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ECN Capital Corp. (TSE:ECN)
TSX:ECN

ECN Capital (ECN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ECN

ECN Capital

(TSX:ECN)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.00
▼(-0.99% Downside)
ECN Capital's stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and technical analysis. While there are signs of recovery in revenue and profit margins, high leverage and declining cash flow are concerning. The technical indicators show positive momentum, but the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation, limiting the stock's attractiveness.

ECN Capital (ECN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

ECN Capital Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionECN Capital Corp. is a North American financial services company that provides a range of financial solutions primarily in the areas of equipment financing, commercial financing, and fleet management services. The company focuses on serving the needs of small to medium-sized businesses across various sectors, offering tailored lending solutions that facilitate growth and operational efficiency. ECN Capital operates through its subsidiaries, which include the Equipment Finance and Commercial Finance segments, and is committed to delivering innovative financing options to its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyECN Capital generates revenue primarily through interest income on loans and leases provided to its clients. The company earns money by financing equipment and commercial loans, charging interest on the amounts financed. Additionally, ECN Capital may receive fees from clients for processing and managing these loans. The company's revenue model is bolstered by partnerships with various financial institutions and equipment manufacturers, which enhance its lending capabilities and expand its market reach. By focusing on a diversified portfolio of financing products and maintaining strong relationships with clients and partners, ECN Capital is able to create stable and recurring revenue streams.

ECN Capital Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in terms of record originations and growth in managed assets, alongside successful leadership transitions and strategic implementations. However, these positive aspects were tempered by challenges in revenue margins, industry headwinds affecting the RV & Marine segment, and flat commercial growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Originations in Triad
Triad reported its best quarter ever with $436 million in originations, representing a 40% year-over-year increase.
Growth in Managed Assets
Managed assets grew to over $6 billion, a 15% increase in Q2, marking a significant achievement from the $1.9 billion when Triad was acquired.
Strong Recurring Servicing Revenue
Servicing revenue now represents 20% of the company's total revenue, a source of strong recurring income.
Successful Leadership and Strategy Implementation
Key leadership changes and strategy implementations, including the appointment of Co-CEOs at Triad, have led to improved systems and processes.
Chattel Loan Origination Growth
Chattel loan originations increased by 71.5% in Q2, with applications, approvals, and fundings trending ahead of plan.
Negative Updates
Below Target Origination Revenue Margin
Origination revenue margin was slightly below target for the quarter due to lower mix of sales to higher-margin partners.
RV & Marine Income Impacted
Industry headwinds and a delayed sale of assets at Source One impacted income in the RV & Marine segment.
Lower Commercial Growth
Commercial balances totaled $446 million, relatively flat compared to the prior year, indicating a need for growth in this segment.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, ECN Capital reported several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company achieved adjusted per-share income of $0.04, aligning with consensus expectations. Triad Financial, a subsidiary, recorded its best-ever quarter with originations reaching $436 million, marking a 40% year-over-year increase. Managed assets grew to over $6 billion, a 15% increase in Q2, with servicing revenue now constituting 28% of total revenue. The application to funding ratio improved by 18%, and chattel loan originations showed a 71.5% increase in Q2. ECN Capital reaffirmed its guidance for Manufactured Housing Finance with an adjusted operating income target between $78 million and $90 million, while narrowing RV & Marine guidance to $14 million to $18 million. The company continues to focus on its upgrade strategy, expecting increased profitability in the latter half of the year.

ECN Capital Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
65
Positive
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

ECN Capital Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.03
Price Trends
50DMA
2.94
Positive
100DMA
2.92
Positive
200DMA
2.84
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
58.30
Neutral
STOCH
9.52
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ECN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.04, above the 50-day MA of 2.94, and above the 200-day MA of 2.84, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.52 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:ECN.

ECN Capital Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
C$952.57M5.6515.52%6.47%11.16%-14.26%
69
Neutral
C$898.79M13.4610.50%7.36%7.74%-31.96%
68
Neutral
C$570.17M15.035.52%10.01%-9.00%-35.22%
63
Neutral
$2.11B9.3818.88%4.37%13.69%-16.06%
56
Neutral
C$856.47M144.765.73%1.32%27.37%
50
Neutral
C$761.71M-4.20-137.87%1.53%36.52%-1243.96%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ECN
ECN Capital
3.04
-0.02
-0.65%
TSE:AD.UN
Alaris Royalty
21.01
3.34
18.90%
TSE:DLCG
Dominion Lending Centres, Inc. (Canada) Class A
9.83
2.11
27.33%
TSE:MKP
MCAN Mortgage
22.29
5.68
34.20%
TSE:TF
Timbercreek Financial
6.89
0.50
7.82%
TSE:GSY
goeasy
131.71
-27.08
-17.06%

ECN Capital Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
ECN Capital to Be Acquired by Warburg Pincus-Led Group in C$1.9 Billion Deal
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

ECN Capital Corp. has entered into a definitive agreement to be acquired by an investor group led by Warburg Pincus in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately C$1.9 billion. This deal offers a premium of 13% over the company’s unaffected closing share price, providing near-term liquidity and a significant return on investment for shareholders. The transaction, unanimously approved by ECN Capital’s Board of Directors and supported by major shareholders, marks a strategic move to continue the company’s growth as a private entity. This acquisition reflects ECN Capital’s ongoing efforts to maximize shareholder value and provides a liquidity event that further enhances shareholder returns.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
ECN Capital Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results and Declares Dividends
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

ECN Capital Corp. reported strong financial results for Q3 2025, with an adjusted net income of $0.06 per share, reflecting a significant increase from previous periods. The company saw growth in originations, particularly in its Manufactured Housing and RV and Marine Finance segments, contributing to a rise in managed assets to $8.2 billion. The board declared dividends for common and preferred shareholders, and the company paid tribute to the late David Morris, a valued board member.

Financial Disclosures
ECN Capital Reschedules Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Neutral
Nov 12, 2025

ECN Capital Corp. announced a rescheduling of its earnings results announcement and conference call for the third quarter of 2025. The financial statements and management discussion for the periods ending September 30, 2025, will now be filed before markets open on November 13, 2025, with an analyst briefing scheduled for the same day. This adjustment may impact stakeholders’ expectations and the company’s communication with its partners and investors.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ECN Capital to Release Q3 2025 Financial Results and Host Analyst Briefing
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

ECN Capital Corp. has announced its intention to release its financial statements and management discussion for the third quarter of 2025 on November 12, 2025. The company will hold an analyst briefing on the same day to discuss these results, which could provide insights into its financial health and strategic direction. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it may impact ECN Capital’s market positioning and offer a clearer picture of its operational performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 18, 2025