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Transcat (TRNS)
NASDAQ:TRNS

Transcat (TRNS) AI Stock Analysis

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Transcat

(NASDAQ:TRNS)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$94.00
▲(5.80%Upside)
Transcat's strong financial performance and recent acquisition drive its positive outlook, though technical indicators and valuation concerns temper enthusiasm. Challenges in recent earnings and macroeconomic volatility present potential risks.
Positive Factors
Long-term Potential
Growth and margin outlook remain favorable, suggesting potential for long-term revenue growth and margin improvement.
Market Position
Transcat is largely insulated from economic concerns due to its work within highly regulated industries, providing high revenue visibility.
Revenue Growth
The company's December acquisition of Martin Calibration Inc. is expected to contribute as much as $25.0M of annual revenue, before any benefit from cross-selling services.
Negative Factors
Operating Results
Shares of Transcat, Inc. traded lower, down 12.7% following the second consecutive quarter of softer than expected operating results.
Organic Growth
Lower-than-modeled organic growth and Nexa headwinds are likely to pressure TRNS shares.
Risks
Risks include dilution risk if additional capital is raised, customer concentration, acquisition integration risk, increased competition, and share volatility due to small capitalization.

Transcat (TRNS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Transcat Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTranscat, Inc. provides calibration and laboratory instrument services in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Service and Distribution. The Service segment offers calibration, repair, inspection, analytical qualification, preventative maintenance, consulting, and other related services. This segment also provides CalTrak, a proprietary document and asset management software that is used to integrate and manage the workflow of its calibration service centers and customers' assets; and Compliance, Control and Cost, an online customer portal that provides its customers with web-based asset management capability, as well as a safe and secure off-site archive of calibration and other service records. The Distribution segment sells and rents test, measurement, and control instruments for customers' test and measurement instrumentation needs, as well as value added services, such as calibration/certification of equipment purchase, equipment rental, used equipment for sale, and equipment kitting. This segment markets and sells its products through website, digital and print advertising, proactive outbound sales, and an inbound call center. The company provides services and products to highly regulated industries, principally life science, which includes companies in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, medical device, and other FDA-regulated industries; and additional industries, including aerospace and defense industrial manufacturing, energy and utilities, and other industries that require accuracy in processes and confirmation of the capabilities of their equipment. Transcat, Inc. was incorporated in 1964 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTranscat makes money primarily through two key revenue streams: Service and Distribution. The Service segment includes calibration, repair, inspection, and laboratory instrument services, which are often performed both on-site and in their accredited laboratories. This segment caters to industries with stringent regulatory requirements, such as pharmaceuticals and aerospace, where equipment accuracy and compliance are critical. The Distribution segment involves the sale of test, measurement, and control instrumentation. This includes acting as a reseller for major equipment manufacturers, providing customers with a wide array of high-quality products. The company leverages significant partnerships with leading equipment manufacturers to enhance its product offerings, thus contributing to its earnings. Additionally, Transcat's strategic focus on expanding its service capabilities and geographic reach helps drive growth in both revenue streams.

Transcat Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 19, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 9.45%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Transcat, Inc. demonstrated strong revenue growth and a record operating cash flow in fiscal 2025, complemented by a significant acquisition enhancing their service capabilities. However, the company faced challenges with a decline in Q4 net income and distribution segment margin, amidst a volatile macroeconomic environment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth in Fiscal 2025
Consolidated revenue was up 7% to $278.4 million driven by consistent demand for Services and Products. Service revenue also grew 7% to $181.4 million, and distribution revenue increased 8% to $97 million.
Record Operating Cash Flow
Operating cash flow for the full fiscal year 2025 was a record $38.6 million, marking an 18% increase year-over-year.
Significant Acquisition of Martin Calibration
Acquired Martin Calibration, the largest acquisition in Transcat's history, contributing over $25 million in mostly calibration service revenue.
Service Segment Performance
Calibration services achieved double-digit revenue growth of 11% in Q4, with organic growth in the high-single-digit range. Service gross margin expanded 50 basis points to 36.2%.
Strong Balance Sheet
At year-end, Transcat had a total net debt of $31 million with a leverage ratio of 0.7x and $49 million available from the credit facility.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Income for Q4
Q4 net income decreased to $4.5 million from $6.9 million in the prior year, with diluted earnings per share decreasing to $0.48 from $0.77.
Distribution Segment Margin Decline
Distribution segment gross margin decreased by 210 basis points to 28.2% in Q4.
Volatility Due to Macroeconomic Environment
The macroeconomic backdrop, including tariffs, has become more uncertain, affecting the predictability of revenue streams.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025 financial results call for Transcat, Inc., several key metrics were discussed. Consolidated revenue for the fiscal year increased by 7% to $278.4 million, with service revenue growing 7% to $181.4 million and distribution revenue rising 8% to $97 million. The fourth quarter alone saw a 9% increase in consolidated revenue to $77.1 million, driven by 11% growth in the service segment and 4% growth in distribution revenue. Operating cash flow for the year reached a record $38.6 million, an 18% year-over-year increase. The company also highlighted a significant acquisition of Martin Calibration, adding over $25 million in service revenue. The service segment's gross margin expanded by 50 basis points to 36.2% in the fourth quarter, while the distribution segment gross margin decreased by 210 basis points to 28.2%. In terms of profitability, fourth-quarter net income was $4.5 million, with diluted earnings per share at $0.48. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $12.7 million, reflecting a 9% increase year-over-year, and the full-year adjusted EBITDA reached $39.7 million, up 3% from the prior year. Operating free cash flow improved by 31% to $25.4 million, and net debt stood at $31 million, with a leverage ratio of 0.7x.

Transcat Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Transcat exhibits strong revenue and profit growth with stable margins and effective asset utilization. Balanced leverage and consistent growth in equity and cash flow underpin financial stability, favorable for the industrial distribution sector.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Transcat has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trajectory with consistent increases in total revenue over the years. Gross profit margin has remained stable, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin is improving, reflecting better control over expenses and increased profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, suggesting a healthy operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, with a reasonable debt-to-equity ratio indicating balanced leverage. Stockholders' equity has grown, contributing to a stable equity ratio. Return on equity is strong, driven by consistent net income growth, highlighting effective use of equity financing.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow has shown a positive trend, supporting strong net income conversion. Free cash flow growth has been steady, though capital expenditures have been significant. The company maintains a solid free cash flow to net income ratio, ensuring liquidity for reinvestment and debt servicing.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue278.42M259.48M230.57M204.96M173.34M
Gross Profit89.45M83.81M68.36M58.44M46.12M
EBITDA37.69M33.82M27.39M24.61M18.65M
Net Income14.52M13.65M10.69M11.38M7.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets385.24M287.55M195.75M177.76M132.12M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.52M35.18M1.53M1.40M560.00K
Total Debt57.73M21.54M62.08M57.65M27.52M
Total Liabilities98.36M62.38M96.12M91.59M57.04M
Stockholders Equity286.88M225.17M99.63M86.18M75.08M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow25.79M19.34M7.54M7.47M17.02M
Operating Cash Flow38.98M32.62M16.95M17.62M23.64M
Investing Cash Flow-84.00M-41.67M-18.51M-39.85M-10.15M
Financing Cash Flow26.86M27.40M876.00K23.69M-12.65M

Transcat Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price88.85
Price Trends
50DMA
82.72
Positive
100DMA
79.87
Positive
200DMA
94.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
1.15
Negative
RSI
64.21
Neutral
STOCH
85.35
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRNS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 88.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.07, above the 50-day MA of 82.72, and below the 200-day MA of 94.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.35 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRNS.

Transcat Risk Analysis

Transcat disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Transcat reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Transcat Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.41B18.7619.45%11.94%34.08%
GIGIC
75
Outperform
$1.08B17.6822.15%3.70%-0.79%-13.64%
70
Outperform
$811.29M56.715.67%7.30%-1.89%
68
Neutral
€2.76B17.319.89%2.84%-0.64%-28.31%
EVEVI
66
Neutral
$292.05M46.574.71%3.51%33.35%
65
Neutral
$1.33B1,777.330.18%13.91%
52
Neutral
$477.16M11.08-9.38%-5.32%-163.42%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRNS
Transcat
88.85
-33.44
-27.34%
DXPE
DXP Enterprises
90.18
46.57
106.79%
EVI
EVI Industries
22.89
5.59
32.31%
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group
28.62
0.24
0.85%
GIC
Global Industrial Company
28.09
-1.03
-3.54%
TITN
Titan Machinery
21.42
6.33
41.95%

Transcat Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Transcat Corporate Controller Announces Retirement Plans
Neutral
Apr 7, 2025

On April 1, 2025, Scott D. Deverell announced his intention to retire from his roles as Corporate Controller and Principal Accounting Officer at Transcat, Inc. He plans to stay with the company until at least October 1, 2025, to ensure a smooth transition.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025