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CareRx (TSE:CRRX)
TSX:CRRX

CareRx (CRRX) AI Stock Analysis

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CareRx

(TSX:CRRX)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
C$3.00
▲(6.01%Upside)
CareRx's overall stock score reflects a blend of strong cash management and positive corporate events offset by poor valuation metrics and challenges in achieving consistent profitability. The company's recent return to profitability and strategic initiatives provide a positive outlook, but financial performance and valuation concerns remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Growth Potential
CareRx serviced slightly more beds than estimated, indicating potential growth.
Operational Improvements
Revenue per bed increased 3.5% year over year, showing operational improvements.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
The company posted a small miss on revenues and EBITDA due to lower than forecast revenue per bed.
Operational Challenges
Revenue per bed in the quarter was lower than in the previous quarter, affected by the number of days in the quarter.

CareRx (CRRX) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

CareRx Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCareRx Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides specialty pharmacy services to seniors in Canada. The company operates a network of pharmacy fulfilment centers that provide chronic medication and other specialty clinical pharmacy services. It serves approximately 50,000 residents in approximately 900 seniors and other communities, including long-term care homes, retirement homes, assisted living facilities, and group homes. The company was formerly known as Centric Health Corporation and changed its name to CareRx Corporation in June 2020. CareRx Corporation was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyCareRx generates revenue primarily through the provision of pharmacy services to long-term care homes and retirement residences. The company earns money by dispensing medications, providing medication management and consulting services, and offering specialized packaging and delivery services to healthcare facilities. Key revenue streams include government funding, contracts with care facilities, and partnerships with healthcare providers. Significant factors contributing to its earnings are its extensive network of pharmacy locations across Canada and its focus on providing tailored healthcare solutions to meet the needs of its clients.

CareRx Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 7.60%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company in a growth phase with consistent EBITDA improvement, debt reduction, and strategic expansion plans. However, challenges remain with a slight decline in revenue and continued net losses. The future outlook appears positive with a strong pipeline and strategic investments.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent EBITDA Growth
The third quarter of 2024 marks the fifth consecutive quarter of EBITDA growth, with adjusted EBITDA growing 6.2% year-over-year to $7.8 million and a margin increase of 60 basis points to 8.4%.
Debt Reduction and Financial Flexibility
Net debt was reduced by $8.5 million to $38.3 million compared to the previous quarter, with a net debt to annualized run rate adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.2x, down from 1.6x.
New Fulfillment Center
CareRx announced the opening of a new high-volume fulfillment center in North Burnaby, British Columbia, enhancing service delivery and employee experience.
Pipeline Growth and Secured Beds
CareRx has secured almost 3,000 beds for the next year, with expectations for growth as the regulatory approvals are processed.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for the third quarter of 2024 declined to $92.8 million from $93.8 million in the third quarter of 2023, primarily due to a net reduction in the average number of beds serviced.
Net Loss
CareRx posted a net loss of $360,000 in the third quarter, although this was an improvement from a net loss of $1.4 million in both the third quarter of 2023 and the second quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the CareRx Q3 2024 earnings call, CEO Puneet Khanna emphasized several key metrics indicating the company's financial health and strategic direction. The company reported revenue of $92.8 million, a slight decrease from $93.8 million in Q3 2023, but an increase from $92 million in Q2 2024. Adjusted EBITDA grew 6.2% year-over-year to $7.8 million, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of EBITDA growth, with an adjusted EBITDA margin increase of 60 basis points to 8.4%. A significant achievement was the reduction of net debt by $25 million over the past year, with current net debt standing at $38.3 million. Additionally, the company secured almost 3,000 new beds for future growth and announced the opening of a high-volume fulfillment center in North Burnaby, British Columbia, expected to drive efficiencies and support the company's target of achieving double-digit EBITDA margins.

CareRx Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CareRx's financial performance is mixed. While the company shows strong cash flow management and a healthy gross profit margin, it struggles with profitability and high leverage. Stagnant revenue growth and negative net income indicate areas needing improvement.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
CareRx's income statement shows moderate financial performance. The company has been struggling with profitability, as seen in the negative net income for TTM and annual periods. However, the gross profit margin is healthy at 29.5% TTM, demonstrating strong cost management relative to revenue. Revenue growth has been stagnant recently, indicating limited top-line expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest, reflecting potential operational efficiencies but also suggesting room for improvement in cost control and revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a relatively high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.95 TTM, suggesting significant reliance on debt financing. Stockholders' equity has shown growth, albeit slowly, from 2021 to TTM. The equity ratio is moderate at 38.6% TTM, implying a balanced approach between debt and equity. However, the company's return on equity remains negative due to persistent net losses, indicating underperformance in generating returns on shareholders' investments.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income losses. The free cash flow is positive and has shown growth, providing a buffer for investment and debt service. Despite investment in capital expenditures, the company maintains a positive free cash flow, which is a positive indicator of financial health. The company seems to manage its cash flows effectively, balancing operating needs with investment and financing activities.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
366.54M366.71M370.75M381.73M262.63M162.20M
Gross Profit
108.23M108.06M84.72M109.93M75.28M47.05M
EBIT
4.77M4.53M4.67M-21.94M-3.31M-2.94M
EBITDA
24.07M23.90M24.65M-610.00K9.01M4.15M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-3.76M-4.50M-5.41M-34.35M-22.73M-18.18M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
19.62M9.08M7.03M28.37M35.63M19.62M
Total Assets
156.11M223.54M231.89M264.54M282.82M156.11M
Total Debt
82.19M82.63M97.86M135.22M125.57M82.19M
Net Debt
62.57M73.55M90.83M106.85M89.95M62.57M
Total Liabilities
144.81M139.31M150.37M200.08M200.53M144.81M
Stockholders Equity
11.30M84.23M81.53M64.46M82.29M11.30M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
24.56M29.88M18.68M8.72M153.00K-1.73M
Operating Cash Flow
30.62M37.99M27.38M22.33M7.27M229.00K
Investing Cash Flow
-8.41M-7.92M-12.31M-16.60M-93.18M-4.17M
Financing Cash Flow
-27.88M-28.02M-36.40M-12.99M101.91M23.50M

CareRx Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.83
Price Trends
50DMA
2.74
Positive
100DMA
2.64
Positive
200DMA
2.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
50.89
Neutral
STOCH
60.73
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:CRRX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.83, above the 50-day MA of 2.74, and above the 200-day MA of 2.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.73 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TSE:CRRX.

CareRx Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
TSEXE
73
Outperform
C$1.20B15.5971.61%3.38%9.38%117.85%
TSSIA
72
Outperform
C$1.71B43.766.93%5.07%8.76%14.05%
65
Neutral
C$1.04B30.45-3.53%17.19%-191.01%
61
Neutral
C$178.13M-4.48%-0.69%8.08%
54
Neutral
$5.37B3.35-45.10%2.79%16.77%-0.01%
$216.51M2.3833.87%2.29%
TSPHA
46
Neutral
C$3.77M-239.50%3.03%-410.90%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:CRRX
CareRx
2.81
0.53
23.25%
TSE:EXE
Extendicare
14.27
7.14
100.14%
TSE:SIA
Sienna Senior Living
18.54
4.89
35.82%
MFCSF
Medical Facilities
11.33
1.70
17.65%
TSE:WELL
WELL Health Technologies Corp
4.11
-0.15
-3.52%
TSE:PHA
Premier Health of America Inc
0.07
-0.33
-82.50%

CareRx Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
CareRx Announces Successful Election of Board Members at Annual Meeting
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

CareRx Corporation, a prominent provider of pharmacy services to seniors in Canada, announced the successful election of its board of directors during the Annual General Meeting of Shareholders. All proposed resolutions were passed, reinforcing the company’s leadership and strategic direction. This outcome supports CareRx’s continued focus on enhancing medication safety and efficiency in senior care facilities, potentially strengthening its market position and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:CRRX) stock is a Buy with a C$3.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CareRx stock, see the TSE:CRRX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CareRx Reports First Quarter 2025 Results, Marks Return to Growth
Positive
May 7, 2025

CareRx Corporation reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting a return to growth with a net income of $0.2 million, a significant improvement from previous losses. The company has strengthened its financial and operational foundation through strategic investments and cost-saving initiatives, enhancing its capacity for scalable growth. The opening of a new pharmacy in North Burnaby and the consolidation of operations in British Columbia are part of its efforts to optimize operations. Additionally, a pause in changes to long-term care pharmacy funding in Ontario provides temporary relief from anticipated fee reductions, potentially impacting future revenue streams.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.