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Alaris Royalty (TSE:AD.UN)
TSX:AD.UN

Alaris Royalty (AD.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:AD.UN

Alaris Royalty

(TSX:AD.UN)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
C$22.50
▲(1.58% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/08/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow quality in 2025 (sharp negative operating/free cash flow despite positive net income) and volatility in results. Technicals are moderately supportive with the stock trading above key moving averages, and the high dividend yield helps, but a negative P/E limits valuation confidence.
Positive Factors
Recurring royalty business model
Alaris's contracts generate recurring, often revenue-linked royalty payments that create a predictable cash flow profile versus transactional lending. This durable cash stream, derived from a large invested capital base and contractual rights, supports long-term distributions and underwriting of new royalty deals.
Negative Factors
Deteriorated cash generation in 2025
A sharp swing to negative operating and free cash flow in 2025 is a structural red flag for earnings quality and liquidity. Contractual royalties should produce cash; the mismatch undermines distribution sustainability, may force reliance on external financing, and reduces investment flexibility over coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring royalty business model
Alaris's contracts generate recurring, often revenue-linked royalty payments that create a predictable cash flow profile versus transactional lending. This durable cash stream, derived from a large invested capital base and contractual rights, supports long-term distributions and underwriting of new royalty deals.
Read all positive factors

Alaris Royalty (AD.UN) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Alaris Royalty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust is a private equity firm specializing in management buyouts, growth capital, lower & middle market, later stage, industry consolidation, growth capital, and mature investments. The firm does not invest in turnar...
How the Company Makes Money
Alaris makes money primarily by investing capital into private companies and receiving contractually defined royalty payments in return. These royalties are typically structured as recurring payments (often tied to a measure such as the partner co...

Alaris Royalty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a record-setting quarter for Alaris, with robust revenue growth, strong capital deployment, and positive developments in key portfolio companies like Edgewater. However, challenges such as decreased net distributable cash flow, issues with GWM, and impacts from the U.S. government shutdown on FMP provided some negative aspects. Despite these challenges, the overall performance and outlook remain strong.
Positive Updates
Record Quarter Performance
Alaris delivered a record quarter in Q3 2025 with net book value per unit increasing by 6% from last quarter to $25.10, marking a record high. Total revenue and operating income rose 7.8% compared to Q3 2024, supported by a $47.9 million net unrealized fair value gain across 9 investments.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Net Distributable Cash Flow
Alaris' net distributable cash flow decreased by 26% in Q3 and 14% year-to-date, primarily due to variability in common distributions, timing of cash tax payments, and transaction costs.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Quarter Performance
Alaris delivered a record quarter in Q3 2025 with net book value per unit increasing by 6% from last quarter to $25.10, marking a record high. Total revenue and operating income rose 7.8% compared to Q3 2024, supported by a $47.9 million net unrealized fair value gain across 9 investments.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During the Alaris Q3 2025 Earnings Release Conference, several key financial metrics were highlighted, reflecting a strong performance for the quarter. Alaris reported a record net book value per unit increase of 6% from the previous quarter, reaching $25.10, driven by $1.90 per unit of earnings and comprehensive income. The company saw a 7.8% increase in total revenue and operating income compared to Q3 2024, supported by a $47.9 million net unrealized fair value gain across nine investments. Partner revenue exceeded guidance at $58.1 million, with a $57.4 million contribution from distributions. Preferred distributions rose by 7.3% in the quarter and 6% year-to-date, totaling $40.7 million and $120.8 million, respectively. Despite a 26% decrease in net distributable cash flow for Q3, Alaris maintained a low payout ratio of 48%, well below its target range of 65% to 70%, providing flexibility for reinvestment. The company deployed $32.2 million in the quarter, including significant investments in McCoy and Carey, and anticipated Q4 partner revenue of approximately $43.5 million. Looking ahead, Alaris plans to continue leveraging its unique business model to capitalize on deployment opportunities and expects to see further growth in book value through potential exits and new investments.

Alaris Royalty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Reported profitability and margins are strong and the balance sheet is generally manageable, but revenue and earnings have been volatile. The key drag is cash flow: 2025 operating and free cash flow turned sharply negative despite positive net income, a major earnings-quality and flexibility concern.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue222.63M154.99M241.25M227.99M157.59M
Gross Profit193.43M154.99M179.08M227.99M157.59M
EBITDA186.23M240.59M202.66M183.36M191.24M
Net Income90.81M234.41M138.45M130.68M144.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.42B1.20B1.47B1.37B1.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.38M4.20M15.18M60.19M18.45M
Total Debt263.74M64.64M403.39M372.49M416.66M
Total Liabilities296.83M97.72M514.07M471.85M486.35M
Stockholders Equity1.12B1.10B960.82M898.25M788.86M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-124.71M59.37M82.96M152.42M-15.44M
Operating Cash Flow-124.71M59.37M82.96M152.42M104.16M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.00-98.32M14.85M-228.99M
Financing Cash Flow126.94M-62.12M-29.91M-125.16M128.47M

Alaris Royalty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.15
Price Trends
50DMA
21.22
Positive
100DMA
20.66
Positive
200DMA
19.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.28
Negative
RSI
67.03
Neutral
STOCH
90.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AD.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 20.63, above the 50-day MA of 21.22, and above the 200-day MA of 19.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.28 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AD.UN.

Alaris Royalty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$1.29B7.109.85%3.01%11.23%30.44%
71
Outperform
C$1.06B2.395.72%0.14%-44.78%-95.84%
71
Outperform
C$792.71M31.5918.00%1.51%36.52%-1243.96%
69
Neutral
C$973.57M11.8611.93%7.33%7.74%-31.96%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
C$1.00B10.308.17%6.43%11.16%-14.26%
53
Neutral
C$867.74M21.7710.01%1.32%27.37%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AD.UN
Alaris Royalty
22.15
5.49
32.92%
TSE:AGF.B
AGF Management B NV
19.83
10.97
123.89%
TSE:CVG
Clairvest
77.50
10.78
16.16%
TSE:ECN
ECN Capital
3.08
0.52
20.12%
TSE:DLCG
Dominion Lending Centres, Inc. (Canada) Class A
10.23
2.67
35.23%
TSE:MKP
MCAN Financial
23.92
7.35
44.32%

Alaris Royalty Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsPrivate Placements and Financing
Alaris Invests $75.3 Million in Kubik and Lifts Distribution 3%
Positive
Apr 2, 2026
Alaris Equity Partners has invested $75.3 million in Kubik LP, a Toronto-based designer and fabricator of custom trade show exhibits and immersive brand environments serving Fortune 500 clients worldwide. The deal combines $62.5 million in debt an...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Alaris Equity Partners Declares First-Quarter 2026 Distribution
Positive
Mar 19, 2026
Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust has declared a first-quarter 2026 distribution of $0.37 per trust unit, equivalent to $1.48 on an annualized basis, payable on April 15 to unitholders of record as of March 31. The announcement underscores the t...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alaris Equity Partners Sets March 9 Release for 2025 Year-End Results
Positive
Mar 3, 2026
Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust will release its year-end financial results for the period ended December 31, 2025, after markets close on March 9, 2026, with management hosting a conference call the following morning to discuss performance an...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 08, 2026