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BMTC Group Inc. (TSE:GBT)
TSX:GBT
Canadian Market

BMTC Group Inc. (GBT) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:GBT

BMTC Group Inc.

(TSX:GBT)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
C$15.00
â–²(16.64% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality: strong top-line growth and a very low-debt balance sheet are outweighed by weakened profitability and especially weak/volatile cash flow conversion. Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages and positive MACD, and valuation appears reasonable with a moderate P/E and a ~2.6% dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong revenue growth and healthy gross margins
Sustained TTM revenue growth of ~25% combined with ~40% gross margins indicates durable demand and margin control across product lines. This supports scalable top-line expansion and long-term gross-profit capacity to fund reinvestment and growth initiatives.
Very low leverage and large equity base
Extremely low debt-to-equity (~0.02) and a sizable equity cushion reduce solvency risk and preserve financial flexibility. This balance-sheet strength supports capital allocation for capex or M&A, and buffers the firm through cyclical or industry shocks without near-term refinancing pressure.
Diversified business model with strategic partnerships
Operating across telecom, software and renewable energy with notable partner relationships broadens revenue streams and reduces exposure to a single market. Diversification plus partner channels can sustain long-term growth, cross-sell opportunities, and resilience to sector-specific downturns.
Negative Factors
Weakened profitability and negative trailing operating profit
A low net margin (~4.6%) alongside negative TTM EBIT signals margin compression and operational strain. Persistent weak operating profitability reduces retained earnings for reinvestment, pressures return metrics, and limits ability to scale profitably over the medium term.
Poor and volatile cash conversion
Very weak cash conversion (OCF ≈0.11x of earnings) and a ~68.8% fall in FCF signal inconsistent liquidity generation. This volatility constrains sustainable capex, dividends, and debt service capacity, increasing reliance on equity or external funding for strategic initiatives.
Declining earnings per share and weakening returns
Material EPS contraction (~-33% growth) alongside falling ROE (~5.5%) versus prior years indicates deterioration in profitability per share and capital efficiency. Persisting trends would impair internal funding, investor confidence, and ability to generate attractive long-term shareholder returns.

BMTC Group Inc. (GBT) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

BMTC Group Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBMTC Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manages and operates a retail network of furniture, household appliances, and electronic products in Canada. It operates through two divisions, Brault & Martineau and EconoMax. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyBMTC Group Inc. generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money by providing telecommunications services, such as internet connectivity and voice services, to both residential and commercial customers. Additionally, the company capitalizes on its renewable energy sector by offering energy management solutions that help clients optimize their energy usage, thus creating cost savings and efficiency gains. The software development division also contributes to revenue through custom software solutions and licensing agreements. Significant partnerships with technology providers and energy companies enhance BMTC's offerings and broaden its market reach, contributing positively to its earnings.

BMTC Group Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BMTC Group Inc. has a solid balance sheet with strong equity but faces challenges in maintaining consistent revenue growth and operating margins. Cash flow has improved, but historical fluctuations present a potential risk. Continued focus on operational efficiency and managing leverage will be crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
The company's gross profit margin and net profit margin have shown some resilience despite revenue fluctuations. The revenue growth rate has been inconsistent, with recent declines. EBIT and EBITDA margins have weakened over the last year, indicating pressure on operating efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a strong equity base with a favorable equity ratio, reflecting financial stability. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has slightly increased, which may indicate growing leverage. ROE remains healthy, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
Cash flow operations have improved, with a positive shift in free cash flow, though historical volatility is noted. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates some challenges in converting income to cash, which should be monitored.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue627.11M602.70M578.95M717.97M819.45M649.06M
Gross Profit250.62M236.26M224.46M283.11M323.69M261.10M
EBITDA28.07M14.91M-6.15M53.82M94.23M77.15M
Net Income28.80M43.91M47.43M40.84M81.93M54.84M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets700.62M724.95M621.03M581.96M549.93M450.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.45M1.50M1.25M3.05M18.98M5.79M
Total Debt12.98M32.88M30.49M19.76M12.73M24.28M
Total Liabilities169.25M195.44M144.13M141.06M162.06M179.50M
Stockholders Equity531.37M529.51M476.90M440.90M387.87M270.71M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.59M11.49M-11.24M-5.69M59.98M62.20M
Operating Cash Flow11.76M32.73M-9.18M-1.94M62.23M83.95M
Investing Cash Flow25.37M-4.61M16.62M-3.25M-17.54M-62.98M
Financing Cash Flow-26.13M-20.33M-20.88M-21.79M-22.51M-16.65M

BMTC Group Inc. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.86
Price Trends
50DMA
12.71
Positive
100DMA
12.81
Positive
200DMA
12.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Negative
RSI
61.75
Neutral
STOCH
85.55
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:GBT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.86, above the 50-day MA of 12.71, and above the 200-day MA of 12.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.55 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:GBT.

BMTC Group Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
C$1.97B11.2315.07%3.11%1.99%31.36%
69
Neutral
C$9.48B13.3013.16%4.10%-0.13%13.73%
66
Neutral
C$454.17M15.805.60%2.80%7.20%-33.22%
64
Neutral
C$9.48B15.7613.16%3.17%-0.13%13.73%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:GBT
BMTC Group Inc.
13.90
0.08
0.58%
TSE:LNF
Leon's Furniture
28.47
4.56
19.07%
TSE:CTC
Canadian Tire
216.63
0.98
0.46%
TSE:CTC.A
Canadian Tire
175.91
20.55
13.22%

BMTC Group Inc. Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
BMTC Group Inc. Reports Increased Revenue but Declining Net Earnings
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

BMTC Group Inc. reported a revenue increase of 5.4% for the nine months ended October 31, 2025, driven by the Tanguay division’s growth. However, net earnings decreased due to losses in the real estate division and severance costs. The company is outsourcing its warehousing activities in Montréal, which has led to additional severance provisions. Despite these challenges, operational improvements and sales growth have helped mitigate the impact on net income.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:GBT) stock is a Hold with a C$14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on BMTC Group Inc. stock, see the TSE:GBT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026