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Treace Medical Concepts (TMCI)
NASDAQ:TMCI
US Market
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Treace Medical Concepts (TMCI) AI Stock Analysis

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TMCI

Treace Medical Concepts

(NASDAQ:TMCI)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(11.58% Upside)
Treace Medical Concepts' stock score is primarily influenced by its strong technical momentum and positive earnings call outlook, despite ongoing financial challenges. The company's robust revenue growth and strategic initiatives are promising, but profitability and cash flow issues weigh on the overall score. Valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings, but the market's bullish sentiment provides a supportive backdrop.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
The company's expansion into a broader range of bunion-corrective technologies allows it to penetrate the remaining 70% of the market it previously couldn't access.
Product Portfolio
Physicians at the event spoke about the key features and advantages of TMCI's product portfolio and the ability to address a broader segment of the bunion market.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
There is a concern that TMCI’s growth may stall if competitors launch similar products.
Growth Rate Comparison
TMCI is expected to grow at an 8% 3-year CAGR, which is below the 18% 3-year CAGR growth rate of its peers, leading to a valuation discount.

Treace Medical Concepts (TMCI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Treace Medical Concepts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTreace Medical Concepts (TMCI) is a medical device company that specializes in the design, development, and commercialization of innovative surgical solutions for foot and ankle orthopedic procedures. The company is primarily focused on addressing unmet clinical needs in the treatment of bunions, leveraging its proprietary Lapiplasty 3D Bunion Correction System, which aims to improve surgical outcomes and patient recovery times.
How the Company Makes MoneyTreace Medical Concepts generates revenue primarily through the sale of its proprietary medical devices and surgical instruments, notably the Lapiplasty 3D Bunion Correction System, to hospitals and surgical centers. The company also earns income from training and supporting physicians in the use of its products, thereby facilitating broader adoption of its surgical solutions. Additionally, Treace may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations with healthcare providers and medical institutions to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings.

Treace Medical Concepts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Treace Medical Concepts reported solid revenue growth and successful product expansion, with strong financial management and strategic initiatives poised for future growth. However, the company still faces challenges with a net loss and slight gross margin decline. Overall, the outlook remains positive, with expectations for a stronger second half of 2025.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Achieved
Treace Medical Concepts reported a revenue of $47.4 million for Q2 2025, marking a 7% increase over the second quarter of 2024.
Expansion of Product Portfolio
The company expanded its product portfolio with three new bunion correction systems: Nanoplasty, Percuplasty 3D MIS osteotomy systems, and SpeedMTP Great Toe Fusion system.
Improved Financial Metrics
Treace Medical reported a net loss improvement of 18%, with adjusted EBITDA loss improving by 58% compared to Q2 2024.
Strong Cash Management
Cash usage decreased by 55% in Q2 2025 compared to the previous year, with a projected 50% reduction for the full year.
Market Expansion Strategy
The company's strategy includes increasing market penetration by engaging new surgeons and expanding their customer base.
Negative Updates
Slight Decline in Gross Margin
Gross margin decreased slightly to 79.7% in Q2 2025 from 80.2% in Q2 2024.
Ongoing Net Loss
The company reported a net loss of $17.4 million in Q2 2025, despite improvements from the previous year.
Market Challenges
Challenges include some procedure delays and softer trends, affecting the timing of revenue realization.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Treace Medical Concepts reported revenue of $47.4 million, reflecting a 7% increase compared to the same period in 2024. The company's gross margin was 79.7%, slightly down from 80.2% in the previous year. Operating expenses decreased by 4% to $54.7 million, demonstrating effective expense management. The net loss improved by 18% to $17.4 million, or $0.28 per share, compared to the prior year's loss of $21.2 million, or $0.34 per share. Treace also reported a 58% improvement in adjusted EBITDA loss, bringing it to $3.6 million. The company maintained liquidity with $69.3 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, and total liquidity, including an additional $21.4 million from an existing revolver, amounted to $90.7 million. Treace reiterated its 2025 revenue guidance between $224 million and $230 million, representing a 7% to 10% growth over 2024, and aims to achieve breakeven adjusted EBITDA for the full year.

Treace Medical Concepts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Treace Medical Concepts shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability, as indicated by negative margins and cash flow challenges. The high Debt-to-Equity Ratio and ongoing net losses highlight potential financial instability.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Treace Medical Concepts has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a Revenue Growth Rate of 11.9% from 2023 to 2024. However, the company struggles with profitability, reflected in negative margins across Gross Profit Margin, Net Profit Margin, EBIT Margin, and EBITDA Margin. This indicates continuous operating and net losses despite revenue increases.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate equity position with an Equity Ratio of 51.2% as of TTM. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is relatively high at 0.66, indicating reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed well. The Return on Equity is negative, reflecting the ongoing net losses impacting shareholder value.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Treace Medical Concepts exhibits negative Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash Flow, with a notable decline in Free Cash Flow. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is negative, further highlighting cash flow challenges. The company needs to address its cash burn to improve financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue213.75M209.36M187.12M141.84M94.42M57.37M
Gross Profit171.25M168.26M151.94M114.31M76.59M44.90M
EBITDA-34.49M-42.07M-39.01M-36.28M-15.81M2.06M
Net Income-49.18M-55.74M-49.53M-42.81M-20.55M-3.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets206.44M217.09M251.91M159.02M140.82M41.81M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments69.29M75.68M123.20M81.25M105.83M18.08M
Total Debt70.09M69.65M70.30M68.59M29.36M30.98M
Total Liabilities108.83M104.20M113.97M98.50M47.75M41.03M
Stockholders Equity97.61M112.89M137.94M60.53M93.07M776.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-29.15M-48.76M-46.03M-45.49M-19.90M-5.56M
Operating Cash Flow-14.90M-37.17M-34.58M-30.65M-17.19M-4.49M
Investing Cash Flow4.03M35.38M-81.30M-76.52M-2.71M-1.07M
Financing Cash Flow739.00K160.00K109.38M20.81M107.65M11.50M

Treace Medical Concepts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.17
Price Trends
50DMA
6.33
Positive
100DMA
6.35
Positive
200DMA
7.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Positive
RSI
59.79
Neutral
STOCH
32.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TMCI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.10, above the 50-day MA of 6.33, and below the 200-day MA of 7.40, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.79 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 32.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TMCI.

Treace Medical Concepts Risk Analysis

Treace Medical Concepts disclosed 66 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Treace Medical Concepts reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Treace Medical Concepts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$299.16M21.627.64%6.15%-54.24%
62
Neutral
$705.35M-14.18%22.93%43.83%
57
Neutral
$452.95M-46.89%7.67%23.79%
56
Neutral
$587.02M-0.10%5.08%99.38%
54
Neutral
$580.57M-24.63%4.84%0.85%
52
Neutral
$519.27M-11.49%26.08%-63.67%
51
Neutral
$7.95B-0.40-41.67%2.21%22.29%-1.85%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TMCI
Treace Medical Concepts
7.17
1.98
38.15%
OFIX
Orthofix
14.55
-1.47
-9.18%
TCMD
Tactile Systems Technology
13.46
0.50
3.86%
KIDS
OrthoPediatrics
20.91
-9.68
-31.64%
SIBN
SI-Bone
16.29
1.26
8.38%
BVS
Bioventus
7.19
-3.31
-31.52%

Treace Medical Concepts Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Treace Medical Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 20, 2025, Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. announced the election of Lawrence W. Hamilton and Deepti Jain as Class I directors for a three-year term. Additionally, the stockholders approved the executive compensation on an advisory basis and ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (TMCI) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Treace Medical Concepts stock, see the TMCI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025