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Transcat (TRNS)
NASDAQ:TRNS

Transcat (TRNS) AI Stock Analysis

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TRNS

Transcat

(NASDAQ:TRNS)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$83.00
▲(8.13% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/04/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying fundamentals and a constructive earnings update (reaffirmed organic growth guidance, strong revenue/margin trends). This is tempered by weaker TTM net/FCF momentum and higher leverage, while valuation is a notable headwind due to the elevated P/E; technicals are neutral overall.
Positive Factors
Consistent Revenue Growth
Nearly 17 years of consecutive quarterly growth shows durable demand and deep client relationships in regulated industries. Consistent organic and acquisition-driven revenue expansion reduces execution risk and supports scale benefits across service and distribution segments.
Margin Expansion
Sustained improvement in gross and EBITDA margins indicates better pricing, higher‑margin rental mix in distribution, and operational leverage from scale. Margin durability supports cash generation and provides buffer to absorb integration or workload onboarding costs over coming quarters.
Strong Operating Cash Generation
Stable, positive operating cash flow backing reported earnings demonstrates underlying cash conversion strength. This durable cash flow finances capex, rental inventory and M&A, and underpins liquidity and the company's ability to invest in service capabilities and technology over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Material increase in debt from recent acquisitions reduces financial flexibility and raises interest burden. Higher leverage magnifies downside risk if margins or cash flow soften, and constrains optionality for future bolt‑on M&A or discretionary investments until deleveraging is achieved.
Weak Free Cash Flow Momentum
A sharp drop in FCF momentum suggests higher reinvestment, elevated capex or working capital that limits cash available for deleveraging or returns. Sustained weak FCF growth would hamper balance sheet repair and reduce ability to fund acquisitions without additional leverage.
Acquisition and Succession-Related Earnings Pressure
Large acquisitions increase noncash amortization and add integration risk; combined with succession and one‑time charges, GAAP profitability is depressed. If acquisitions fail to deliver expected synergies or take longer to integrate, reported returns and ROIC could remain pressured.

Transcat (TRNS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Transcat Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTranscat, Inc. provides calibration and laboratory instrument services in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Service and Distribution. The Service segment offers calibration, repair, inspection, analytical qualification, preventative maintenance, consulting, and other related services. This segment also provides CalTrak, a proprietary document and asset management software that is used to integrate and manage the workflow of its calibration service centers and customers' assets; and Compliance, Control and Cost, an online customer portal that provides its customers with web-based asset management capability, as well as a safe and secure off-site archive of calibration and other service records. The Distribution segment sells and rents test, measurement, and control instruments for customers' test and measurement instrumentation needs, as well as value added services, such as calibration/certification of equipment purchase, equipment rental, used equipment for sale, and equipment kitting. This segment markets and sells its products through website, digital and print advertising, proactive outbound sales, and an inbound call center. The company provides services and products to highly regulated industries, principally life science, which includes companies in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, medical device, and other FDA-regulated industries; and additional industries, including aerospace and defense industrial manufacturing, energy and utilities, and other industries that require accuracy in processes and confirmation of the capabilities of their equipment. Transcat, Inc. was incorporated in 1964 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTranscat generates revenue primarily through two key streams: Calibration Services and Distribution. The Calibration Services segment accounts for a significant portion of the company's revenue by providing essential calibration and repair services to ensure that instruments meet regulatory compliance and industry standards. Additionally, the Distribution segment earns revenue by selling a variety of measurement and test equipment from well-known manufacturers. Transcat also benefits from long-term relationships with clients in regulated industries, which leads to recurring business. The company's strategic partnerships with leading manufacturers further enhance its product offerings and market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Transcat Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Transcat Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong top-line and adjusted-profitability growth across both Service and Distribution segments (26% consolidated revenue growth, 29% service growth, 20% distribution growth), margin expansion (overall +60 bps, distribution +330 bps), robust adjusted EBITDA improvement and strategic acquisitions that broaden capabilities and geographic reach. Near-term GAAP results were weighed down by acquisition amortization, higher interest and CEO succession-related one-time charges, as well as temporary service margin pressure from onboarding new customers and elevated capex reducing operating cash flow. Management reaffirmed high-single-digit Q4 organic service growth and highlighted a healthy pipeline and improved balance sheet (2.0x leverage), supporting confidence in continued execution. Overall, the positives around growth, margin expansion, strategic M&A and liquidity outweigh the transitory headwinds.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Consolidated Revenue Growth
Consolidated revenue increased 26% year-over-year to $83.9 million, driven by double-digit growth in both Service and Distribution segments.
Service Segment Outperformance and Organic Recovery
Service revenue grew 29% year-over-year, including 7% organic growth. This marked the company's 67th consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth (nearly 17 years).
Distribution Revenue and Rental Mix Expansion
Distribution revenue rose 20% to $30.2 million, with strong performance in both product sales and rentals; higher-margin rental mix drove improved profitability.
Gross Profit and Margin Expansion
Consolidated gross profit increased 28% to $25.3 million, and consolidated gross margins expanded by ~60 basis points year-over-year. Distribution gross profit rose 34% with a 330 basis-point margin expansion.
Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EPS Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA increased by approximately $2.2 million (27.2% per prepared remarks) to $10.1 million, with modest margin expansion, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.26 for the quarter.
Strategic Acquisitions Increasing Capabilities
Two acquisitions—Martin Calibration and Essco Calibration—(the two largest in company history) expanded geographic footprint and technical capabilities; management is executing to capture sales and cost synergies.
Balance Sheet and Liquidity Position
Total debt at quarter-end was $99.9 million with $50.1 million available on the secured revolving credit facility and a leverage ratio reduced to 2.0x, reflecting sequential deleveraging as adjusted EBITDA grew.
Guidance and Pipeline Confidence
Management reaffirmed Q4 organic service revenue growth expectations in the high single-digit range and reported a strong new business pipeline and ongoing customer activity. Investments in AI, data sets, leadership and technology were cited as drivers of future differentiation.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss and Increased Noncash Charges
Reported Q3 GAAP net loss of $1.1 million, driven by higher amortization expense tied to the Martin and Essco acquisitions (largest in company history) and increased noncash acquisition-related expenses.
Higher Interest Expense and One-Time CEO Succession Charges
Higher interest expense and one-time charges related to the CEO succession plan contributed to lower GAAP earnings; management indicated additional one-time expenses tied to the succession search will hit in Q4.
Service Margin Pressure from Onboarding Costs
Service segment margins declined this quarter due to start-up/onboarding costs for elevated levels of new customers; management expects productivity and costs to normalize over the next few quarters.
Operating Cash Flow Slightly Lower and Increased CapEx
Operating cash flow was slightly lower year-over-year: improved net cash from operations was offset by higher capital expenditures focused on service capabilities, rental assets, technology and growth projects.
Acquisition-Related Expense Impacting Near-Term GAAP Results
Upfront and ongoing acquisition-related costs (amortization, transaction expenses) are depressing near-term GAAP profitability despite being excluded from adjusted metrics; this will continue to affect reported net income in the near term.
Company Guidance
Transcat reaffirmed Q4 organic service revenue growth guidance of high single‑digit percentage growth and said Q3’s momentum should carry into the fourth quarter (Q3: consolidated revenue +26% to $83.9M; service revenue +29% with 7% organic growth; distribution revenue $30.2M, +20%), noting adjusted EBITDA was $10.1M (up ~27% YoY) and consolidated gross profit rose 28% to $25.3M with consolidated gross margins +60 bps (distribution gross margin +330 bps); the company expects onboarding-related service margin headwinds from Q3 to normalize over the next few quarters (Q4 historically highest service margins — 36.2% last year), will incur some additional one‑time CEO succession costs in Q4, and affirmed its strong balance sheet (total debt $99.9M, $50.1M revolver capacity, 2.0x leverage) to support continued organic growth and M&A.

Transcat Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong multi-year revenue growth and improving gross/EBITDA margins support fundamentals, and operating cash flow remains solid. Offsetting this, TTM net profitability has softened, free-cash-flow growth is sharply negative, and leverage has risen meaningfully versus FY2025, increasing financial risk.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily over the multi-year period (from $173.3M in 2021 to $278.4M in FY2025), and TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is higher at $320.4M, indicating continued expansion. Profitability is solid for a distributor: gross margin improved versus earlier years (about 26.6% in 2021 to ~32.8% TTM), while EBITDA margin has generally trended up to ~14.0% TTM. The key weakness is softer bottom-line performance in TTM: net margin (~4.4%) and net income ($9.1M) are down versus FY2025 ($14.5M, ~5.2% margin), suggesting incremental costs, mix, or other pressures despite stable operating margins.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Equity and assets have expanded meaningfully (equity from $75.1M in 2021 to $286.9M in FY2025 and $296.8M in TTM), supporting business scale-up. Leverage, however, has moved higher recently: total debt increased to $129.1M in TTM from $57.7M in FY2025, lifting debt relative to equity to ~0.49 (from ~0.20). Returns on equity are currently modest (about 4.7% TTM vs ~5.1% FY2025 and higher levels in earlier years), which, combined with rising leverage, reduces balance-sheet quality compared with the prior year.
Cash Flow
61
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: operating cash flow is strong and stable (about $39.3M TTM and $39.0M in FY2025), and operating cash flow exceeds net income (roughly 1.12x TTM), indicating earnings are backed by cash. Free cash flow is positive ($24.9M TTM), but momentum has weakened sharply with TTM free cash flow growth at -94.4% versus positive growth in FY2025, pointing to higher reinvestment needs or working-capital headwinds. Free cash flow also covers only ~63% of net income in TTM, which is adequate but not exceptional.
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue320.40M278.42M259.48M230.57M204.96M173.34M
Gross Profit103.84M89.45M83.81M68.36M58.44M46.12M
EBITDA41.69M37.69M33.82M26.86M23.57M18.65M
Net Income9.10M14.52M13.65M10.69M11.38M7.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets472.89M385.24M287.55M195.75M177.76M132.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.47M1.52M35.18M1.53M1.40M560.00K
Total Debt134.00M57.73M21.54M64.41M57.65M27.52M
Total Liabilities176.12M98.36M62.38M96.12M91.59M57.04M
Stockholders Equity296.77M286.88M225.17M99.63M86.18M75.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.87M25.79M19.34M7.54M7.47M17.02M
Operating Cash Flow39.28M38.98M32.62M16.95M17.62M23.64M
Investing Cash Flow-98.27M-84.00M-41.67M-18.51M-39.85M-10.15M
Financing Cash Flow57.54M26.86M27.40M876.00K23.69M-12.65M

Transcat Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price76.76
Price Trends
50DMA
65.59
Positive
100DMA
64.36
Positive
200DMA
72.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.04
Negative
RSI
62.48
Neutral
STOCH
63.45
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRNS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 76.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.69, above the 50-day MA of 65.59, and above the 200-day MA of 72.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.45 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRNS.

Transcat Risk Analysis

Transcat disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Transcat reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Transcat Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.19B16.7224.03%3.48%0.16%2.99%
75
Outperform
$2.50B29.2119.58%12.76%36.11%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$743.78M90.832.73%11.81%-39.16%
61
Neutral
$1.38B-124.08-1.68%14.46%-588.82%
57
Neutral
$267.92M43.643.77%12.63%-21.23%
51
Neutral
$451.04M-7.24-9.63%-8.92%-304.76%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRNS
Transcat
76.51
-4.32
-5.34%
DXPE
DXP Enterprises
148.75
59.83
67.29%
EVI
EVI Industries
20.42
3.78
22.73%
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group
29.88
0.57
1.94%
GIC
Global Industrial Company
33.26
10.85
48.42%
TITN
Titan Machinery
19.79
2.74
16.07%

Transcat Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Transcat grants retention awards amid CEO transition
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Transcat’s board compensation committee granted special one-time equity retention awards in the form of restricted stock units to four executive officers, designed to vest on January 6, 2028, contingent on continued employment. Announced publicly on January 8, 2026, these awards are intended to preserve leadership continuity and keep executives focused on operations during the transition prompted by CEO Lee D. Rudow’s previously announced retirement, under which he will remain CEO until March 2026 and then serve in an advisory role through March 2027, a move the board views as critical to ensuring a smooth succession process and maintaining Transcat’s competitive positioning and long-term strategic execution for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRNS) stock is a Buy with a $105.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Transcat stock, see the TRNS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 04, 2026