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ONEX Corporation (TSE:ONEX)
TSX:ONEX
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ONEX Corporation (ONEX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ONEX

ONEX Corporation

(TSX:ONEX)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
C$140.00
▲(14.75% Upside)
ONEX Corporation's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. The technical analysis supports a positive trend, while the valuation suggests potential undervaluation. Challenges in consistent FRE are a minor concern.

ONEX Corporation (ONEX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

ONEX Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOnex Corporation is a private equity firm specializing in acquisitions and platform acquisitions. The firm makes investments in buyouts, large- middle market, large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap market and distressed companies. It also invests in recapitalization, growth capital, corporate carve-outs of subsidiaries and mission-critical supply divisions from multinational corporations, operational restructurings of undervalued businesses, and builds up. The firm seeks to invest in technology, electronics manufacturing services, industrial, aerospace, healthcare, retail, restaurants, industrials products, customer care services, metal services, building products, entertainment, gaming, cabinetry products, commercial vehicles, commercial and investment banking, financial services, commercial and multi-unit residential real estate. It invests in global businesses headquartered in North America, including United States and Canada, or Europe. The firm seeks to invest between $125 million and $1 billion in companies that have minimum revenues of $300 million. It does not consider size if the company is in an industry in which the firm already has presence. The firm seeks to make direct as well as co-investments through managed private equity, real estate and credit funds. It seeks to acquire a control position in its portfolio companies. Onex Corporation was founded in 1984 and is based in Toronto, Canada with additional offices in New York, New York; Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey; Boston, Massachusetts and London, United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyONEX generates revenue primarily through its investment activities, which include management fees and performance fees from its private equity funds and credit funds. The company earns management fees based on the committed capital of its funds, providing a steady income stream. Performance fees, or carried interest, are contingent on the funds' performance, allowing ONEX to earn additional revenue when investments exceed certain return thresholds. The firm also benefits from capital appreciation of its portfolio companies, which enhances the value of its own investments. Significant partnerships with institutional investors and strategic alliances further contribute to its earnings by expanding its investment capacity and market reach.

ONEX Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Onex Corporation was largely positive, with strong quarterly performance driven by gains in Private Equity and Credit, significant increases in fee-generating AUM, and successful investment returns. However, the break-even FRE indicates some challenges in achieving consistent earnings on fee-related activities.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Q2 Performance
Onex delivered a strong second quarter with a 4% return in investing capital per share, driven by gains in Private Equity and Credit. A 7% return was achieved for the first half of 2025.
Increase in Fee-Generating AUM
Fee-generating assets under management increased by 16% in 2025, with significant contributions from Structured Credit and Private Equity platforms.
Successful Private Equity Transactions
Onex Partners' pending partial sale of WestJet is expected to return all original investment with a 40% premium to Q1 mark. ONCAP sold 80% of its stake in Precision Concepts, achieving more than 3x return on investment.
Credit Performance and Market Position
The Credit team raised $4.5 billion in new fee-generating assets and extended another $3.8 billion. Onex Credit is approaching $30 billion in AUM and is expected to remain a top 10 global CLO issuer in 2025.
Accretive Share Repurchases
Onex repurchased 1.8 million shares in Q2 and 3.2 million shares year-to-date, capturing about CAD 215 million of hard NAV for shareholders.
Negative Updates
Frequent Break-even FRE
Total fee-related earnings (FRE) were a loss of $2 million in the quarter and breakeven for the first six months of 2025, indicating challenges in achieving consistent profitability in FRE.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Onex Corporation reported a 4% return on investing capital per share, contributing to a 7% return for the first half of the year. Fee-generating assets under management (AUM) increased by 16%, driven by growth in both Private Equity and Credit, with structured credit transactions raising or extending over $7 billion. In Private Equity, notable transactions included the pending partial sale of WestJet, expected to close with a 40% premium, and the sale of a majority interest in Precision Concepts, returning over three times ONCAP's initial investment. Onex ended Q2 with $121.23 per share in investing capital and a repurchase of 1.8 million shares, capturing CAD 215 million of hard NAV. The Credit platform neared $30 billion in AUM, and Onex reported $346 million in accrued carry. Additionally, asset management earnings reached $36 million, with significant contributions from structured credit. The company remains optimistic about sustaining its performance, with further M&A realizations expected in the latter half of the year.

ONEX Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ONEX Corporation exhibits strong profitability with impressive margins, but the significant decline in revenue growth is a concern. The balance sheet is stable with controlled leverage, though ROE is low, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns on equity. Cash flow management is robust, contributing positively to financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
ONEX Corporation shows a mixed performance in its income statement metrics. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) stands at 73.19%, indicating strong cost management and profitability. The Net Profit Margin of 60.58% is impressive, reflecting efficient operations. However, the Revenue Growth Rate from the previous annual period is -33.23%, suggesting a significant decline in sales. EBIT and EBITDA Margins are also strong at 63.74% and 65.57%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. Despite strong profitability, the negative revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
ONEX Corporation's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with some risks. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.55, indicating moderate leverage and a manageable debt level. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 5.44%, which is relatively low, suggesting a need for improved profitability on equity investments. The Equity Ratio is 63.54%, signifying a strong equity base and financial stability. While leverage is controlled, the low ROE points to potential inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The cash flow statement for ONEX Corporation highlights strong cash management and operational efficiency. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is 13.22%, suggesting improved cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.43, which is reasonable but indicates room for better cash conversion from profits. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.43, further supporting strong cash flow generation. Overall, the company demonstrates robust cash flow management, contributing positively to its financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue841.00M647.00M1.12B437.00M2.03B1.14B
Gross Profit645.00M431.00M908.00M163.00M1.74B917.00M
EBITDA554.00M331.00M569.00M302.00M1.47B892.00M
Net Income522.00M303.00M529.00M235.00M1.41B730.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.64B13.96B12.90B12.16B12.89B11.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments636.00M929.00M265.00M161.00M790.00M706.00M
Total Debt4.75B5.20B3.94B3.56B3.83B4.12B
Total Liabilities5.07B5.54B4.33B3.91B4.51B4.63B
Stockholders Equity8.57B8.42B8.56B8.25B8.37B7.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow261.00M174.00M60.00M-392.00M361.00M381.00M
Operating Cash Flow261.00M174.00M68.00M-384.00M361.00M382.00M
Investing Cash Flow-49.00M38.00M55.00M234.00M-55.00M-9.00M
Financing Cash Flow248.00M453.00M30.00M-282.00M-465.00M-657.00M

ONEX Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price122.00
Price Trends
50DMA
120.06
Positive
100DMA
115.77
Positive
200DMA
108.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
55.33
Neutral
STOCH
40.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ONEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 122 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 119.34, above the 50-day MA of 120.06, and above the 200-day MA of 108.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ONEX.

ONEX Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
C$8.26B11.746.19%0.33%-8.63%-27.09%
$12.74B12.8812.60%4.17%-3.20%-8.50%
C$1.02B8.509.77%0.14%132.11%5511.22%
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
C$122.47B36.7026.64%3.12%554.20%37.48%
$159.86B154.851.83%0.51%-20.34%-21.46%
$4.94B-301.45%0.68%-2.34%-301.85%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ONEX
ONEX Corporation
122.00
20.76
20.51%
TSE:BN
Brookfield Corporation
64.59
14.95
30.12%
TSE:IGM
IGM Financial
53.95
13.65
33.88%
TSE:CVG
Clairvest
71.00
2.30
3.35%
TSE:BBUC
Brookfield Business Corp. Class A
51.12
17.24
50.88%
TSE:BAM
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. Class A
75.87
1.98
2.68%

ONEX Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Onex Partners Sells Convex to Onex Corporation and AIG for $7 Billion
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Onex Partners has announced the sale of Convex Group Limited to Onex Corporation and American International Group, Inc. for $7 billion. Convex, a specialty property and casualty (re)insurer founded in 2019, has shown impressive growth with a 25% compound annual growth rate in gross premium written over the last three years. The transaction underscores Onex Partners’ successful investment strategy in the insurance sector and its ability to return capital to investors at targeted values. The Convex management team will retain a significant economic interest, ensuring alignment with the new owners. The deal is expected to close in the first half of 2026, subject to customary conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ONEX) stock is a Buy with a C$134.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ONEX Corporation stock, see the TSE:ONEX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Onex and AIG Partner in $7 Billion Acquisition of Convex
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Onex Corporation has announced a significant investment and strategic partnership with AIG to acquire Convex, a leading specialty property and casualty (re)insurer, for $7 billion. Onex will own 63% of Convex, while AIG will hold 35%, with the remaining shares retained by Convex’s management. This acquisition is expected to accelerate Onex’s growth and enhance its position in the insurance sector. Additionally, AIG will acquire a 9.9% equity stake in Onex and commit $2 billion to Onex’s private equity and credit strategies over the next three years, which will bolster Onex’s asset management business and drive long-term growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ONEX) stock is a Buy with a C$134.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ONEX Corporation stock, see the TSE:ONEX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Onex Partners Sells Minority Stake in WestJet to Global Airlines
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Onex Partners and its affiliated funds have completed the sale of a 25% equity stake in WestJet to Delta Air Lines, Korean Air, and Air France-KLM. This strategic partnership aims to enhance WestJet’s market position and create long-term value for its stakeholders. Despite the sale, Onex retains a 75% ownership of WestJet, underscoring its continued commitment to the airline’s growth and strategy. The involvement of prominent global airlines reflects confidence in WestJet’s performance and future prospects.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ONEX) stock is a Hold with a C$141.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ONEX Corporation stock, see the TSE:ONEX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Onex Corporation Appoints Megan McClellan as New CFO
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Onex Corporation has announced the appointment of Megan McClellan as Chief Financial Officer, effective February 2026, following the release of the company’s 2025 annual results. McClellan, who brings over 23 years of experience in asset management and capital markets, will succeed Chris Govan, who is stepping down after 27 years but will remain with the company to ensure a smooth transition. McClellan’s expertise in finance and business strategy is expected to contribute to Onex’s continued success, as she joins the company at a pivotal moment in its growth trajectory. This leadership change is anticipated to have a significant impact on Onex’s operations and strategic direction, potentially enhancing its industry positioning and delivering strong outcomes for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ONEX) stock is a Hold with a C$141.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ONEX Corporation stock, see the TSE:ONEX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Onex Corporation Mourns the Loss of Nigel S. Wright
Negative
Sep 30, 2025

Onex Corporation announced the passing of Nigel S. Wright, Co-Head of Onex Partners and a key figure in the company’s growth, particularly in establishing its European presence. Wright, who joined Onex in 1997, was highly regarded for his professionalism and dedication to the company’s values and people. His contributions extended beyond business, as he was deeply involved in public service and charitable work, leaving a lasting impact on many. His passing is seen as a significant loss to Onex and the broader community, with his legacy expected to continue through the numerous enterprises and individuals he influenced.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ONEX) stock is a Buy with a C$132.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ONEX Corporation stock, see the TSE:ONEX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
OneDigital Secures Major Investment to Propel Growth
Positive
Sep 19, 2025

OneDigital announced a majority investment from Stone Point Capital and CPP Investments, valuing the company at over $7 billion. This investment will support OneDigital’s growth through organic expansion and strategic acquisitions. The transaction highlights confidence in OneDigital’s leadership and innovative operating model, with Onex Partners remaining a significant minority owner. The investment is expected to enhance OneDigital’s capabilities and strengthen its market position, benefiting clients and stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ONEX) stock is a Buy with a C$132.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ONEX Corporation stock, see the TSE:ONEX Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Onex Partners to Acquire Integrated Specialty Coverages
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

Onex Corporation, through its Onex Partners Opportunities Fund, has agreed to acquire Integrated Specialty Coverages (ISC), a tech-enabled insurance platform, from KKR. ISC, based in Carlsbad, California, specializes in underwriting and distributing insurance solutions using proprietary data analytics and sophisticated technology. This acquisition aligns with Onex’s focus on the insurance sector and enhances its position in the property and casualty insurance value chain. The transaction, supported by several institutional equity partners, is expected to close later this year and aims to bolster ISC’s innovation and growth opportunities in the insurance market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ONEX) stock is a Buy with a C$132.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ONEX Corporation stock, see the TSE:ONEX Stock Forecast page.

ONEX Corporation’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Strategic Moves
Aug 13, 2025

ONEX Corporation’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, highlighting significant growth in fee-generating assets under management (AUM) and strong performance in its Credit segment. The company showcased a robust financial position, despite facing minor challenges related to fee-related earnings. Strategic sales and share repurchases further underscored the company’s strength.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Onex Corporation Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Transactions
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Onex Corporation reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing growth in investing capital per share and net asset value. The company experienced a 4% return on private equity investments and a 4% return on credit strategies. Onex also announced significant transactions, including the sale of a portion of its investment in WestJet and the completion of a sale of a majority stake in Precision Concepts International. These developments highlight Onex’s ability to generate returns and strategically manage its investment portfolio, positioning the company favorably in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ONEX) stock is a Buy with a C$130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ONEX Corporation stock, see the TSE:ONEX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025