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Exco Technologies Limited (TSE:XTC)
TSX:XTC
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Exco Technologies (XTC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:XTC

Exco Technologies

(TSX:XTC)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
C$7.50
▲(10.13% Upside)
Exco Technologies' overall stock score reflects a stable financial performance with some concerns, a bearish technical outlook, and a potentially undervalued stock with a high dividend yield. The earnings call provided a mixed view with challenges in revenue and profitability but highlighted strategic initiatives and positive trade developments.
Positive Factors
Stable Financial Position
A strong balance sheet with low debt levels provides Exco Technologies with financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic downturns.
Positive Trade Developments
Favorable trade agreements can enhance Exco's competitive position by reducing uncertainty and potentially increasing demand for locally produced tooling.
Stable Extrusion Tooling Sales
Stable sales in extrusion tooling indicate resilience and diversification in Exco's product offerings, supporting consistent revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue and Profitability
Decreasing revenue and profitability highlight challenges in maintaining growth and operational efficiency, which could impact long-term financial health.
Challenges in Automotive Solutions
Challenges in the Automotive Solutions segment could hinder Exco's ability to capitalize on automotive industry trends, affecting future revenue growth.
Softened Demand for Die-Cast Tooling
Weak demand for die-cast tooling suggests potential headwinds in capturing market share in the evolving automotive industry, impacting Exco's growth prospects.

Exco Technologies (XTC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Exco Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExco Technologies Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and manufactures dies, molds, components and assemblies, and consumable equipment for the die-cast, extrusion, and automotive industries. It operates through two segments, Casting and Extrusion, and Automotive Solutions. The Casting and Extrusion segment designs, develops, and manufactures tooling and consumable parts for aluminum die-casting and aluminum extrusion machines. It has operations in North America, South America, Morocco, and Thailand; and serves automotive and industrial markets worldwide. The Automotive Solutions segment produces automotive interior trim components and assemblies primarily for passenger and light truck vehicles. This segment offers synthetic net and other cargo restraint products, injection-molded components, shift/brake boots, instrument panel components, sun visors, seat covers, head rests, other cut and sew products, and related interior trim components and assemblies. This segment also supplies plastic trunk trays and organizer systems, floor mats, and bumper covers, as well as die cut leather sets for seating applications. It has operations in Canada, the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Asia, and internationally. Exco Technologies Limited was founded in 1952 and is based in Markham, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyExco Technologies generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by manufacturing and selling specialized tooling and components for the automotive and industrial markets. Key revenue sources include the sale of die-cast molds, plastic injection molds, and extrusion tooling, which are essential for producing parts used in vehicle manufacturing and other applications. The company also earns revenue from engineering services that support the design and development of these tools. Significant partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and supplier networks further enhance Exco's market position, allowing it to secure long-term contracts and maintain a steady flow of income. Additionally, Exco's commitment to innovation and technological advancement positions it well to adapt to industry trends, thereby driving revenue growth.

Exco Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected both challenges and opportunities for Exco Technologies. While there were declines in revenue and profitability due to external market conditions and internal restructuring costs, there were also positive developments such as stable performance in extrusion tooling, improved dealer inventories, and favorable trade agreements. The company's strategic initiatives in automation and cost management show potential for future improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Performance in Extrusion Tooling
Despite challenges, the extrusion tooling operations delivered relatively stable results with sales remaining roughly flat year-over-year, demonstrating resilience across diverse end markets such as automotive, construction, and green energy.
Improved Dealer Inventories and OEM Incentives
U.S. consumer demand has remained resilient with improved dealer inventories and increased OEM incentives supporting sales despite high interest rates.
Operational Improvements in European Market
Halex operations in Europe outperformed local market conditions with improved profitability due to higher volumes, efficiency gains, and better integration with Exco's global operations.
Positive Trade Developments
Recent trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and South Korea have established a more predictable tariff framework, which is expected to bring stability to global automotive trade.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consolidated Revenue and Net Income
Consolidated sales for the third quarter decreased by $6.9 million or 4%, and consolidated net income fell by $2.8 million or 34% compared to last year.
Challenges in Automotive Solutions Segment
Sales in the Automotive Solutions segment dropped due to customer-driven delays, unfavorable vehicle mix, and slightly lower production volumes in North America and Europe.
Softened Demand for Die-Cast Tooling
Demand for new high-pressure die-cast molds was relatively weak due to a slowdown in EV adoption, regulatory changes, and OEMs extending the life of existing platforms.
Pressure on Profitability Due to Increased Costs
Profitability was pressured by increased restructuring costs, foreign exchange losses, and rising labor costs, particularly in Mexico.
Company Guidance
During the Exco Technologies Limited Fiscal Year 2025 Third Quarter Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on various metrics and challenges faced. The quarter saw a 4% decline in consolidated sales to $154.9 million from the previous year, with foreign exchange rate changes contributing a $3.1 million increase. Net income decreased by 34% to $5.4 million or $0.14 per share, impacted by $600,000 in restructuring charges. The Automotive Solutions segment experienced a sales decline to $80.8 million, attributed to unfavorable vehicle mix and reduced production volumes, while foreign exchange added $1.5 million to sales. In the Casting and Extrusion segment, sales fell by 6% to $74 million, hampered by weakened die-cast tooling demand, although extrusion tooling sales remained stable due to diversified end markets. The company also highlighted the impact of tariffs and trade agreements, noting a 15% baseline tariff established in recent U.S. trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and South Korea, which could benefit Exco by increasing demand for locally produced tooling. Exco's financial position remains robust, with $23.5 million in cash and $95 million in debt, supporting strategic initiatives amid ongoing trade and market uncertainties.

Exco Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exco Technologies shows a stable financial performance with some concerns. The income statement indicates pressure on revenue growth and margins, while the balance sheet remains strong with a healthy capital structure. Cash flow generation is positive, but there are signs of potential challenges in cash conversion.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Exco Technologies shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a slight decline in revenue growth rate, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a stable gross profit margin of around 20% and a net profit margin of approximately 3.8%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased compared to previous years, reflecting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26 in the TTM period. The return on equity has decreased slightly to 6.08%, indicating a moderate return on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting a solid capital structure.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend in free cash flow growth, with a 5.23% increase in the TTM period. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased slightly, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.54, showing efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue620.01M637.79M619.30M489.94M461.17M412.31M
Gross Profit127.91M135.11M130.59M97.27M109.21M88.55M
EBITDA71.68M82.18M74.53M53.05M70.09M53.51M
Net Income23.80M29.62M26.28M18.97M38.42M27.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets604.71M607.00M612.07M576.32M430.13M409.78M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments23.51M31.64M15.80M17.02M24.10M33.12M
Total Debt102.14M112.25M116.36M114.01M5.54M6.51M
Total Liabilities208.45M225.73M241.05M227.81M85.07M78.77M
Stockholders Equity396.27M381.27M371.02M348.51M345.06M331.01M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow39.55M47.84M19.19M-30.03M9.08M40.92M
Operating Cash Flow73.22M81.74M58.17M23.47M47.79M64.42M
Investing Cash Flow-33.30M-33.72M-37.79M-110.36M-38.33M-22.11M
Financing Cash Flow-37.02M-32.25M-21.81M79.98M-16.88M-36.02M

Exco Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.81
Price Trends
50DMA
6.63
Positive
100DMA
6.63
Positive
200DMA
6.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
56.59
Neutral
STOCH
68.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:XTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.50, above the 50-day MA of 6.63, and above the 200-day MA of 6.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:XTC.

Exco Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.49B21.394.01%1.43%-5.33%-57.58%
76
Outperform
C$19.43B13.558.31%3.95%0.66%-0.61%
64
Neutral
$245.31M10.436.05%6.27%-3.53%-17.19%
64
Neutral
C$306.44M8.8912.79%9.29%47.73%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
54
Neutral
$735.16M-2.64%2.01%-7.25%-143.07%
38
Underperform
C$579.45M-32.1418.07%-26.93%84.17%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:XTC
Exco Technologies
6.81
-0.98
-12.59%
TSE:MG
Magna International
69.05
7.61
12.39%
TSE:LNR
Linamar
78.52
16.52
26.64%
TSE:MRE
Martinrea International
9.96
-0.08
-0.83%
TSE:ACQ
AutoCanada
20.20
1.46
7.79%
TSE:CKI
Clarke Inc.
22.50
-1.10
-4.66%

Exco Technologies Corporate Events

Exco Technologies Limited: Resilience Amidst Market Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

Exco Technologies Limited’s recent earnings call presented a balanced sentiment amidst a challenging automotive market landscape. The company demonstrated resilience in its extrusion tooling operations and effective cost management strategies, despite facing significant declines in automotive production and sales, as well as profitability pressures. Positive developments in trade agreements and a strong financial position were also highlighted, indicating a mix of challenges and opportunities for the company.

Exco Technologies Reports Q3 2025 Earnings
Aug 1, 2025

Exco Technologies Limited is a global supplier of innovative technologies serving the die-cast, extrusion, and automotive industries, with a presence in 21 strategic locations across 9 countries. In its third-quarter earnings report for fiscal 2025, Exco Technologies reported consolidated sales of $154.9 million, a slight decrease from the previous year’s $161.8 million. The company also announced a quarterly dividend of $0.105 per common share, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Exco Technologies Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Market Challenges
Negative
Jul 30, 2025

Exco Technologies reported a decrease in consolidated sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with sales dropping to $154.9 million from $161.8 million the previous year. Despite the challenges of customer delays, softer demand, and trade uncertainties, the company maintained a net income of $5.4 million. The Automotive Solutions segment faced declines due to unfavorable vehicle mix and production volumes, while the Casting and Extrusion segment saw a decrease in sales due to weakened demand for die-cast tooling. However, Exco remains optimistic about future growth opportunities, particularly in additive tooling and the potential benefits from anticipated tariff increases affecting foreign suppliers.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTC) stock is a Buy with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exco Technologies stock, see the TSE:XTC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2025