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Atrium Mortgage Invest (TSE:AI)
TSX:AI

Atrium Mortgage Invest (AI) AI Stock Analysis

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Atrium Mortgage Invest

(TSX:AI)

68Neutral
Atrium Mortgage Invest shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and effective cash flow management, though volatility in margins and high debt levels pose risks. The stock's valuation is appealing due to a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield, attracting income-focused investors. However, technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, limiting near-term price appreciation potential.

Atrium Mortgage Invest (AI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Atrium Mortgage Invest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAtrium Mortgage Investment Corporation, a non-bank lender, provides financing solutions to the real estate communities in Ontario, Alberta, and British Columbia. It offers various types of mortgage loans for residential, multi-residential, and commercial real properties, which includes first and second mortgages; infill construction and financing; land and land assembly financing for stacked and traditional townhomes, single detached homes, and low-rise and midrise condominiums; and bridge and term financing. The company was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAtrium Mortgage Investment Corporation makes money by earning interest on the funds it lends through mortgages. The company's primary revenue stream is the interest income generated from its mortgage portfolio. Atrium focuses on higher-yielding, non-conventional mortgages, allowing it to charge premium interest rates compared to traditional financial institutions. In addition to interest income, Atrium may also generate revenue from origination fees, renewal fees, and other related charges associated with mortgage lending. The company's profitability is influenced by factors such as interest rate environments, property market conditions, and its ability to effectively manage credit risk. Atrium maintains relationships with mortgage brokers and real estate professionals to source lending opportunities, contributing to its earnings.

Atrium Mortgage Invest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Atrium Mortgage Invest exhibits a solid financial position with consistent revenue growth and effective cash flow management. While profitability remains strong, volatility in gross profit margins and high debt levels present potential risks. Overall, the company's financial health is sound, with opportunities for further improvement in cost management and leverage.
Income Statement
―
The company has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from $44.4M in 2020 to $62.7M in 2024. However, the gross profit margin recently turned negative in 2023 and improved in 2024, indicating volatility in cost management. The net profit margin remains strong, showcasing decent profitability despite fluctuations in EBIT and EBITDA.
Balance Sheet
68
Atrium Mortgage Invest maintains a healthy equity ratio, with stockholders' equity forming a significant portion of total assets. The debt-to-equity ratio has shown improvement, reflecting better leverage management. However, the relatively high total debt level poses a risk if not managed carefully. Return on equity remains robust, indicating efficient use of equity capital.
Cash Flow
―
The company has demonstrated strong free cash flow generation, with consistent growth over the years. Operating cash flow consistently exceeds net income, highlighting effective cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, reinforcing solid cash management capabilities.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
62.72M64.19M50.13M44.46M44.36M
Gross Profit
62.72M-21.24M40.93M36.84M36.85M
EBIT
-147.67M77.33M66.05M41.79M39.19M
EBITDA
0.000.0066.05M54.32M52.81M
Net Income Common Stockholders
47.85M51.48M46.33M41.79M39.19M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
0.000.000.000.000.00
Total Assets
864.30M877.88M874.78M775.49M755.32M
Total Debt
147.44M169.60M378.96M295.54M284.88M
Net Debt
147.44M169.60M378.96M295.54M284.88M
Total Liabilities
347.32M395.67M399.22M305.32M292.43M
Stockholders Equity
516.98M482.21M475.56M470.17M462.89M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
68.13M77.32M58.07M67.89M56.41M
Operating Cash Flow
68.13M77.32M58.07M67.89M56.41M
Investing Cash Flow
0.00-4.63M-87.81M-33.02M-16.55M
Financing Cash Flow
-68.13M-72.68M29.74M-34.86M-39.85M

Atrium Mortgage Invest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.85
Price Trends
50DMA
10.57
Positive
100DMA
10.61
Positive
200DMA
10.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
59.49
Neutral
STOCH
43.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.60, above the 50-day MA of 10.57, and above the 200-day MA of 10.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AI.

Atrium Mortgage Invest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
C$683.83M6.918.68%4.49%20.65%-2.36%
TSMKP
75
Outperform
C$740.68M9.2413.72%8.30%26.81%-6.49%
TSTF
73
Outperform
C$581.07M12.596.65%9.86%-10.87%-30.08%
TSAI
68
Neutral
C$514.36M10.199.58%8.38%-1.56%-9.70%
TSFC
67
Neutral
C$432.74M11.838.57%7.95%-4.56%0.77%
64
Neutral
$12.61B9.788.01%16985.69%12.73%-4.58%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AI
Atrium Mortgage Invest
10.85
0.51
4.93%
TSE:AGF.B
AGF Management B NV
10.46
2.73
35.32%
TSE:FC
Firm Cap Mortgage Invest
11.78
1.81
18.15%
TSE:MKP
MCAN Mortgage
19.04
4.56
31.49%
TSE:TF
Timbercreek Financial
7.00
<0.01
0.14%
VBNK
Versabank
11.26
1.48
15.13%

Atrium Mortgage Invest Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 06, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 4.13%|
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with a record-setting mortgage portfolio, increased dividends, and successful equity offerings. However, it also pointed out challenges like decreased mortgage rates, slow real estate market activity, and economic challenges in Canada, including changes in immigration policy that could impact future growth.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Mortgage Portfolio
Atrium's mortgage portfolio reached a record $926.3 million, up from $907.8 million in Q2 and $893.6 million at the beginning of the year.
Dividend Increase
A 3.3% increase in monthly dividends was reported, beginning next month, to an annualized rate of $0.93 per common share.
Successful Equity Offering
Atrium completed an oversubscribed bought deal share offering with total gross proceeds of $28.8 million.
Strong Earnings Per Share
Atrium generated basic earnings per share in Q3 of $0.26, with year-to-date earnings per share of $0.79, the second best in their 12-year history.
Decrease in Loan Loss Provisions
Loan loss provisions decreased from $4.4 million last quarter to $3.5 million in Q3, showing improvement in credit risk.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Mortgage Rates
Average mortgage rate dropped from 10.93% last quarter to 10.52% in Q3, impacted by rate decreases by the Bank of Canada.
Slow Real Estate Market Activity
Real estate market activity remained slow due to cautious capital investment and consumer behavior amidst uncertain market conditions.
Economic Challenges in Canada
Canada's GDP growth was less than 1.5% in Q3, below the Bank of Canada's forecast of 2.8%, with unemployment reaching a 7-year high of 6.6% in August.
Impact of Immigration Policy Changes
The Federal government's change in immigration policy could negatively affect economic growth and the real estate sector.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 earnings call for Atrium Mortgage Investment Corporation, the company reported a solid financial performance with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.26 for the quarter and $0.79 year-to-date, marking the second-best nine-month performance in its history. The mortgage portfolio reached a record $926.3 million, up from $907.8 million in Q2. Atrium announced a 3.3% increase in its annual dividend rate to $0.93 per share, reflecting its strong results and improving credit risk profile. The average mortgage rate decreased from 10.93% to 10.52%, influenced by two 25-basis-point rate cuts by the Bank of Canada. Atrium maintained a low leverage balance sheet, with shareholder capital representing 54.6% of total funding sources. The company also highlighted significant progress in resolving loans in default, with the percentage of Stage 2 and 3 loans decreasing from 17.8% at the beginning of the year to 14.0% in Q3. Additionally, Atrium completed an oversubscribed share offering, raising $28.8 million to enhance funding capacity and liquidity.

Atrium Mortgage Invest Corporate Events

Dividends
Atrium Mortgage Investment Corporation Declares April 2025 Dividend
Positive
Apr 3, 2025

Atrium Mortgage Investment Corporation announced a dividend of $0.0775 per common share for April 2025, payable on May 13, 2025. The company offers a dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP) that allows shareholders to reinvest dividends in new shares at a 2% discount, promoting compound growth. This announcement underscores Atrium’s commitment to providing stable returns to shareholders and enhancing investment growth opportunities.

Executive/Board ChangesDividends
Atrium Mortgage Announces CFO Change and March Dividend
Neutral
Mar 17, 2025

Atrium Mortgage Investment Corporation announced a leadership change in its finance department, with John Ahmad stepping down as CFO and Razvan Vulcu assuming the interim role. The company also declared a March 2025 dividend of $0.0775 per share, maintaining its commitment to providing stable returns to shareholders. The announcement highlights Atrium’s focus on ensuring smooth operational transitions and its dedication to shareholder value through consistent dividend payouts and a dividend reinvestment plan.

Dividends
Atrium Mortgage Announces February 2025 Dividend and Reinvestment Opportunities
Positive
Feb 5, 2025

Atrium Mortgage Investment Corporation has announced a dividend of $0.0775 per common share for February 2025, payable on March 12, 2025. The company also offers a dividend reinvestment plan allowing shareholders to reinvest dividends in new shares at a 2% discount. This announcement underscores Atrium’s commitment to providing stable returns and opportunities for compound growth to its stakeholders, while maintaining its position as a leading non-bank mortgage provider in Canada.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.