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Exco Technologies Limited (TSE:XTC)
TSX:XTC

Exco Technologies (XTC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:XTC

Exco Technologies

(TSX:XTC)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$7.50
▲(10.46% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by a stable financial base (low leverage and strong equity ratio) but tempered by weaker profitability and declining free cash flow growth. Technicals add support with price above key moving averages and positive momentum indicators. Valuation further boosts the score due to a low P/E and a high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A low debt-to-equity ratio suggests financial stability and flexibility, allowing Exco to invest in growth opportunities without excessive leverage.
Diverse Revenue Streams
Diversified revenue streams across sectors reduce risk and stabilize earnings, ensuring resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Strategic Partnerships
Strong partnerships with major automotive manufacturers ensure consistent demand and long-term contracts, supporting stable revenue.
Negative Factors
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow growth can limit the company's ability to invest in new projects and maintain dividend payouts, impacting future growth.
Compressed Profit Margins
Compressed profit margins indicate challenges in cost management and pricing power, potentially affecting long-term profitability.
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue suggests potential challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, which could impact growth prospects.

Exco Technologies (XTC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Exco Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExco Technologies Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and manufactures dies, molds, components and assemblies, and consumable equipment for the die-cast, extrusion, and automotive industries. It operates through two segments, Casting and Extrusion, and Automotive Solutions. The Casting and Extrusion segment designs, develops, and manufactures tooling and consumable parts for aluminum die-casting and aluminum extrusion machines. It has operations in North America, South America, Morocco, and Thailand; and serves automotive and industrial markets worldwide. The Automotive Solutions segment produces automotive interior trim components and assemblies primarily for passenger and light truck vehicles. This segment offers synthetic net and other cargo restraint products, injection-molded components, shift/brake boots, instrument panel components, sun visors, seat covers, head rests, other cut and sew products, and related interior trim components and assemblies. This segment also supplies plastic trunk trays and organizer systems, floor mats, and bumper covers, as well as die cut leather sets for seating applications. It has operations in Canada, the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Asia, and internationally. Exco Technologies Limited was founded in 1952 and is based in Markham, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyExco Technologies generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by manufacturing and selling die-cast components and tooling solutions. The company's revenue model is centered on long-term contracts and relationships with major automotive manufacturers, which provide a stable income base. Key revenue streams include the production of die-cast parts, which involves both direct sales and contract manufacturing agreements. Additionally, Exco benefits from engineering services that support its tooling and die-casting operations. Strategic partnerships with leading automotive companies enhance its market position, allowing for consistent demand for its products. The company's diverse portfolio across various sectors helps mitigate risks and stabilize earnings, while its commitment to innovation and quality strengthens customer loyalty and repeat business.

Exco Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected both challenges and opportunities for Exco Technologies. While there were declines in revenue and profitability due to external market conditions and internal restructuring costs, there were also positive developments such as stable performance in extrusion tooling, improved dealer inventories, and favorable trade agreements. The company's strategic initiatives in automation and cost management show potential for future improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Performance in Extrusion Tooling
Despite challenges, the extrusion tooling operations delivered relatively stable results with sales remaining roughly flat year-over-year, demonstrating resilience across diverse end markets such as automotive, construction, and green energy.
Improved Dealer Inventories and OEM Incentives
U.S. consumer demand has remained resilient with improved dealer inventories and increased OEM incentives supporting sales despite high interest rates.
Operational Improvements in European Market
Halex operations in Europe outperformed local market conditions with improved profitability due to higher volumes, efficiency gains, and better integration with Exco's global operations.
Positive Trade Developments
Recent trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and South Korea have established a more predictable tariff framework, which is expected to bring stability to global automotive trade.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consolidated Revenue and Net Income
Consolidated sales for the third quarter decreased by $6.9 million or 4%, and consolidated net income fell by $2.8 million or 34% compared to last year.
Challenges in Automotive Solutions Segment
Sales in the Automotive Solutions segment dropped due to customer-driven delays, unfavorable vehicle mix, and slightly lower production volumes in North America and Europe.
Softened Demand for Die-Cast Tooling
Demand for new high-pressure die-cast molds was relatively weak due to a slowdown in EV adoption, regulatory changes, and OEMs extending the life of existing platforms.
Pressure on Profitability Due to Increased Costs
Profitability was pressured by increased restructuring costs, foreign exchange losses, and rising labor costs, particularly in Mexico.
Company Guidance
During the Exco Technologies Limited Fiscal Year 2025 Third Quarter Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on various metrics and challenges faced. The quarter saw a 4% decline in consolidated sales to $154.9 million from the previous year, with foreign exchange rate changes contributing a $3.1 million increase. Net income decreased by 34% to $5.4 million or $0.14 per share, impacted by $600,000 in restructuring charges. The Automotive Solutions segment experienced a sales decline to $80.8 million, attributed to unfavorable vehicle mix and reduced production volumes, while foreign exchange added $1.5 million to sales. In the Casting and Extrusion segment, sales fell by 6% to $74 million, hampered by weakened die-cast tooling demand, although extrusion tooling sales remained stable due to diversified end markets. The company also highlighted the impact of tariffs and trade agreements, noting a 15% baseline tariff established in recent U.S. trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and South Korea, which could benefit Exco by increasing demand for locally produced tooling. Exco's financial position remains robust, with $23.5 million in cash and $95 million in debt, supporting strategic initiatives amid ongoing trade and market uncertainties.

Exco Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exco Technologies shows mixed financial performance. The income statement indicates challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with a decline in net profit margin to 3.95%. The balance sheet is strong with a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24 and a high equity ratio of 66.32%. Cash flow analysis reveals potential issues in free cash flow generation, despite strong operating cash flow.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Exco Technologies has experienced fluctuating revenue growth with a recent decline of 0.77% in the latest year. The gross profit margin stands at 20.00%, indicating moderate efficiency in controlling production costs. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 3.95%, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are 5.51% and 11.23%, respectively, showing a decline in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.24, indicating a conservative use of debt financing. Return on equity is 5.96%, suggesting moderate profitability relative to shareholder investments. The equity ratio is 66.32%, highlighting a strong equity position relative to total assets, which provides financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Exco Technologies has faced a 24.82% decline in free cash flow growth, indicating potential challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.71, showing strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.22, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue615.26M615.26M637.79M619.30M489.94M461.17M
Gross Profit123.07M123.07M135.11M130.59M97.27M109.21M
EBITDA69.03M69.06M82.18M74.53M53.05M70.09M
Net Income24.29M24.29M29.62M26.28M18.97M38.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets614.24M614.24M607.00M612.07M576.32M430.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.87M22.87M31.64M15.80M17.02M24.10M
Total Debt97.13M97.13M112.25M116.36M114.01M5.54M
Total Liabilities206.99M206.99M225.73M241.05M227.81M85.07M
Stockholders Equity407.25M407.25M381.27M371.02M348.51M345.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow29.73M29.73M47.84M19.19M-30.03M9.08M
Operating Cash Flow65.84M65.84M81.74M58.17M23.47M47.79M
Investing Cash Flow-35.76M-35.76M-33.72M-37.79M-110.36M-38.33M
Financing Cash Flow-39.63M-39.63M-32.25M-21.81M79.98M-16.88M

Exco Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.79
Price Trends
50DMA
6.61
Positive
100DMA
6.61
Positive
200DMA
6.41
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
57.88
Neutral
STOCH
42.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:XTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.79 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.78, above the 50-day MA of 6.61, and above the 200-day MA of 6.41, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:XTC.

Exco Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$22.11B15.428.31%3.69%0.66%-0.61%
73
Outperform
C$5.26B21.494.01%1.32%-5.33%-57.58%
71
Outperform
C$260.54M10.856.05%6.21%-3.53%-17.19%
66
Neutral
C$430.27M14.975.60%2.80%7.20%-33.22%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
51
Neutral
$766.18M-18.93-2.64%1.93%-7.25%-143.07%
40
Underperform
C$587.09M-73.8818.07%-26.93%84.17%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:XTC
Exco Technologies
6.82
-0.12
-1.77%
TSE:MG
Magna International
76.32
20.64
37.06%
TSE:LNR
Linamar
87.80
31.00
54.57%
TSE:MRE
Martinrea International
10.70
1.76
19.67%
TSE:ACQ
AutoCanada
25.12
7.20
40.18%
TSE:GBT
BMTC Group Inc.
13.74
-1.28
-8.52%

Exco Technologies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Exco Technologies Reports Resilient Fiscal 2025 Results Amid Industry Challenges
Positive
Nov 26, 2025

Exco Technologies Limited reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ending September 30, 2025, with annual sales of $615.3 million and a quarterly net income of $8.2 million. Despite facing industry challenges such as tariffs and delayed electric vehicle adoption, Exco demonstrated resilience and positioned itself for future growth by capitalizing on trends like reshoring and lightweighting. The company announced a quarterly dividend of $0.105 per share and anticipates benefiting from new program launches and increased demand for its products, particularly in the USMCA region.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTC) stock is a Hold with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exco Technologies stock, see the TSE:XTC Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Exco Technologies to Announce Q4 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

Exco Technologies Limited announced it will release its fourth-quarter financial results for the period ending September 30, 2025, on November 26, 2025. The company will hold a conference call on November 27, 2025, to discuss the results, indicating its commitment to transparency and engagement with stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTC) stock is a Hold with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exco Technologies stock, see the TSE:XTC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 26, 2025