GreenFirst Forest Products (GFP) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: C$69.62M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 2.59K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 0.72
• Revenue Growth: -23.94%
• EPS Growth: 24.31%
• Country: CA
• Employees: 750
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
• EPS (TTM): 0.04
• Shares Outstanding: 22,602,750
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,851
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 2,594
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: C$3.51
• Price Target Upside: 13.13% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0

• Rating: 44 Neutral
• Price Target: C$3.00 ▼(-3.23%Downside)

GreenFirst Forest Products' overall score is driven by significant financial challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow issues. Despite some operational improvements and positive corporate events, the technical analysis and valuation metrics suggest caution. The earnings call provided some positive insights, but the overall outlook remains constrained by external market challenges and internal financial difficulties.

GreenFirst Forest Products Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

GreenFirst Forest Products (GFP) is a Canadian-based company operating within the forest products sector. The company is engaged in the production and distribution of lumber and other wood-related products. Its core product offerings cater to various markets, including residential, commercial, and industrial sectors, with a focus on sustainable and environmentally friendly practices.

How the Company Makes Money

GreenFirst Forest Products makes money primarily through the sale of its lumber and wood products. The company's revenue model is based on harvesting timber from its forest lands, processing it into finished goods at its manufacturing facilities, and distributing these products to a diverse customer base, including construction companies, wholesalers, and retailers. Key revenue streams include sales of dimensional lumber, wood chips, and other by-products. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include efficient forest management practices, strategic partnerships with distribution networks, and adherence to sustainable forestry standards, which enhance its market appeal and competitiveness.

GreenFirst Forest Products Financial Statement Overview

Summary

GreenFirst Forest Products faces several financial challenges including declining revenues, negative profitability margins, and cash flow constraints. Despite maintaining a manageable level of debt, the shrinking asset base and equity reflect ongoing financial instability.

Income Statement

GreenFirst Forest Products has seen declining revenue over the past two years, with a significant drop from 2023 to 2024. The company’s gross profit margin improved in 2024 but remains low. Net profit margins have been negative, with losses in the last two years indicating profitability challenges. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also been negative, reflecting operational difficulties.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively low, indicating manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio has decreased, reflecting a shrinking asset base. Return on equity is negative, pointing to inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a solid equity base compared to its liabilities.

Cash Flow

GreenFirst Forest Products has experienced negative free cash flow in recent years, with a significant decline from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also negative, indicating limited cash generation relative to earnings.

Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

GreenFirst Forest Products Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 3.10
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GFP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.29, below the 50-day MA of 3.63, and below the 200-day MA of 4.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.00 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:GFP.

GreenFirst Forest Products Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ADN	75 Outperform	C$328.08M	16.54	5.85%	8.11%	12.30%	-36.60%
GDL	61 Neutral	C$98.12M	11.86	4.19%	4.27%	3.48%	-37.78%
CFF	54 Neutral	C$14.27M	―	-24.89%	―	-7.32%	10.08%
WEF	52 Neutral	C$130.08M	―	-1.51%	―	9.47%	85.30%
CFX	49 Neutral	C$44.36M	―	-59.20%	―	-9.60%	-92.59%
Sector *	44 Neutral	C$969.39M	-6.88	-13.68%	2.10%	17.43%	-32.98%
GFP	44 Neutral	C$69.62M	―	-16.05%	―	-23.94%	24.31%

GreenFirst Forest Products Corporate Events

GreenFirst Forest Products Reports Positive Q1 2025 Results Amid Market Challenges

GreenFirst Forest Products reported a positive financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, with a net income of $0.9 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $5.1 million, marking a significant improvement from the previous quarter’s losses. Despite economic uncertainty and potential tariffs on lumber exports to the U.S., the company benefited from strong lumber prices, which offset lower sales volumes due to market conditions and weather-related disruptions. The company remains focused on disciplined capital expenditures and maintaining a strong balance sheet to handle market volatility.

GreenFirst Forest Products to Announce Q1 2025 Financial Results

GreenFirst Forest Products announced it will host a conference call to discuss its first quarter 2025 financial results on May 14, 2025. The results will be released after trading on May 13, 2025, and stakeholders can access the webcast and presentation slides on the company’s website. This announcement highlights GreenFirst’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its investors, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

GreenFirst Forest Products Announces AGM Voting Results

GreenFirst Forest Products announced the results of its Annual General Meeting, where all nominees for the Board of Directors were elected with high approval rates. Shareholders also approved the setting of the number of directors at six and the appointment of the auditor, reflecting strong support for the company’s governance and operational strategies.