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Royal Bank Of Canada (TSE:RY)
TSX:RY

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) AI Stock Analysis

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TSE:RY

Royal Bank Of Canada

(TSX:RY)

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Outperform 75 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
C$224.00
â–¼(-2.61% Downside)
Royal Bank of Canada's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The stock's technical indicators suggest potential overbought conditions, which could lead to a short-term correction. The valuation is reasonable, providing a balanced outlook for investors.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth across key segments indicates robust business expansion and effective market penetration, supporting long-term financial health.
Capital Strength
A strong capital position with a high CET1 ratio enhances financial stability and provides a buffer against economic uncertainties, supporting sustainable growth.
Strategic Acquisitions
Successful integration of acquisitions like HSBC Canada enhances operational efficiency and competitive positioning, driving long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk, potentially straining cash flow and limiting flexibility, especially in rising interest rate environments.
Declining Margins
Declining profit margins may indicate rising operational costs or competitive challenges, which could pressure future earnings and profitability.
Elevated Credit Loss Provisions
Increased credit loss provisions reflect potential asset quality issues, which could impact profitability and require careful risk management.

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) vs. iShares MSCI Canada ETF (EWC)

Royal Bank Of Canada Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRoyal Bank of Canada operates as a diversified financial service company worldwide. The company's Personal & Commercial Banking segment offers checking and savings accounts, home equity financing, personal lending, private banking, indirect lending, including auto financing, mutual funds and self-directed brokerage accounts, guaranteed investment certificates, credit cards, and payment products and solutions; and lending, leasing, deposit, investment, foreign exchange, cash management, auto dealer financing, trade products, and services to small and medium-sized commercial businesses. This segment offers financial products and services through branches, automated teller machines, and mobile sales network. Its Wealth Management segment provides a suite of advice-based solutions and strategies to high net worth and ultra-high net worth individuals, and institutional clients. The company's Insurance segment offers life, health, home, auto, travel, wealth, annuities, and reinsurance advice and solutions; and business insurance services to individual, business, and group clients through its advice centers, RBC insurance stores, and mobile advisors; digital, mobile, and social platforms; independent brokers; and travel partners. Its Investor & Treasury Services segment provides asset servicing, custody, payments, and treasury services to financial and other investors; and fund and investment administration, shareholder, private capital, performance measurement and compliance monitoring, distribution, transaction banking, cash and liquidity management, foreign exchange, and global securities finance services. The company's Capital Markets segment offers corporate and investment banking, as well as equity and debt origination, distribution, advisory services, sale, and trading services for corporations, institutional investors, asset managers, private equity firms, and governments. The company was founded in 1864 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyRoyal Bank of Canada's revenue model is primarily based on interest income, fee-based income, and trading revenues. The majority of its revenue comes from Personal & Commercial Banking, which earns interest from loans and mortgages, as well as fees from various banking transactions. Wealth Management contributes significantly through asset management fees and commissions from financial products. Insurance operations generate premiums and investment income, while Capital Markets focuses on trading, investment banking, and advisory services. Additionally, RBC's Investor & Treasury Services provides custody and administration services, which further contribute to its revenue. Strategic partnerships and a strong digital banking presence also enhance its earnings potential.

Royal Bank Of Canada Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 03, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
RBC delivered strong financial results with record earnings, increased dividends, and robust performance across multiple segments. However, challenges in credit provisions, commercial real estate, and insurance, along with unresolved trade issues, present ongoing risks.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Fourth Quarter Earnings
RBC reported record fourth quarter earnings of $5.4 billion and adjusted earnings of over $5.5 billion, showcasing the strength of their diversified business model.
Strong Return on Equity
RBC achieved a strong return on equity of 16.8% for the quarter, supported by a CET1 ratio of 13.5%.
Dividend Increase
RBC increased their dividend by $0.10 or 6%, along with a $1 billion share buyback, enhancing shareholder returns.
Wealth Management and Capital Markets Success
Wealth Management reported record revenue, and Capital Markets achieved record fourth quarter results with net income of $1.4 billion, up 45% from the previous year.
Record Results in Multiple Segments
RBC achieved record results in Wealth Management, Personal Banking, Capital Markets, and Commercial Banking, driven by strong volume growth and constructive markets.
Negative Updates
Increased Provisions for Credit Losses
Provisions on impaired loans increased by 2 basis points to 38 basis points, reflecting higher provisions across most segments amid ongoing trade uncertainty.
Challenges in Commercial Real Estate
The commercial real estate sector faced cyclical headwinds, contributing to higher provisions in the commercial banking portfolio.
Insurance Segment Decline
Insurance net income was down 40% from the previous year due to unfavorable annual actuarial assumption updates and adjustments related to a reinsurance recapture gain.
Unresolved U.S.-Canada Trade Issues
Ongoing uncertainty around CUSMA negotiations and sectoral tariffs in the U.S. and Canada continue to pose risks to economic growth and trade.
Company Guidance
During the RBC 2025 Fourth Quarter Results Conference Call, the bank reported record fourth-quarter earnings of $5.4 billion and adjusted earnings of over $5.5 billion, emphasizing the strength of its diversified business model. The quarter's results featured a strong return on equity (ROE) of 16.8% and a CET1 ratio of 13.5%. The bank increased its dividend by $0.10 or 6% and executed share buybacks worth $1 billion, repurchasing nearly 5 million common shares. RBC announced an increase in its medium-term ROE target from 16% plus to 17% plus. The bank highlighted robust performance in segments like Wealth Management, which reported record revenues, and Capital Markets, which saw a 45% increase in net income year-over-year. RBC also noted strong adjusted all-bank operating leverage of 8.5% and projected mid-single-digit annual all-bank net interest income growth, excluding trading, for fiscal 2026. Additionally, the bank highlighted a positive outlook for the Canadian economy, despite geopolitical and economic uncertainties, expecting GDP growth and a gradual decline in unemployment rates.

Royal Bank Of Canada Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Royal Bank of Canada demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, with robust cash flow generation. However, the high leverage poses potential risks, and declining margins may indicate rising costs or competitive challenges. Overall, the financial health is solid, but careful management of debt and costs is essential.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The income statement shows strong revenue growth with a 20.54% increase in TTM, indicating robust business expansion. Gross profit margin is healthy at 51.92%, and net profit margin is solid at 16.29%. However, the margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting increased costs or competitive pressures.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.83, indicating significant leverage, which could pose risks if interest rates rise. Return on equity is strong at 14.50%, showing efficient use of equity. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive free cash flow growth of 7.57% in TTM, indicating good cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.06, suggesting potential issues in converting income to cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 97.29%, showing strong cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue137.36B54.11B49.00B48.50B50.45B
Gross Profit62.17B54.11B49.00B48.50B50.45B
EBITDA0.000.000.000.000.00
Net Income20.36B16.23B14.61B15.79B16.04B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.33T2.17T2.01T1.92T1.71T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments165.28B167.13B212.00B240.60B231.03B
Total Debt834.96B779.52B774.59B699.12B567.25B
Total Liabilities2.19T2.04T1.89T1.81T1.61T
Stockholders Equity139.09B127.09B117.66B108.06B98.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow52.98B20.86B23.35B19.44B58.86B
Operating Cash Flow55.22B23.14B26.08B21.94B61.04B
Investing Cash Flow-68.57B-20.89B-28.27B-57.05B-57.35B
Financing Cash Flow-6.71B-8.15B-9.83B-2.19B-5.93B

Royal Bank Of Canada Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price230.00
Price Trends
50DMA
209.28
Positive
100DMA
200.40
Positive
200DMA
183.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.68
Negative
RSI
83.20
Negative
STOCH
94.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TSE:RY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 230 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 216.47, above the 50-day MA of 209.28, and above the 200-day MA of 183.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.68 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 83.20 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TSE:RY.

Royal Bank Of Canada Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$61.80B15.3013.53%2.69%7.50%-5.28%
75
Outperform
$318.90B16.1515.28%2.65%2.13%25.16%
75
Outperform
C$213.60B10.9316.78%3.34%3.07%144.41%
74
Outperform
$110.53B14.3013.69%3.07%-3.13%18.22%
71
Outperform
$124.13B17.209.19%4.32%-3.65%-1.73%
69
Neutral
C$128.96B15.8710.10%3.55%-1.30%20.41%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TSE:RY
Royal Bank Of Canada
228.29
56.74
33.08%
TSE:BMO
Bank Of Montreal
181.30
46.56
34.56%
TSE:BNS
Bank Of Nova Scotia
100.17
26.11
35.25%
TSE:CM
Canadian Bank of Commerce
127.84
37.37
41.30%
TSE:TD
Toronto Dominion Bank
125.80
53.55
74.12%
TSE:NA
National Bank of Canada
172.62
43.79
33.99%

Royal Bank Of Canada Corporate Events

Royal Bank of Canada Issues $1.35 Billion in Capital Notes to Strengthen Financial Position
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, Royal Bank of Canada announced the issuance of $1.35 billion in 6.500% Limited Recourse Capital Notes, Series 7, and Non-Cumulative 5-Year Fixed Rate Reset First Preferred Shares, Series BZ. This move is part of the bank’s strategy to strengthen its capital base and enhance its financial flexibility. The issuance is expected to have significant implications for the bank’s financial operations, potentially improving its industry positioning and providing more stability for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RY) stock is a Hold with a C$208.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Royal Bank Of Canada stock, see the TSE:RY Stock Forecast page.

RBC Earnings Call: Record Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

The recent earnings call for the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) painted a picture of robust financial health and strategic growth, despite looming external challenges. The sentiment throughout the call was predominantly positive, driven by record earnings and substantial revenue growth across various segments. However, caution was advised due to geopolitical risks, trade uncertainties, and elevated credit provisions that could potentially impact future performance. Nevertheless, the bank’s strong results and strategic initiatives provided a reassuring outlook.

Royal Bank of Canada Reports Record Q3 2025 Earnings
Aug 28, 2025

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) is a global financial institution and the largest bank in Canada, known for its diversified business model and focus on innovation in the banking sector. It operates across multiple segments including personal and commercial banking, wealth management, insurance, and capital markets.

Royal Bank of Canada Reports Record Q3 2025 Earnings
Aug 27, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Royal Bank of Canada reported a record net income of $5.4 billion for the third quarter ended July 31, 2025, marking a 21% increase from the previous year. This growth was driven by strong performance across all business segments, particularly in Capital Markets and Personal Banking, reflecting the bank’s robust business model and strategic investments. The bank’s capital position remains strong with a CET1 ratio of 13.2%, supporting continued growth and shareholder returns. The results highlight RBC’s commitment to client focus and its ability to adapt and thrive in a dynamic economic environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RY) stock is a Buy with a C$201.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Royal Bank Of Canada stock, see the TSE:RY Stock Forecast page.

Royal Bank of Canada Issues $2.75 Billion in Medium-Term Notes
Aug 6, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Royal Bank of Canada announced the issuance of Senior Global Medium-Term Notes, Series J, with a total aggregate principal amount of $2.75 billion. The issuance includes $1.25 billion of 4.498% Senior Fixed Rate/Floating Rate Notes due in 2029, $500 million of Senior Floating Rate Notes due in 2029, and $1 billion of 4.696% Senior Fixed Rate/Floating Rate Notes due in 2031. This strategic move is part of the bank’s ongoing efforts to strengthen its financial position and support its growth initiatives. The issuance is expected to have implications for the bank’s capital structure and may influence its market positioning by enhancing its ability to fund operations and investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TSE:RY) stock is a Buy with a C$168.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Royal Bank Of Canada stock, see the TSE:RY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025