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Orthofix International N.V. (OFIX)
NASDAQ:OFIX

Orthofix (OFIX) AI Stock Analysis

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Orthofix

(NASDAQ:OFIX)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$12.50
▲( 12.61% Upside)
Orthofix's overall score reflects strengths in revenue growth and strategic board appointments, but is weighed down by ongoing profitability issues, bearish technical indicators, and valuation concerns. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and cash flow stability to enhance its stock performance.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Orthofix reported a nice top-line and adj EBITDA beat for the Q, featuring record overall, BGT, and Global Ortho growth with US Spine Fixation and US Ortho up 12% and 21% respectively.
Strategy and Growth
Distributor upgrades, despite being a short-term headwind, are expected to support a more scalable and growth-oriented commercial model.
Valuation
OFIX's current valuation taking into account these factors is attractive, trading significantly below our small-cap and spine comp group averages.
Negative Factors
Market Challenges
The company faces tougher comparisons in FY25 and growth moderation in key areas that have supported previous results.
Product Transition
There is a worry about the risk to long-range plan growth expectations due to disruptions from distributor upgrades.
Revenue Guidance
FY25 revenue guidance is set below Street expectations, as OFIX plans to discontinue product lines that accounted for significant revenue.

Orthofix (OFIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orthofix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrthofix Medical Inc. (OFIX) is a global medical device company focused on providing innovative, quality-driven solutions for the spine and orthopedic markets. The company operates through four primary business units: Bone Growth Therapies, Spinal Implants, Biologics, and Orthopedic Solutions. Orthofix is dedicated to improving patients' lives by developing products that help restore mobility and improve the quality of life for individuals undergoing orthopedic and spine procedures.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrthofix generates revenue through the sale of its medical devices and related products across its four business units. The Bone Growth Therapies unit provides non-invasive devices that promote bone healing in patients recovering from surgeries or fractures. The Spinal Implants unit develops and sells a variety of implants and related surgical instruments used in spine surgeries. The Biologics division offers innovative biologic solutions that assist in the healing of bone and soft tissue. Lastly, the Orthopedic Solutions unit provides products that address the needs of patients with limb deformities and other orthopedic conditions. Revenue is primarily derived from direct sales to hospitals, surgical centers, and healthcare providers, as well as through distribution agreements with partners in various regions. Orthofix's earnings are bolstered by its commitment to research and development, strategic partnerships, and a global distribution network that expands its market reach.

Orthofix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orthofix's financial statements suggest a company facing significant challenges. Revenue and equity were zero in 2024, signaling potential operational or structural issues. While some cash flow metrics have improved, the overall financial health remains precarious with ongoing profitability and leverage concerns.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Orthofix's income statement reveals significant volatility. Total revenue has shown growth from 2020 to 2023, but 2024 reported zero revenue, a concerning anomaly. Gross profit margins and net income have been negative in recent years, indicating operational inefficiencies. Although EBITDA turned positive in 2024, EBIT and net income remain negative, pointing to ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet of Orthofix shows mixed signals. Total assets have decreased significantly in 2024, while shareholder equity was reported as zero, indicating a potential accounting or financial issue. The company had zero debt in 2024, which could be a positive if it weren't for the zero equity. Historically, the debt-to-equity ratio was manageable, but the current lack of equity raises red flags.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Orthofix's cash flow statement shows improvements in operating cash flow into positive territory in 2024, after previous years of negative cash flow. However, free cash flow remains negative, suggesting that capital expenditures are still outpacing cash generation. The substantial financing cash flow in 2024 might indicate reliance on external funding.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
799.49M746.64M460.71M464.48M406.56M
Gross Profit
545.88M486.27M337.17M349.56M304.67M
EBIT
-84.62M-139.11M-20.67M-6.23M1.62M
EBITDA
-18.24M-79.45M12.60M17.94M32.66M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-123.88M-151.40M-19.75M-38.38M2.52M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
83.24M33.11M50.70M87.85M96.29M
Total Assets
893.29M925.32M458.63M476.62M525.86M
Total Debt
179.63M134.20M19.89M22.48M24.94M
Net Debt
96.39M96.44M-30.81M-65.37M-71.35M
Total Liabilities
390.17M326.58M121.77M139.69M169.00M
Stockholders Equity
503.12M598.73M336.86M336.93M356.86M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-9.09M-107.80M-34.70M-1.12M57.18M
Operating Cash Flow
25.79M-45.75M-11.54M18.48M74.27M
Investing Cash Flow
-27.58M-33.13M-24.53M-23.01M-52.33M
Financing Cash Flow
50.71M65.32M-78.00K-3.62M3.25M

Orthofix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.10
Price Trends
50DMA
14.05
Negative
100DMA
15.92
Negative
200DMA
16.47
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.75
Positive
RSI
26.45
Positive
STOCH
4.54
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OFIX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.1 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.53, below the 50-day MA of 14.05, and below the 200-day MA of 16.47, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.75 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 26.45 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.54 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OFIX.

Orthofix Risk Analysis

Orthofix disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orthofix reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Although we have made significant progress in integrating the SeaSpine business, the remainder of our integration activities may not be completed smoothly or successfully, and we may not achieve all of the anticipated benefits of the merger. Q4, 2024
2.
Ongoing litigation and arbitration matters could negatively affect our business operations. Q4, 2024

Orthofix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$783.25M-15.96%22.60%41.26%
66
Neutral
$515.94M-11.33%31.28%-81.86%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.03-44.09%2.83%16.75%-0.06%
52
Neutral
$569.26M45.80-36.78%1.34%-530.36%
48
Neutral
$369.88M-45.73%7.54%4.28%
47
Neutral
$434.91M-27.82%5.85%-8.92%
BVBVS
47
Neutral
$536.40M-19.79%8.60%-42.76%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OFIX
Orthofix
11.10
-3.52
-24.08%
AVNS
Avanos Medical
12.31
-7.89
-39.06%
KIDS
OrthoPediatrics
20.83
-13.00
-38.43%
SIBN
SI-Bone
18.38
4.66
33.97%
BVS
Bioventus
6.53
-0.40
-5.77%
TMCI
Treace Medical Concepts
5.88
0.83
16.44%

Orthofix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -18.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Orthofix's first quarter earnings call highlighted several positive developments, including revenue growth, EBITDA margin expansion, and strong performances in Bone Growth Therapies and Orthopedics. However, challenges such as spine business softness, pricing pressures, and the impact of the M6 discontinuation were noted. Overall, while the company is making significant strides in various areas, the balance of positive and negative elements suggests a stable outlook with ongoing challenges to address.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
First quarter pro forma net sales of $189.2 million represent year-over-year constant currency growth of 6%.
Adjusted EBITDA Margin Expansion
Delivered another quarter of excellent progress in adjusted EBITDA margin expansion that exceeded expectations.
Bone Growth Therapies Performance
Bone Growth Therapies net sales grew 7% overall and 8% in the fracture market with AccelStim bone growth therapy device continuing to outperform the market.
Orthopedics Business Growth
Global Orthopedics business delivered a constant-currency growth of 13% on a same sales day basis in Q1.
FDA Approval for AccelStim 2.0
Received earlier than anticipated FDA approval for AccelStim 2.0, reinforcing market leadership in bone growth simulation.
TrueLok Elevate TBT System Success
Over 90 TrueLok elevated cases completed with overwhelmingly positive responses from surgeons.
Negative Updates
Spine Business Softness
Some short-term incremental softness in biologics and spine fixation due to distributor transition.
Pricing Pressure in US Spine Fixation
Price decrease due to a joint venture between a large hospital account and a group purchasing organization impacted revenue.
Negative Impact from M6 Discontinuation
Discontinuation of M6 product lines was a headwind to the company's top-line revenue growth rate, gross margin, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow.
Impact of US-Funded NGO Business Reduction
Guidance assumes a $5 million negative impact from US-funded NGO business compared to the full-year 2024.
Company Guidance
During the Orthofix First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided a comprehensive overview of its performance and financial guidance for the year. Orthofix reported first-quarter pro forma net sales of $189.2 million, representing a year-over-year constant currency growth of 6% on a same sales day basis. This growth was driven by a 5.4% increase in the US spinal fixation business and a 7% rise in Bone Growth Therapies (BGT) net sales. The company also highlighted a 13% growth in its Global Orthopedic business. For the full year 2025, Orthofix expects net sales to range between $808 million and $816 million, excluding the discontinued M6 product lines, implying a 5% growth at the midpoint. The company also anticipates full-year non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA between $82 million and $86 million, reflecting a 190 basis-point margin expansion compared to 2024. Challenges such as the discontinuation of M6 artificial discs and distributor transitions were noted, but Orthofix remains focused on strategic priorities to drive long-term shareholder value.

Orthofix Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orthofix Gains FDA Clearance for New Bone System
Neutral
May 6, 2025

Orthofix reported its first quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing net sales of $193.6 million, a 2.7% increase from the previous year, despite a net loss of $53.1 million. The company received FDA clearance for its TrueLok Elevate Transverse Bone Transport System and is undergoing strategic transitions to optimize its commercial channels, aiming for long-term growth and improved market positioning.

Business Operations and Strategy
Orthofix Signs New Lease Agreement in Carlsbad
Neutral
Apr 7, 2025

On April 1, 2025, Orthofix Medical Inc. entered into a new lease for its Carlsbad, California office, replacing a previous sublease. The new lease, effective until October 31, 2037, involves a total pre-tax occupancy cost of approximately $34.6 million over 12.5 years, with additional obligations for real estate taxes, insurance, and utilities.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Orthofix Appoints Vickie Capps to Board of Directors
Positive
Mar 12, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Orthofix Medical Inc. announced the appointment of Vickie Capps to its Board of Directors, effective March 11, 2025. Capps brings extensive experience in global business operations, strategic development, and corporate finance, which is expected to support Orthofix’s strategic transformation and growth. Her appointment increases the board size to ten members, enhancing the company’s leadership as it aims to deliver profitable growth and sustainable shareholder value.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orthofix Reports Record Financial Results for Q4 2024
Neutral
Feb 25, 2025

Orthofix reported record financial results for the fourth quarter and full-year 2024, with net sales increasing by 8% and 7% respectively, compared to the previous year. Despite a net loss of $29.1 million in the fourth quarter, the company achieved a significant improvement in cash flow and increased its long-term growth targets. Orthofix also announced the discontinuation of its M6 artificial disc product lines to focus on more profitable growth opportunities, aligning with its strategic focus on spinal fixation and deformity correction.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.