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OrthoPediatrics Corp (KIDS)
NASDAQ:KIDS

OrthoPediatrics (KIDS) AI Stock Analysis

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OrthoPediatrics

(NASDAQ:KIDS)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$23.50
▲( 12.82% Upside)
OrthoPediatrics' overall score is driven by strong positive sentiment from its earnings call and promising revenue growth. However, challenges in profitability and cash flow, along with a bearish technical outlook, weigh down the score. The company's strategic focus on innovation and market expansion, coupled with optimistic future guidance, are key strengths.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
KIDS' revenue beat expectations showing a strong performance despite challenges.
Market Position
Physician feedback for KIDS' products continues to be extremely positive and emphasizes its dominant position in the pediatric orthopedic market.
Valuation
Shares now trade at a compelling valuation with a price target of $37, indicating strong growth potential in a strategic niche unlikely to attract competition.
Negative Factors
Cost Concerns
The company is exposed to tariffs which could impact costs and profitability.

OrthoPediatrics (KIDS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

OrthoPediatrics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrthoPediatrics Corp., a medical device company, designs, develops, and markets anatomically appropriate implants and devices for the treatment of children with orthopedic conditions in the United States and internationally. The company offers trauma and deformity correction products; scoliosis procedures for the treatment of spinal deformity; and sports medicine and other products. Its products comprise PediLoc, PediPlates, cannulated screws, PediFlex nail, PediNail, PediLoc tibia, anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction systems, locking cannulated blades, locking proximal femurs, Spica Tables, RESPONSE Spine systems, Bandloc, Pediguard, Pediatric Nailing Platform, Femur system, Orthex, QuickPack, and ApiFix Mid-C system. The company serves pediatric orthopedic market, as well as pediatric orthopedic surgeons and caregivers. OrthoPediatrics Corp. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrthoPediatrics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its specialized orthopedic implants and instruments designed for pediatric use. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to hospitals, surgical centers, and healthcare providers, as well as through distribution partnerships in various regions. Key revenue streams include its core product lines, such as trauma and deformity correction systems, scoliosis treatment systems, and sports medicine solutions. The company also benefits from strong relationships with pediatric orthopedic surgeons, who provide insights and feedback to guide product development, ensuring that its offerings meet the specific needs of young patients. Additionally, OrthoPediatrics may engage in strategic partnerships and collaborations to expand its market reach and enhance its product portfolio, contributing to its overall earnings.

OrthoPediatrics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OrthoPediatrics exhibits strong revenue growth and a robust equity position with low debt. However, profitability is a challenge due to negative net income and free cash flows. Operational inefficiencies and reliance on external financing for cash flow pose risks to financial stability.
Income Statement
62
Positive
OrthoPediatrics has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM revenue increase of 37.6% compared to the previous year. Despite this, the company is facing profitability challenges, evidenced by negative net profit margins and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin is relatively strong at 67.8%, indicating effective cost management relative to revenue. However, both the EBIT and EBITDA margins are negative, reflecting operational inefficiencies and high operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 74.9%, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.07, which indicates a conservative approach to leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses, which is a concern for long-term value creation. Overall, the balance sheet exhibits strong equity and low debt, but profitability remains a challenge.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
OrthoPediatrics faces negative free cash flow, although it has improved from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unfavorable, reflecting cash flow struggles in relation to losses. The company is heavily investing in capital expenditures, which could drive future growth but currently contributes to cash flow challenges. Financing cash flow remains positive, indicating reliance on external funding.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
204.73M148.73M122.29M98.05M71.08M
Gross Profit
148.60M111.25M90.66M73.40M55.03M
EBIT
-29.52M-25.77M-21.79M-17.87M-20.41M
EBITDA
-10.44M-8.38M-7.93M-7.19M-22.35M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-37.82M-20.97M1.26M-16.26M-32.94M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
68.83M80.31M118.29M53.54M83.90M
Total Assets
473.21M438.75M427.73M304.27M320.41M
Total Debt
24.12M10.06M907.00K1.04M1.50M
Net Debt
-19.70M-21.00M-8.08M-6.60M-27.26M
Total Liabilities
118.64M61.72M49.08M78.91M85.64M
Stockholders Equity
354.57M377.02M378.65M225.37M234.77M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-41.31M-46.03M-31.80M-29.07M-29.83M
Operating Cash Flow
-27.05M-27.05M-21.77M-13.06M-18.53M
Investing Cash Flow
-13.16M41.68M-113.37M-7.41M-69.69M
Financing Cash Flow
53.13M7.30M135.97M6.00K46.73M

OrthoPediatrics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price20.83
Price Trends
50DMA
22.73
Negative
100DMA
23.64
Negative
200DMA
25.15
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
38.91
Neutral
STOCH
5.09
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KIDS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.06, below the 50-day MA of 22.73, and below the 200-day MA of 25.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.09 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for KIDS.

OrthoPediatrics Risk Analysis

OrthoPediatrics disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OrthoPediatrics reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
takeover of us. Q4, 2024
2.
otherwise depress the price of our common stock. Q4, 2024
3.
We may be negatively impacted by restructuring initiatives. Q4, 2024

OrthoPediatrics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$783.25M-15.96%22.60%41.26%
66
Neutral
$515.94M-11.33%31.28%-81.86%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.03-43.89%2.83%16.75%-0.06%
52
Neutral
$599.25M26.25%
48
Neutral
$383.72M-45.73%7.54%4.28%
47
Neutral
$434.91M-27.82%5.85%-8.92%
BVBVS
47
Neutral
$536.40M-19.79%8.60%-42.76%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KIDS
OrthoPediatrics
20.83
-13.00
-38.43%
OFIX
Orthofix
11.10
-3.52
-24.08%
SIBN
SI-Bone
18.38
4.66
33.97%
BVS
Bioventus
6.53
-0.40
-5.77%
TMCI
Treace Medical Concepts
5.88
0.83
16.44%
CBLL
Ceribell, Inc.
16.58
-8.92
-34.98%

OrthoPediatrics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.09%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong positive sentiment with significant revenue growth, increased profitability, and successful product approvals. Despite some challenges in international revenue and higher operating expenses, the company remains optimistic about future growth and profitability.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
OrthoPediatrics reported a global revenue growth of 17% in Q1 2025, driven by trauma, scoliosis, and OPSB segments. U.S. revenue increased by 19%, contributing 78% of the total revenue.
Increased Profitability
The company reduced its adjusted EBITDA loss by more than half year-over-year and improved free cash flow by 36%. Gross profit margin increased to 73% from 72% in the previous year.
Successful Product Approvals
Five FDA approvals were received, including the Verteglide system and 3P pediatric plating platform HIP system, enhancing the product portfolio.
Scoliosis Segment Growth
Scoliosis global revenue increased by 34%, driven by the adoption of Response, Apifix, and 7D technology. New approvals like Verteglide are expected to further enhance growth.
OPSB Clinic Expansion
The OPSB segment showed a growth of over 20% with successful expansion into new territories such as North Carolina, with plans for further expansion.
Positive Future Outlook
The company increased its full-year revenue guidance to $236 million to $242 million, reflecting a growth of 15% to 18%.
Negative Updates
International Revenue Challenges
International revenue growth was offset by pressure from LATAM and lower set sales, impacting overall profitability.
Higher Operating Expenses
Total operating expenses increased by 18% to $49.2 million due to increased personnel and OPSB clinic additions.
Company Guidance
During the OrthoPediatrics Corporation's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided optimistic guidance for the year, highlighting several key metrics. The company expects full-year revenue to range between $236 million and $242 million, reflecting an annual growth of 15% to 18%. They project adjusted EBITDA of $15 to $17 million, which will surpass the $15 million allocated for set deployments in 2025. The first quarter saw global revenue growth of 17%, with U.S. revenues increasing by 19% and international revenues by 11%. The company also reduced its adjusted EBITDA loss by over 50% year-over-year and improved free cash flow by 36%. OrthoPediatrics anticipates positive free cash flow by the fourth quarter of 2025 and aims for full-year free cash flow breakeven in 2026. The company emphasized its ongoing commitment to expanding its product offerings, with five FDA approvals already received in 2025, and plans for further clinic and territory expansion, particularly in the OPSB sector.

OrthoPediatrics Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
OrthoPediatrics Issues Common Stock Under Amendment
Neutral
May 14, 2025

OrthoPediatrics announced the issuance of Common Stock under the First Amendment, leveraging an exemption under Section 4(a)(2) of the Securities Act of 1933. This strategic move may impact the company’s financial operations and market positioning by potentially increasing capital and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (KIDS) stock is a Buy with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on OrthoPediatrics stock, see the KIDS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OrthoPediatrics Highlights Financial Insights and Innovations
Positive
May 7, 2025

OrthoPediatrics Corp. announced upcoming presentations to investors and analysts, highlighting its use of non-GAAP financial measures to provide insights into its financial performance. The company emphasizes its commitment to innovation and market expansion through R&D and strategic acquisitions, aiming to enhance its position as a leader in pediatric orthopedic solutions.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.