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Transcat (TRNS)
NASDAQ:TRNS

Transcat (TRNS) AI Stock Analysis

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Transcat

(NASDAQ:TRNS)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
Transcat shows strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and efficient cash flow management. However, technical analysis signals mixed short-term trends, and valuation suggests high market expectations, possibly limiting immediate upside. The recent earnings call presented both strategic progress and operational challenges, contributing to a balanced outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Gross margin of 33.6% represented an increase from 29.5% in F3Q25 and was largely consistent with year ago levels of 33.9%.
Growth Potential
The company's December acquisition of Martin Calibration Inc. is expected to contribute as much as $25.0M of annual revenue, before any benefit from cross-selling services.
Valuation
TRNS shares are valued at $106, representing approximately 20.0% upside from recent trading levels, with a premium multiple seen as warranted.
Negative Factors
Growth Challenges
Lower-than-modeled organic growth and Nexa headwinds are likely to pressure TRNS shares.
Operating Performance
Shares of Transcat, Inc. traded lower, down 12.7% following the second consecutive quarter of softer than expected operating results.
Risks
Risks include dilution, customer concentration, acquisition integration, increased competition, and share volatility.

Transcat (TRNS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Transcat Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTranscat, Inc. provides calibration and laboratory instrument services in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Service and Distribution. The Service segment offers calibration, repair, inspection, analytical qualification, preventative maintenance, consulting, and other related services. This segment also provides CalTrak, a proprietary document and asset management software that is used to integrate and manage the workflow of its calibration service centers and customers' assets; and Compliance, Control and Cost, an online customer portal that provides its customers with web-based asset management capability, as well as a safe and secure off-site archive of calibration and other service records. The Distribution segment sells and rents test, measurement, and control instruments for customers' test and measurement instrumentation needs, as well as value added services, such as calibration/certification of equipment purchase, equipment rental, used equipment for sale, and equipment kitting. This segment markets and sells its products through website, digital and print advertising, proactive outbound sales, and an inbound call center. The company provides services and products to highly regulated industries, principally life science, which includes companies in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, medical device, and other FDA-regulated industries; and additional industries, including aerospace and defense industrial manufacturing, energy and utilities, and other industries that require accuracy in processes and confirmation of the capabilities of their equipment. Transcat, Inc. was incorporated in 1964 and is headquartered in Rochester, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyTranscat generates revenue through two main segments: Service and Distribution. The Service segment, which is the larger of the two, provides calibration, repair, inspection, and laboratory instrument services. This segment focuses on helping clients maintain compliance with regulatory standards and ensuring operational efficiency. The Distribution segment sells and rents a wide range of test, measurement, and control instrumentation from leading manufacturers. Transcat's strategic partnerships with manufacturers and its extensive catalog of products enhance its ability to meet a diverse range of customer needs across various industries. Additionally, the company's recurring service contracts and growing customer base contribute significantly to its revenue stability and growth.

Transcat Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 19, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.49%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Transcat, Inc. demonstrated strong revenue growth and a record operating cash flow in fiscal 2025, complemented by a significant acquisition enhancing their service capabilities. However, the company faced challenges with a decline in Q4 net income and distribution segment margin, amidst a volatile macroeconomic environment.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth in Fiscal 2025
Consolidated revenue was up 7% to $278.4 million driven by consistent demand for Services and Products. Service revenue also grew 7% to $181.4 million, and distribution revenue increased 8% to $97 million.
Record Operating Cash Flow
Operating cash flow for the full fiscal year 2025 was a record $38.6 million, marking an 18% increase year-over-year.
Significant Acquisition of Martin Calibration
Acquired Martin Calibration, the largest acquisition in Transcat's history, contributing over $25 million in mostly calibration service revenue.
Service Segment Performance
Calibration services achieved double-digit revenue growth of 11% in Q4, with organic growth in the high-single-digit range. Service gross margin expanded 50 basis points to 36.2%.
Strong Balance Sheet
At year-end, Transcat had a total net debt of $31 million with a leverage ratio of 0.7x and $49 million available from the credit facility.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Income for Q4
Q4 net income decreased to $4.5 million from $6.9 million in the prior year, with diluted earnings per share decreasing to $0.48 from $0.77.
Distribution Segment Margin Decline
Distribution segment gross margin decreased by 210 basis points to 28.2% in Q4.
Volatility Due to Macroeconomic Environment
The macroeconomic backdrop, including tariffs, has become more uncertain, affecting the predictability of revenue streams.
Company Guidance
During the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025 financial results call for Transcat, Inc., several key metrics were discussed. Consolidated revenue for the fiscal year increased by 7% to $278.4 million, with service revenue growing 7% to $181.4 million and distribution revenue rising 8% to $97 million. The fourth quarter alone saw a 9% increase in consolidated revenue to $77.1 million, driven by 11% growth in the service segment and 4% growth in distribution revenue. Operating cash flow for the year reached a record $38.6 million, an 18% year-over-year increase. The company also highlighted a significant acquisition of Martin Calibration, adding over $25 million in service revenue. The service segment's gross margin expanded by 50 basis points to 36.2% in the fourth quarter, while the distribution segment gross margin decreased by 210 basis points to 28.2%. In terms of profitability, fourth-quarter net income was $4.5 million, with diluted earnings per share at $0.48. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $12.7 million, reflecting a 9% increase year-over-year, and the full-year adjusted EBITDA reached $39.7 million, up 3% from the prior year. Operating free cash flow improved by 31% to $25.4 million, and net debt stood at $31 million, with a leverage ratio of 0.7x.

Transcat Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Transcat exhibits commendable financial health, marked by strong revenue growth, efficient operations, and solid cash flow management. The company has demonstrated operational efficiency and profitability, supported by a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels. Continued focus on maintaining revenue growth and managing liabilities will support future financial stability and performance.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Transcat shows strong revenue growth with a consistent increase over the years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue increased by 4.92% compared to the previous year. Gross profit margin and net profit margin are healthy at 32.16% and 6.22%, respectively. The EBIT margin of 7.40% and EBITDA margin of 8.31% also indicate efficient operational management. There is a positive trend in net income, showcasing profitability improvements.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a relatively stable balance sheet with an improving equity position. The debt-to-equity ratio has decreased over the years, reaching 0.22 in the TTM period, indicating lower leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is solid at 6.03%, showing effective use of shareholders' funds. The equity ratio stands at 72.83%, reflecting a strong reliance on equity financing. However, the increase in total liabilities needs monitoring.
Cash Flow
81
Very Positive
Transcat displays robust cash flow management with a significant positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.01, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow has grown, contributing to a healthy cash flow position. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.15 further supports the company's strong cash flow capabilities. The company has effectively managed its capital expenditures.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
272.20M259.48M230.57M204.96M173.34M173.10M
Gross Profit
87.58M83.81M68.36M58.44M46.12M42.48M
EBIT
20.97M19.78M16.25M14.14M11.07M10.85M
EBITDA
35.55M33.82M27.39M24.61M18.65M17.51M
Net Income Common Stockholders
16.94M13.65M10.69M11.38M7.79M8.07M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
4.64M35.18M1.53M1.40M560.00K499.00K
Total Assets
386.01M287.55M195.75M177.76M132.12M128.12M
Total Debt
66.02M21.54M62.08M57.65M27.52M37.18M
Net Debt
61.38M1.89M60.55M56.25M26.96M36.68M
Total Liabilities
104.93M62.38M96.12M91.59M57.04M61.03M
Stockholders Equity
281.08M225.17M99.63M86.18M75.08M67.09M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
19.40M19.34M7.54M7.47M17.02M5.00M
Operating Cash Flow
34.08M32.62M16.95M17.62M23.64M11.56M
Investing Cash Flow
-99.61M-41.67M-18.51M-39.85M-10.15M-20.24M
Financing Cash Flow
34.63M27.40M876.00K23.69M-12.65M8.25M

Transcat Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price79.16
Price Trends
50DMA
81.78
Negative
100DMA
80.44
Negative
200DMA
97.00
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.59
Positive
RSI
40.90
Neutral
STOCH
8.94
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRNS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 79.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.11, below the 50-day MA of 81.78, and below the 200-day MA of 97.00, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.59 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.94 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TRNS.

Transcat Risk Analysis

Transcat disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Transcat reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Transcat Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.26B16.4019.45%11.94%34.08%
EVEVI
75
Outperform
$240.88M38.474.71%3.51%33.35%
GIGIC
74
Outperform
$1.04B17.0322.15%3.84%-0.79%-13.64%
68
Neutral
$704.04M49.395.67%8.60%42.67%
66
Neutral
$1.30B1,724.840.18%13.91%
66
Neutral
$4.52B12.345.41%3.62%4.15%-12.18%
52
Neutral
$463.54M11.08-9.38%-5.32%-163.42%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRNS
Transcat
79.16
-42.43
-34.90%
DXPE
DXP Enterprises
76.60
29.82
63.75%
EVI
EVI Industries
18.91
1.46
8.37%
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group
27.77
-2.88
-9.40%
GIC
Global Industrial Company
26.89
-4.06
-13.12%
TITN
Titan Machinery
19.78
3.28
19.88%

Transcat Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Transcat Corporate Controller Announces Retirement Plans
Neutral
Apr 7, 2025

On April 1, 2025, Scott D. Deverell announced his intention to retire from his roles as Corporate Controller and Principal Accounting Officer at Transcat, Inc. He plans to stay with the company until at least October 1, 2025, to ensure a smooth transition.

Spark’s Take on TRNS Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, TRNS is a Neutral.

The overall stock score is influenced by strong financial performance and strategic acquisitions, offset by bearish technical indicators and high valuation metrics. The company’s ability to maintain revenue growth and manage liabilities remains a strength, but current market conditions and valuation suggest cautious optimism.

To see Spark’s full report on TRNS stock, click here.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.