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Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. (TSE:PET)
TSX:PET
Canadian Market
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Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. (PET) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:PET

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.

(TSX:PET)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
C$41.00
â–²(12.45% Upside)
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. has a strong overall stock score driven by robust financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's strategic initiatives and leadership transition further enhance its growth prospects. However, high leverage and a relatively high P/E ratio present some risks. The stock's upward momentum and positive corporate events are significant strengths.
Positive Factors
Earnings Growth
PET is well-positioned to achieve low-double-digit EPS growth over the long term despite continued macro pressures.
Market Position
PET remains disciplined and will focus on targeted promotions geared toward high-value, loyal customers.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Promotional pressures and competition remain intense going into the holiday season.
Macroeconomic Challenges
The timing for macroeconomic and consumer improvement is now further delayed to 2H25.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. (PET) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPet Valu Holdings Ltd. (PET) is a leading specialty retailer of pet food and pet-related supplies in Canada. The company operates under the Pet Valu, Paulmac’s, and Bosley’s brands, offering a wide array of pet products including food, toys, grooming supplies, and accessories. Pet Valu is recognized for its well-curated product selection, knowledgeable staff, and convenient locations, catering to pet owners who seek quality and value for their pets.
How the Company Makes MoneyPet Valu Holdings Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of pet food and pet-related supplies across its retail locations. The company operates both corporate-owned stores and a network of franchise locations, which contribute to its revenue streams. Pet Valu's revenue model is supported by its extensive range of pet products, private label offerings, and exclusive brands which often carry higher margins. Additionally, the company benefits from strong supplier relationships and economies of scale, enabling competitive pricing and robust product availability. Significant partnerships with pet product manufacturers and a focus on customer loyalty programs also play a crucial role in driving sales and repeat business.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 9.56%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a resilient performance by Pet Valu amidst challenging economic conditions. While the company faced negative same-store sales growth and macroeconomic headwinds, it achieved notable revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, driven by strategic investments in supply chain and franchise expansion. The increase in free cash flow and proactive cost management underscored the company's strong financial position. However, challenges such as increased competitive pressure and the need for further price adjustments were acknowledged.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Despite flat system-wide sales and negative same-store sales growth, Pet Valu achieved over 5% revenue growth, driven by higher wholesale shipments and the addition of 50 franchise stores in the past 12 months.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Pet Valu reported a 13% growth in adjusted EBITDA, a significant financial accomplishment amidst challenging macroeconomic conditions.
Free Cash Flow Increase
Year-to-date, Pet Valu generated over $60 million in free cash flow, surpassing annual amounts in both 2022 and 2023, allowing earlier-than-expected share buybacks.
Supply Chain Transformation
Successful opening of a new distribution center in Surrey, BC, and significant advancements in supply chain capacity, supporting future store growth and improved operational efficiencies.
Negative Updates
Negative Same-Store Sales Growth
Same-store sales declined by 2.5%, with a 2% growth in average basket offset by a 4% decline in transactions.
Macroeconomic Headwinds
Persistent macroeconomic challenges resulted in constrained consumer spending, impacting Pet Valu's sales performance.
Increased Competitive Pressure
Heightened promotional intensity, particularly in discretionary categories like hardlines and treats, requiring adjustments to pricing strategies.
Company Guidance
In the Pet Valu Q3 2024 earnings call, management provided guidance indicating expectations for revenue between $1.08 billion and $1.1 billion, driven by the growth of their store network, increased wholesale penetration, and roughly flat same-store sales growth. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $243 million and $246 million, with softer margins anticipated in Q4 due to promotional and advertising intensity and strategic pricing actions. The company expects adjusted net income per diluted share to be between $1.50 and $1.53. Despite economic headwinds, Pet Valu has generated over $61 million in free cash flow year-to-date, surpassing previous years and enabling the commencement of share buybacks. Looking forward, Pet Valu anticipates continued earnings growth, particularly in the second half of 2025, while maintaining focus on generating over $100 million in free cash flow.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. demonstrates strong financial performance with solid revenue growth, efficient operational management, and positive cash flow. However, high leverage poses a financial risk that needs attention.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. has demonstrated robust revenue growth over the years, with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increase from the previous annual report. The gross profit margin remains healthy, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is solid, although there's a slight decline in net income compared to previous years. The company has maintained a strong EBIT and EBITDA margin, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects high leverage with a substantial debt-to-equity ratio, posing potential financial risk. However, stockholders' equity has been improving over the years, indicating a positive trend. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting higher reliance on debt financing. Despite these concerns, the return on equity is strong, showing effective use of shareholders' funds to generate profits.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. has shown consistent operating cash flow, with positive free cash flow growth, although slightly down in the TTM data. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. The company maintains a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio, suggesting efficient cash management and potential for reinvestment or debt servicing.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.10B1.06B951.70M776.01M648.46M
Gross Profit364.64M365.14M352.30M287.18M230.63M
EBITDA231.16M215.41M206.12M206.78M136.13M
Net Income87.42M89.55M100.77M95.36M28.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets970.93M916.91M740.18M599.17M562.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.14M28.44M63.03M50.07M71.48M
Total Debt749.29M737.13M605.11M584.41M923.02M
Total Liabilities875.18M847.19M739.80M693.70M1.03B
Stockholders Equity95.75M69.72M376.00K-94.52M-588.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow133.42M72.17M79.11M109.70M131.02M
Operating Cash Flow200.08M135.34M123.52M138.16M152.14M
Investing Cash Flow-20.44M-16.15M-17.32M3.99M11.55M
Financing Cash Flow-183.82M-153.78M-92.80M-163.34M-135.90M

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.46
Price Trends
50DMA
33.17
Positive
100DMA
30.16
Positive
200DMA
27.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.83
Negative
RSI
70.32
Negative
STOCH
85.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:PET, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.46 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.53, above the 50-day MA of 33.17, and above the 200-day MA of 27.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.83 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.32 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:PET.

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
C$2.49B26.98126.66%1.26%5.18%17.66%
68
Neutral
$8.92B17.7113.84%2.91%0.05%99.91%
65
Neutral
$8.92B11.6413.84%4.38%0.05%99.91%
61
Neutral
C$4.60B8.2113.40%3.76%3.56%-0.43%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:PET
Pet Valu Holdings Ltd.
36.46
12.21
50.35%
TSE:CTC
Canadian Tire
243.00
29.63
13.89%
TSE:CTC.A
Canadian Tire
161.54
17.93
12.49%

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pet Valu Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Announces CEO Succession
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. reported a strong financial performance in the second quarter of 2025, with a 2.6% growth in same-store sales and a 6% increase in revenue. The company raised its 2025 outlook and announced a CEO succession plan, with Greg Ramier set to succeed Richard Maltsbarger as CEO. The completion of a multi-year distribution centre transformation positions Pet Valu for long-term growth, aiming for over 1,200 stores. The leadership transition is expected to continue the momentum achieved under Maltsbarger’s tenure, as the company remains focused on growth and innovation in the pet retail industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PET) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. stock, see the TSE:PET Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pet Valu Announces C$576 Million Secondary Offering, Ending Roark Capital’s Stake
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. announced a C$576 million secondary bought deal offering, with the proceeds going to the selling shareholders, Roark Capital Partners and others. This transaction marks the end of Roark’s ownership in Pet Valu, terminating their investor rights agreement and resulting in changes to the board of directors. The company, under CEO Richard Maltsbarger, is well-positioned to continue its growth trajectory with a strong omni-channel presence and modernized supply chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PET) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. stock, see the TSE:PET Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Pet Valu Completes C$22.5 Million Over-Allotment Option
Neutral
May 21, 2025

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. announced the successful closing of a C$22.5 million over-allotment option as part of a secondary bought deal offering, which involved the sale of 780,000 additional common shares. The total gross proceeds from this offering, including the over-allotment, amounted to approximately C$172.5 million, benefiting the selling shareholders. The company itself did not receive any proceeds from this transaction. Following the offering, the selling shareholders collectively own about 29% of the outstanding common shares. This financial maneuver, led by a syndicate of underwriters, underscores Pet Valu’s robust market presence and strategic financial positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PET) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. stock, see the TSE:PET Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Pet Valu Completes C$150 Million Share Offering
Neutral
May 16, 2025

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. has completed a secondary bought deal offering, raising approximately C$150 million through the sale of 5.2 million common shares by its selling shareholders. This transaction, which did not provide proceeds to the company itself, reduces the selling shareholders’ stake to about 30% of the outstanding shares, potentially impacting their influence and the company’s market dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PET) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. stock, see the TSE:PET Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pet Valu Announces Strategic Share Repurchase and Secondary Offering
Neutral
May 12, 2025

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. announced the repurchase of 2,079,000 common shares from its selling shareholders at a discount, funded through cash and available credit. This strategic move, approved by a special committee of independent directors, is not expected to negatively impact the company’s market price or financial condition. Additionally, the selling shareholders have agreed to a secondary offering of 5.2 million common shares, which will result in them holding approximately 30% of the company’s outstanding shares.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PET) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. stock, see the TSE:PET Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
Pet Valu Announces C$150 Million Secondary Offering and Share Repurchase
Neutral
May 12, 2025

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. announced a C$150 million secondary bought deal offering, with the selling shareholders entering an agreement with a syndicate of underwriters led by RBC Dominion Securities Inc. The offering involves the sale of 5.2 million common shares at C$28.85 each, with the proceeds going directly to the selling shareholders. The company will not receive any proceeds from this offering. Additionally, Pet Valu has repurchased 2,079,000 common shares from the selling shareholders. Following these transactions, the selling shareholders will own approximately 30% of the company’s outstanding shares. This move is expected to impact the company’s share distribution and may influence its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:PET) stock is a Buy with a C$33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. stock, see the TSE:PET Stock Forecast page.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pet Valu Reports Strong Start to 2025 with Revenue Growth and Strategic Expansion
Positive
May 6, 2025

Pet Valu Holdings Ltd. reported a positive start to 2025 with a 1.4% growth in same-store sales and a 7% increase in revenue for the first quarter. The company opened seven new stores, bringing the total to 830, and declared a dividend of $0.12 per share. The CEO highlighted the effective commercial plan and strong in-store execution as key drivers of growth. The company remains focused on strategic investments to support long-term growth and profitability, despite challenges such as increased SG&A expenses and a slight decrease in gross profit margin.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2025