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Tactile Systems Technology (TCMD)
NASDAQ:TCMD
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Tactile Systems Technology (TCMD) AI Stock Analysis

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TCMD

Tactile Systems Technology

(NASDAQ:TCMD)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(9.52% Upside)
Tactile Systems Technology receives a strong overall score driven by robust financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. Technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, although valuation is fair. The company's strategic execution and revenue growth are significant strengths, outweighing concerns over adjusted EBITDA decline.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Fourth-quarter results for Tactile Medical exceeded expectations.
Financial Performance
Momentum from recent investments helps a beat and increased guidance, indicating improvements in the company's operations.
Market Position
With over $83.6 million in cash on its books and a durable gross margin profile, this is one of the rare profitable assets in small-cap medtech, likely providing support for the stock.
Negative Factors
Guidance
The company provided lower guidance for 2025.
Operational Issues
The miss stemmed from weaker lymphedema sales due to higher-than-expected sales rep turnover and productivity headwinds associated with implementing a new CRM system.
Sales Challenges
The assumption for total lymphedema revenue growth has been reduced, indicating some challenges in this area.

Tactile Systems Technology (TCMD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tactile Systems Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTactile Systems Technology, Inc., a medical technology company, engages in the development and provision of medical devices for chronic diseases in the United States. The company offers Flexitouch Plus system, a pneumatic compression device for the treatment of lymphedema; Entre system, a portable pneumatic compression device that is used for the at-home treatment of venous disorders, such as lymphedema and chronic venous insufficiency, including venous leg ulcers; and AffloVest, a portable high frequency chest wall oscillation test for the treatment of retained pulmonary secretions such as bronchiectasis, cystic fibrosis, and various neuromuscular disorders. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyTCMD generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical devices and related products. The company’s revenue model includes direct sales to healthcare facilities, reimbursement from insurance providers for its devices, and rental agreements for patients who may not be able to purchase the equipment outright. Key revenue streams include the ongoing sales of the Flexitouch and Entre systems, as well as consumables related to these devices. Additionally, TCMD benefits from strategic partnerships with healthcare providers and distributors, which help expand its market reach and enhance product accessibility. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product line, which can lead to increased sales and market share over time.

Tactile Systems Technology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong quarter with significant revenue growth driven by the airway clearance segment and improvements in gross margins. However, there are challenges with adjusted EBITDA decline and slower growth in lymphedema revenue. Overall, the highlights of revenue growth and strategic execution outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue grew by 7.8% year-over-year to $78.9 million, exceeding expectations.
Airway Clearance Performance
Airway clearance revenue increased by 51.6% year-over-year to $12.9 million.
Gross Margin Improvement
Q2 gross margins increased 60 basis points year-over-year to 74.5%.
Sales Force Expansion
Sales headcount increased by 11% compared to the end of Q1, with 293 total reps.
AffloVest Sales Surge
Sales of AffloVest increased 52% year-over-year and 21% sequentially in Q2.
Favorable Reimbursement Trends
Improved policy environment following Medicare coverage changes, benefiting advanced pump therapy.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 15% year-over-year to $7.7 million, attributed to planned investments.
Lymphedema Revenue Slowdown
Lymphedema revenue grew only 2% year-over-year, impacted by shifting product mix.
Net Income Decrease
Net income decreased by 25% year-over-year to $3.2 million.
Company Guidance
During the Tactile Medical Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated financial guidance for the year 2025. Total revenue is expected to be in the range of $310 million to $315 million, reflecting a growth of approximately 6% to 8% year-over-year. The guidance assumes lymphedema product line growth of 1.5% to 3% and airway clearance product line growth of 40% to 43%. The gross margin is projected to be around 75%, with operating expenses increasing by 10% to 11% due to investments in sales and technology. The adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be between $33 million and $35 million, with specific noncash items like stock compensation expense, intangible amortization, and depreciation contributing to this figure. Additionally, the company has successfully implemented tariff mitigation strategies, reducing anticipated tariff impacts to approximately $1 million to $1.5 million for the full year, with ongoing impacts expected to be roughly half this amount in subsequent years.

Tactile Systems Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tactile Systems Technology demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and solid profitability margins, despite a slight decline in net profit margin. The balance sheet is robust with low leverage, and cash flow generation is strong, supporting the company's operations and growth initiatives.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Tactile Systems Technology shows a solid revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.94% and a strong historical trend. The gross profit margin remains robust at over 70%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased in the TTM period to 5.06% from 5.79% in the previous annual report, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a decline, which could indicate rising operational costs or other challenges.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.09 in the TTM period, reflecting prudent financial management and low leverage. The return on equity is healthy at 7.33%, although it has slightly decreased from the previous year. The equity ratio is stable, indicating a solid capital structure. Overall, the balance sheet suggests financial stability and low risk.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow performance is positive, with a free cash flow growth rate of 4.72% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, showing that the company is converting its earnings into cash effectively. The free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.95, suggesting strong cash flow relative to earnings. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects healthy liquidity and cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue298.85M292.98M274.42M246.78M208.06M187.13M
Gross Profit215.89M216.69M195.13M175.98M148.21M132.81M
EBITDA28.20M32.37M24.54M-9.21M1.92M-834.00K
Net Income15.11M16.96M28.52M-17.87M-11.81M-620.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets273.05M297.92M281.44M255.00M244.27M174.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments95.98M108.91M61.03M38.06M40.71M58.56M
Total Debt42.17M45.11M50.38M72.23M83.86M21.39M
Total Liabilities78.12M81.33M87.80M133.60M116.04M49.34M
Stockholders Equity194.93M216.60M193.64M121.40M128.23M124.75M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow39.55M38.15M33.37M3.29M276.00K503.00K
Operating Cash Flow41.76M40.66M35.85M5.21M2.63M2.79M
Investing Cash Flow-2.27M-2.50M-2.48M-1.91M-82.18M20.18M
Financing Cash Flow-31.58M-4.82M5.73M-9.60M59.93M2.11M

Tactile Systems Technology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.24
Price Trends
50DMA
11.28
Positive
100DMA
11.23
Positive
200DMA
13.69
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.61
Positive
RSI
66.32
Neutral
STOCH
71.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TCMD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.86, above the 50-day MA of 11.28, and below the 200-day MA of 13.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TCMD.

Tactile Systems Technology Risk Analysis

Tactile Systems Technology disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tactile Systems Technology reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tactile Systems Technology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$299.83M21.277.64%6.15%-54.24%
74
Outperform
$264.13M20.0610.79%17.11%45.34%
61
Neutral
$296.50M-85.68%19.68%-13.17%
58
Neutral
$481.40M-25.57%-1.36%-479.49%
51
Neutral
$7.90B-0.33-41.70%2.23%23.45%-1.99%
47
Neutral
$257.32M271.41%45.50%53.07%
47
Neutral
$302.36M-176.94%23.32%23.29%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TCMD
Tactile Systems Technology
13.24
-0.15
-1.12%
CLPT
ClearPoint Neuro
11.08
-1.27
-10.28%
VREX
Varex Imaging
11.02
-0.95
-7.94%
VMD
Viemed Healthcare
6.82
-0.77
-10.14%
TLSI
TriSalus Life Sciences
5.15
-0.07
-1.34%
NPCE
NeuroPace
9.61
2.44
34.03%

Tactile Systems Technology Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tactile Systems Technology Holds 2025 Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Tactile Systems Technology held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where several key decisions were made. The stockholders elected directors to serve until the 2026 meeting, ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, approved the compensation of named executive officers, and decided to hold annual advisory votes on executive compensation. Additionally, the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan was approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025