GreenFirst Forest Products (GFP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $85.66M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 2.62K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.58
• Revenue Growth: -23.94%
• EPS Growth: 24.31%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 750
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 69
• Industry: Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
• EPS (TTM): 0.04
• Shares Outstanding: 22,602,750
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,608
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,620
• PEG Ratio: 8.16
• Price to Book (P/B): 12.10
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 111.99
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 46 Neutral
• Price Target: C$3.50 ▼(-10.26%Downside)

GreenFirst's overall score is primarily influenced by its financial struggles and weak technical indicators. The earnings call provided some positive insights with improved EBITDA and net income; however, ongoing challenges such as tariff uncertainties and production issues weigh on the stock. The unattractive valuation further lowers confidence in investment potential.

GreenFirst Forest Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

GreenFirst Forest Products (GFP) is a Canadian company operating in the forest products sector, primarily focused on sustainable forestry and wood products manufacturing. The company specializes in producing lumber, paper, and other wood-based products, catering to various industries including construction, packaging, and paper goods. With a commitment to environmentally responsible practices, GreenFirst emphasizes sustainable forest management and innovation in its production processes.

How the Company Makes Money

GreenFirst Forest Products makes money through the sale of its wood-based products, primarily lumber and paper. The company's revenue model is centered around harvesting timber from responsibly managed forests, processing it into various products, and distributing these goods to industrial and commercial customers. Key revenue streams include the construction industry, which demands high volumes of lumber, and the packaging and printing sectors, which utilize paper products. Additionally, GFP engages in partnerships and contracts with distributors and retailers to expand its market reach and enhance its sales channels. The company's focus on sustainability and efficient production processes also helps in optimizing costs and maintaining competitive pricing in the market.

GreenFirst Forest Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary

GreenFirst Forest Products faces financial challenges with declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and cash flow constraints. Despite manageable debt levels, the shrinking asset base and negative return on equity indicate inefficiencies.

Income Statement

GreenFirst Forest Products has seen declining revenue over the past two years, with a significant drop from 2023 to 2024. The company’s gross profit margin improved in 2024 but remains low. Net profit margins have been negative, with losses in the last two years indicating profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also been negative, reflecting operational difficulties.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio has decreased, reflecting a shrinking asset base. Return on equity is negative, pointing to inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a solid equity base compared to its liabilities.

Cash Flow

GreenFirst Forest Products has experienced negative free cash flow in recent years, with a significant decline from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, indicating limited cash generation relative to earnings.

Breakdown
Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement		Total Revenue
284.74M	409.62M	446.26M	190.48M	0.00
	Gross Profit
9.04M	-12.45M	43.08M	28.25M	0.00
	EBIT
-337.00K	-47.59M	16.20M	5.10M	-2.66M
	EBITDA
5.31M	-30.89M	29.80M	264.00K	0.00
	Net Income Common Stockholders
-47.07M	-47.02M	-4.13M	-9.62M	-2.28M
Balance Sheet		Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
27.76M	2.42M	25.35M	36.17M	5.40M
	Total Assets
220.47M	277.94M	371.50M	415.94M	17.31M
	Total Debt
23.02M	25.63M	57.70M	125.19M	3.70M
	Net Debt
-4.74M	23.20M	32.35M	89.02M	-1.58M
	Total Liabilities
74.85M	92.71M	147.04M	186.78M	5.14M
	Stockholders Equity
145.62M	185.24M	224.46M	229.16M	12.18M
Cash Flow		Free Cash Flow
-32.41M	-82.21M	24.26M	-2.16M	-13.12M
	Operating Cash Flow
-23.99M	-58.03M	57.86M	3.94M	-1.60M
	Investing Cash Flow
19.67M	67.36M	15.06M	-251.65M	-10.87M
	Financing Cash Flow
29.65M	-32.26M	-83.75M	278.61M	4.84M

GreenFirst Forest Products Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 3.90
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GFP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.9 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.90, above the 50-day MA of 3.77, and below the 200-day MA of 4.95, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GFP.

GreenFirst Forest Products Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ADN	75 Outperform	C$322.86M	16.27	5.85%	6.50%	12.30%	-36.60%
GDL	63 Neutral	C$104.03M	9.40	5.72%	4.31%	0.62%	-23.94%
WEF	53 Neutral	C$128.28M	―	-1.51%	―	9.47%	85.29%
Sector *	51 Neutral	$2.04B	-1.26	-21.09%	3.98%	2.91%	-30.49%
CFX	49 Neutral	C$45.66M	―	-59.20%	―	-9.60%	-92.59%
CFF	49 Neutral	C$13.05M	―	-24.89%	―	-7.32%	10.08%
GFP	46 Neutral	$85.66M	―	-16.05%	―	-23.94%	24.31%

GreenFirst Forest Products Corporate Events

GreenFirst Forest Products Reports Positive Q1 2025 Results Amid Market Challenges

GreenFirst Forest Products reported a positive financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, with a net income of $0.9 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $5.1 million, marking a significant improvement from the previous quarter’s losses. Despite economic uncertainty and potential tariffs on lumber exports to the U.S., the company benefited from strong lumber prices, which offset lower sales volumes due to market conditions and weather-related disruptions. The company remains focused on disciplined capital expenditures and maintaining a strong balance sheet to handle market volatility.

GreenFirst Forest Products to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results

GreenFirst Forest Products announced it will host a conference call to discuss its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 14, 2025. The results will be released after trading on May 13, 2025, and stakeholders can access the webcast and presentation slides on the company’s website. This announcement highlights GreenFirst’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its investors, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

GreenFirst Forest Products Announces AGM Voting Results

GreenFirst Forest Products announced the results of its Annual General Meeting, where all nominees for the Board of Directors were elected with high approval rates. Shareholders also approved the setting of the number of directors at six and the appointment of the auditor, reflecting strong support for the company’s governance and operational strategies.