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Titan Machinery Inc. (TITN)
NASDAQ:TITN

Titan Machinery (TITN) AI Stock Analysis

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Titan Machinery

(NASDAQ:TITN)

Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$20.50
▼(-5.09%Downside)
Titan Machinery's overall score is influenced by significant financial challenges, with declining revenue and high leverage. The technical indicators show some positive momentum, but weak valuation metrics and cautious earnings call sentiment negatively impact the score. Positive developments in the European segment and inventory management provide some stability.
Positive Factors
Inventory Strategy
The company’s well-considered inventory reduction strategy provides optimism for the FY27+ outlook.
Revenue Performance
Revenue of $760M beat estimates behind an aggressive inventory reduction strategy.
Negative Factors
Agricultural Equipment Demand
The bleak outlook for agricultural equipment demand is at the root of the meaningful valuation discount that TITN is experiencing.
Profitability Challenges
Depressed gross margins and elevated interest expense will keep the company from realizing a level of profitability which would justify a materially higher valuation until at least FY27.

Titan Machinery (TITN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Titan Machinery Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTitan Machinery Inc. owns and operates a network of full-service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States and Europe. It operates through three segments: Agriculture, Construction, and International. The company sells new and used equipment, including agricultural and construction equipment manufactured under the CNH Industrial family of brands, as well as equipment from various other manufacturers. Its agricultural equipment includes machinery and attachments for use in the production of food, fiber, feed grain, and renewable energy; and home and garden applications, as well as maintenance of commercial, residential, and government properties. The company's construction equipment comprises heavy construction machinery, light industrial machinery for commercial and residential construction, road and highway construction machinery, and energy and forestry operations equipment. It also sells maintenance and replacement parts. In addition, the company offers repair and maintenance services that include warranty repairs, off-site and on-site repair services, scheduling off-season maintenance services, and notifying customers of periodic service requirements; and training programs to customers. Further, it rents equipment; and provides ancillary equipment support services, such as equipment transportation, global positioning system signal subscriptions and other precision farming products, farm data management products, and CNH Industrial finance and insurance products. The company operates in Colorado, Iowa, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wisconsin, and Wyoming, the United States; and Bulgaria, Germany, Romania, and Ukraine, Europe. Titan Machinery Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in West Fargo, North Dakota.
How the Company Makes MoneyTitan Machinery generates revenue primarily through the sale of new and used agricultural and construction equipment. The company also earns income from parts sales and service maintenance for the equipment it sells, which provides ongoing revenue streams beyond initial equipment sales. Equipment rental services contribute to its earnings as well, allowing customers to access machinery without the need for full ownership. In addition, Titan Machinery partners with leading equipment manufacturers, which enhances its product offerings and market reach, further supporting its revenue model.

Titan Machinery Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 22, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: 8.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 28, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a challenging environment with significant pressures on revenue and profitability, particularly in the agriculture and construction segments. However, there are positive developments in inventory management and the European segment, along with strong customer service and stable parts and service business providing some stability.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Inventory Management Success
Total inventories were $1.1 billion as of April 30, 2025, essentially flat compared to fiscal 2025 year-end, with significant progress made over the last three quarters.
European Segment Growth
Sales increased 44.2% to $93.9 million, driven by EU stimulus funds in Romania, with expectations for continued growth through September.
Recognition for Customer Service
Titan Machinery received two top dealer awards from CNH for superior customer service.
Stable Parts and Service Business
Parts and service make up about a quarter of total revenue and over half of gross profit, providing stability amid equipment sales pressure.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Total revenue for the first quarter was $594.3 million, down from $628.7 million in the prior year period, a 5.5% decrease in same-store sales.
Agriculture Segment Challenges
Agriculture segment saw a same-store sales decrease of 14.1% to $384.4 million, with a pretax loss of $12.8 million compared to a pretax income of $13 million in the prior year.
Construction Segment Weakness
Same-store sales in the construction segment increased only 0.9% to $72.1 million, with a pretax loss of $4.2 million, reflecting cautious capital expenditures.
Australia Segment Revenue Revision
Full-year revenue expectations were revised down due to dry conditions and low commodity prices, with same-store sales decreasing 1% to $44 million.
Net Loss for the Quarter
Net loss for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 was $13.2 million or $0.58 per diluted share, compared to a net income of $9.4 million or $0.41 per diluted share in the prior year.
Company Guidance
During the Titan Machinery First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Call, several key metrics and guidance details were discussed. Total revenue for the quarter was reported at $594.3 million, a decrease from $628.7 million in the prior year period, with a 5.5% decline in same-store sales. The gross profit was $90.9 million, with a margin of 15.3%, impacted by lower equipment margins. Operating expenses decreased by 2.8%, totaling $96.4 million, while floor plan and other interest expenses were $11.1 million. The net loss for the quarter was $13.2 million, or $0.58 per diluted share. The company reiterated its full-year guidance for an adjusted loss per diluted share between $1.25 and $2, while updating revenue assumptions for its international segments. Specifically, European revenue expectations were revised upward to a 23% to 28% increase, driven by strong performance in Romania. Conversely, Australian segment revenue is now anticipated to be down 20% to 25% due to challenging market conditions. The company also aims to reduce equipment inventory by $100 million, focusing primarily on the agriculture and European segments.

Titan Machinery Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The company shows declining revenue and profitability with significant net losses and negative margins. High leverage and the need to improve profitability and manage debt are concerning. While operating cash flow is positive, sustaining free cash flow is a challenge.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Titan Machinery's TTM revenue shows a decline compared to the previous year, reflecting a negative growth trend. The gross profit margin is fairly stable, but the company is experiencing significant net losses, resulting in a negative net profit margin. The negative EBIT indicates operational challenges. Overall, the income statement suggests financial pressures and declining profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet shows high levels of debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio indicating significant leverage. The equity ratio is reasonable, but the return on equity has turned negative due to ongoing net losses. The financial stability is weakened by high liabilities relative to equity, posing risks if profitability does not improve.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow from operations is positive, which is a strength. However, free cash flow has fluctuated, showing a decrease in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, highlighting good cash generation despite net losses, but the free cash flow to net income ratio reveals concerns over sustaining positive cash flows without profitability.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.67B2.70B2.76B2.21B1.71B1.41B
Gross Profit364.81M395.63M531.35M439.84M332.72M261.36M
EBITDA17.64M42.61M200.32M167.38M124.63M73.17M
Net Income-59.56M-36.91M110.92M101.87M66.05M19.36M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.80B1.81B1.99B1.19B946.67M815.79M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.51M35.90M38.07M43.91M146.15M78.99M
Total Debt1.01B1.00B1.08B413.93M281.26M296.67M
Total Liabilities1.19B1.20B1.33B652.39M511.47M444.51M
Stockholders Equity605.44M614.08M657.64M536.31M435.20M371.28M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow154.82M18.45M-94.64M-26.39M121.29M152.91M
Operating Cash Flow200.92M70.29M-32.28M10.82M158.92M173.00M
Investing Cash Flow-40.08M-47.75M-163.37M-134.06M-55.20M-20.30M
Financing Cash Flow-82.48M-23.62M188.58M21.96M-35.34M-117.94M

Titan Machinery Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price21.60
Price Trends
50DMA
19.23
Positive
100DMA
17.85
Positive
200DMA
16.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Negative
RSI
68.39
Neutral
STOCH
93.65
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TITN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 21.6 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.63, above the 50-day MA of 19.23, and above the 200-day MA of 16.34, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TITN.

Titan Machinery Risk Analysis

Titan Machinery disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Titan Machinery reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Titan Machinery Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.44B19.0819.45%11.94%34.08%
AIAIT
75
Outperform
$9.36B24.6522.23%0.75%0.50%4.48%
GIGIC
75
Outperform
$1.08B17.8022.15%3.68%-0.79%-13.64%
EVEVI
66
Neutral
$318.71M50.824.71%3.51%33.35%
65
Neutral
$1.35B1,808.070.18%13.91%
64
Neutral
kr64.02B12.601.54%8.99%0.04%-3.90%
52
Neutral
$498.63M11.08-9.38%-5.32%-163.42%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TITN
Titan Machinery
21.60
6.32
41.36%
AIT
Applied Industrial Technologies
245.74
58.37
31.15%
DXPE
DXP Enterprises
91.73
47.81
108.86%
EVI
EVI Industries
24.98
7.38
41.93%
DSGR
Distribution Solutions Group
29.11
0.23
0.80%
GIC
Global Industrial Company
28.28
-1.32
-4.46%

Titan Machinery Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Titan Machinery Holds Annual Meeting, Elects Board Members
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Titan Machinery held its Annual Meeting where stockholders elected Class III nominees to the Board of Directors for a three-year term, approved executive compensation, and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2026. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and financial oversight strategies, potentially impacting its operational stability and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (TITN) stock is a Buy with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Titan Machinery stock, see the TITN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025