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Royal Bank Of Canada (TSE:RY)
TSX:RY
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Royal Bank Of Canada
(TSX:RY)
Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
C$228.00
▲(13.56% Upside)
Positive Factors
Earnings
Strong earnings beat led primarily by Personal Banking and Capital Markets.
Financial Performance
Royal's return on equity profile is expected to be several hundred basis points superior to peers, increasing confidence in the sustainability of the stock’s premium price-to-book multiple.
Growth Potential
The bank is well-positioned to benefit from an anticipated rebound in market-related activities through its Wealth Management and Capital Markets businesses.
Negative Factors
Economic Uncertainty
Impaired PCLs appear to be stabilizing, but management remains cautious given high Canadian unemployment, capital markets lumpiness, and potential for further geopolitical shifts.
Regulatory Challenges
Unclear whether the regulatory consent order on City National would need to be lifted for Royal to pursue a deal in the US.
Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
$268.50B
Dividend Yield2.97%
Average Volume (3M)4.04M
Price to Earnings (P/E)15.1
Beta (1Y)0.85
Revenue Growth3.48%
EPS Growth17.81%
CountryCA
Employees94,624
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength73
IndustryBanks - Diversified
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.84
Shares Outstanding1,410,276,700
10 Day Avg. Volume2,707,542
30 Day Avg. Volume4,041,521
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.08
Price to Book (P/B)1.87
Price to Sales (P/S)4.14
P/FCF Ratio11.42
Enterprise Value/Market Cap2.04
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.61
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit9.18
Enterprise Value/Ebitda20.03
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$219.36Price Target Upside9.26% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering10
Royal Bank Of Canada Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionRoyal Bank of Canada (RY) is one of the largest financial institutions in Canada and a leading global bank. It operates through various segments including Personal & Commercial Banking, Wealth Management, Insurance, Investor & Treasury Services, and Capital Markets. RBC provides a wide range of financial services, including personal banking, business banking, investment services, asset management, and insurance products, serving millions of clients across Canada and internationally.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoyal Bank of Canada's revenue model is primarily based on interest income, fee-based income, and trading revenues. The majority of its revenue comes from Personal & Commercial Banking, which earns interest from loans and mortgages, as well as fees from various banking transactions. Wealth Management contributes significantly through asset management fees and commissions from financial products. Insurance operations generate premiums and investment income, while Capital Markets focuses on trading, investment banking, and advisory services. Additionally, RBC's Investor & Treasury Services provides custody and administration services, which further contribute to its revenue. Strategic partnerships and a strong digital banking presence also enhance its earnings potential.
Royal Bank Of Canada Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Dec 03, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted RBC's strong financial performance driven by record earnings and substantial growth in revenue across multiple segments, particularly in Capital Markets and Wealth Management. However, the bank remains cautious due to geopolitical risks, trade uncertainties, and elevated credit provisions, which could impact future performance. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment remains positive due to the strong results and strategic initiatives in place.Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Third Quarter Earnings
RBC reported record third quarter earnings of $5.4 billion, up 21% or over $900 million from the previous year, with a strong return on equity of over 17% for the quarter.
Strong Revenue Growth Across Segments
Revenue reached $17 billion this quarter, including record revenue in Capital Markets and double-digit growth in Personal Banking and Wealth Management.
Capital Markets Performance
Capital Markets reported record revenue of $3.8 billion, pre-provision pretax earnings of $1.7 billion, and net income of $1.3 billion, driven by strong results in Global Markets and Corporate Investment Banking.
Wealth Management Growth
Double-digit growth in assets under administration in both Canadian and U.S. Wealth Management, with significant market appreciation and net new client assets.
HSBC Canada Acquisition Synergies
Realization of $740 million in annualized cost synergies from the acquisition of HSBC Bank Canada, contributing to strong operating leverage.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical and Trade Policy Risks
Uncertainty around trade policy, particularly China's levy against Canada's canola exports and potential renegotiation of CUSMA, poses risks to consumer confidence and corporate profit margins.
Elevated Credit Loss Provisions
Provisions on impaired loans were up, with commercial banking PCLs remaining elevated due to softer economic conditions and ongoing trade uncertainty.
Challenges in Commercial Real Estate
Growth in commercial banking moderated to 6% year-over-year, with challenges noted in more tariff-sensitive sectors and cyclical headwinds in commercial real estate.
Softer Canadian Economy Impacts
The Canadian economy shows signs of softness, impacting sectors such as transportation, industrial products, and consumer discretionary, contributing to elevated impairments.
Company Guidance
During the RBC 2025 Third Quarter Results Conference Call, RBC reported record earnings of $5.4 billion, marking a 21% increase from the previous year, alongside a robust return on equity (ROE) of over 17% for the quarter. The bank's capital strength was highlighted with a CET1 ratio of 13.2%, and gross capital generation contributed 77 basis points. Revenue reached $17 billion, bolstered by significant gains in Capital Markets and double-digit growth in Personal Banking and Wealth Management. In terms of guidance, RBC anticipates maintaining an ROE of at least 16% in fiscal 2026, amidst a backdrop of geopolitical risks and trade uncertainties. The bank's diversified business model, strategic investments, and focus on cost synergies, particularly from the acquisition of HSBC Bank Canada, underpin its positive outlook, despite external challenges.Royal Bank Of Canada Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Royal Bank of Canada exhibits strong financial performance with high profitability margins, efficient cash flow management, and a stable balance sheet. Despite a relatively high leverage typical for the banking sector, the bank's robust revenue growth and strong returns on equity indicate effective financial management.Income Statement
The Royal Bank of Canada demonstrates strong financial performance with high gross and net profit margins. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is approximately 61.13%, and the net profit margin is 18.67%. The revenue shows a steady growth trend, with a notable increase of 69.64% from the previous period. The bank also maintains robust EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating efficient operations and profitability.85
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial position with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 5.90, suggesting manageable leverage. The return on equity is strong at 13.75%, highlighting efficient asset utilization. The equity ratio stands at 5.91%, which is typical for large banks with significant liabilities. Overall, the balance sheet supports continued financial stability.78
Positive
Cash Flow
Royal Bank of Canada's cash flow is robust, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 198.85% over the previous year, indicating strong cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 3.56, demonstrating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.42, further affirming the bank's strong cash flow management.82
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 97.55B | 57.49B | 53.66B | 48.77B | 49.54B | 47.10B |
| Gross Profit | 59.65B | 57.49B | 56.26B | 48.77B | 49.54B | 47.10B |
| EBITDA | 27.32B | 27.28B | 21.45B | 22.63B | 23.06B | 16.92B |
| Net Income | 18.22B | 16.23B | 14.86B | 15.79B | 16.04B | 11.43B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 2.24T | 2.17T | 2.00T | 1.92T | 1.71T | 1.62T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 410.65B | 167.13B | 212.00B | 240.60B | 231.03B | 297.64B |
| Total Debt | 781.27B | 474.20B | 439.35B | 425.18B | 305.05B | 9.87B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.11T | 2.04T | 1.89T | 1.81T | 1.61T | 1.54T |
| Stockholders Equity | 132.45B | 127.09B | 117.66B | 108.06B | 98.67B | 86.66B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 78.84B | 20.86B | 23.35B | 19.44B | 58.86B | 136.19B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 81.39B | 23.14B | 26.08B | 21.94B | 61.04B | 138.82B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -88.75B | -20.89B | -28.27B | -57.05B | -57.35B | -39.56B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -7.99B | -8.15B | -9.83B | -2.19B | -5.93B | -7.75B |
Royal Bank Of Canada Technical Analysis
Positive
200.77
Price Trends
181.64
Positive
174.28
Positive
170.69
Positive
Market Momentum
4.34
Negative
84.53
Negative
77.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 200.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 187.11, above the 50-day MA of 181.64, and above the 200-day MA of 170.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 84.53 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RY.
Royal Bank Of Canada Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $268.50B | 15.13 | 14.60% | 2.97% | 3.48% | 17.81% | |
77 Outperform | $86.53B | 14.55 | 10.20% | 3.79% | 15.63% | 66.95% | |
68 Neutral | $17.90B | 11.92 | 10.29% | 3.72% | 9.73% | 1.69% | |
| ― | $77.54B | 16.01 | 8.64% | 4.92% | ― | ― | |
| ― | $71.95B | 12.63 | 13.40% | 3.56% | ― | ― | |
| ― | $132.30B | 10.99 | 17.36% | 4.07% | ― | ― | |
| ― | $40.87B | 14.23 | 13.25% | 3.15% | ― | ― |
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
TSE:RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
199.58
42.09
26.72%
BMO
Bank Of Montreal
121.00
41.11
51.46%
BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
62.39
15.35
32.63%
CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
77.29
21.33
38.12%
TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
75.14
18.07
31.66%
NTIOF
National Bank of Canada
105.61
17.03
19.23%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.