tiprankstipranks
Orthofix Medical (OFIX)
NASDAQ:OFIX

Orthofix Medical (OFIX) AI Stock Analysis

89 Followers

Top Page

OFIX

Orthofix Medical

(NASDAQ:OFIX)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-5.74% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/24/26
The score is held back primarily by weak current profitability and negative free cash flow despite strong revenue growth and healthy gross margins. The earnings call improves the outlook with guidance for margin expansion and positive 2026 free cash flow (excluding legal items), but technicals remain mixed-to-soft with price below key moving averages and negative MACD, and valuation is difficult to assess due to losses and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Revenue and Gross Margin Recovery
A 52% TTM revenue rebound combined with ~68% gross margin indicates durable product economics and recovering demand across core franchises. Strong gross margins provide structural room to fund R&D, commercial investment and margin expansion, supporting sustainable operating improvement over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Ongoing Unprofitability
Persistent operating and net losses limit the company’s internal ability to fund growth, reduce return on equity, and constrain strategic options. Until adjusted EBITDA and net profitability consistently convert, margin weakness remains a multi-quarter risk to balance-sheet flexibility and investor confidence.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and Gross Margin Recovery
A 52% TTM revenue rebound combined with ~68% gross margin indicates durable product economics and recovering demand across core franchises. Strong gross margins provide structural room to fund R&D, commercial investment and margin expansion, supporting sustainable operating improvement over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Orthofix Medical (OFIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orthofix Medical Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orthofix Medical Inc. operates as a medical device and biologics company in the United States, Italy, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Brazil, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Global Spine and Global Orthopedics. The Glob...
How the Company Makes Money
Orthofix makes money primarily by selling orthopedic medical devices and related products to healthcare providers (e.g., hospitals, ambulatory surgery centers, and physician practices). Its revenue is largely generated from: (1) sales of bone grow...

Orthofix Medical Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across Orthofix’s business lines (such as spinal products, orthopedics, and adjunct therapies), showing which products or segments are driving growth and which are lagging. Understanding the segment mix helps assess diversification, dependency on key product areas, and how new launches or acquisitions could shift future revenue.
Chart InsightsGlobal Spine underwent a clear step-change beginning in early 2023 and now drives most of Orthofix’s top‑line momentum—management attributes this to distributor transitions and adoption of the 7D FLASH system that boosted U.S. procedure volumes. Global Orthopedics is accelerating too, fueled by TrueLok Elevate and delivering repeat double‑digit U.S. growth, which helps diversify revenue. Continued EBITDA expansion and narrowed guidance signal operational leverage, but watch pricing pressure at a major account, the M6 discontinuation, and lumpy international orthopedics shipments as potential short‑term risks.
Data provided by:The Fly

Orthofix Medical Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call portrayed solid operational progress: targeted product launches (VIRATA), strong segment performance in BGT and Limb Reconstruction, distributor productivity gains (top 30 partners +25% YoY), margin expansion (Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin +230 bps) and strong Q4 free cash flow. Management acknowledged near-term headwinds from distributor transitions, biologics softness, a major-account price decrease and potential legal settlement exposure, and extended the long-range timeline by one year to fully realize channel benefits. Guidance for 2026 is constructive (mid-single digit revenue growth, improved EBITDA and positive full-year free cash flow excluding legal items) while some benefits are expected to be back‑half weighted.
Positive Updates
Total Q4 Net Sales
Total global net sales of $218.6 million in Q4, up 3% pro forma (constant currency, excluding M6 disc).
Negative Updates
Distributor Transition Created Near-Term Pressure
Distributor transitions implemented earlier in 2025 created temporary pressure and variable access to certain IDN accounts, slowing near-term performance and prompting an extension of the long-range plan timeline by one year.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Total Q4 Net Sales
Total global net sales of $218.6 million in Q4, up 3% pro forma (constant currency, excluding M6 disc).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Orthofix guided full‑year 2026 net sales of $850–860M (midpoint $855M; ~5.5% pro‑forma constant‑currency growth), non‑GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $95–98M, and positive free cash flow for the year excluding any legal settlements; they expect full‑year adjusted gross margin of ~72.5% (Q4 pro‑forma was 71.4%), adjusted depreciation & amortization of ~$38–39M, stock‑based compensation of ~$31M, interest/other expense of ~ $6M per quarter, and capital expenditures of $45–50M. Management expects EBITDA margin expansion of ~70 basis points weighted to H2, revenue cadence of ~5% growth in H1 and ~6% in H2 (Q1 has one fewer selling day ≈‑1.6%, Q2 one extra ≈+1.6%), a ~1% one‑time Q1 headwind to BGT from the CMS team pilot, and reiterated long‑range targets (updated to 2026–2028) of 6.5–7.5% net‑sales CAGR, mid‑teens adjusted EBITDA margin by 2028, and sustained positive free cash flow 2026–2028 (ex‑legal).

Orthofix Medical Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue rebounded sharply (+52% TTM) with strong gross margin (~68%), and operating cash flow turned positive (~$33M). Offsetting this, the company remains meaningfully unprofitable (EBIT margin ~-11%, net margin ~-14.6%), free cash flow is still negative (about -$11M TTM), and returns are weak (ROE about -26%), indicating a turnaround still in progress.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue822.31M799.49M746.64M460.71M464.48M
Gross Profit551.71M545.88M486.27M337.17M349.56M
EBITDA-22.35M-34.18M-79.49M15.66M21.44M
Net Income-92.19M-126.00M-151.40M-19.75M-38.38M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets850.65M893.29M925.32M458.63M476.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments82.03M83.24M33.11M50.70M87.85M
Total Debt229.26M179.63M117.07M21.53M24.31M
Total Liabilities400.61M390.17M326.58M121.77M139.69M
Stockholders Equity450.04M503.12M598.73M336.86M336.93M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.28M-9.09M-107.80M-34.70M-1.12M
Operating Cash Flow33.35M25.79M-45.75M-11.54M18.48M
Investing Cash Flow-34.60M-27.58M-33.13M-24.53M-23.01M
Financing Cash Flow-786.00K50.71M65.32M-78.00K-3.62M

Orthofix Medical Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price12.20
Price Trends
50DMA
12.60
Negative
100DMA
13.89
Negative
200DMA
13.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Negative
RSI
52.28
Neutral
STOCH
72.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OFIX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 12.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.78, below the 50-day MA of 12.60, and below the 200-day MA of 13.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OFIX.

Orthofix Medical Risk Analysis

Orthofix Medical disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orthofix Medical reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orthofix Medical Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$760.03M8.404.97%1.58%
56
Neutral
$615.22M-45.38-12.91%23.27%43.90%
55
Neutral
$404.71M-10.51-12.67%19.90%-57.90%
54
Neutral
$647.39M35.21-8.56%2.70%-3090.51%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$489.76M-6.56-20.38%4.31%3.26%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OFIX
Orthofix Medical
12.20
-2.52
-17.12%
AVNS
Avanos Medical
13.92
0.74
5.61%
KIDS
OrthoPediatrics
16.01
-7.02
-30.48%
SIBN
SI-Bone
13.93
<0.01
0.07%
BVS
Bioventus
9.14
1.19
14.97%

Orthofix Medical Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orthofix Posts Strong Q4 Results and Optimistic 2026 Outlook
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
On February 24, 2026, Orthofix reported fourth-quarter 2025 net sales of $219.9 million, or $218.6 million excluding discontinued M6 disc lines, marking modest reported growth but stronger constant-currency gains, alongside an improved gross margi...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 24, 2026