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ONEX Corporation (TSE:ONEX)
TSX:ONEX
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ONEX Corporation (ONEX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ONEX

ONEX Corporation

(TSX:ONEX)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
C$128.00
▲(9.80% Upside)
ONEX Corporation's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, particularly in profitability and cash flow management, despite concerns about revenue growth. Technical indicators support a positive trend, and the stock appears undervalued with a low P/E ratio. The earnings call provided positive insights into asset management growth, though challenges in fee-related earnings were noted.

ONEX Corporation (ONEX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

ONEX Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOnex Corporation is a private equity firm specializing in acquisitions and platform acquisitions. The firm makes investments in buyouts, large- middle market, large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap market and distressed companies. It also invests in recapitalization, growth capital, corporate carve-outs of subsidiaries and mission-critical supply divisions from multinational corporations, operational restructurings of undervalued businesses, and builds up. The firm seeks to invest in technology, electronics manufacturing services, industrial, aerospace, healthcare, retail, restaurants, industrials products, customer care services, metal services, building products, entertainment, gaming, cabinetry products, commercial vehicles, commercial and investment banking, financial services, commercial and multi-unit residential real estate. It invests in global businesses headquartered in North America, including United States and Canada, or Europe. The firm seeks to invest between $125 million and $1 billion in companies that have minimum revenues of $300 million. It does not consider size if the company is in an industry in which the firm already has presence. The firm seeks to make direct as well as co-investments through managed private equity, real estate and credit funds. It seeks to acquire a control position in its portfolio companies. Onex Corporation was founded in 1984 and is based in Toronto, Canada with additional offices in New York, New York; Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey; Boston, Massachusetts and London, United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyONEX Corporation makes money primarily through its private equity investments, where it acquires and manages a portfolio of companies, enhancing their value and ultimately profiting from their sale or public offering. Additionally, ONEX generates revenue from its credit platform, which provides bespoke lending solutions and investment opportunities in credit markets. The company's wealth management division also contributes to its earnings by offering investment advisory services and managing assets for institutional and high-net-worth clients. Key partnerships and strategic alliances further enable ONEX to capitalize on market opportunities, thereby bolstering its financial performance.

ONEX Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Onex Corporation was largely positive, with strong quarterly performance driven by gains in Private Equity and Credit, significant increases in fee-generating AUM, and successful investment returns. However, the break-even FRE indicates some challenges in achieving consistent earnings on fee-related activities.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Q2 Performance
Onex delivered a strong second quarter with a 4% return in investing capital per share, driven by gains in Private Equity and Credit. A 7% return was achieved for the first half of 2025.
Increase in Fee-Generating AUM
Fee-generating assets under management increased by 16% in 2025, with significant contributions from Structured Credit and Private Equity platforms.
Successful Private Equity Transactions
Onex Partners' pending partial sale of WestJet is expected to return all original investment with a 40% premium to Q1 mark. ONCAP sold 80% of its stake in Precision Concepts, achieving more than 3x return on investment.
Credit Performance and Market Position
The Credit team raised $4.5 billion in new fee-generating assets and extended another $3.8 billion. Onex Credit is approaching $30 billion in AUM and is expected to remain a top 10 global CLO issuer in 2025.
Accretive Share Repurchases
Onex repurchased 1.8 million shares in Q2 and 3.2 million shares year-to-date, capturing about CAD 215 million of hard NAV for shareholders.
Negative Updates
Frequent Break-even FRE
Total fee-related earnings (FRE) were a loss of $2 million in the quarter and breakeven for the first six months of 2025, indicating challenges in achieving consistent profitability in FRE.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Onex Corporation reported a 4% return on investing capital per share, contributing to a 7% return for the first half of the year. Fee-generating assets under management (AUM) increased by 16%, driven by growth in both Private Equity and Credit, with structured credit transactions raising or extending over $7 billion. In Private Equity, notable transactions included the pending partial sale of WestJet, expected to close with a 40% premium, and the sale of a majority interest in Precision Concepts, returning over three times ONCAP's initial investment. Onex ended Q2 with $121.23 per share in investing capital and a repurchase of 1.8 million shares, capturing CAD 215 million of hard NAV. The Credit platform neared $30 billion in AUM, and Onex reported $346 million in accrued carry. Additionally, asset management earnings reached $36 million, with significant contributions from structured credit. The company remains optimistic about sustaining its performance, with further M&A realizations expected in the latter half of the year.

ONEX Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ONEX Corporation exhibits a generally healthy financial position with strong profitability and efficient cash flow generation. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with controlled leverage, although there is a need for enhanced returns on equity. Despite strong margins, the significant decline in revenue growth is a key concern that could impact future performance.
Income Statement
72
Positive
ONEX Corporation shows a mixed performance in its income statement metrics. The Gross Profit Margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) stands at 73.19%, indicating strong cost management and profitability. The Net Profit Margin of 60.58% is impressive, reflecting efficient operations. However, the Revenue Growth Rate from the previous annual period is -33.23%, suggesting a significant decline in sales. EBIT and EBITDA Margins are also strong at 63.74% and 65.57%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. Despite strong profitability, the negative revenue growth is a concern.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
ONEX Corporation's balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with some risks. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is 0.55, indicating moderate leverage and a manageable debt level. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 5.44%, which is relatively low, suggesting a need for improved profitability on equity investments. The Equity Ratio is 63.54%, signifying a strong equity base and financial stability. While leverage is controlled, the low ROE points to potential inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholder investments.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement for ONEX Corporation highlights strong cash management and operational efficiency. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is 13.22%, suggesting improved cash generation capabilities. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.43, which is reasonable but indicates room for better cash conversion from profits. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.43, further supporting strong cash flow generation. Overall, the company demonstrates robust cash flow management, contributing positively to its financial stability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue647.00M1.12B437.00M2.03B1.14B
Gross Profit431.00M908.00M163.00M1.74B917.00M
EBITDA331.00M569.00M302.00M1.47B892.00M
Net Income303.00M529.00M235.00M1.41B730.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.96B12.90B12.16B12.89B11.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments929.00M265.00M161.00M790.00M706.00M
Total Debt5.20B3.94B3.56B3.83B4.12B
Total Liabilities5.54B4.33B3.91B4.51B4.63B
Stockholders Equity8.42B8.56B8.25B8.37B7.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow174.00M60.00M-392.00M361.00M381.00M
Operating Cash Flow174.00M68.00M-384.00M361.00M382.00M
Investing Cash Flow38.00M55.00M234.00M-55.00M-9.00M
Financing Cash Flow453.00M30.00M-282.00M-465.00M-657.00M

ONEX Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price116.58
Price Trends
50DMA
112.45
Positive
100DMA
105.94
Positive
200DMA
107.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.94
Negative
RSI
60.45
Neutral
STOCH
63.30
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ONEX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 116.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 113.55, above the 50-day MA of 112.45, and above the 200-day MA of 107.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.94 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.30 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ONEX.

ONEX Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
C$7.84B11.256.19%0.34%-8.63%-27.09%
68
Neutral
$17.84B12.0310.32%3.73%9.70%0.76%
$107.98B144.611.83%0.52%
$8.41B12.0312.60%4.57%
77
Outperform
C$994.77M8.349.77%0.14%132.11%5511.22%
$3.37B-301.45%0.72%
70
Neutral
C$133.83B40.2826.64%2.74%554.20%37.48%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ONEX
ONEX Corporation
116.58
24.15
26.13%
BN
Brookfield Corporation
65.46
16.09
32.59%
IGIFF
IGM Financial
34.76
7.38
26.95%
TSE:CVG
Clairvest
69.67
-0.40
-0.57%
BBUC
Brookfield Business Corp. Class A
34.78
12.74
57.80%
TSE:BAM
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. Class A
83.31
29.76
55.57%

ONEX Corporation Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Onex Corporation Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Transactions
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

Onex Corporation reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing growth in investing capital per share and net asset value. The company experienced a 4% return on private equity investments and a 4% return on credit strategies. Onex also announced significant transactions, including the sale of a portion of its investment in WestJet and the completion of a sale of a majority stake in Precision Concepts International. These developments highlight Onex’s ability to generate returns and strategically manage its investment portfolio, positioning the company favorably in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ONEX) stock is a Buy with a C$130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ONEX Corporation stock, see the TSE:ONEX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025