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ONEX Corporation (TSE:ONEX)
TSX:ONEX

ONEX Corporation (ONEX) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ONEX

ONEX Corporation

(TSX:ONEX)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
C$125.00
▲(12.32% Upside)
ONEX Corporation's overall stock score reflects strong strategic initiatives and reasonable valuation, offset by challenges in revenue growth and cash flow. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and strategic acquisitions are significant strengths, while technical indicators suggest caution in the short term.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of Convex enhances Onex's long-term shareholder value by leveraging growth in the insurance sector and expanding its asset base.
Partnership with AIG
The partnership with AIG provides a significant boost to Onex's fee-related earnings, supporting a shift towards a capital-light model and enhancing growth potential.
Successful Exits
The successful exit from Ryan Specialty with a high IRR demonstrates Onex's effective investment strategy and ability to generate substantial returns.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue Growth
The declining revenue growth trend poses a challenge to sustaining long-term financial health and requires strategic adjustments to reverse.
Cash Flow Challenges
Significant decline in free cash flow growth impacts liquidity and operational flexibility, potentially hindering future investment opportunities.
Limited Liquidity Post Acquisition
Post-acquisition liquidity is tight, which may constrain Onex's ability to respond to new opportunities or manage unforeseen expenses effectively.

ONEX Corporation (ONEX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

ONEX Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOnex Corporation is a private equity firm specializing in acquisitions and platform acquisitions. The firm makes investments in buyouts, large- middle market, large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap market and distressed companies. It also invests in recapitalization, growth capital, corporate carve-outs of subsidiaries and mission-critical supply divisions from multinational corporations, operational restructurings of undervalued businesses, and builds up. The firm seeks to invest in technology, electronics manufacturing services, industrial, aerospace, healthcare, retail, restaurants, industrials products, customer care services, metal services, building products, entertainment, gaming, cabinetry products, commercial vehicles, commercial and investment banking, financial services, commercial and multi-unit residential real estate. It invests in global businesses headquartered in North America, including United States and Canada, or Europe. The firm seeks to invest between $125 million and $1 billion in companies that have minimum revenues of $300 million. It does not consider size if the company is in an industry in which the firm already has presence. The firm seeks to make direct as well as co-investments through managed private equity, real estate and credit funds. It seeks to acquire a control position in its portfolio companies. Onex Corporation was founded in 1984 and is based in Toronto, Canada with additional offices in New York, New York; Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey; Boston, Massachusetts and London, United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyONEX generates revenue primarily through its investment activities, which include management fees and performance fees from its private equity funds and credit funds. The company earns management fees based on the committed capital of its funds, providing a steady income stream. Performance fees, or carried interest, are contingent on the funds' performance, allowing ONEX to earn additional revenue when investments exceed certain return thresholds. The firm also benefits from capital appreciation of its portfolio companies, which enhances the value of its own investments. Significant partnerships with institutional investors and strategic alliances further contribute to its earnings by expanding its investment capacity and market reach.

ONEX Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong strategic shift with the acquisition of Convex and partnership with AIG, positioning Onex for long-term growth. The credit segment's outperformance and successful private equity realizations are significant positives, although there are challenges with losses in Onex Partners IV and tighter post-acquisition liquidity.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition of Convex
Onex has acquired a 63% stake in Convex, a leading insurance organization, reflecting a strategic move to enhance long-term shareholder value. The business has grown gross written premium by 22% annually since 2022, with profitability improving steadily.
Strategic Partnership with AIG
AIG's $2 billion commitment to Onex's private equity and credit funds is expected to contribute an incremental $15 million to $20 million of fee-related earnings, indicating strong endorsement and potential for future collaborations.
Credit Segment Outperformance
The credit segment exceeded expectations, pricing 22 CLO transactions and raising or extending $10.7 billion of fee-generating assets, with a strong FRE trajectory.
Successful Private Equity Realizations
Onex Partners announced a sale of 55% of its investment in OneDigital and a 40% premium sale of its 25% stake in WestJet, contributing to a strong DPI of 0.7x for Onex Partners V.
Negative Updates
Losses in Onex Partners IV
Despite positive returns in some private equity funds, losses were recorded in Onex Partners IV, offsetting gains from other funds.
Limited Liquidity Post Acquisition
Post-acquisition of Convex, Onex expects to have $500 million in liquidity, which is considered sufficient but tight in the near term.
Company Guidance
During the Onex Q3 2025 conference call, CEO Bobby Le Blanc highlighted the strategic acquisition of Convex and a new partnership with AIG as pivotal moves to enhance long-term shareholder value. Convex, a leader in the insurance industry, has demonstrated impressive growth, with a 22% annual increase in gross written premium since 2022 and combined ratios in the high 80s to low 90s. The acquisition, valued at 1.9x Q3 tangible book value, positions Onex to leverage its deep domain expertise in insurance, with Convex accounting for 42% of the balance sheet post-acquisition. Onex anticipates significant upside as Convex compounds its equity value and contributes to Onex's net asset value expansion. Additionally, AIG's $2 billion commitment to Onex's private equity and credit funds is expected to generate an incremental $15 million to $20 million in fee-related earnings, supporting Onex's shift towards a more capital-light model. CFO Chris Govan emphasized Onex's solid financial position, with a 7% return on investing capital per share for the first nine months of 2025 and firm-wide fee-related earnings poised to exit 2025 on a positive note.

ONEX Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ONEX Corporation exhibits strong financial health with robust profitability and revenue growth in the TTM period. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and cash flow generation is strong, though past fluctuations suggest some volatility. Continued focus on maintaining revenue growth and managing debt levels will be crucial for sustaining financial performance.
Income Statement
68
Positive
ONEX Corporation's income statement shows strong profitability with a high net profit margin of 62.07% and a gross profit margin of 76.69% for TTM. The company has demonstrated a significant revenue growth rate of 10.51% in the TTM period, indicating robust top-line growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also impressive at 63.38% and 65.87%, respectively, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the company experienced a revenue decline in 2024, which could be a concern if it recurs.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet of ONEX Corporation is stable with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55 in the TTM period, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 6.12%, which is decent but shows room for improvement. The equity ratio stands at 62.85%, suggesting a strong equity base relative to total assets. However, the slight increase in debt levels over the years warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
ONEX Corporation's cash flow statement reveals a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 32.49% in the TTM period, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.92, showing that most of the net income is backed by cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.0, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, past fluctuations in cash flow, such as negative free cash flow in 2022, highlight potential volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue772.00M647.00M1.12B437.00M2.03B1.14B
Gross Profit574.00M431.00M865.00M163.00M1.74B917.00M
EBITDA464.00M331.00M569.00M302.00M1.47B789.00M
Net Income434.00M303.00M529.00M235.00M1.41B730.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.42B13.96B12.90B12.16B12.89B11.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments672.00M929.00M265.00M161.00M790.00M852.00M
Total Debt4.45B5.20B3.94B3.56B3.83B4.12B
Total Liabilities4.81B5.54B4.33B3.91B4.51B4.63B
Stockholders Equity8.61B8.42B8.56B8.25B8.37B7.24B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow141.00M174.00M60.00M-392.00M361.00M381.00M
Operating Cash Flow141.00M174.00M68.00M-384.00M361.00M382.00M
Investing Cash Flow-84.00M38.00M55.00M234.00M-55.00M-9.00M
Financing Cash Flow343.00M453.00M30.00M-282.00M-465.00M-657.00M

ONEX Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price111.29
Price Trends
50DMA
113.95
Negative
100DMA
115.98
Negative
200DMA
109.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
46.26
Neutral
STOCH
16.08
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ONEX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 111.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 111.21, below the 50-day MA of 113.95, and above the 200-day MA of 109.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.08 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:ONEX.

ONEX Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$989.27M296.450.32%0.14%-44.78%-95.84%
76
Outperform
C$14.71B14.3012.37%3.63%-1.02%-5.65%
69
Neutral
C$7.70B12.875.15%0.36%2.46%-27.48%
68
Neutral
C$119.80B32.2536.59%3.44%597.75%50.43%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$153.26B120.642.14%0.54%-19.04%17.82%
47
Neutral
C$4.74B-3.150.72%-0.16%-2945.66%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ONEX
ONEX Corporation
111.29
0.41
0.37%
TSE:BN
Brookfield Corporation
61.35
8.42
15.90%
TSE:IGM
IGM Financial
62.04
17.85
40.40%
TSE:CVG
Clairvest
71.01
2.27
3.30%
TSE:BBUC
Brookfield Business Corp. Class A
48.32
15.29
46.29%
TSE:BAM
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. Class A
71.28
-4.37
-5.78%

ONEX Corporation Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Onex Partners Completes Strategic Investment in OneDigital
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

Onex Partners announced the completion of a strategic investment in OneDigital by Stone Point Capital and CPP Investments, valuing OneDigital at over $7 billion. This investment supports OneDigital’s growth through organic expansion and strategic acquisitions, highlighting confidence in its leadership and operating model. Onex Partners remains a significant minority owner, with total proceeds from the transaction amounting to approximately $1.1 billion for Onex Partners V and $235 million for Onex Corporation. The investment underscores OneDigital’s sustained growth across its core verticals, including employee benefits, HR, retirement, wealth management, and more.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Onex Corporation Announces Q3 2025 Financial Results and Strategic Acquisition
Positive
Nov 7, 2025

Onex Corporation reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting ongoing progress in its business operations. The company achieved significant capital returns through its private equity teams and raised over $10 billion in capital via its credit team. Notably, Onex’s acquisition of a majority interest in Convex Group Limited, in partnership with AIG, is expected to enhance its asset management platform’s profitability and efficiency. This strategic move, along with leadership changes, positions Onex for continued growth and value creation for stakeholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Onex Partners Sells Convex to Onex Corporation and AIG for $7 Billion
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Onex Partners has announced the sale of Convex Group Limited to Onex Corporation and American International Group, Inc. for $7 billion. Convex, a specialty property and casualty (re)insurer founded in 2019, has shown impressive growth with a 25% compound annual growth rate in gross premium written over the last three years. The transaction underscores Onex Partners’ successful investment strategy in the insurance sector and its ability to return capital to investors at targeted values. The Convex management team will retain a significant economic interest, ensuring alignment with the new owners. The deal is expected to close in the first half of 2026, subject to customary conditions.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Onex and AIG Partner in $7 Billion Acquisition of Convex
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Onex Corporation has announced a significant investment and strategic partnership with AIG to acquire Convex, a leading specialty property and casualty (re)insurer, for $7 billion. Onex will own 63% of Convex, while AIG will hold 35%, with the remaining shares retained by Convex’s management. This acquisition is expected to accelerate Onex’s growth and enhance its position in the insurance sector. Additionally, AIG will acquire a 9.9% equity stake in Onex and commit $2 billion to Onex’s private equity and credit strategies over the next three years, which will bolster Onex’s asset management business and drive long-term growth.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Onex Partners Sells Minority Stake in WestJet to Global Airlines
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

Onex Partners and its affiliated funds have completed the sale of a 25% equity stake in WestJet to Delta Air Lines, Korean Air, and Air France-KLM. This strategic partnership aims to enhance WestJet’s market position and create long-term value for its stakeholders. Despite the sale, Onex retains a 75% ownership of WestJet, underscoring its continued commitment to the airline’s growth and strategy. The involvement of prominent global airlines reflects confidence in WestJet’s performance and future prospects.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Onex Corporation Appoints Megan McClellan as New CFO
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

Onex Corporation has announced the appointment of Megan McClellan as Chief Financial Officer, effective February 2026, following the release of the company’s 2025 annual results. McClellan, who brings over 23 years of experience in asset management and capital markets, will succeed Chris Govan, who is stepping down after 27 years but will remain with the company to ensure a smooth transition. McClellan’s expertise in finance and business strategy is expected to contribute to Onex’s continued success, as she joins the company at a pivotal moment in its growth trajectory. This leadership change is anticipated to have a significant impact on Onex’s operations and strategic direction, potentially enhancing its industry positioning and delivering strong outcomes for stakeholders.

Executive/Board Changes
Onex Corporation Mourns the Loss of Nigel S. Wright
Negative
Sep 30, 2025

Onex Corporation announced the passing of Nigel S. Wright, Co-Head of Onex Partners and a key figure in the company’s growth, particularly in establishing its European presence. Wright, who joined Onex in 1997, was highly regarded for his professionalism and dedication to the company’s values and people. His contributions extended beyond business, as he was deeply involved in public service and charitable work, leaving a lasting impact on many. His passing is seen as a significant loss to Onex and the broader community, with his legacy expected to continue through the numerous enterprises and individuals he influenced.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
OneDigital Secures Major Investment to Propel Growth
Positive
Sep 19, 2025

OneDigital announced a majority investment from Stone Point Capital and CPP Investments, valuing the company at over $7 billion. This investment will support OneDigital’s growth through organic expansion and strategic acquisitions. The transaction highlights confidence in OneDigital’s leadership and innovative operating model, with Onex Partners remaining a significant minority owner. The investment is expected to enhance OneDigital’s capabilities and strengthen its market position, benefiting clients and stakeholders.

M&A Transactions
Onex Partners to Acquire Integrated Specialty Coverages
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

Onex Corporation, through its Onex Partners Opportunities Fund, has agreed to acquire Integrated Specialty Coverages (ISC), a tech-enabled insurance platform, from KKR. ISC, based in Carlsbad, California, specializes in underwriting and distributing insurance solutions using proprietary data analytics and sophisticated technology. This acquisition aligns with Onex’s focus on the insurance sector and enhances its position in the property and casualty insurance value chain. The transaction, supported by several institutional equity partners, is expected to close later this year and aims to bolster ISC’s innovation and growth opportunities in the insurance market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025