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AutoCanada Inc. (TSE:ACQ)
TSX:ACQ
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AutoCanada (ACQ) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:ACQ

AutoCanada

(TSX:ACQ)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
C$27.00
▼(-0.48% Downside)
AutoCanada's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage. Technical analysis and valuation metrics also reflect a negative outlook. However, the recent earnings call provided some positive insights into cost savings and improved profitability, slightly offsetting the negative factors.
Positive Factors
Cost Savings
Significant cost savings enhance operational efficiency and profitability, providing a stronger financial foundation for future growth.
Improved Earnings and Margins
Higher EBITDA and improved margins indicate enhanced operational efficiency, contributing to better profitability and financial health.
Successful U.S. Divestiture
Proceeds from divestitures will reduce leverage, improving balance sheet strength and providing more financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
A decline in revenue indicates challenges in maintaining sales volume, which could impact long-term growth and market position.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial resources and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities, affecting long-term stability.
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining free cash flow indicates difficulties in generating cash from operations, which may hinder the company's ability to fund future growth.

AutoCanada (ACQ) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

AutoCanada Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAutoCanada Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates franchised automobile dealerships. The company offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles, vehicle leasing, vehicle parts, vehicle maintenance and collision repair services, extended service contracts, and vehicle protection and other after-market products. It also arranges financing and insurance for vehicle purchases by its customers through third-party finance and insurance sources. The company sells its vehicles under the Chrysler, Dodge, Jeep, Ram, FIAT, Alfa Romeo, Chevrolet, GMC, Buick, Cadillac, Ford, Infiniti, Nissan, Hyundai, Subaru, Audi, Volkswagen, Kia, Mazda, Mercedes-Benz, BMW, MINI, Volvo, Toyota, Lincoln, Porsche, and Honda brands. As of March 2, 2022, it operated 78 franchised dealerships in British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, Nova Scotia, and New Brunswick in Canada, as well as in Illinois, the United States. The company also offers used vehicles online. AutoCanada Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Edmonton, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyAutoCanada generates revenue primarily through the sale of new and used vehicles, which constitutes a significant portion of its earnings. The company also earns money through after-sales services, including parts, service, and repair operations, which provide recurring income streams. Another key revenue stream comes from financing and insurance products offered to customers, often in partnership with banks and financial institutions. These partnerships enable AutoCanada to facilitate vehicle financing and enhance customer satisfaction while also generating additional revenue. Furthermore, the company benefits from strategic acquisitions of dealerships, expanding its footprint and diversifying its income sources, contributing to its overall financial growth.

AutoCanada Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant cost savings, improved profitability, and successful divestitures, contributing to a stronger financial position. However, the company faced challenges with a decline in revenue and volume softness due to transitional activities. Overall, the positive achievements in cost management and earnings growth outweigh the negative aspects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Cost Savings Achieved
AutoCanada has achieved $80 million of the original $100 million cost savings target and raised the goal to $115 million by year-end 2025.
Improved Earnings and Margins
Adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations nearly doubled to $64.4 million, with margins improving 240 basis points to 4.8%.
Successful U.S. Divestiture
The company expects $115 million to $130 million in net proceeds from the U.S. dealership sales, which will allow for a significant reduction in leverage.
Enhanced Net Income
Net income from continuing operations was $18.9 million compared to $3.9 million in Q2 last year. Diluted EPS increased to $0.72 from $0.12 per share.
Improved Cash Flow and Liquidity
AutoCanada generated $19.6 million of operating cash flow and closed the quarter with $62.4 million of cash on hand and approximately $257.4 million of available liquidity.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue from continued operations declined 3% year-over-year to $1.34 billion, reflecting lower volumes, particularly in new vehicles and F&I.
Volume Softness
The company experienced near-term sales softness due to dealership archetype transitions and cost savings activities.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, AutoCanada demonstrated significant financial and operational progress. The company achieved adjusted EBITDA of $64.4 million, a 92.4% increase from the previous year, with margins improving by 240 basis points to 4.8%. This growth was fueled by a $16.9 million or 10% reduction in normalized operating expenses, driven by the ACX Operating Method. Revenue from continued operations declined 3% to $1.34 billion due to lower volumes, but gross profit grew by 2.1%, with an 80 basis point margin increase to 16.8%. The company also realized $80 million of its $100 million cost savings target, raising the goal to $115 million by year-end. Net income from continuing operations increased to $18.9 million from $3.9 million the previous year, with diluted EPS rising to $0.72. AutoCanada ended the quarter with $62.4 million in cash and $257.4 million in available liquidity, positioning itself for future growth as it focuses on completing its U.S. divestiture and further cost savings.

AutoCanada Financial Statement Overview

Summary
AutoCanada faces declining revenue and profitability, with negative net income and high leverage. However, the balance sheet provides some asset backing, offering stability against liabilities.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company shows declining revenue and profitability, with TTM revenue decreasing significantly from previous years. The net income has turned negative in the latest TTM period, indicating a significant profitability issue. Gross profit margin has decreased, suggesting cost pressures or pricing challenges. These trends point to potential difficulties in sustaining revenue growth and profitability in a competitive auto dealership market.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet indicates high leverage, with significant debt levels compared to equity, but the equity has remained relatively stable. The debt-to-equity ratio is high, reflecting potential financial risk if revenue declines further. However, the equity ratio suggests a reasonable level of asset backing, providing some stability against liabilities.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow from operations has decreased, and free cash flow is negative in the TTM, highlighting liquidity challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates that cash generation is weak relative to accounting earnings. There is a need for improved cash management to enhance liquidity and support ongoing operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.91B5.35B6.44B6.04B4.65B3.33B
Gross Profit826.68M882.28M479.23M1.04B834.18M547.33M
EBITDA216.49M164.34M217.30M273.15M326.40M100.74M
Net Income-18.01M-68.23M50.49M85.44M164.21M-6.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.76B3.01B3.16B2.86B2.26B1.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.41M67.34M103.15M108.30M102.48M107.70M
Total Debt1.80B2.01B2.23B2.03B1.45B1.35B
Total Liabilities2.26B2.51B2.59B2.37B1.74B1.54B
Stockholders Equity476.45M468.03M534.85M457.90M493.41M341.87M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.70M-2.45M40.02M95.31M78.37M116.90M
Operating Cash Flow26.35M31.63M119.53M147.97M112.94M137.87M
Investing Cash Flow82.71M67.86M-125.43M-228.02M-215.37M-35.12M
Financing Cash Flow-220.17M-93.92M183.60M83.21M97.00M-51.02M

AutoCanada Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price27.13
Price Trends
50DMA
31.71
Negative
100DMA
28.24
Negative
200DMA
22.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.39
Positive
RSI
30.75
Neutral
STOCH
46.46
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:ACQ, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 27.13 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.22, below the 50-day MA of 31.71, and above the 200-day MA of 22.96, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:ACQ.

AutoCanada Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$18.23B10.9710.06%4.27%-0.54%26.31%
$4.29B20.453.61%1.42%-2.60%-64.22%
$258.68M10.966.01%6.27%-3.50%-22.76%
$745.35M-4.10%1.93%-8.84%-148.15%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
$6.88B38.70%0.91%-13.78%-115.58%
C$640.10M-35.5120.23%-20.36%50.19%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:ACQ
AutoCanada
27.13
12.31
83.06%
TSE:MG
Magna International
63.54
8.37
15.17%
TSE:XTC
Exco Technologies
6.70
-1.35
-16.81%
TSE:LNR
Linamar
76.03
17.90
30.80%
TSE:MRE
Martinrea International
10.34
-0.07
-0.72%
TSE:DOO
BRP
93.54
23.15
32.90%

AutoCanada Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
AutoCanada Expands Collision Network with Strategic Acquisition in Edmonton
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

AutoCanada Inc. has expanded its collision network by acquiring Doug’s Place Strathcona, a collision and refinish repair facility in Edmonton, Alberta. This acquisition enhances AutoCanada’s service capacity and strengthens its partnerships with leading OEMs and insurance companies, positioning the company to capture more repair volume and improve service availability in the region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ACQ) stock is a Buy with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AutoCanada stock, see the TSE:ACQ Stock Forecast page.

AutoCanada’s Earnings Call Highlights Cost Savings and Growth
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for AutoCanada Inc. painted a generally positive picture, with significant achievements in cost savings and profitability. Despite facing challenges such as a decline in revenue and volume softness due to transitional activities, the company’s strategic efforts in cost management and earnings growth were highlighted as outweighing these negative aspects.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
AutoCanada Sells North City Honda to Streamline Operations
Positive
Aug 27, 2025

AutoCanada Inc. has completed the sale of North City Honda in Chicago, Illinois, a move that aligns with the reclassification of some U.S. dealerships as discontinued operations. The sale, which generated $18.2 million in cash, will help reduce the company’s revolving credit facility. This strategic decision is expected to streamline AutoCanada’s operations and potentially improve its financial stability by focusing on more profitable segments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ACQ) stock is a Buy with a C$38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AutoCanada stock, see the TSE:ACQ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
AutoCanada Sells Illinois Dealerships to Streamline Operations
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

AutoCanada has completed the sale of its Chevrolet and Hyundai dealerships in Palatine, Illinois, which were classified as discontinued operations at the end of 2024. The sale generated $9.3 million in cash, which will be used to reduce the company’s revolving credit facility. This move is part of AutoCanada’s strategy to streamline its operations and focus on its core Canadian market, potentially improving financial stability and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ACQ) stock is a Hold with a C$34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AutoCanada stock, see the TSE:ACQ Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
AutoCanada Sells Loss-Making U.S. Dealership to Reduce Debt
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

AutoCanada Inc. has completed the sale of its Crystal Lake Chrysler Dodge Jeep Ram dealership in Illinois, which had been generating a loss. The sale, part of a previously announced agreement, brought in approximately $9.9 million, which will be used to reduce the company’s revolving credit facility. This move is likely to improve AutoCanada’s financial position by offloading a loss-making asset and reducing debt.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:ACQ) stock is a Hold with a C$17.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on AutoCanada stock, see the TSE:ACQ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 16, 2025