-free balance sheet
A zero-debt, equity-heavy balance sheet materially reduces financial risk and preserves optionality. Over the next 2-6 months this provides durable capacity to support portfolio companies, fund follow-on investments, absorb realizations timing mismatches, and pursue opportunistic deals without refinancing pressure.
Fee and carried-interest revenue mix
A business model combining management fees and performance-based carried interest creates a baseline of recurring fee income plus upside from exits. This dual stream helps smooth revenue across cycles, aligns Clairvest with LP outcomes, and supports long-term cash generation even when realizations are lumpy.
Demonstrated ability to produce strong profitable years
History of very strong profitability in peak years indicates the firm can source value-add investments and execute exits that deliver outsized returns. This operational capability is structural: it supports long-term capital growth and the potential for meaningful carried interest and reinvestment proceeds when market timing aligns.
Negative Factors
Realization-driven earnings volatility
Reliance on exit timing produces persistent earnings and cash-flow lumpiness, making revenue and distributable cash unpredictable. Over months this limits forecasting, complicates capital allocation and dividend planning, and can constrain fee growth if multiple realized outcomes cluster unfavorably.
Recent revenue and EPS declines
Steep recent declines in revenue and EPS reflect portfolio performance or timing of realizations and reduce available internal capital. Persisting weak growth would pressure fee income, carried-interest generation, and the firm's ability to reinvest, raising medium-term risks to steady cash flow and strategic initiatives.
Concentration in cyclical sectors
High exposure to gaming, entertainment and leisure concentrates risk in demand-sensitive and regulatory-exposed industries. Structural downturns or policy shifts in these sectors can synchronously impair portfolio companies, reducing exit opportunities and fee generation for prolonged periods compared with a more diversified asset manager.

Clairvest (CVG) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Clairvest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionClairvest Group Inc. is a private equity firm specializing in mid-market, growth equity investments, growth capital, buyouts, and consolidating industries and add-on acquisitions. It seeks to invest in small and mid-sized gaming and casino, local market gaming, healthcare, equipment rental, facility services, oilfield services, waste management, business services, consumer services, aerospace, automotive aftermarket, collision repair, food, beverage and co-packing, defense, document management, warranty, contact manufacturing, environmental services, rental services, residential HVAC services, healthcare services, multiunit healthcare, insurance services, IT services, logistics and transportation, mining services, packaging, pest control, specialty aviation, education, software (mature), textile rental, utility services, water, building products, government services, industrial distribution and services, information technology and information services, media and marketing, non-destructive testing, renewable energy, property management, and restaurants. The firm typically invests in companies based in North America including United States and Canada. It seeks to make equity investments between CAD$25 million ($19.53 million) and CAD$100 million ($78.14 million) in its portfolio company with EBITDA between CAD$5 million ($3.81 million) and CAD$50 million ($39.07 million). The firm does not require majority stake and takes controlling or minority investments. It invests its own capital and seeks to take a board seat on its portfolio companies. The firm also makes co-investments. The firm typically exits its investments through market share offering, a strategic sale or sale to a financial buyer. Clairvest Group Inc. was founded in 1987 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyClairvest makes money through a combination of management fees, performance fees, and capital gains. The company raises funds from institutional investors and manages these funds by investing in private mid-market companies. Clairvest earns management fees based on a percentage of the assets under management from these investors. Additionally, Clairvest can earn performance fees, known as carried interest, which are a share of the profits generated from the investments when specific return benchmarks are exceeded. The company also generates revenue through capital gains realized when portfolio companies are sold or undergo public offerings, thereby providing a return on investment to both Clairvest and its investors. Significant partnerships with co-investors and strategic partnerships with portfolio companies further contribute to Clairvest’s earnings.

Clairvest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength is a major positive (debt-free with a large equity base), reducing financial risk. However, earnings and cash flows are realization-driven and uneven, with periods of losses and negative free cash flow offsetting strong peak years, limiting the score.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Results are highly volatile. Annual performance swung from very strong profitability in FY2022 and FY2025 (high net income and strong operating profitability) to a loss in FY2024. TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows sharp revenue growth but materially lower net profitability than the most recent annual peak, indicating earnings are less consistent and more sensitive to investment/realization timing.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Balance sheet is conservatively positioned with zero debt across periods and a large equity base versus total assets, which lowers financial risk and provides flexibility. The main weakness is that returns on equity fluctuate meaningfully year to year (including a negative year), reflecting uneven earnings power rather than balance sheet stress.
Cash Flow
57
Neutral
Cash generation is mixed. Several years show positive operating cash flow and free cash flow with generally good conversion versus net income, but there are also periods of negative operating/free cash flow (notably FY2021 and FY2024). TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow is positive, yet growth is sharply negative and the relationship between operating cash flow and reported earnings is inconsistent, pointing to lumpiness in cash realization.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue152.77M170.77M39.29M119.13M415.95M179.45M
Gross Profit141.26M170.77M29.81M119.13M415.24M175.51M
EBITDA82.32M139.95M-1.87M64.85M376.16M117.99M
Net Income70.42M122.04M-3.35M52.37M330.21M104.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.41B1.43B1.34B1.43B1.35B985.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments199.10M176.98M145.14M217.87M218.42M186.79M
Total Debt0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Total Liabilities151.20M177.84M165.84M211.92M174.06M127.22M
Stockholders Equity1.26B1.25B1.18B1.22B1.18B857.81M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow69.41M78.59M-34.66M13.18M40.55M-1.70M
Operating Cash Flow69.64M79.53M-33.80M13.63M41.02M-1.58M
Investing Cash Flow-19.12M-938.00K-854.00K-452.00K-466.00K-114.00K
Financing Cash Flow-49.61M-46.75M-38.08M-13.73M-8.93M-84.45M

Clairvest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price73.00
Price Trends
50DMA
72.14
Positive
100DMA
71.61
Positive
200DMA
71.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
58.53
Neutral
STOCH
86.98
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CVG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 73 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.88, above the 50-day MA of 72.14, and above the 200-day MA of 71.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.98 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:CVG.

Clairvest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$1.22B7.109.85%3.01%11.23%30.44%
78
Outperform
C$5.51B36.8614.90%1.32%35.51%7.55%
74
Outperform
C$830.67M1.289.11%22.33%-25.06%
71
Outperform
C$1.01B2.390.32%0.14%-44.78%-95.84%
69
Neutral
C$1.66B5.5313.82%2.29%58.88%82.03%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
54
Neutral
C$567.23M17.0511.26%8.78%-0.88%-52.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CVG
Clairvest
73.55
5.35
7.84%
TSE:AGF.B
AGF Management B NV
18.77
9.51
102.74%
TSE:FSZ
Fiera Capital A
5.32
-0.21
-3.83%
TSE:GCG
Guardian Capital
67.60
27.82
69.94%
TSE:SEC
Senvest Capital
342.50
-35.00
-9.27%
TSE:SII
Sprott
213.70
154.44
260.59%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026