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Alaris Royalty (TSE:AD.UN)
TSX:AD.UN

Alaris Royalty (AD.UN) AI Stock Analysis

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Alaris Royalty

(TSX:AD.UN)

75Outperform
Alaris Royalty's strong financial performance, characterized by robust profitability and a healthy balance sheet, is a key strength. The stock appears undervalued with a high dividend yield, appealing to income investors. Despite limited technical momentum, recent strategic investments and consistent distributions bolster confidence in future growth. Overall, the stock presents a stable investment opportunity with potential upside from strategic initiatives.

Alaris Royalty (AD.UN) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Alaris Royalty Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAlaris Equity Partners Income Trust is a private equity firm specializing in management buyouts, growth capital, lower & middle market, later stage, industry consolidation, growth capital, and mature investments. The firm does not invest in turnarounds and start-ups. It prefers to invest in the companies based in all industries except for those with a declining asset base, such as oil and gas resource companies, or any industry that carry the risk of obsolescence such as high tech and focuses on business services, professional services, information services, healthcare services, distribution & logistics, industrials, consumer products. The firm seeks to invest in companies raising capital for a partial liquidity, generational transfer, recapitalization, and growth and who do not want to give up control or chance the added risk that comes with high leverage levels. It prefers to invest in companies that are mostly individual or family controlled. The firm typically provides alternative financing for a diversified group of private businesses ("Private Company Partners") in exchange for royalties or distributions from the Private Company Partners, with the principal objective of generating stable and predictable cash flows for dividend payments to its shareholders. It seeks to invest in the companies based in Europe, North America with the focus on Canada, and United States. It typically invests between $5 million and $100 million in companies with an enterprise values between $10 million and $400 million and EBITDA between $5 million and $50 million, historical EBITDA in excess of $10 million, and Low levels of debt and capital expenditure. The firm also makes small cap investments upto $20 million in private companies that have historical EBITDA in excess of $2 million. However, for larger companies, transactions can be structured to include additional investments. The firm seeks to invest in industries that do not experience large cyclical swings. It does not own any shares and does not require board representation. The firm invests through balance sheet and seeks equity dividend distribution from portfolios. It prefers to make non control equity, minority and majority investments in its portfolio companies. Alaris Royalty Corp. was founded in 2008 and is based in Calgary, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAlaris Royalty Corp makes money by providing long-term capital to private companies in exchange for monthly distributions, which are typically linked to the company's top-line performance. The company generates revenue through these distributions as well as potential capital gains from equity investments. Alaris structures its investments to receive preferred distributions, ensuring a steady income stream. Additionally, the company's earnings are influenced by its ability to identify and partner with financially stable private businesses that can sustain and grow their distributions over time.

Alaris Royalty Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Alaris Royalty demonstrates strong financial health with robust profitability and prudent balance sheet management. Despite a decline in revenue, the company maintains solid margins and generates healthy cash flows. The overall financial position is stable, but attention to revenue growth and cash management strategies could enhance future performance.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The income statement shows a solid gross profit margin and consistent profitability, with a significant increase in net income in the latest year. However, the revenue has decreased compared to the previous year, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating conservative leverage. The equity ratio is high, reflecting financial stability. Stockholders' equity has grown steadily over the years, enhancing investor confidence. However, a decrease in total assets and cash reserves may warrant attention.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals a positive free cash flow and a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating healthy cash generation. However, fluctuations in free cash flow growth suggest potential volatility in cash management. The negative investing cash flow over multiple years may raise concerns about capital allocation.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
154.99M241.25M190.88M143.46M109.57M
Gross Profit
154.99M179.08M190.88M143.46M109.57M
EBIT
128.97M202.43M168.43M122.21M93.72M
EBITDA
240.59M202.66M168.65M122.42M45.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
234.41M138.45M130.68M144.24M20.29M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.20M15.18M60.19M18.45M16.50M
Total Assets
1.20B1.47B1.37B1.28B956.43M
Total Debt
64.64M403.39M372.49M416.66M316.17M
Net Debt
60.44M388.20M312.30M398.21M299.67M
Total Liabilities
97.72M514.07M471.85M486.35M351.42M
Stockholders Equity
1.10B960.82M898.25M788.86M605.01M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
59.37M82.96M-9.42M-15.44M-45.84M
Operating Cash Flow
59.37M82.96M152.42M104.16M71.86M
Investing Cash Flow
0.00-98.32M14.85M-228.99M-16.60M
Financing Cash Flow
-62.12M-29.91M-125.16M128.47M-52.87M

Alaris Royalty Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.83
Price Trends
50DMA
18.81
Positive
100DMA
18.89
Positive
200DMA
17.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.22
Negative
RSI
63.24
Neutral
STOCH
95.65
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:AD.UN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.46, above the 50-day MA of 18.81, and above the 200-day MA of 17.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:AD.UN.

Alaris Royalty Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
C$683.83M6.918.68%4.49%20.65%-2.36%
75
Outperform
C$900.62M3.8522.73%6.86%57.02%69.18%
TSMKP
75
Outperform
C$740.68M9.2413.72%8.30%26.81%-6.49%
TSTF
73
Outperform
C$581.07M12.596.65%9.86%-10.87%-30.08%
TSAI
68
Neutral
C$514.36M10.199.58%8.38%-1.56%-9.70%
TSFC
67
Neutral
C$432.74M11.838.57%7.95%-4.56%0.77%
64
Neutral
$12.61B9.788.01%16985.69%12.73%-4.58%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:AD.UN
Alaris Royalty
19.83
4.77
31.67%
TSE:AGF.B
AGF Management B NV
10.46
2.73
35.32%
TSE:AI
Atrium Mortgage Invest
10.85
0.51
4.93%
TSE:FC
Firm Cap Mortgage Invest
11.78
1.81
18.15%
TSE:MKP
MCAN Mortgage
19.04
4.56
31.49%
TSE:TF
Timbercreek Financial
7.00
<0.01
0.14%

Alaris Royalty Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 10, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 6.84%|
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with record net book values and significant increases in partner distribution revenue and cash flow. However, there were notable challenges such as delays in profitability for Heritage and temporary cost impacts on Sono Bello. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans towards positive due to the strong financial performance and investment strategies.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Net Book Value
Net book value increased by $0.78 per unit to $22.80, marking a record for Alaris, with a 9-month increase of $1.68 per unit and a year-to-date return on book value of $2.70.
Significant Increase in Partner Distribution Revenue
Partner distribution and transaction fee revenue of $65.9 million exceeded guidance and the previous year's Q3 revenue of $47.2 million, driven by higher common dividends.
Strong Increase in Net Distributable Cash Flow
Net distributable cash flow for Q3 2024 increased by over 63% to $31.8 million, resulting in an actual payout ratio of 53%.
Successful Additional Investments
Alaris invested an additional USD 35 million into convertible preferred equity into Ohana and fulfilled a USD 10 million obligation to Cresa LLC, with total investments year-to-date of approximately $139 million.
Positive Portfolio Performance
Performance and fair value increases in partners such as Amur, Fleet, and Shipyard contributed positively to the portfolio.
Negative Updates
Challenges with Heritage
Heritage's return to profitability is delayed, with negative margin projects leading to a decrease in fair value by USD 7.4 million.
Sono Bello Advertising Cost Impact
Sono Bello faced higher advertising costs and a decline in conversion rates, impacting EBITDA, though these are considered temporary.
SCR Revenue and EBITDA Decline
SCR experienced a decline in revenue and EBITDA due to slower business development and reduced capital spending, leading to a fair value decrease of $5.5 million.
Decrease in Ohana's Common Equity
Ohana's common equity decreased by USD 6.7 million, partly due to the increase in preferred equity and dividend payments.
Company Guidance
In the Q3 2024 earnings call for Alaris, significant metrics were discussed regarding the company's financial performance and future outlook. The net book value per unit increased by $0.78 to $22.80, reflecting a 9-month increase of $1.68 per unit and a year-to-date return on book value, including dividends, of $2.70. Partner distribution and transaction fee revenue reached $65.9 million, surpassing previous guidance of $38.7 million and significantly higher than Q3 2023's $47.2 million, driven by an upsurge in common dividends. The net distributable cash flow for Q3 2024 saw a 63% increase to $31.8 million, resulting in a payout ratio of 53%. Alaris invested an additional USD 35 million in convertible preferred equity into Ohana, and subsequent to the quarter, fulfilled a USD 10 million obligation to Cresa LLC. The portfolio maintains a weighted average ECR of 1.5x, with an anticipated Q4 revenue of $38.9 million and a 12-month run rate revenue of $171 million. The company remains focused on deploying capital into creative structures, enhancing its ability to generate higher returns across its diversified investment portfolio.

Alaris Royalty Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
Alaris Equity Partners to Release Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 3, 2025

Alaris Equity Partners announced the release of its Q1 2025 financial results on May 8, 2025, with a subsequent conference call scheduled for May 9, 2025, to discuss the results and outlook. This announcement is significant for stakeholders as it provides insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting investor confidence and market positioning.

Dividends
Alaris Equity Partners Announces Q1 2025 Distribution
Positive
Mar 19, 2025

Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust has declared a distribution of $0.34 per trust unit for the first quarter of 2025, amounting to $1.36 per unit annually. The distribution will be payable on April 15, 2025, to unitholders recorded by March 31, 2025, reflecting the company’s commitment to providing consistent returns to its stakeholders.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Alaris Equity Partners Reports Strong 2024 Financial Results and Strategic Growth
Positive
Mar 10, 2025

Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, highlighting significant investments and growth in assets under management (AUM). The company invested approximately $249 million in new and existing partners, marking an increase compared to its five-year average. Alaris also completed a strategic recapitalization with Ohana Growth Partners, raising US$120 million from independent investors, which contributed to a total of over $2.2 billion in capital. The Trust saw a 12% increase in Partner Distribution revenue for Q4 2024 and a 19% increase for the year, driven by new investments and the collection of deferred distributions. Additionally, Alaris realized gains of $40.1 million on partner investments and reported a 42% increase in net distributable cash flow, reflecting strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Alaris Equity Partners Expands Portfolio with Strategic Investments in Berg and PEC
Positive
Feb 24, 2025

Alaris Equity Partners announced a $21 million investment in Berg Demo Holdings, LLC, and a $61.1 million investment in Professional Electric Contractors of Connecticut, Inc., marking a strong start to 2025. These investments reflect Alaris’s strategy of forming partnerships with successful entrepreneurs to drive business growth, while the redemption of its investment in Unify Consulting LLC yielded a 20% IRR, underscoring the company’s effective management and investment strategy.

Financial Disclosures
Alaris Equity Partners to Release Q4 2024 Financial Results in March
Neutral
Feb 10, 2025

Alaris Equity Partners has announced the release date of its 2024 fourth-quarter financial results, which will be available after the Toronto Stock Exchange closes on March 10, 2025. A conference call will be held the next day to discuss the results and future outlook, which can be accessed through prior registration. This announcement indicates Alaris’ commitment to transparency and engagement with its investors, potentially influencing stakeholders’ perceptions and decisions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.