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Linamar Corp. (TSE:LNR)
TSX:LNR
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Linamar (LNR) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:LNR

Linamar

(TSX:LNR)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
C$85.00
▲(3.02% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:04/16/26
The score is driven mainly by solid financial performance (improving 2025 profitability, manageable leverage, and positive free cash flow) and a low P/E valuation. These positives are tempered by weak technical positioning (price below major moving averages, negative MACD) and ongoing end-market and tariff-related uncertainties highlighted on the earnings call.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained, large positive free cash flow (~$0.91B in 2025) provides durable financial flexibility: funds organic investment, selective M&A, buybacks and debt paydown. Over 2–6 months this underpins balance-sheet resilience and the ability to fund program ramps without external financing.
Negative Factors
Industrial & Agriculture Weakness
Prolonged softness in Industrial and Agriculture end markets reduces revenue diversification and creates persistent headwinds to consolidated growth. These cyclical segments can keep utilization and margins depressed for multiple quarters, limiting near-term stability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Sustained, large positive free cash flow (~$0.91B in 2025) provides durable financial flexibility: funds organic investment, selective M&A, buybacks and debt paydown. Over 2–6 months this underpins balance-sheet resilience and the ability to fund program ramps without external financing.
Read all positive factors

Linamar (LNR) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Linamar Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Linamar Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, design, develop, and produce engineered products in Canada, North America, Europe, and the Asia Pacific. It operates through two segments, Mobility and Industrial. The Mobility segment engages i...
How the Company Makes Money
Linamar makes money mainly by manufacturing and supplying engineered components, systems, and modules to OEM customers under multi-year supply arrangements and ongoing production programs. Its core revenue stream is the sale of parts and assemblie...

Linamar Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized many material positives: record normalized earnings, robust mobility performance (double-digit sales and large YoY earnings growth), nearly $1 billion of free cash flow, a strong balance sheet (net debt/EBITDA ~0.8x), disciplined capital allocation (CapEx down 24%), successful strategic acquisitions (Aludyne, Leipzig) and $1.5 billion of new mobility wins. These strengths largely offset notable challenges in the Industrial and Agriculture end markets (double-digit declines and tariff exposure), localized margin pressure in Q4 and continued macro/ tariff uncertainty. Overall, operational execution, cash generation and strategic expansion were presented as dominant themes, outweighing the headwinds.
Positive Updates
Record Earnings and EPS Growth
Full-year 2025 record normalized earnings of $622.1 million (6.1% of sales). Q4 normalized net earnings of $136.4 million (5.4% of sales), up 22% year-over-year. Normalized EPS: $2.28 in Q4 (up 25.3% YoY); full-year EPS $10.36 (up 5.6% YoY).
Negative Updates
Industrial Segment Weakness
Q4 Industrial sales declined 13.2% (to $553.1 million). Q4 normalized Industrial operating earnings decreased 25.7% YoY to $67.9 million. Full-year Industrial softness materially pressured consolidated top-line growth.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Earnings and EPS Growth
Full-year 2025 record normalized earnings of $622.1 million (6.1% of sales). Q4 normalized net earnings of $136.4 million (5.4% of sales), up 22% year-over-year. Normalized EPS: $2.28 in Q4 (up 25.3% YoY); full-year EPS $10.36 (up 5.6% YoY).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance was reiterated as unchanged from the prior call: for Q1 2026 Linamar expects double‑digit growth in Mobility sales and double‑digit growth in Mobility normalized operating earnings with margins expanding further into the company’s normal range, while Industrial is expected to show year‑over‑year declines (driven by double‑digit drops in both Ag and Access) with Industrial margins expected to be within the normal range; management is not providing full‑year segment guidance due to elevated volatility but still expects normalized earnings and margin growth for 2026, supported by Mobility even as the vehicle market is forecast to decline ~0.4% globally (North America ~‑2.2%, Europe ~‑0.4%, Asia ~flat); free cash flow is expected to remain strongly positive, CapEx will increase from 2025 but remain below the company’s normal range as a percent of sales, and the balance sheet provides flexibility (net debt/EBITDA ~0.8x vs. a <1.5x target, cash ~$911M, total liquidity ~$2.1B); the company will continue its NCIB (3.9M shares authorized; ~462k shares repurchased for ~$39M in the program, ~2.2M shares repurchased since Nov 2024, ~$139M returned).

Linamar Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid but not perfectly consistent: 2025 profitability rebounded (net margin ~5.7% vs ~2.4% in 2024) and leverage improved (debt-to-equity ~0.34). Cash generation is a strength with positive 2025 free cash flow (~$0.91B), but free-cash-flow momentum and earnings have been volatile (including negative FCF in 2023) and revenue dipped modestly vs 2024.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.23B10.58B9.73B7.92B6.54B
Gross Profit1.52B1.50B1.32B974.81M937.65M
EBITDA1.52B1.52B1.27B986.06M1.02B
Net Income584.52M258.26M503.05M426.19M420.56M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.89B10.50B9.85B8.58B7.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments911.08M1.05B653.33M860.51M928.43M
Total Debt2.10B2.29B1.77B1.31B791.54M
Total Liabilities4.79B5.07B4.53B3.76B2.79B
Stockholders Equity6.10B5.43B5.32B4.81B4.60B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow909.04M593.68M-17.34M37.06M666.40M
Operating Cash Flow1.33B1.13B745.37M447.71M909.46M
Investing Cash Flow-837.27M-1.12B-1.19B-715.74M-267.32M
Financing Cash Flow-645.50M363.68M255.57M176.81M-572.77M

Linamar Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price82.51
Price Trends
50DMA
88.25
Negative
100DMA
85.96
Negative
200DMA
79.12
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.27
Positive
RSI
44.19
Neutral
STOCH
24.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:LNR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 82.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 85.05, below the 50-day MA of 88.25, and above the 200-day MA of 79.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TSE:LNR.

Linamar Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
C$2.41B14.2210.69%7.11%1.55%-2.75%
69
Neutral
C$276.34M13.486.05%6.21%-0.55%-10.87%
68
Neutral
C$4.99B8.519.92%1.32%-3.31%133.15%
66
Neutral
C$23.58B17.796.73%3.69%0.06%-15.18%
63
Neutral
C$686.25M7.047.13%1.93%-3.83%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
C$2.54B-9.31-24.33%18.00%-5135.26%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:LNR
Linamar
90.89
40.52
80.43%
TSE:MG
Magna International
86.45
39.94
85.87%
TSE:XTC
Exco Technologies
7.38
1.71
30.20%
TSE:MRE
Martinrea International
10.04
2.83
39.31%
TSE:NFI
NFI Group Inc
21.76
9.89
83.32%
TSE:WPK
Winpak
40.16
-2.59
-6.07%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 16, 2026