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Exco Technologies Limited (TSE:XTC)
TSX:XTC

Exco Technologies (XTC) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:XTC

Exco Technologies

(TSX:XTC)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
C$7.50
▲(10.29% Upside)
Exco Technologies' overall stock score is driven by its strong valuation and positive technical indicators, despite mixed financial performance and challenges highlighted in the earnings call. The company's attractive P/E ratio and high dividend yield are significant strengths, while the need for improvement in profitability and cash flow management are key areas of concern.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A conservative debt-to-equity ratio and strong equity position provide financial stability, allowing Exco Technologies to withstand market fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities.
Stable Extrusion Tooling Performance
Stable sales in extrusion tooling demonstrate resilience and diversification across end markets, supporting consistent revenue despite sector-specific challenges.
Positive Trade Developments
New trade agreements provide a stable framework for automotive trade, potentially increasing demand for Exco's locally produced tooling, benefiting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Decline in Revenue and Profitability
Declining revenue and profitability highlight challenges in maintaining growth and operational efficiency, impacting Exco's ability to generate sustainable profits.
Challenges in Automotive Solutions
Reduced sales in the Automotive Solutions segment indicate vulnerability to market shifts and customer demand changes, affecting Exco's core revenue streams.
Pressure on Profitability
Increased costs and foreign exchange losses strain profitability, limiting Exco's ability to invest in growth and maintain competitive margins over the long term.

Exco Technologies (XTC) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Exco Technologies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExco Technologies Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and manufactures dies, molds, components and assemblies, and consumable equipment for the die-cast, extrusion, and automotive industries. It operates through two segments, Casting and Extrusion, and Automotive Solutions. The Casting and Extrusion segment designs, develops, and manufactures tooling and consumable parts for aluminum die-casting and aluminum extrusion machines. It has operations in North America, South America, Morocco, and Thailand; and serves automotive and industrial markets worldwide. The Automotive Solutions segment produces automotive interior trim components and assemblies primarily for passenger and light truck vehicles. This segment offers synthetic net and other cargo restraint products, injection-molded components, shift/brake boots, instrument panel components, sun visors, seat covers, head rests, other cut and sew products, and related interior trim components and assemblies. This segment also supplies plastic trunk trays and organizer systems, floor mats, and bumper covers, as well as die cut leather sets for seating applications. It has operations in Canada, the United States, Europe, Mexico, South America, Asia, and internationally. Exco Technologies Limited was founded in 1952 and is based in Markham, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyExco Technologies generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by manufacturing and selling die-cast components and tooling solutions. The company's revenue model is centered on long-term contracts and relationships with major automotive manufacturers, which provide a stable income base. Key revenue streams include the production of die-cast parts, which involves both direct sales and contract manufacturing agreements. Additionally, Exco benefits from engineering services that support its tooling and die-casting operations. Strategic partnerships with leading automotive companies enhance its market position, allowing for consistent demand for its products. The company's diverse portfolio across various sectors helps mitigate risks and stabilize earnings, while its commitment to innovation and quality strengthens customer loyalty and repeat business.

Exco Technologies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected both challenges and opportunities for Exco Technologies. While there were declines in revenue and profitability due to external market conditions and internal restructuring costs, there were also positive developments such as stable performance in extrusion tooling, improved dealer inventories, and favorable trade agreements. The company's strategic initiatives in automation and cost management show potential for future improvements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Stable Performance in Extrusion Tooling
Despite challenges, the extrusion tooling operations delivered relatively stable results with sales remaining roughly flat year-over-year, demonstrating resilience across diverse end markets such as automotive, construction, and green energy.
Improved Dealer Inventories and OEM Incentives
U.S. consumer demand has remained resilient with improved dealer inventories and increased OEM incentives supporting sales despite high interest rates.
Operational Improvements in European Market
Halex operations in Europe outperformed local market conditions with improved profitability due to higher volumes, efficiency gains, and better integration with Exco's global operations.
Positive Trade Developments
Recent trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and South Korea have established a more predictable tariff framework, which is expected to bring stability to global automotive trade.
Negative Updates
Decline in Consolidated Revenue and Net Income
Consolidated sales for the third quarter decreased by $6.9 million or 4%, and consolidated net income fell by $2.8 million or 34% compared to last year.
Challenges in Automotive Solutions Segment
Sales in the Automotive Solutions segment dropped due to customer-driven delays, unfavorable vehicle mix, and slightly lower production volumes in North America and Europe.
Softened Demand for Die-Cast Tooling
Demand for new high-pressure die-cast molds was relatively weak due to a slowdown in EV adoption, regulatory changes, and OEMs extending the life of existing platforms.
Pressure on Profitability Due to Increased Costs
Profitability was pressured by increased restructuring costs, foreign exchange losses, and rising labor costs, particularly in Mexico.
Company Guidance
During the Exco Technologies Limited Fiscal Year 2025 Third Quarter Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on various metrics and challenges faced. The quarter saw a 4% decline in consolidated sales to $154.9 million from the previous year, with foreign exchange rate changes contributing a $3.1 million increase. Net income decreased by 34% to $5.4 million or $0.14 per share, impacted by $600,000 in restructuring charges. The Automotive Solutions segment experienced a sales decline to $80.8 million, attributed to unfavorable vehicle mix and reduced production volumes, while foreign exchange added $1.5 million to sales. In the Casting and Extrusion segment, sales fell by 6% to $74 million, hampered by weakened die-cast tooling demand, although extrusion tooling sales remained stable due to diversified end markets. The company also highlighted the impact of tariffs and trade agreements, noting a 15% baseline tariff established in recent U.S. trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and South Korea, which could benefit Exco by increasing demand for locally produced tooling. Exco's financial position remains robust, with $23.5 million in cash and $95 million in debt, supporting strategic initiatives amid ongoing trade and market uncertainties.

Exco Technologies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Exco Technologies shows mixed financial performance. The income statement indicates challenges in revenue growth and profitability, with a decline in net profit margin to 3.95%. The balance sheet is strong with a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24 and a high equity ratio of 66.32%. Cash flow analysis reveals potential issues in free cash flow generation, despite strong operating cash flow.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Exco Technologies has experienced fluctuating revenue growth with a recent decline of 0.77% in the latest year. The gross profit margin stands at 20.00%, indicating moderate efficiency in controlling production costs. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 3.95%, reflecting challenges in maintaining profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are 5.51% and 11.23%, respectively, showing a decline in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.24, indicating a conservative use of debt financing. Return on equity is 5.96%, suggesting moderate profitability relative to shareholder investments. The equity ratio is 66.32%, highlighting a strong equity position relative to total assets, which provides financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Exco Technologies has faced a 24.82% decline in free cash flow growth, indicating potential challenges in generating cash from operations. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.71, showing strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.22, suggesting limited free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue615.26M615.26M637.79M619.30M489.94M461.17M
Gross Profit123.07M123.07M135.11M130.59M97.27M109.21M
EBITDA69.03M69.06M82.18M74.53M53.05M70.09M
Net Income24.29M24.29M29.62M26.28M18.97M38.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets614.24M614.24M607.00M612.07M576.32M430.13M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.87M22.87M31.64M15.80M17.02M24.10M
Total Debt97.13M97.13M112.25M116.36M114.01M5.54M
Total Liabilities206.99M206.99M225.73M241.05M227.81M85.07M
Stockholders Equity407.25M407.25M381.27M371.02M348.51M345.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow29.73M29.73M47.84M19.19M-30.03M9.08M
Operating Cash Flow65.84M65.84M81.74M58.17M23.47M47.79M
Investing Cash Flow-35.76M-35.76M-33.72M-37.79M-110.36M-38.33M
Financing Cash Flow-39.63M-39.63M-32.25M-21.81M79.98M-16.88M

Exco Technologies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.80
Price Trends
50DMA
6.53
Positive
100DMA
6.55
Positive
200DMA
6.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
60.64
Neutral
STOCH
67.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:XTC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.66, above the 50-day MA of 6.53, and above the 200-day MA of 6.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:XTC.

Exco Technologies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$21.48B14.988.31%3.58%0.66%-0.61%
77
Outperform
C$5.12B20.884.01%1.31%-5.33%-57.58%
71
Outperform
C$258.16M10.746.05%6.18%-3.53%-17.19%
63
Neutral
C$384.16M13.365.60%2.99%7.20%-33.22%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
51
Neutral
C$748.99M-18.20-2.64%1.94%-7.25%-143.07%
40
Underperform
C$526.67M-66.9118.07%-26.93%84.17%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:XTC
Exco Technologies
6.80
-0.26
-3.63%
TSE:MG
Magna International
76.22
18.61
32.30%
TSE:LNR
Linamar
85.61
29.88
53.61%
TSE:MRE
Martinrea International
10.29
1.56
17.82%
TSE:ACQ
AutoCanada
22.75
5.44
31.43%
TSE:GBT
BMTC Group Inc.
12.05
-0.79
-6.15%

Exco Technologies Corporate Events

Exco Technologies Limited: Resilience Amidst Market Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

Exco Technologies Limited’s recent earnings call presented a balanced sentiment amidst a challenging automotive market landscape. The company demonstrated resilience in its extrusion tooling operations and effective cost management strategies, despite facing significant declines in automotive production and sales, as well as profitability pressures. Positive developments in trade agreements and a strong financial position were also highlighted, indicating a mix of challenges and opportunities for the company.

Exco Technologies Reports Q3 2025 Earnings
Aug 1, 2025

Exco Technologies Limited is a global supplier of innovative technologies serving the die-cast, extrusion, and automotive industries, with a presence in 21 strategic locations across 9 countries. In its third-quarter earnings report for fiscal 2025, Exco Technologies reported consolidated sales of $154.9 million, a slight decrease from the previous year’s $161.8 million. The company also announced a quarterly dividend of $0.105 per common share, reflecting its commitment to returning value to shareholders.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Exco Technologies Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Market Challenges
Negative
Jul 30, 2025

Exco Technologies reported a decrease in consolidated sales for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with sales dropping to $154.9 million from $161.8 million the previous year. Despite the challenges of customer delays, softer demand, and trade uncertainties, the company maintained a net income of $5.4 million. The Automotive Solutions segment faced declines due to unfavorable vehicle mix and production volumes, while the Casting and Extrusion segment saw a decrease in sales due to weakened demand for die-cast tooling. However, Exco remains optimistic about future growth opportunities, particularly in additive tooling and the potential benefits from anticipated tariff increases affecting foreign suppliers.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:XTC) stock is a Buy with a C$7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Exco Technologies stock, see the TSE:XTC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025